Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carolina Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 8:16PM Monday May 27, 2019 1:28 AM EDT (05:28 UTC) Moonrise 1:24AMMoonset 12:48PM Illumination 42% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1155 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tue..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
AMZ200 1155 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure off the coast of the carolinas will drift southeast tonight. A weak trough will move across the waters early Monday, then high pressure will rebuild over the area by midweek. All this and winds remain mainly from the sw this period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carolina Beach, NC
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location: 34.03, -77.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 270455
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
1255 am edt Mon may 27 2019

Synopsis
Hot and dry weather will prevail much of the week. Rain chances
and slight cooling are possible next weekend, as the upper ridge
flattens, and allows moisture and a weak trough to approach the
coast.

Near term through Tuesday
As of 930 pm Sunday... A surface trough wind shift will enter
the western CWA after 06z, and make its way to the coast around
dawn, in association with a slight weakness in the mid-level
ridging which is established over the SE conus. A quasi-
stationary frontal boundary will drop into central nc Monday,
however it looks to remain north of the area, leaving conditions
Monday very similar to today. That is, rain chances almost nil,
and temperatures reaching the upper 90s away from the coast.

Lows Monday night generally 70-75.

Short term Tuesday night through Wednesday night
As of 3 pm Sunday... Mid-level ridge lingers over the southeast
during the middle of the week. Some differing opinions as to how far
north the center of the 5h ridge. This has impacts locally as there
will be a series of shortwaves, accompanied by moisture, moving
across the top of the ridge. Favoring a stronger ridge and drier
solution through Wed night. Combination of elongated high off the
coast and strengthening piedmont trough each afternoon will keep
winds west-southwest. Sea breeze will have limited success moving
inland, allowing for highs well above climo. Away from the beach,
highs will be in the mid to upper 90s with some areas reaching 100.

Lows are also expected to run above climo, with most areas in the
low to mid 70s. Rainfall chances remain quite limited. Mid-level
subsidence and dry air along with a lack of strong forcing work to
keep most of the area dry.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
As of 3 pm Sunday... Ridging aloft starts to weaken on Thu before
collapsing on fri. Flat mid-level flow develops late next week,
moving a weak front into the region. Lack of strong mid-level push
will keep the front stalled in the vicinity, likely just west of the
forecast area. Increasing moisture will lead to an increase in
rainfall chances late in the week.

-temperatures above to well above climo continue, highs will trend a
little closer to climo for the weekend.

-rainfall chances increase Thu through Sun with the best chances
over the weekend.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
As of 5z...VFR this period. Dry atmosphere and breezes will
prevent widespread fog or stratus into Monday, with SW surface
winds through 13z 3-6 knots, becoming w-wnw 6-10 knots in the
afternoon with occasional gusts to 17 kt in daytime, strong
heating. Shreds of cirrus or convective debris, mainly above 15
kft this TAF cycle, accompanied by scattered cumulus in intense
heating of afternoon, density altitudes will be impacted in the
peak of heating.

Extended outlook... MainlyVFR into next week. Slight chance
MVFR each morning in low stratus fog, or isolated tstms,
beginning mainly Monday night.

Marine
As of 3 pm Sunday... South to southwest winds around 10
kt... Gusting to 15-20 kt at times, will continue through the
evening around high pressure centered off the carolina coast. A
wind shift to west-northwest is expected around or just after
sunrise as a weak surface trough moves off the coast, but
southwest flow will reestablish during the afternoon. A weak
gradient will result in wind speeds 10 kt or less Monday night,
and direction will become variable after midnight. Seas of 2-3
ft this evening will fall settle to around 2 feet throughout by
Monday afternoon.

Elongated surface high off the coast and piedmont trough inland will
maintain southwest flow Tuesday through Friday. Gradient tightens up
each afternoon, especially later in the week as the trough becomes
more defined and starts moving toward the coast. Speeds 10 to 15 kt
tue and Wed will climb into the 15 to 20 kt range Thu and fri. Seas
build from around 2 ft Tue to 3 to 4 ft for Thu and fri. Seas
continue to be made up of mostly a south to southwest wind wave.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Colby
near term... Crm
short term... Iii
long term... Iii
aviation... Mjc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 12 mi141 min WSW 9.7 G 14 78°F 78°F1015.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 12 mi59 min 77°F2 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 14 mi47 min WSW 6 G 8.9 80°F 76°F1015.4 hPa
WLON7 14 mi47 min 78°F 81°F1015.5 hPa
41108 22 mi59 min 78°F3 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi81 min W 14 G 19 78°F 78°F1015.2 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 33 mi81 min SW 12 G 18 79°F 80°F1015.8 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 42 mi39 min SW 16 G 19 79°F 78°F3 ft1015.5 hPa76°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC11 mi49 minWSW 6 mi78°F75°F91%1015.9 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC17 mi36 minSW 310.00 miFair77°F72°F85%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4S4S5S6S6S4SW5SW7SW8SW7SW10SW10SW8SW9SW11SW10W10W8SW7SW5SW7SW6SW6W6
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Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington Beach, North Carolina
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Wilmington Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:20 AM EDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:47 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:51 PM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:06 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.33.63.53.22.51.81.20.70.60.91.62.32.93.33.43.22.72.11.61.10.911.6

Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina
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Campbell Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:16 AM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:50 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:51 PM EDT     3.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:11 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.42.333.53.73.632.11.40.80.30.20.61.52.433.43.63.22.51.71.20.70.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.