Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Belville, NC
March 28, 2024 6:57 AM EDT (10:57 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:02 AM Sunset 7:31 PM Moonrise 9:57 PM Moonset 7:36 AM |
AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 601 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .
Today - N winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt late this morning and this afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers with a slight chance of tstms early this morning, then showers late this morning and this afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm until early afternoon.
Tonight - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Fri - NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 601 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - A cold front will move offshore this morning. High pressure will build in behind the front with gusty north winds today and tonight. The high will move across the southeast Friday, then offshore this weekend.
Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 280736 AFDILM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 336 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Clouds and rain will accompany a cold front moving off the coast this morning. High pressure will bring dry and cool weather tonight through Friday. A warming trend is expected this weekend as the high moves offshore. The next chance of rain will accompany a cold front late Tuesday into Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
The surface cold front continues to slide southeastward and should be crossing the beaches no later than 6 AM. Cooler air undercutting the moist and slightly unstable airmass aloft will help sustain showers and elevated coastal thunderstorms through the morning hours. Heavy rainfall could create an isolated flooding threat, but this potential appears to be limited to southeastern North Carolina between now and about 8 AM.
Isentropic upglide will end in the lower levels by mid morning within the deepening cold advection behind the front, but may linger way up on the 310K theta surface (near 600 mb or 12kft)
which will maintain clouds and areas of light rain going through early to mid afternoon. Eventually the lift runs out even here with dry weather expected.
The biggest forecast dilemma today concerns temperatures.
There's at least a moderate potential the sun will come out during the mid afternoon across the Pee Dee region with temperatures possibly rising 6-8 degrees off their mid morning lows. Along the coast the potential for sunshine and any substantial rise in temperature is less. My forecast highs range from the lower 60s across the Pee Dee region to 58-60 along the coast, however confidence in low.
There is high confidence skies will become clear tonight after the upper trough moves offshore and deep offshore flow is established. High pressure will move eastward across the Deep South, making it as far east as Alabama by sunrise Friday.
Enough of a pressure gradient should remain to keep winds from going calm across the eastern Carolinas and forecast lows are within a few degrees of 40.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Broad surface high pressure over the Deep South moves to the ESE and offshore through this period. Chamber of commerce weather on the way, with airmass modification kicking off. Skies should be mostly cloudless, sans a few cirrus clouds here and there. Highs Friday in the upper 60 near 70. Lows Friday night in the mid-to-upper 40s inland, near 50 at the coast.
Surface winds out of the southwest bring in much warmer air Saturday, with highs in the mid 70s inland, lower 70s at the coast.
Lows Saturday night in the mid 50s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Airmass modification continues with the high pressure offshore. Dry forecast continues, with widespread highs in the low-to-mid 80s expected Sunday through Tuesday. Lows each night in the low-to-mid 60s.
Clouds increase Tuesday ahead of the next frontal system, which is due to move through sometime Wednesday. Rain chances look to return Tuesday night through Wednesday, but we're keeping the chances rather modest for now. This front looks to knock back temperatures down a bit, but still above normal for early April.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The surface cold front has moved through LBT and FLO and should be through MYR, CRE, and ILM between 09-10 UTC. Northerly surface winds will overspread the area and increase as high as 15G25KT later this morning. Showers and some embedded convection will affect the area with the potential for the heaviest precipitation rates beginning to focus more on the coastal airports: MYR, CRE, and ILM. Cloud ceilings are already IFR behind the front and IFR conditions have even developed at the Myrtle Beach airports in what appears to be a sea stratus situation. IFR conditions in ceilings should develop at ILM as well, with tempo visibility dipping to IFR in heavy rain through 13 UTC. Precipitation rates should diminish considerably after 13-14 UTC, however ceilings will be slow to lift with MVFR not expected to develop until 16-20 UTC.
Extended Outlook...VFR.
MARINE
Through Tonight...A cold front is slipping southeastward across the coastal plain and should cross the beaches around 6 AM, making it 20 miles offshore no later than 8-10 AM this morning.
Light southeasterly winds will shift to the north behind the front and then increase to 15-25 kt. A Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect through tonight for these winds plus seas which may reach 6 feet near Frying Pan Shoals this afternoon.
Widespread rain with embedded thunderstorms should persist through the remainder of the morning hours. Heavy rain could reduce visibility below 2 miles at times. Precipitation rates should diminish by noon, with the last of the showers ending during the mid afternoon.
Friday through Monday...Small Craft Advisory is due to expire at 4 AM EDT Friday morning. From there, northwesterly winds at 10-15kts back to the west by Friday afternoon, and then to the southwest by Friday night. Winds from that point will remain locked in through Monday. Seas mostly stick to 2-4ft.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ250-252-254-256.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 336 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Clouds and rain will accompany a cold front moving off the coast this morning. High pressure will bring dry and cool weather tonight through Friday. A warming trend is expected this weekend as the high moves offshore. The next chance of rain will accompany a cold front late Tuesday into Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
The surface cold front continues to slide southeastward and should be crossing the beaches no later than 6 AM. Cooler air undercutting the moist and slightly unstable airmass aloft will help sustain showers and elevated coastal thunderstorms through the morning hours. Heavy rainfall could create an isolated flooding threat, but this potential appears to be limited to southeastern North Carolina between now and about 8 AM.
Isentropic upglide will end in the lower levels by mid morning within the deepening cold advection behind the front, but may linger way up on the 310K theta surface (near 600 mb or 12kft)
which will maintain clouds and areas of light rain going through early to mid afternoon. Eventually the lift runs out even here with dry weather expected.
The biggest forecast dilemma today concerns temperatures.
There's at least a moderate potential the sun will come out during the mid afternoon across the Pee Dee region with temperatures possibly rising 6-8 degrees off their mid morning lows. Along the coast the potential for sunshine and any substantial rise in temperature is less. My forecast highs range from the lower 60s across the Pee Dee region to 58-60 along the coast, however confidence in low.
There is high confidence skies will become clear tonight after the upper trough moves offshore and deep offshore flow is established. High pressure will move eastward across the Deep South, making it as far east as Alabama by sunrise Friday.
Enough of a pressure gradient should remain to keep winds from going calm across the eastern Carolinas and forecast lows are within a few degrees of 40.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Broad surface high pressure over the Deep South moves to the ESE and offshore through this period. Chamber of commerce weather on the way, with airmass modification kicking off. Skies should be mostly cloudless, sans a few cirrus clouds here and there. Highs Friday in the upper 60 near 70. Lows Friday night in the mid-to-upper 40s inland, near 50 at the coast.
Surface winds out of the southwest bring in much warmer air Saturday, with highs in the mid 70s inland, lower 70s at the coast.
Lows Saturday night in the mid 50s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Airmass modification continues with the high pressure offshore. Dry forecast continues, with widespread highs in the low-to-mid 80s expected Sunday through Tuesday. Lows each night in the low-to-mid 60s.
Clouds increase Tuesday ahead of the next frontal system, which is due to move through sometime Wednesday. Rain chances look to return Tuesday night through Wednesday, but we're keeping the chances rather modest for now. This front looks to knock back temperatures down a bit, but still above normal for early April.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The surface cold front has moved through LBT and FLO and should be through MYR, CRE, and ILM between 09-10 UTC. Northerly surface winds will overspread the area and increase as high as 15G25KT later this morning. Showers and some embedded convection will affect the area with the potential for the heaviest precipitation rates beginning to focus more on the coastal airports: MYR, CRE, and ILM. Cloud ceilings are already IFR behind the front and IFR conditions have even developed at the Myrtle Beach airports in what appears to be a sea stratus situation. IFR conditions in ceilings should develop at ILM as well, with tempo visibility dipping to IFR in heavy rain through 13 UTC. Precipitation rates should diminish considerably after 13-14 UTC, however ceilings will be slow to lift with MVFR not expected to develop until 16-20 UTC.
Extended Outlook...VFR.
MARINE
Through Tonight...A cold front is slipping southeastward across the coastal plain and should cross the beaches around 6 AM, making it 20 miles offshore no later than 8-10 AM this morning.
Light southeasterly winds will shift to the north behind the front and then increase to 15-25 kt. A Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect through tonight for these winds plus seas which may reach 6 feet near Frying Pan Shoals this afternoon.
Widespread rain with embedded thunderstorms should persist through the remainder of the morning hours. Heavy rain could reduce visibility below 2 miles at times. Precipitation rates should diminish by noon, with the last of the showers ending during the mid afternoon.
Friday through Monday...Small Craft Advisory is due to expire at 4 AM EDT Friday morning. From there, northwesterly winds at 10-15kts back to the west by Friday afternoon, and then to the southwest by Friday night. Winds from that point will remain locked in through Monday. Seas mostly stick to 2-4ft.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 4 AM EDT Friday for AMZ250-252-254-256.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
WLON7 | 0 mi | 57 min | 61°F | |||||
MBNN7 | 8 mi | 57 min | NNW 4.1G | 62°F | 29.81 | 62°F | ||
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC | 9 mi | 57 min | NNW 8G | 59°F | ||||
MBIN7 | 11 mi | 63 min | N 1.9G | 62°F | 29.81 | 62°F | ||
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC | 14 mi | 109 min | SSE 14G | 62°F | 58°F | 29.79 | 59°F | |
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC | 14 mi | 61 min | 58°F | 3 ft | ||||
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC | 35 mi | 109 min | SSE 9.7G | 65°F | 61°F | 29.83 | 62°F | |
41108 | 35 mi | 57 min | 61°F | 59°F | 4 ft | |||
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) | 39 mi | 109 min | N 12G | 59°F | 60°F | 29.80 | 59°F | |
SSBN7 | 39 mi | 62 min | 60°F | 3 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KILM WILMINGTON INTL,NC | 4 sm | 52 min | N 09 | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 55°F | 94% | 29.84 | |
KSUT CAPE FEAR RGNL JETPORT/HOWIE FRANKLIN FLD,NC | 22 sm | 17 min | N 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | 59°F | 57°F | 94% | 29.82 |
Wilmington
Click for Map
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:36 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 12:10 PM EDT 3.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:36 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 12:10 PM EDT 3.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Wilmington, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
4.5 |
1 am |
4.3 |
2 am |
3.8 |
3 am |
3 |
4 am |
2.1 |
5 am |
1.4 |
6 am |
0.7 |
7 am |
0.4 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
1.6 |
10 am |
2.8 |
11 am |
3.6 |
12 pm |
3.9 |
1 pm |
3.8 |
2 pm |
3.4 |
3 pm |
2.7 |
4 pm |
1.9 |
5 pm |
1.2 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.5 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
1.6 |
10 pm |
3 |
11 pm |
4.1 |
Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:04 AM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:35 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 09:50 AM EDT 3.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:58 PM EDT 0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:29 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:13 PM EDT 3.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:04 AM EDT -0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:35 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 09:50 AM EDT 3.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:58 PM EDT 0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:29 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:13 PM EDT 3.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:56 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
2.7 |
1 am |
1.8 |
2 am |
0.9 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
-0 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
1.7 |
8 am |
2.5 |
9 am |
3 |
10 am |
3.1 |
11 am |
2.9 |
12 pm |
2.3 |
1 pm |
1.6 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
0.2 |
4 pm |
0 |
5 pm |
0.3 |
6 pm |
1 |
7 pm |
1.9 |
8 pm |
2.9 |
9 pm |
3.6 |
10 pm |
3.9 |
11 pm |
3.8 |
Wilmington, NC,
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