Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Porters Neck, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 8:15PM Sunday May 26, 2019 3:41 PM EDT (19:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:52AMMoonset 11:52AM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 303 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tue..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
AMZ200 303 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure off the coast of the carolinas will drift southeast tonight. A weak trough will move across the waters early Monday, then high pressure will rebuild over the area by midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Porters Neck, NC
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location: 34.29, -77.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 261904
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
241 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
Heat will return once again, as an upper ridge amplifies from
the south. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible from
time to time, but overall, expect hot and dry weather through
at least mid-week.

Near term through Monday night
As of 3 pm Sunday... Widespread temperatures in the mid 90s this
afternoon have resulted in heat indices in the upper 90s to even low
100s in a few spots. The sea breeze has remained relatively close to
the coast today, with temperatures around 90 at the beaches.

Scattered cumulus will dissipate after sunset, and consensus of
guidance shows lows will fall to the lower 70s before sunrise
Monday... Except closer to 75 at the coast. A surface trough wind
shift will enter the western CWA after 06z, and make its way to the
coast around dawn, in association with a slight weakness in the mid-
level ridging which is established over the SE conus. A quasi-
stationary frontal boundary will drop into central nc Monday,
however it looks to remain north of the area, leaving conditions
Monday very similar to today. That is, rain chances almost nil, and
temperatures reaching the upper 90s away from the coast. Lows Monday
night generally 70-75.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
As of 3 pm Sunday... Mid-level ridge lingers over the southeast
during the middle of the week. Some differing opinions as to how far
north the center of the 5h ridge. This has impacts locally as there
will be a series of shortwaves, accompanied by moisture, moving
across the top of the ridge. Favoring a stronger ridge and drier
solution through Wed night. Combination of elongated high off the
coast and strengthening piedmont trough each afternoon will keep
winds west-southwest. Sea breeze will have limited success moving
inland, allowing for highs well above climo. Away from the beach,
highs will be in the mid to upper 90s with some areas reaching 100.

Lows are also expected to run above climo, with most areas in the
low to mid 70s. Rainfall chances remain quite limited. Mid-level
subsidence and dry air along with a lack of strong forcing work to
keep most of the area dry.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
As of 3 pm Sunday... Ridging aloft starts to weaken on Thu before
collapsing on fri. Flat mid-level flow develops late next week,
moving a weak front into the region. Lack of strong mid-level push
will keep the front stalled in the vicinity, likely just west of the
forecast area. Increasing moisture will lead to an increase in
rainfall chances late in the week.

-temperatures above to well above climo continue, highs will trend a
little closer to climo for the weekend.

-rainfall chances increase Thu through Sun with the best chances
over the weekend.

Aviation 19z Sunday through Friday
As of 18z...VFR throughout the period and hot. Westerly winds across
much of the area with SE winds pinned along the coast at around 10
knots. A couple of showers are possible (mainly in nc) along the sea
breeze this afternoon. Similar day tomorrow with a near zero chance
of fog stratus.

Extended outlook... MainlyVFR into next week. Slight chance MVFR
each morning in low stratus fog, or isolated tstms.

Marine
As of 3 pm Sunday... South to southwest winds around 10
kt... Gusting to 15-20 kt at times, will continue through the
evening around high pressure centered off the carolina coast. A
wind shift to west-northwest is expected around or just after
sunrise as a weak surface trough moves off the coast, but
southwest flow will reestablish during the afternoon. A weak
gradient will result in wind speeds 10 kt or less Monday night,
and direction will become variable after midnight. Seas of 2-3
ft this evening will fall settle to around 2 feet throughout by
Monday afternoon.

Elongated surface high off the coast and piedmont trough inland will
maintain southwest flow Tuesday through Friday. Gradient tightens up
each afternoon, especially later in the week as the trough becomes
more defined and starts moving toward the coast. Speeds 10 to 15 kt
tue and Wed will climb into the 15 to 20 kt range Thu and fri. Seas
build from around 2 ft Tue to 3 to 4 ft for Thu and fri. Seas
continue to be made up of mostly a south to southwest wind wave.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Crm
short term... Iii
long term... Iii
aviation... 21


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 6 mi47 min S 15 G 16 83°F 78°F1016.2 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 10 mi33 min SSW 12 G 18 79°F 78°F1015.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 10 mi41 min 77°F3 ft
WLON7 12 mi47 min 94°F 80°F1016.1 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi33 min WSW 14 G 18 78°F 78°F1016.9 hPa
41108 42 mi41 min 78°F3 ft
41064 43 mi33 min WSW 12 G 16 79°F 78°F1016.9 hPa
41159 43 mi41 min 77°F4 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC9 mi48 minNW 9 G 1810.00 miA Few Clouds99°F64°F32%1016 hPa

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE8SE10SE12SE6SE9SE6S9S9S8S7S9S8S7S7S7SW9SW9W9W86SW10
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1 day agoNW14
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NW10NW12NW9W4CalmCalmSW3CalmE11E9E6E7E7E5NE5E8E6E10E9E11
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Tide / Current Tables for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
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Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:44 AM EDT     3.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:18 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:13 PM EDT     3.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:30 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.43.43.12.51.81.10.70.40.50.91.52.12.732.92.51.91.30.90.60.60.91.5

Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:48 AM EDT     2.77 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:51 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:24 PM EDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:09 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.72.82.62.31.81.30.90.60.50.71.21.82.32.62.62.421.51.10.70.60.71.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.