Monday, March25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carpinteria, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:15PM Monday March 25, 2019 5:58 PM PDT (00:58 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:15AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 220 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 25 2019
Tonight..W winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 12 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt after midnight. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 220 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 25 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z...or 1 pm pdt...a 1020 mb surface high was about 250 nm sw of point conception and a 1003 mb low was 200 nm W of portland.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 252023 cca
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
123 pm pdt Mon mar 25 2019

Synopsis 25 1143 am.

A weak cold front will approach the northern areas by Tuesday.

A chance of showers may stall in the northern areas before moving
south by Wednesday. Dry weather is expected through the weekend
with a warming trend.

Short term (tdy-thu) 25 113 pm.

A trough over the eastern pacific appears to have two low pressure
centers, one a few hundred miles west of the wa coast and another
one about 500 miles farther west. Neither are moving too much as
the ridge ahead of it is blocking any significant eastward
propagation. Forward progress of the associated cold front has
also slowed as models have suggested and this will delay the
arrival of rain and clouds into our forecast area. Overnight
models do show some low level moisture developing beneath a fairly
low inversion so there will likely be some stratus developing
along the coast and pushing into the lower valleys early Tuesday.

Have kept in some small rain chances in for the far northwest
portion of slo county later tonight into Tuesday but it will
likely take well into Tuesday night before any threat of rain
reaches even sb county and not until Wednesday for ventura la
counties, if at all.

Rain amounts will be very light and probably not even reach .01"
for much of ventura la counties. In slo and NRN sb counties
generally a quarter inch or less but locally around a half inch
for the extreme northwest portion of slo county.

Temperatures will be cooler tomorrow as gradients trend onshore
but still a couple degrees above normal south of pt conception as
there still should be ample sunshine at least by afternoon if not
most of the day pending the overnight stratus development. Then
cooler again Wednesday with the additional cloud cover and chances
for light precip.

The front will finally pass through the area by Wednesday evening
followed by some gusty northwest winds that likely will require
some wind advisories Thu into Thu night, especially for southern
sb county and i5 corridor region. Temps Thursday similar or
slightly cooler than Wednesday.

Long term (fri-mon) 25 116 pm.

Pretty nice stretch of days coming up starting Friday as light to
moderate offshore flow sets up over the weekend and a strong ridge
develops over the west coast. Expecting coast valley temps to warm
up well into the 70s and 80s, especially south of pt conception.

Could be some locally gusty santa ana winds both Sat Sun but at
this time not expecting advisory level speeds. A little cooling
Monday as offshore flow weakens but still well above normal.

Aviation 25 1902z.

At 18z, around klax, there is a small weak marine inversion at 300
feet.

Low confidence in the arrival of coastal clouds, otherwise
moderate confidence in the 18z tafs.VFR conditions are expected
through much of the evening, except coastal sections up north may
start to see marine clouds late evening, and coastal TAF sites
south of point conception may see coastal clouds by the overnight
hours.

Klax... Low confidence in the arrival of marine clouds, otherwise
good confidence. Mainly ifr conditions expected with coastal
clouds. There is a 20 percent chance of east winds Tue morning.

Kbur... High confidence with 18z taf.VFR conditions are expected
throughout the period. 10% chance for ifr MVFR CIGS after 10z tue.

Marine 25 937 am.

For the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast. On
Thursday into Thursday night, there is a 60 percent chance of
small craft advisory (sca) level northwest winds across the
southern two zones of the outer waters, then across all of the
outer waters by Friday into next weekend.

For the inner waters north of point sal, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast through Wednesday as small craft
advisories (sca) levels through Wednesday. There is a 40% chance
for SCA level gusts on Thursday afternoon eve and up to 50% chance
for Friday afternoon eve. Confidence is a bit lower during the
weekend.

For the inner waters south of point conception, high confidence
in current forecast through Wednesday, with conditions below sca
levels. There is a 50 percent chance of SCA level winds across
the inner waters Thursday afternoon and evening. Confidence is
lower for SCA affecting the inner waters into this weekend. There
is a 40% chance for SCA for the inner santa barbara channel each
afternoon and evening fri-sat. Lower confidence for zone (pzz655)
with reaching SCA level gusts for the coastal waters off l.A.

County.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (thu-mon)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw
aviation... Sweet
marine... Sweet
synopsis... B
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi82 min 60°F 1018.6 hPa
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 17 mi37 min 56°F4 ft
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi48 min W 12 G 16 57°F 57°F1018.9 hPa55°F
46251 44 mi58 min 57°F5 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA16 mi65 minW 910.00 miFair62°F50°F65%1018.2 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA22 mi67 minW 1610.00 miFair61°F46°F58%1018.4 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10W7W4CalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NW3CalmCalmCalmSW5W9W14W16W12W11W11W9
1 day agoW11
G19
W9NW3NE4CalmN6CalmNW3E5CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5SE6SE9SE8SW8W6SW5W8
2 days agoSE6SE7SE6CalmS5E4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3SE4SE7SW44SW8W9W5W11

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.