Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carpinteria, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:20PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 4:24 AM PST (12:24 UTC) Moonrise 9:34PMMoonset 10:05AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 325 Am Pst Wed Jan 23 2019
Today..From ventura to point mugu, ne winds 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt and wind waves 2 to 4 ft this morning. Otherwise ne winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable ne 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 15 seconds.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming W 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 14 seconds.
Thu night..W winds 10 kt becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri..Eastern portion, ne winds 15 to 20 kt becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Western portion, ne winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W around 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 16 seconds.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..N to ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ600 325 Am Pst Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 11z...or 3 am pst, a 1037 mb surface high was centered, with a ridge extending to a 1032 mb high 500 nm W of san francisco. A thermal low was located across the inner waters. Gusty winds out of the northeast will affect the inner waters south of point conception this morning, especially between ventura and malibu.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 231149
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
349 am pst Wed jan 23 2019

Synopsis 22 810 pm.

Gusty offshore winds will continue through Wednesday across many
mountain and valley areas and will be strongest during the morning
hours. Temperatures will gradually warm through the week to above
normal as conditions remain dry and sunny.

Short term (tdy-fri) 23 320 am.

Clear skies and dry air have allowed for good cooling in wind
sheltered areas. Ojai residents will wake up to freezing or near
freezing conditions. Currently there is 3 to 4 mb of offshore
flow and it is forecast to increase by another mb or so by 15z.

This will bring advisory level gusts to most of vta and la county
through the late morning before diminishing. The state is under
the anti cyclonic flow of an east pacific ridge. Hgts are near 582
dm. There is no cold air advection today so temps will rise
nicely and will end of 2 to 4 degrees above normal.

The air mass will continue warm tonight and although some vly
locations will have blo normal min temps there will be much less
near freezing conditions.

Thursday will be a very nice day with offshore flow bringing sub
advisory level gusts to the canyons in the morning. The warm
airmass, weak offshore flow and cloud free skies will keep max
temps running 2 to 4 degrees above normal.

A little inside slider moves over the area Thursday night and will
increase the east to west offshore flow Friday morning. The
offshore flow from kdag is forecast to peak at 7mb which is strong
enough to bring advisory level NE winds to the east and northeast
oriented passes and canyons as well as the areas below them. Hgts
are a little lower and this will knock a degree or two off of the
max temps.

Long term (sat-tue) 23 320 am.

The ec and GFS are in good agreement through the period. On
Saturday the ridge will begin to move over the state and by Sunday
the ridge will be centered over the state. On Monday the ridge is
knocked down by a trof moving out from the great basin. This trof
continues to move down through the state on Tuesday. The GFS which
had been advertising continued ridging on Mon and Tue switched and
now is much like the ec.

The offshore flow is similar to Friday morning and there will
probably be some low end advisory level gusts on Saturday morning.

Max temps will continue to run 2 to 4 degrees above normal under
sunny skies.

Sunday will be the warmest day of the next 7 as the ridge moves
directly over the state. The offshore flow will weaken so while
there will be some canyon winds they will not reach advisory
levels. MAX temps will end up 4 to 8 degrees above normal.

Cooler Monday as hgts fall and offshore flow relaxes due to the
approaching trof. Still MAX temps will be 2 to 5 degrees above
normal.

Tuesday looks like it could be a very interesting day as both the
ec and GFS build in a large sfc high into the great basin. Both
the ec and the GFS show almost 10 mb of offshore flow from kdag.

If this verifies dangerous wind gusts will be common across much
of la and vta counties.

Aviation 23 1149z.

At 11z, there was no marine layer at klax.

Vfr conditions are expected thru the period. There is a chance of
moderate low-level wind shear and turbulence at terminals south
of point conception thru 18z.

Klax... High confidence in the 12z TAF withVFR conds thru the pd.

Kbur... High confidence in the 12z TAF withVFR conds thru the pd.

Marine 23 345 am.

For the outer waters, fairly high confidence in the forecast.

Winds and seas will likely remain below small craft advisory
levels thru sun. There is a 30% chance of SCA level winds tonight
thru Thu evening, mainly across the northern two zones (pzz670-673).

For the inner waters north of point sal, mostly high confidence
in the forecast. Winds and seas are expected to remain below sca
levels through sun.

For the inner waters south of point conception, moderate
confidence in current forecast. SCA level winds are likely from
pt. Mugu to santa monica this morning. There is a 30% chance of
sca level winds across eastern portions of the sba channel near
short from ventura to pt mugu this morning.

There is a 20% chance of SCA level NE winds late Thu night fri
morning across eastern portions of the sba channel and the southern
inner waters from pt mugu to santa monica, and a 40% chance of
sca level winds in these areas late Fri night Sat morning.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Wind advisory in effect until noon pst today for zones
41-44>46-53-54-88-547. (see laxnpwlox).

Frost advisory in effect until 9 am pst this morning for zone
44. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until noon pst today for zone
655. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (fri-tue)
Advisory level north to northeast winds will be possible night
and morning hours Fri and Sat for wind-prone areas of ventura and
los angeles counties. These areas may have advisory-level to
possible high wind warning level wind gusts Mon night into tue.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Db
marine... Db
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi48 min N 2.9 G 4.1 48°F 1027.1 hPa
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 17 mi33 min 57°F3 ft
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi34 min WNW 3.9 G 3.9 57°F 57°F4 ft1027.1 hPa52°F
46251 44 mi84 min 59°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NE12
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N16
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N5
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NE14
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N2
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G19
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G22
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G26
NW11
G21
W11
G26

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA16 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair39°F34°F82%1026.7 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA22 mi33 minNE 710.00 miFair49°F23°F36%1026.5 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11
G23
NE8N3CalmNE4S6S7SW8W7SW8CalmCalmW6CalmNE3NW3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoN22
G34
NW13
G23
N8
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N16
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N14
G25
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N18N11N11
G19
NW9W7NW9
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W10W8W7W8CalmW4N9N11N5
G18
N9
2 days agoCalmCalmNW5SW3SE3S6SE7SE3S3W7W11W10W8W4W15
G22
W9W12W8NW12
G20
NW11N19
G27
NW19
G32
W17
G23
N22
G31

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.