Tuesday, May22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Summerland, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:01PM Tuesday May 22, 2018 12:29 PM PDT (19:29 UTC) Moonrise 1:22PMMoonset 1:59AM Illumination 55% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 836 Am Pdt Tue May 22 2018
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 20 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft.
PZZ600 836 Am Pdt Tue May 22 2018
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pdt...a 1023 mb high was located 1100 nm west of point conception and a 1005 mb low was near las vegas. A long period southerly swell will remain over the waters into Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Summerland, CA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.4, -119.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus66 klox 221730
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1030 am pdt Tue may 22 2018

Synopsis 22 921 am.

An upper level trough continues to move east of california
bringing a continued onshore flow and below normal temperatures
throughout the week. Night to morning low clouds will continue
through Friday for the coast and valley areas.

Short term (tdy-thu) 22 923 am.

***update***
a deep marine layer remains entrenched across coastal and valley
areas through to the coastal lower slopes. Low clouds were present
for all areas except across much of the sba south coast south to
the channel islands. Locally gusty southwest winds continue across
the foothills of the antelope valley near lake palmdale this
morning. Local advisory strength onshore winds are likely again
this afternoon into early evening across this area. Agree with the
previous thinking that a reverse clearing scenario south of point
conception is the most likely scenario for today but by no means a
slam dunk. Forecast is in good shape and will be issuing an update
to tweak low clouds, namely to remove low clouds sba south coast
and adjacent waters where they have failed to form.

***from previous discussion***
sort of an easy three day forecast with relentless may grey
stratus, but there will likely be a few little surprises each day
as the marine layer clouds react to slightly different forces.

The marine layer is so deep right now (4800 feet) that is
qualifies more as a moist layer rather than a marine layer. The
capping inversion is very weak. This will likely but not for
certain lead to a reverse clearing pattern with the vlys staying
clouds and the coasts clearing or at least tuning from cloudy to
partly cloudy. Not much lift but still cannot rule out a little
drizzle near the i-210 corridor. One thing is for sure... It will
be cool with lower than normal hgts and onshore flow conspiring
with the deep moist layer. MAX temps will be 6 to 8 degrees blo
normal today.

Onshore flow will increase Wednesday. There will be dry SW flow
aloft. There does not look like the inversion will lower or
strengthen so expect a similar cloudy morning and reverse clearing
afternoon.

Very strong onshore flow (9-10mb) develops Thursday ahead of an
approaching cut off low. Wind advisory level gusts will occur in
the antelope vly and the stratus will have a hard time clearing.

Max temps will continue 6 to 8 degrees blo normal.

Long term (fri-mon) 22 255 am.

The ec and the GFS are back in agreement about the handling of the
east pac cut off low. Both mdls move it to the bay area by Friday
afternoon and open it up into a trof. The trof is then forecast to
move over nv where it entrains a little energy from the a pac nw
trof and cuts off into a closed low again Saturday evening. This
low then spins around the nv ut area Sunday and Monday.

The upper low over the bay area on Friday will bring a trof to slo
and sba counties in the morning and very strong onshore flow
behind it. The lift from the trof will bring a deep marine layer
to the area and perhaps some drizzle as well. The ec hints at a
shower or two for the central coast but will have to see some run
to run consistency there before thinking about adding it to the
forecast.

Very strong onshore flow will likely bring advisory level gusts to
the antelope vly in the afternoon and then a moderate sundowner to
the sba south coast in the evening. This sundowner should be
strong enough clear the stratus away from the south coast.

The difference in this solution is that the ridge that was
forecast for the weekend and early next week is now much weaker.

The big change will be the decrease in onshore flow and to a
lesser extent the steady rise in hgts.

The night through morning stratus pattern will shrink slowly and
clearing will be earlier and more complete.

Max temps will slowly rise and could reach normal by Sunday and
then if all GOES as planned exceed normal on Monday. If downtown
la does in fact exceed its normal MAX temp next Monday it would
end a streak of 17 consecutive below normal MAX temps days.

Aviation 22 1728z.

At 17z, there is a weak marine inversion at klax based at 4200
feet. The top of the inversion was 5400 feet with a temperature
of 12 degrees celsius.

Overall, moderate confidence in coastal valley tafs and high
confidence in desert tafs. The trends in the marine inversion will
be lowering through tonight with a shallower layer that is likely
to burn off quicker Wednesday morning. Lingering MVFR CIGS for
portions of the central coast and valleys south of pt conception
this afternoon with some sct between 22-04z. MVFR CIGS with patchy
ifr likely to return after 06z for all coastal and valley tafs.

Klax... Moderate confidence in 18z taf. BknVFR conditions through
21z then sct-bkn from 21-06z. MVFR CIGS are likely to return
07-17z Wednesday with a 20% chance of ifr CIGS occurring.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in 18z taf. BknVFR conditions through
06z then MVFR CIGS are likely to return 07-17z Wednesday with a
50% chance of ifr CIGS occurring.

Marine 22 840 am.

For the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast. Winds
and seas will remain below small craft advisory (sca) levels
through Thursday. On Friday and Saturday, there is a 70% chance of
sca level northwest winds. There will be a mixed swell with
shorter periods from the NW and long periods from the s.

For the inner waters, moderate to high confidence in current
forecast. For the waters north of point sal, winds and seas will
remain below SCA levels through Thursday then there is a 60%
chance of SCA level winds each afternoon evening on Friday and
Saturday. For the waters south of point conception, winds and seas
will remain below SCA levels through Thursday. On Friday and
Saturday, there is a 50% chance of SCA level winds, especially
across western sections.

A long period southerly swell will continue to move into the
coastal waters today and continue through Thursday. Locally rough
conditions may occur at local harbor entrances, especially those
with southerly exposure.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Beach hazards statement in effect through Thursday evening
for zones 40-41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (thu-mon)
Strong rip currents and elevated surf will linger at south-facing
beaches across los angeles and ventura counties.

Public... Munroe rorke
aviation... Eb
marine... Eb
synopsis... Delerme
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 5 mi53 min SW 6 G 8 59°F 1014.3 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 17 mi29 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 55°F 58°F1014.7 hPa (+0.0)
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 18 mi59 min 59°F3 ft
46251 44 mi59 min 60°F4 ft
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 47 mi29 min WNW 14 G 18 55°F1014.1 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
Last
24hr
SW10
G13
SW10
SW5
SW7
SW4
S2
SW2
E2
SE2
NE3
NE3
NE2
N3
NE3
NE2
G5
NE4
E4
NW2
E4
E4
E4
S4
SW6
SW8
1 day
ago
SW9
SW8
SW5
SW7
SW6
G9
SW5
S1
G4
E3
E4
E4
E2
SE3
NW2
N2
E1
N3
N3
--
--
SW3
S3
S4
SW6
SW9
G12
2 days
ago
SW6
SW5
S3
S3
SE3
E4
SE3
E4
E3
NE3
N2
N2
NE3
N4
NW1
NW3
NE3
N2
NE1
SW4
SW4
SW4
SW8
SW8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA12 mi36 minSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F51°F63%1013.7 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
Last 24hr56S7S5S643S4E3NE6NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NE3CalmSE4SE6S8S8SW4
1 day agoSW7S7W9W113SW6SW7S6W3NE10NW3N3CalmNE5NW3W3CalmCalmN3Calm3S7SW8W10
2 days agoS7S4SE7S8SE6SE6SE7SE4SE7E5NE8CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmSE6SW5SW5S7

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:58 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:03 AM PDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:51 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:07 AM PDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:21 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:15 PM PDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:59 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.93.33.94.34.54.33.82.91.910.300.20.81.62.73.64.34.64.543.42.82.3

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Rincon Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:01 AM PDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:50 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:06 AM PDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:20 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:09 PM PDT     4.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:55 PM PDT     2.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.93.43.94.34.44.23.72.81.80.90.2-0.10.10.71.62.73.64.34.54.43.93.32.72.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (15,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.