Saturday, July22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Barbara, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 8:08PM Saturday July 22, 2017 1:46 PM PDT (20:46 UTC) Moonrise 5:17AMMoonset 7:39PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 801 Am Pdt Sat Jul 22 2017
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sun..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Sun night..W winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Mon night..SW winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 801 Am Pdt Sat Jul 22 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pdt...1026 mb surface high pressure was centered 550 nm miles northwest of point conception and a 1005 mb thermal low was located over southern nevada.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 221736
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1036 am pdt Sat jul 22 2017

Synopsis
For the next few days, a typical summer weather pattern will bring
night through morning low clouds and fog to the coasts and some of
the valleys. Temperatures will be near normal. There is a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoons and evenings for the
deserts and mountains on Monday and Tuesday.

Short term (tdy-mon)
influence of the high pressure aloft to the east over the plains
states will start to diminish as the high weakens and a weak
trough of low pressure near 37n and 130w will approach the north
coast of california through Sunday night. Onshore pressure
gradients should increase slightly today ahead of the trough;
however, increasing 500 mb heights and warming 950 mb
temperatures should warm the air mass today. A bit better sea
breeze should push in this afternoon. The marine layer depth
should deepen slightly tonight and into Sunday morning. Coverage
may be expanded somewhat, possibly extending into the ventura and
san fernando valleys by Sunday morning. This decision will wait
for additional data to arrive.

Model solutions are pointing toward a decent monsoonal surge on
Monday and Monday night. GFS and nam-wrf solutions keep this idea
in mind and early frames of the NCEP high-resolution WRF nmm and
arw core solutions are hinting at a similar solution. Pops will
likely be increased over the area, possibly spilling over showers
and thunderstorm activity into coastal and valley areas for
Monday and Monday night. Precipitable water values in nam-wrf and
gfs solutions increase to 1.50-2.00 inches. 850-700 mb mixing
ratios and dewpoint are impressive ranging up 8-10 g kg and near
10 degrees celsius. A warm, cloudy and humid air mass should
expected for Monday and Monday with the possibility of at least
embedded sprinkles at times.

*** from previous discussion ***
more low clouds and fog can be expected for the coast and some
adjacent vlys Sun night into Mon morning, otherwise partly cloudy
skies can be expected across the region for the most part during
the period.

Hgts continue to lower and there will be more clouds so Monday's
temps will continue to cool and will be 2 to 5 degrees blo
normal.

Long term (tue-fri)
southwest flow returns on Tuesday. The GFS has just enough
residual moisture to warrant a slight chc of tstms in the
afternoon but mostly likely it will be dry. Hgts will be the
lowest of the week and Tuesday should be the coolest day of the
week. There will probably be enough mid level clouds as well as
possible low level mixing to eliminate the low clouds for the
morning.

The upper high to the east of the area then grows and reasserts
itself into the area. The inversion will strengthen and the night
through morning low cloud patter will resume but only for the
coasts. MAX temps will trend higher each day and it looks like
next weekend could be a warm one.

Aviation 22 1645z...

at 1645z, the marine inversion at klax was based around 1600 feet.

The top of the inversion was 3800 feet with a temperature of 23
degrees celsius.

Overall, moderate confidence in 18z TAF package. High confidence
in return of stratus fog to all coastal sites, but only moderate
confidence in timing.

Klax... Moderate confidence in 18z taf. Arrival of MVFR CIGS could
be + - 2 hours of current 09z forecast.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in 18z taf. There is a 20% chance of
ifr CIGS developing 10z-16z.

Marine 22 800 am...

for the outer waters, good confidence in current forecast. Small
craft advisory (sca) level winds will continue into this afternoon
and evening, before diminishing. For Sunday through Wednesday,
winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the inner waters, good confidence in current forecast. Winds
and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels through
Wednesday.

Beaches 22 930 am...

significant surf may impact southern california beaches beginning
late next week. This is due to a developing tropical cyclone off
the mexican coast that could produce 25 to 35 foot swells off baja
california. A moderately long period swell may impact the southern
california coastline as early as next Friday and build into next
weekend.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Beach hazards statement in effect through Sunday evening for
zones 40-41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening
for zones 670-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Sunday for zone
673. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (mon-fri)
a monsoonal flow pattern Monday will bring a slight chance of
thunderstorm to the mountains and deserts on Monday and Tuesday.

There is a possibility that shower activity could spill over into
the valley areas.

Public... Hall rorke
aviation... Thompson
marine... Thompson
beaches... Thompson
synopsis... Sweet
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 2 mi71 min SW 8.9 G 9.9 65°F 1014.1 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 12 mi37 min W 9.7 G 12 63°F 66°F1014.5 hPa59°F
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 22 mi47 min 67°F3 ft
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 41 mi37 min NW 16 G 19 57°F 58°F1014 hPa56°F
46251 45 mi56 min 66°F3 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA6 mi54 minVar 510.00 miA Few Clouds72°F62°F71%1013.6 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA24 mi52 minWNW 610.00 miFair81°F55°F42%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW8W8W8W8CalmSE5SE5E6E6E4E4E4E3NE4CalmCalmCalmSE3S3S7S6S75
1 day agoW9SW6W10W8W3S5SE5SE4E7E5E3E3E5E4NE4NE3CalmCalmSE3S5S8SE7SW6S6
2 days agoW8W9SW7SW8W6SW4S4SE4E4E5E6E5NE4E3CalmW3CalmCalmSE3SE7S6S64SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:48 AM PDT     -1.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:16 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:02 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:24 AM PDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM PDT     1.99 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:38 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:26 PM PDT     6.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.41.60.1-0.9-1.1-0.60.41.62.83.74.14.13.62.92.322.2345.36.36.96.86.1

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:45 AM PDT     -1.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:15 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:13 AM PDT     4.35 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:09 PM PDT     1.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:37 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:06 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:25 PM PDT     7.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.21.3-0.2-1.2-1.4-0.80.31.62.93.94.34.23.62.82.11.71.92.73.95.26.36.96.96

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.