Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Barbara, CA

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 8:08PM Sunday July 22, 2018 5:45 AM PDT (12:45 UTC) Moonrise 4:07PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 244 Am Pdt Sun Jul 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through late tonight...
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..Western portion, W winds 20 to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds 15 to 20 kt becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 6 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 6 seconds.
Mon night..Western portion, nw winds 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds around 10 kt becoming variable 10 kt or less after midnight. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 7 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 7 seconds.
Tue night..Western portion, nw winds 20 to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds around 10 kt becoming variable 10 kt or less after midnight. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 7 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft.
PZZ600 244 Am Pdt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 09z...or 2 am pdt, a 1034 mb high pressure center was located about 700 nm west of portland oregon and a 1010 mb thermal low was located along the california - arizona border.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 221210
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
510 am pdt Sun jul 22 2018

Aviation discussion updated...

Synopsis 21 630 pm.

Record breaking heat is possible during the early to middle part
of next week in response to a strong ridge of high pressure
building over the desert southwest.

Short term (tdy-tue) 22 303 am.

The marine layer is 900 feet deep and is capped by a strong and
strengthening inversion. Low clouds have formed nicely over the
central coast but there are only a few patches of clouds south of
pt conception. The low cloud development has been stymied by some
cirrus and weak offshore flow. There will be a little more stratus
formation now that the cirrus is moving out there will be a little
more stratus formation but still think skies will be on the
clearer side of things. Hgts bump up to 594 dm today as the upper
level begins its march to the west. The higher hgts and weaker
onshore flow will allow for decent 3 to 6 degree bump up in temps
everywhere except the central coast where the marine layer will
still hold sway.

Just enough residual monsoonal moisture over the area to warrant a
slight chc of a shower or thunderstorm across the higher peaks of
the la and vta mtns in the afternoon.

The east pac sfc high strengthens tonight and this will increase
the NW to SE sfc flow over sba county. The mdl have been
consistently increasing the forecast smx-sba gradient. It seems
likely that there will be advisory level winds across the sba
south coast this evening and overnight west of goleta. These
southerly winds will keep many overnight lows across the sba south
coast well above normal.

The upper high will move over nm az on Monday and Tuesday. Hgts
will rise to 595 dm Mon and 597 dm tue. The W to E gradients weak
but more importantly the N to S grads turn offshore in the
morning (unlike the last heat wave these gradients do return to
onshore in the afternoon) this will really drive up the temps. Max
temps will generally be 5 to 10 degrees above normal on Monday and
then 10 to 15 degrees above normal on Tuesday.

Another sundown will take place on Monday night and it will be a
little stronger than tonight's. The offshore flow might even
bring advisory level winds to the interstate 5 corridor.

The offshore flow will keep the overnight lows well above normal.

The combination of much above normal daytime highs and overnight
lows (which will give people no respite from the heat) will result
in dangerous heat conditions and excessive heat warnings will go
into effect Monday morning for much of the area. The warm up will
hold off for a day across the central coast and a heat watch is in
effect for that area starting Tuesday.

Hot and dry conditions developing will bring elevated fire
weather concerns the next several days. Critical fire weather
conditions are possible for areas with sundowner winds. A fire
weather watch is in effect from late Tuesday afternoon through
Thursday morning.

Long term (wed-sat) 22 306 am.

Potential for record breaking heat continues into the long term
with excessive heat watches warnings continuing through Thursday
(again see npwlox for the latest). Both the GFS and the ec
forecast the upper high to gradually break down while moving
directly over socal Wednesday and Thursday before shifting
northeast into the interior Friday and sat. This will support
continued hot conditions for interior areas through Thursday before
gradual cooling commences heading into next weekend. Closer to
the surface, gusty and possibly advisory level sundowner winds may
continue for western portions of the sba south coast into Wednesday
or Thursday evening with breezy but sub-advisory winds also possibly
continuing in the la and vta mountains near the i-5 corridor. Once
these winds relax, models are indicating the development of a
moderate eddy circulation by Thursday or Friday which could bring
significant cooling and moistening of the lower atmosphere to the
coastal plain, especially south of point conception. It may also
mark the return of more widespread night to morning low clouds to
these areas.

Monsoon flow will once again become possible starting Friday and
esp Saturday.

Aviation 22 1208z.

At 0816z at klax... The inversion was near 1000 feet. The top of
the inversion was around 1600 feet with a temperature of about 24
degrees celsius.

Overall... Low to moderate confidence in the coastal tafs and high
confidence elsewhere. Coastal low clouds are slow to develop this
morning in part due to a persistent higher cloud deck. Some
coastal locations have had occasional lapses into lifr ifr MVFR
cigs overnight and most should have a period of CIGS from shortly
prior to daybreak to up to a few hours afterwards. These conditions
are not expected to last for long, though that higher cloud deck
could slow dissipation. Otherwise and elsewhereVFR conditions
will prevail.

Klax... Low to moderate confidence in the current taf. Coastal
low clouds are slow to develop this morning in part due to a
persistent higher cloud deck. However there will be a period of
ifr MVFR CIGS from near daybreak to up to a few hours afterwards.

These conditions are not expected to last for long, though that
higher cloud deck could slow dissipation. OtherwiseVFR conditions
will prevail. East winds greater than 8 knots are not expected
during the forecast period.

Kbur... High confidence in the current taf.VFR conditions will
prevail throughout the forecast period.

Marine 22 307 am.

For the outer waters... West to northwest winds will increase to
small craft advisory (sca) level by this afternoon across the
central and southern outer waters. The elevated winds will
continue through at least late Tuesday and may increase to gales
at times. There is a forty percent chance of the winds in the
northern outer waters reaching SCA level on Monday.

For the inner waters north of point conception... SCA conditions
are not expected through Monday morning then become more likely
during the afternoon and evening hours of Monday through Thursday.

For the inner waters south of point conception... SCA level winds
will develop this afternoon through late tonight across the santa
barbara channel then have a forty percent chance of developing each
afternoon and evening through Wednesday. There is a 30 percent
chance of similar conditions across the nearshore waters south of
point mugu.

Beaches 22 215 am.

A long-period southerly swell will be moving through the coastal waters
this weekend producing strong rip currents and high surf conditions at
southern california beaches Monday through Wednesday

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Excessive heat watch in effect from Tuesday morning through
Thursday evening for zones 34>38-51. (see laxnpwlox).

Excessive heat warning in effect from 10 am Monday to 8 pm
pdt Thursday for zones 39>41-44>46-52>54-59-88-547. (see laxnpwlox).

High surf advisory in effect from 8 am Monday to 9 pm pdt
Wednesday for zones 40-41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Fire weather watch in effect from Tuesday afternoon through
Thursday morning for zones 239-252. (see laxrfwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 3
am pdt Monday for zone 650. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 3
am pdt Wednesday for zones 673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (tue-sat)
An extended heat wave is expected Monday through at least
Thursday of next week, especially for inland areas. Widespread
elevated fire weather conditions are expected to develop during
this time. Elevated to high surf is likely Monday through
Wednesday, focused across south facing beaches.

Public... Rorke munroe rorke
aviation... Kj
marine... Kj
beaches... Kj
synopsis... Munroe
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 2 mi70 min ENE 6 G 8 65°F 1016.5 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 12 mi36 min N 5.8 G 7.8 68°F 69°F1016.6 hPa67°F
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 22 mi25 min 68°F3 ft
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 41 mi36 min WNW 18 G 21 1016.3 hPa
46251 45 mi46 min 66°F3 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA6 mi53 minENE 310.00 miFair66°F62°F87%1016.1 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA24 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair57°F53°F88%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW4SW6W5CalmSW7SW5W9W10SW10W12W12W13
G19
W11W11CalmE4E5E5E4NE5NE4CalmNE3
1 day ago--------------S7W86W8W10W10W12W12
G17
W9W9W7W6W7W6W6CalmSW5
2 days agoCalmCalmSE4SE6S5S7S5S7SW56W8W7W9W8W6W5SW4Calm------------

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
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Sun -- 01:42 AM PDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:08 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:02 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:01 AM PDT     3.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:35 PM PDT     2.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:06 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:10 PM PDT     5.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.80.711.62.32.93.33.53.332.72.42.42.63.244.75.35.65.54.93.92.8

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:33 AM PDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:07 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:50 AM PDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:31 PM PDT     2.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:05 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:06 PM PDT     5.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:06 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.70.711.62.32.93.33.43.22.92.62.32.32.63.23.94.75.35.55.34.73.72.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.