Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Barbara, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 8:03PM Sunday May 26, 2019 3:05 PM PDT (22:05 UTC) Moonrise 1:44AMMoonset 12:46PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 212 Pm Pdt Sun May 26 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..W to nw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W to nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 9 seconds.
Mon night..Western portion, W to nw winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds 15 to 20 kt becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 9 seconds.
Tue..N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. S swell 2 ft.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ600 212 Pm Pdt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 21z, or 2 pm pdt, a 997 mb low was near bishop with a cold front extending south to southwest from the low.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 262154
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
254 pm pdt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis 26 1245 pm.

There will be scattered showers and locally gusty wind today
with isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms and a chance of
mountain snow. Conditions will be generally warmer and drier this
week though with patchy overnight and morning coastal fog most
days and a slight chance of mountain showers midweek.

Short term (tdy-wed) 26 224 pm.

Rainfall amounts have been on the light side as expected for this
morning and early this afternoon. Latest NWS doppler radar
indicated showers increasing early this afternoon across the
santa barbara south coast and adjacent foothills as well as the
central coast. A few locations were receiving brief heavy
downpours including an automated rain gage in the santa ynez
foothills with 0.16" in 4 minutes just before 1 pm. Showers will
become scattered across inland areas S of santa barbara with
isolated showers expected now for the la and ventura county
coastal areas.

The upper low has been slower to move south, with the center of
the upper low located over sacramento. The upper low is expected
to continue to push SE towards the interior areas from san luis
obispo to l.A. County by early this evening. With 500 mb temps
expected to peak around -23 to -25 degrees celsius along the
inland areas from slo to la counties late this afternoon and early
evening, this should be cold enough to help destabilize the
atmosphere. The best instability will be across the eastern
portions of the forecast area, especially ventura and western
l.A. County mtns this afternoon and evening. If thunderstorms do
develop,there will be brief heavy downpours and small hail will
be possible as well. Due to the strong wnw to ese steering winds
aloft, not anticipating any flash flooding issues through this
evening across the mountains.

For this evening, showers should begin to dissipate across
coastal areas N of point conception, with scattered showers
continuing this evening, while isolated showers are expected
across most coastal areas with scattered showers across inland
areas of los angeles and ventura counties. Some showers are
expected to continue across the north facing slopes of ventura
county and eastern portions of the san gabriel mtns past midnight.

Overall rainfall totals are expected to remain generally between
0.10 to 0.25 inch for the coast and vlys, except up to 0.50 inch
in some foothill areas and a few locations could receive near
1.00 inch with any thunderstorms that develop. Snow levels will
fall to 6000 to 6500 feet, then drop further to 4500 to 5500 feet
tonight, with accumulating snow expected over a wide area above
5000 to 5500 feet. Up to 1 inch of snow is possible form 5000 to
6000 feet, with about 2 to 4 inches between 6000 and 6500 feet,
and about 3 to 6 inches with local higher amounts above 6500 feet.

Impacts are not likely for the i-5 corridor through Monday
morning.

Gusty SW winds have been slow to develop across the antelope
valley and la vtu county mountains this afternoon, but should
eventually get going and continue through this evening. So, will
continue to with the wind advisory for the antelope valley from
through 9 pm this evening. Expect gusty SW winds 20 to 30 mph
with gusts to 45 mph. Local gust to 50 mph around lake palmdale
and adjacent mountains. Since there is a winter weather advisory
in effect for the l.A. And ventura county mountains no wind
advisory will be issued for these areas.

The upper low will eject out towards the four corners region
on Monday, leaving dry NW flow aloft and weaker onshore flow
across the lower levels. Being a little pessimistic with cloud
wording on Monday with partly cloudy skies, but could be mostly
sunny by the afternoon across coast and valleys, with some
lingering clouds across the mountains and antelope valley Monday.

By Tuesday, an upper level disturbance within the northerly flow
will move quickly through the area which should at the least bring
some afternoon stratocu to the mountains. The best chance for
storms to fire up will be to the north across hanford NWS area.

With the upper flow from the north, there is the scenario for some
showers over the san joaquin valley to move into the area late
Tuesday afternoon, but confidence is not high to justify showers
at this time, but will continue to monitor. Both the NAM and gfs
are indicating a slight chance of thunderstorms across interior
sections. Another shortwave pushes through and enough cooling
aloft to initiate possible thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and
early evening across interior sections. If isolated thunderstorms
do initiate they could drift slowly to the south. Not much in the
way of mid level moisture to work with, but most unstable CAPE is
fairly impressive to around 700 j kg across the mountains.

As far as temperatures, there will be some widespread warming 3-8
degrees over the forecast area on memorial day, but high temps
will remain 5-8 degrees below normal for this time of year. Each
day will bring a few degrees of additional warming to around
normal by Wednesday for most areas. Although onshore flow will be
a bit weaker Monday through Wednesday, onshore will continue to
bring night through morning low clouds to coast and some coastal
valleys through the period.

Long term (thu-sun) 26 248 pm.

The GFS and the ec models continue to agree on large scale
features for the upper level pattern with a broad upper trough
remaining across the west. This will bring continued near normal
or slightly cooler than normal high temperatures. At the lower
levels, a persistent onshore pattern will continue allowing for
night through morning low clouds and patchy fog to continue across
most coast and coastal valleys.

Aviation 26 1719z.

At 1700z, there was no marine inversion at klax. However, there
was a moist layer up to 8000 feet.

Overall, low to moderate confidence in 18z TAF package. Bkn-ovc
conditions will persist through this evening. Confidence in
timing of flight category changes fromVFR to MVFR is low as cigs
will likely fluctuate chaotically. There will be the chance of
some light showers through this evening. For tonight, moderately
confident in some MVFR conditions north of point conception and
vfr conditions south of point conception.

Klax..Low to moderate confidence in 18z taf. Low confidence in cig
forecast through this evening as there is a 50 50 chance of cigs
remaining atVFR or MVFR levels with the possibilty of light
showers. For tonight, moderate confidence inVFR conditions with
a 20% chance of MVFR CIGS developing.

Kbur... Low to moderate confidence in 18z taf. Low confidence in cig
forecast through this evening as there is a 50 50 chance of cigs
remaining atVFR or MVFR levels with the possibilty of light
showers. For tonight, moderate confidence inVFR conditions with
a 20% chance of MVFR CIGS developing.

Marine 26 107 pm.

For the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast.

Northwest winds will increase to small craft advisory (sca) levels
today and will remain at SCA levels through Friday with the
occasional slight lull during the overnight hours.

For the inner waters north of point sal, moderate confidence in
current forecast. There is a 70% chance of SCA level winds this
afternoon and evening then a 50% chance of SCA level winds each
afternoon Monday and Tuesday. For Wednesday through Friday, winds
and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the inner waters south of point conception, moderate
confidence in current forecast. There is a 70% chance of sca
level winds this afternoon and evening and a 50% chance of sca
level winds Monday afternoon and evening. For Tuesday through
Friday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Winter weather advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Monday for
zones 53-54. (see laxwswlox).

Wind advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening for zone
59. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening
for zone 645. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Monday for
zones 650-655-670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Kaplan
aviation... Rat
marine... Rat
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 2 mi89 min SW 11 G 13 58°F 1014.2 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 12 mi25 min W 18 G 21 55°F 56°F1014.8 hPa
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 41 mi85 min 5 ft
46251 45 mi35 min 57°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA6 mi72 minW 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy62°F52°F70%1014 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA24 mi70 minSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy59°F51°F77%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7SE9SW6W6W7S3SE4E6NE5NE7N3CalmNE3CalmNE3CalmW3CalmW6W4W12W9W10W12
1 day agoW14W14W11W7SE4SE4CalmSE5CalmE4E5E4E4E6E6CalmSE3SE6SE10SE7SE9SE9SE9SE7
2 days agoS6S7SE9SE8SE7E10SE8E7E5SE3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalm3SW6SW6SW9W10W11W13

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.