Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Isla Vista, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 8:17PM Monday June 26, 2017 10:20 AM PDT (17:20 UTC) Moonrise 8:45AMMoonset 10:42PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 907 Am Pdt Mon Jun 26 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late Tuesday night...
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt becoming 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 6 seconds.
Tonight..Western portion...w winds 15 to 25 kt. Eastern portion... W winds 15 to 25 kt becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 6 seconds.
Tue..W winds 5 to 15 kt becoming 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 6 seconds. Areas of dense fog with vsby 1 nm or less in the morning.
Tue night..W winds 15 to 25 kt...becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 907 Am Pdt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pdt...a 1032 mb high pressure center was located 1000 nm west of seattle washing while a 1008 mb thermal low was centered over southeast california. The high will push closer to the coast through Wednesday but will weaken along the way.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Isla Vista, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.85     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 261647
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
947 am pdt Mon jun 26 2017

Updated fire weather discussion...

Synopsis
An upper level trough off the california coast will weaken high
pressure aloft starting this afternoon and bring a cooling trend
as onshore flow strengthens. One more day of very warm
temperatures expected inland before cooling down to more normal
highs for this time of year by midweek. Expect low clouds and fog
to redevelop after today and continue through the week.

Short term (tdy-wed)
given yesterday's unexpected major heat up in the la valleys due
to the west northwest winds and that we're still expecting at
least some westerly flow again today it looks like those same
areas are in for a similar though likely less intense warm up
today. Light sundowners expected again this evening in SRN sb
county that will drive the temps up there as well. Could see some
temps near 90 close to the beach as the winds start kicking up. So
overall a pretty warm day on tap.

Tonight low clouds will again struggle to form south of pt
conception but we should see a return of a more solid stratus
layer along the central coast.

***from previous discussion***
tue and Wed the upper ridge lingers over the region, but it
weakens as an upper trough moves across much of the west coast
both days. The combination of stronger onshore gradients, cooling
boundary layer temps and a deeper marine layer, will bring
widespread cooling across the entire forecast area with best
cooling across la vtu counties. High temps will be just above
normal for this time of year, with the antelope valley finally
going below 100 after a number of days well into triple digit
heat. Valleys will be in the 80s for the most part, with a few
lower 90s across warmest locations. Wednesday should be the
coolest day of the week with high temps right where they should be
for most areas. Night through morning low clouds will continue and
likely reach the coastal valleys from Tue night through much of
the week.

Long term (thu-sun)
looking fairly uneventful through the long term. Both the GFS and
ecmwf are in good agreement with large scale features through the
long term period. Overall, there will be weak troughing across
much of california with a building ridge off to the sw. It looks
like it will have enough strength to throw a 591 dm high over
socal briefly Friday before it weakens and NW flow aloft persists
into the weekend. So expect similar conditions Thursday from
Wednesday with minor temperature fluctuations, then a brief modest
warming for Friday, with a modest cooling trend into the weekend.

Overall, not much change. Expect night through morning low clouds
to continue across coast and likely some coastal valleys into late
this week and weekend.

Aviation 26 12z.

At 08z at klax... The inversion was around 1050 feet. The top of
the inversion was around 2150 feet with a temperature of near 33
degrees celsius.

Overall... Moderate confidence in the current coastal tafs and
high confidence in the interior tafs. Patchy low clouds and fog
will develop along the coast 11z-16z... Primarily along the
central coast. There is a twenty percent chance of mfr conditions
developing at some locations near daybreak. Any reduced
conditions will improve toVFR by 18z. Otherwise and elsewhereVFR
conditions will prevail.

Klax... Moderate confidence in the current tafs. Patchy low clouds
and fog will develop 11z-16z. There is a less than ten percent
chance of mfr conditions developing near daybreak. Any reduced
conditions will improve toVFR by 17z. OtherwiseVFR conditions
will prevail. No east winds greater than seven knots are expected
during the forecast period.

Kbur... High confidence in the current tafs.VFR conditions will
prevail throughout the period.

Marine 26 900 am.

High confidence in small craft advisory (sca) conditions from the
central coast to san nicolas island through at least Thursday.

The strongest winds of the period will be today and tonight.

Moderate confidence in low end scy conditions over the santa
barbara channel and santa monica basin through tonight... With
similar but slightly weaker winds on Tuesday. The stronger winds
will generally be over the western portions of these areas, but
the winds should be fairly widespread this afternoon and evening.

There will be lulls each morning within 10 miles from the coast,
but the scy will extend through those lulls to highlight the
extended period of gusty afternoon and night winds.

Two distinct wave types will be observable over the waters, with a
long period (13-15 seconds) south to southwest swell through
Tuesday, and a short period (6-8 second) west swell mixing well
with any wind waves. The buoys will likely highlight the long
period swell, but the short period swell will be most noticeable
and will be highlighted in the forecast. By the middle to end of
the week, the short- period west swell will dominate as the south
swell fades.

Fire weather 26 930 am.

Relative humidity readings are noticeably lower this morning
across much of the area with a broad area of values of 15 percent
or lower across a good portion of the los angeles county
mountains, the antelope valley and even westward over a portion of
the ventura county mountains. West and southwest winds with this
very dry area are currently gusting between 20 and 30 mph and are
expected to increase later this afternoon and be fairly similar to
yesterday's value as pressure gradients are very similar to
yesterday, the difference today being the drier air that's now in
place. Red flag conditions are still possible this afternoon and
early this evening across the los angeles county mountains, the
antelope valley, but to a lesser extent in the santa clarita
valley. The continued hot temperatures will continue to bring an
enhanced threat of plume- influenced fires. Winds are expected to
subside later this evening with enough increase in moisture to
reduce the threat of fire weather conditions. Fire weather
conditions are expected to be improved on Tuesday, although an
elevated threat is expected to remain over mainly the los angeles
county mountains.

Another area to monitor the next couple of evenings is across
western portions of the santa yznez range and the south coast from
mainly from gaviota to goleta, with gusts of 30 to 40 mph this
evening and Tuesday evening. In addition, localized humidities
falling to between 15 and 25 percent can be expected in the santa
ynez mountains and adjacent canyons where the moderate downslope
sundowner winds develop.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Heat advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening for zones
53-54-88-547. (see laxnpwlox).

Red flag warning in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening for
zones 254-259-288. (see laxrfwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Wednesday for
zones 645-650-670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 3
am pdt Tuesday for zone 655. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
no significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw kaplan
aviation... Kj
marine... Kittell
fire... Jackson
synopsis... Kaplan
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 8 mi50 min ESE 4.1 G 7 65°F 1013.5 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 10 mi40 min SW 14 G 16 61°F 60°F1013.8 hPa58°F
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 27 mi50 min 62°F3 ft
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 35 mi40 min NW 23 G 29 57°F 59°F1014 hPa56°F
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 44 mi80 min N 26 G 30 58°F 1015.4 hPa (+0.9)
46251 47 mi59 min 66°F4 ft
46257 49 mi50 min 56°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA3 mi27 minSSE 910.00 miFair70°F61°F73%1013.1 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA19 mi45 minWSW 410.00 miFair63°F53°F73%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SW5W8W11W8S5S5S6SE6SE4E4E6SE3SE5CalmE4CalmN3CalmN3CalmCalmSE5SE9
1 day agoS7S4W8W7SE6SE8SE8S7SE6SE7SE6SE5E6CalmCalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S6S6
2 days agoW5W8W9SW9W10W11W13
G16
W14W12W8W5CalmSE7SE5E6SE6E5CalmSE3CalmNE4S8N54

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
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Mon -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:23 AM PDT     -1.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:44 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:12 PM PDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:51 PM PDT     2.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:41 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.45.54.12.40.8-0.4-1.1-1-0.30.723.13.94.24.13.632.52.42.73.34.25.15.8

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:50 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:39 AM PDT     -1.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:46 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:19 PM PDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:14 PM PDT     1.96 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:44 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.35.64.32.71-0.3-1.1-1.2-0.70.31.62.93.84.24.13.62.92.322.12.73.64.65.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.