Sunday, June24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Harkers Island, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:26PM Sunday June 24, 2018 1:04 AM EDT (05:04 UTC) Moonrise 4:17PMMoonset 2:33AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1017 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday morning...
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. Showers and tstms likely.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harkers Island, NC
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location: 34.4, -76.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 240212
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1012 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
An inland trough offshore high pattern will prevail over the
area into Sunday. A cold front will approach from the northwest
Sunday and move through Monday into Monday night. High pressure
will build into the area Tuesday and gradually move offshore
Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 1015 pm Saturday... Extended chance pops over the northeast
for a couple more hours as convection moves east. No other
changes made. Warm and muggy again with SW winds keeping min
temps mid 70s inland to near 80 coast.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
As of 400 pm Saturday... Little change in surface pattern
expected with front trying to push into lee trough west and
north of area, but models indicate some ridging aloft with only
sheared shortwave energy. Thus less convective development
expected even with capes AOA 3000. Generally went with MOS blend
pops with 20% for afternoon.

With ridging aloft and increasing low level thicknesses, max
temps a few degrees warmer and higher dew points will result in
heat indices 105-109 east of coastal plains. Heat advisory
issued for that area for late morning until early evening.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
As of 420 am Saturday... Hot and humid SW flow is expected to
continue into Monday ahead of a moderately strong cold front
which is forecast to move into eastern nc Monday, pushing south
of the region Monday night. High pressure with slightly cooler
and less humid conditions will then build into the area from the
north Tuesday and Wed then continue to influence the weather
while moving offshore Thursday into next weekend with temps near
normal. Broad troughing aloft will keep the threat for
convection in the forecast Sunday. The cold front will then
bring another chance for precipitation from Sunday night into
Monday evening, then much lower but not non zero chances for
mainly isolated diurnally driven showers and storms are expected
for Tuesday and Wednesday as high pressure builds into the area
and inhibits development. The period from Thursday into next
weekend will feature mainly diurnally driven convection as
southerly flow returns heat and humidity back into the area.

Sunday through Monday... Unsettled muggy weather is expected
during this period. Broad upper troughing is expected to persist
over the area Sunday aiding lift of hot humid airmass which
will be in place across the carolinas leading to scattered
showers and thunderstorms. The cold front will continue the
threat for showers and storms Mon mon evening.

Tue and wed... The front is forecast to push south of the region
tue as high pressure builds over the area from the north into
wed. As is typical for this time of year, there will be enough
residual moisture and instability behind the front to warrant
low chance pops each day for a few mainly diurnally driven
showers or storms. Temps will be closer to normal values in the
low to mid 80s.

Thursday into next weekend... The high is forecast to continue to
influence the weather over the area as it moves offshore and
produces a southerly flow of warmer and more humid air across
eastern nc. This will lead to scattered diurnally driven showers
and storms each day. High temps will warm into the lower 90s.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through Sun ...

as of 715 pm Saturday...VFR through the TAF period will be the
general rule, except for isolated convection Sunday afternoon.

Boundary layer winds will remain high enough to prevent fog
formation.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday ...

as of 420 am Saturday...VFR conditions are expected through
most of the long term, with the exception of occasional subVFR
conditions possible Sunday and Monday in scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Only isolated afternoon early evening showers and
thunderstorms are expected Tue and Wed as high pressure builds
over the area.

Marine
Short term through Sunday ...

as of 1015 pm Saturday... No change to zones. Obs show southwest
winds across the area, with gusts around 25 kts outer waters
and pamlico sound. Latest guidance supports previous forecast
with stronger winds persisting overnight, diminishing slightly
during morning but then increasing again Sunday afternoon into
Sunday night.

Seas have built to 3-5 feet and will continue through Sunday.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday ...

as of 420 am Saturday... Small craft advisory conditions will
continue across the waters through Sunday night with prefrontal
sw flow of 20-25 kt. Winds Monday shift to NE and diminish to 10
to 15 kt behind the front continuing into Tue as high pressure
builds over the waters from the north. The flow is forecast to
veer to SE 10-15 kt wed. Seas build to 4 to 7 ft into Sun night,
subsiding to 3 to 5 ft Mon and 2 to 4 ft Tue and wed.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Heat advisory from 11 am to 8 pm edt Sunday for ncz045>047-080-
081-092>095-098-103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Monday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Monday for amz152-154-156-
158.

Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt Sunday for amz150.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm hsa
short term... Jbm
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme eh hsa ms
marine... Jme jbm hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 16 mi65 min SSW 15 G 18 1013.3 hPa (+0.8)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi53 min SSW 9.9 G 16 82°F 85°F1013.2 hPa
41159 22 mi35 min 82°F5 ft
41063 44 mi125 min SW 19 G 25 82°F 1013.2 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N6
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi67 minSW 1310.00 miFair82°F79°F90%1012.9 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW15
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SW14SW14SW11SW12SW13SW12SW13SW17SW14SW17
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1 day agoNE4E6E4CalmSE3SE3SE3S7SW8SW8SW8SW11SW12SW12S14S14S14S15
G21
S16S12S10SW13SW13SW13
2 days agoCalmSE5S5SW8SW7SW7SW8W9SW11SW10SW11SW12SW13SW12SW14SW13SW13SW12W5SW11SW10SW13SW11Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout Bight, North Carolina
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Cape Lookout Bight
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:02 AM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:08 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:40 PM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.511.92.73.33.53.32.71.80.90.2-00.10.81.9344.64.74.33.42.31.40.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout (ocean), North Carolina
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Cape Lookout (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:58 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:35 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.511.72.42.832.82.21.40.70.1-00.20.81.72.73.53.943.62.81.91.10.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.