Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:51AMSunset 8:05PM Friday May 24, 2019 4:02 PM PDT (23:02 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:57AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 219 Pm Pdt Fri May 24 2019
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 ft at 10 seconds. Showers likely.
Sun night..Western portion, nw winds 15 to 20 kt. Eastern portion, sw winds 20 to 25 kt becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening.
Mon..Western portion, nw winds 15 to 20 kt becoming 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, nw winds around 10 kt becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Mon night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft dominant period 10 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 219 Pm Pdt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 21z, or 2 pm pdt, a 1034 mb high was located 600 nm west of portland. A 1009 mb low was centered near yuma.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 242046
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
146 pm pdt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis 24 124 pm.

Mostly sunny skies and warmer temperatures are expected today
with clouds developing over the mountains. A low pressure system
approaches the region on Saturday bringing cooler temperatures
and increasing clouds. There will be a chance of rain Saturday
night into Sunday, with a warming and drying trend early next
week.

Short term (tdy-mon) 24 146 pm.

A weak high pressure ridge and some light offshore flow are
responsible for today's warmup and sunshine, though there are
some cumulus buildups in the mountains and there could still be a
few showers there through the late afternoon. We're expecting this
to be a brief reprieve in the cool cloudy damp conditions we've
been experiencing much of this month as another low pressure
system drops south along the coast this weekend. For Saturday
rapidly increasing onshore flow (both west east and south north)
and a strengthening eddy circulation will bring a return of a
deep marine layer later tonight or Saturday morning. Some areas
may start out clear early in the morning but clouds are expected
to fill in all coast valley locations within a few hours of
sunrise with some drizzle possible especially near the foothills.

Given the big increase in onshore flow it's questionable whether
any clearing will occur, but if it does it will be well into the
afternoon. This will drop highs back down into the low to mid 60s
in most areas.

At higher elevations, especially in the ventura county mountains
models have been consistent showing increasing instability during
the afternoon which will make conditions ripe for showers and
possible thunderstorms. The steering flow is generally parallel to
the ridges so any showers storms that do form should remain over
the mountains and possibly the extreme western portion of the
antelope valley.

The upper low will drop to around bakersfield Sunday afternoon and
into southern nevada Sunday night. Although the trajectory is
mostly over land, there is ample pre-existing low level moisture
to interact with both the topographic and synoptic lifting forces
to generate showers over most of the area by Sunday morning and
continuing off and on most of the day. Not expecting a lot of
precip but enough to keep it pretty damp with amounts generally
a quarter inch or less but as much as a half inch to an inch in
upslope areas, especially eastern la county where the best
orographic lift will occur. Cold air aloft will destabilize the
air mass in the afternoon and lead to a threat of thunderstorms
over the northern interior.

Conditions expected to dry out Sunday night into Monday with a
slight warming trend Monday.

Long term (tue-fri) 24 143 pm.

A pretty quiet weather pattern next week with temps possibly even
getting close to normal for this time of year by mid week. Doesn't
look quite as warm as it once did but still within a few degrees
of normal in most areas. Models do show a weak trough moving into
northern california Wednesday into Thursday and lingering into
Friday but with minimal impacts locally. Gradients will likely
trend onshore which will lead to some coastal cooling and probably
a return of the marine layer at some point but otherwise dry and
warmer than it has been the last week or so.

Aviation 24 1851z.

At 1659z, there was no marine inversion at klax.

There were patchy low clouds across slo northern sba counties and
the mtns of l.A. Vtu counties. Conds were mostlyVFR and clouds
should remain scattered in most areas through the day. Expect
widespread low clouds in all coastal and valley areas tonight,
with generally MVFR conds expected.

Klax... Moderate to high confidence in 18z taf. There is a 20-30%
chance that marine clouds will arrive plus or minus two or more
hours from the forecasted time. There is a 20-30 percent chance of
east winds greater than 7 knots.

Kbur... Moderate to high confidence in 12z taf. There is a 20-30%
chance that marine clouds will arrive plus or minus two or more
hours from the forecasted time.

Marine 24 108 pm.

For the outer waters, fairly low confidence in forecast. Winds
may get close to small craft advisory (sca) levels this afternoon
and evening. There is a 40% chance that a SCA will be needed,
especially across the northern zone (pzz670). This will also be
true for Sat afternoon. SCA conds are expected for the northern
outer waters zone Sat night thru Sun night, while there is a 40%
chance of SCA level winds across the remainder of the outer
waters. SCA winds are expected across all outer waters Mon thru
tue.

For the inner waters north of pt sal, moderate confidence in
forecast. Conds are expected to remain below SCA levels thru mon
morning. However, there is a 30% chance of SCA level winds during
the afternoon evening hours today thru sun. SCA conds are
expected Mon thru tue.

For the inner waters south of pt conception, high confidence in
forecast. Through Sun morning, winds and seas will remain below
sca levels. From Sun afternoon thru tue, there is a 30-40% chance
of SCA level winds across the western half of the santa barbara
channel and the western portion of the southern inner waters.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (mon-fri)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw
aviation... Sweet db
marine... Sweet
synopsis... Stewart
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi42 min 14 G 16 1014.8 hPa
HRVC1 24 mi32 min 58°F 1015.4 hPa
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi62 min N 9.9 G 11 57°F 1015.4 hPa (-0.7)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi22 min W 12 G 14 57°F 56°F1014.9 hPa
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi86 min WSW 13 G 16 63°F 1014.8 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi32 min 59°F7 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi67 minW 1310.00 miFair72°F51°F50%1014.2 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi66 minW 1410.00 miFair67°F51°F57%1015.5 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi69 minW 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F51°F61%1014.5 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13S12S11S6W4E5CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW9W8W11
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1 day agoNW10
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NW6W9W7W7NW5CalmNW5NW4W3SW4W4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmS8S11S11S13
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W9NW4W7NW8NW5CalmNW6NW6NW5NW8NW7NW8NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Fri -- 12:31 AM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:24 AM PDT     4.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:52 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:20 AM PDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:09 PM PDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:02 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:58 PM PDT     3.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.24.44.343.52.71.81.10.50.20.30.61.21.82.533.33.43.33.23.133.13.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.