Wednesday, August23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 7:40PM Wednesday August 23, 2017 1:16 AM PDT (08:16 UTC) Moonrise 7:25AMMoonset 8:07PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 831 Pm Pdt Tue Aug 22 2017
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft...becoming 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft...subsiding to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 831 Pm Pdt Tue Aug 22 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 02z...or 7 pm pdt...high pressure was over the eastern pacific and a 1018 mb low pressure was 300 nm sw of pt conception.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 230710
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1210 am pdt Wed aug 23 2017

Synopsis
A weak trough over the coastal waters will bring overnight low
clouds to the coast and valleys through Thursday morning. As the
low moves east of the area, overnight low clouds will retreat to
coastal areas. As high pressure builds over the area, a warming
trend is expected Friday through the middle of next week. Very
warm temperatures are likely, with the peak heating on Monday and
Tuesday.

Update
There are some low clouds across the central coast and between
catalina island and orange county. MAX temps today were about the
same at the coast... A couple of degrees up over the
mtns... Antelope vly and the interior vlys. The biggest jump in
temps was across the vlys where there was 4 to 8 degrees of
warming.

Biggest issue tonight is the return of the low clouds. Its likely
that by sunrise all of the coasts will be covered in clouds but
there is a fair chc that the san fernando vly will be clear
through the morning.

Current forecast is in good shape and no updates are planned.

Short term... (wed-sat)
models also show moisture filling in below the inversion base
south of pt conception tonight as well so better coverage overall
is expected by Wednesday morning. Along with this there is a 1-2mb
onshore trend. So in addition to an increase in low clouds
tomorrow most coast valleys should be a degree or two cooler as
well for highs.

After that we should begin a slow warming trend through the rest
of the work week. Gradients trends weakly offshore each day
leading to a weaker onshore flow.

Long term... (sun-wed)
little change or slight warming Saturday, then more significant
warming as we get into Sunday, Monday, and especially Tuesday
where light offshore flow could finally bring some of that inland
heat to the coast. Warmer valley spots should see triple digits by
Sunday and likely 105 or higher by Tuesday. Inland coastal areas
like downtown la probably won't see 90 until Monday or Tuesday but
still above normal by Sunday. Temps expected to keep on climbing
through most of next week as well, possibly leading to some heat
advisories and or excessive heat warnings by as early as Tuesday.

Models still so far not showing any monsoon moisture with this
heat wave so thunderstorms remain out of the forecast.

Aviation 23 0709z.

At 06z, the marine layer depth was around 1300 feet deep at klax.

The top of the inversion was around 2150 feet with a temperature
of 23 degrees celsius.

Moderate confidence in the current forecast. Predominantly ifr
conditions, except for MVFR for los angeles county coastal
terminals will likely spread into coastal and valley terminals
through 13z. There is a chance of lifr conditions for terminals
north of point conception between 08z and 16z.VFR conditions
should redevelop between 16z and 20z.

Klax... MVFR conditions will likely linger through 18z, but there
is a chance of MVFR conditions lingering until 20z.

Kbur... There is a 60 percent chance of ifr to MVFR conditions
betwee 13z and 17z. Otherwise,VFR conditions are expected
through the period.

Marine 22 815 pm
outer waters... Good confidence in current forecast. Sub small
craft advisory (sca) conditions through Wednesday. SCA levels will
likely develop Thursday afternoon with building seas to around 7
ft into Saturday morning. There will be a small S swell mixed with
the w-nw swell at times.

Inner waters... Good confidence in the current forecast. For the
waters north of point sal, winds and seas will remain below sca
levels through Wednesday. On Thursday and Friday, SCA level winds
are likely each afternoon and evening with winds diminishing below
sca levels on Saturday and Sunday. For the waters south of point
conception, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels
through the weekend.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (sat-wed)
a significant heatwave could develop this upcoming weekend and
continue into early next week.

Public... Mw rorke
aviation... Hall
marine... Boldt asr
synopsis... Smith
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi36 min NW 19 G 23 61°F 61°F1014.3 hPa59°F
HRVC1 24 mi46 min 1015.6 hPa
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi76 min N 25 G 27 60°F 1015.2 hPa (-1.0)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi36 min SW 14 G 16 64°F 65°F1014.3 hPa62°F
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi46 min E 7 G 9.9 64°F 1014.8 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi46 min 64°F5 ft
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 47 mi46 min 66°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi41 minN 010.00 miOvercast59°F55°F88%1015.9 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi20 minN 010.00 miOvercast61°F57°F90%1016.1 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi23 minE 77.00 miOvercast64°F62°F93%1014.1 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W4W4NW5W10
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmW3W3SW6NW4SW7SW5W9SW11
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3CalmW3S7SW9SW8S9W8W10SW8W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Wed -- 05:40 AM PDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:01 PM PDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:42 PM PDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:38 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:07 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:47 PM PDT     5.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.74.83.520.7-0.1-0.30.31.32.63.84.754.73.92.921.31.21.62.53.64.75.4

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Point Arguello
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:44 AM PDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:29 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:26 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:12 PM PDT     4.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:48 PM PDT     1.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:40 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:09 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:54 PM PDT     5.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.54.73.420.8-0-0.20.31.22.43.64.44.84.643.12.21.61.41.72.53.54.45.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.