Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:20PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 5:11 AM PDT (12:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:55AMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 210 Am Pdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..Western portion...w to nw winds 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt in the evening...becoming 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Eastern portion...w winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 210 Am Pdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 09z...or 2 am pdt...a 1029 mb high was located 700 nm west of seattle while a 998 mb low was over western arizona.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 281121
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
421 am pdt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
A weak ridge and onshore flow will keep a night through low cloud
pattern across the coasts and valleys through the week. Max
temperatures will generally be within a few degrees of normal
through the period.

Short term (tdy-fri)
a fairly dull pattern over the next three days as flat flow will
dominate for the next two days with a weak ridge slated to arrive
on Friday.

Eddy is a little slow to spin up today so there will be less low
cloud coverage in the vlys and the sba south coast today. The
central coast is full of clouds as is the paso robles area. There
should be pretty good onshore flow this afternoon to the east and
this could prevent some beaches from clearing. MAX temps will be
a little cooler again today and many areas will actually have
below normal temps. There will be strong near advisory level winds
in the antelope vly due to the onshore flow.

There is a little north push tonight. This will create some
sundowner winds as well as i-5 corridor north winds. These winds
do not look like they will reach advisory levels.

Thursday looks pretty much like a do-over day except that there
will be better marine layer stratus coverage and the stronger
onshore flow will keep more beaches cloudy. MAX temps will be very
similar to todays save for the cloudy beaches which will be
cooler.

The ridge will roll in on Friday and hgts will rise up to 592 dm.

It will arrive along will offshore flow from the north. This will
reduce or eliminate the marine layer stratus from the vlys and
will allow for a decent warm up across the area and ESP in the
vlys.

Long term (sat-tue)
the calender may say july but the weather will say june.

Friday's ridge will be replaced by a trof and stronger onshore
flow. The GFS is more trofy with stronger onshore flow (and hence
cooler) than the ec. Favored the GFS for this forecast as it has
been a little more consistent.

There will be night through morning low clouds and fog across the
coasts and most of the vlys while the remainder of the area will
have mostly clear skies. MAX temps will fall to seasonal normals
on Saturday and then will change little through the 4th of july.

Aviation 28 1110z...

sounding marine layer information missing due to server outage.

Overall, moderate confidence in 12z TAF package. This morning
ifr lifr CIGS will continue at all coastal sites through late
morning before dissipating.VFR conditions expected for all sites
this afternoon. For tonight, marine layer should be more extensive
pushing into coastal valleys. There is high confidence in
stratus fog returning to coastal valley sites, but low confidence
in timing.

Klax... Moderate confidence in 12z taf. There is a 40% chance cigs
will remain at ifr levels this morning. Stratus may dissipate a
hour or two later than current 18z forecast. For tonight, high
confidence in return of stratus, but only moderate confidence in
flight category (50% chance CIGS could remain MVFR) and timing
(+ - 3 hours of current 06z forecast).

Kbur... Moderate confidence in 12z taf. There is a 20% chance of
ifr lifr conditions 13z-17z. For tonight, moderate confidence in
return of ifr conditions, but low confidence in timing (could be
+ - 2 hours of current 08z forecast).

Marine 28 200 am...

for the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast. Small
craft advisory (sca) level winds will continue through Saturday
before diminishing below SCA thresholds on Sunday.

For the inner waters, high confidence in current forecast. For the
waters north of point sal, SCA level winds can be expected each
afternoon evening today through Saturday with weaker winds on
Sunday. For the waters south of point conception, winds and seas
are expected to remain below SCA levels through Sunday (although
there is a 30% chance of SCA level winds this afternoon evening
across the western half of the santa barbara channel).

Two distinct wave types will be observable over the waters, and a
short period (6-8 second) west swell and or wind wave. The buoys
will likely highlight the long period swell at times, but the
short period swell will be most noticeable and will be highlighted
in the forecast. By the middle to end of the week, the short-
period west swell will dominate as the south swell fades.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 9
pm pdt this evening for zone 645. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 6 am pdt Thursday for
zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (fri-tue)
no significant hazards expected.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Thompson
marine... Thompson
synopsis... Stu
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi31 min NW 21 G 27 54°F 54°F1011.1 hPa53°F
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi71 min N 29 G 31 53°F 1012.5 hPa (-0.3)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi31 min NE 3.9 G 7.8 60°F 60°F1010.9 hPa59°F
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi41 min ENE 6 G 8.9 59°F 1010.7 hPa
46257 29 mi41 min 54°F6 ft
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi41 min 55°F6 ft
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 47 mi41 min 62°F3 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi36 minN 010.00 miOvercast54°F51°F94%1012.9 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi15 minW 38.00 miOvercast54°F53°F97%1013.5 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi18 minNE 310.00 miFair57°F55°F96%1010.2 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W5W7W9W10
G14
SW14W12
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W12SW14W13W7W5W4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW3CalmCalmCalmW4SW3W6W6W8W12W13
G17
W11
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SW11SW10W8W9W3SW5SW3SW5CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4CalmSW5W7W9W10W9W8SW10W9
G16
SW5SW7SW5SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:13 AM PDT     5.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:50 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:18 AM PDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:55 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:12 PM PDT     4.31 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:32 PM PDT     2.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.95.25.14.53.42.210.1-0.4-0.30.31.32.33.344.34.23.83.22.62.32.32.63.1

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Point Arguello
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:15 AM PDT     5.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:52 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:19 AM PDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:57 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:22 PM PDT     4.34 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:19 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:39 PM PDT     2.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.85.154.43.32.10.9-0.1-0.5-0.40.11.12.23.244.34.33.93.32.72.32.32.53

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.