Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:51AMSunset 8:05PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 1:48 AM PDT (08:48 UTC) Moonrise 3:33AMMoonset 4:47PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 827 Pm Pdt Mon May 22 2017
Tonight..W winds 10 to 20 kt...with gusts to 25 kt until midnight. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft...becoming 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the evening. Areas of dense fog...with vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue..W winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds. Areas of dense fog with vsby 1 nm or less in the morning.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 20 kt...becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 20 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft in the evening...becoming 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu night..W winds 15 to 20 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft.
PZZ600 827 Pm Pdt Mon May 22 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 03z...or 8 pm pdt...a 1026 mb high was located 500 nm W of portland...a 1012 mb low was over se california. Gusty nw winds will affect the outer waters between point conception and san nicolas island through late tonight. Gusty winds may affect this region each afternoon to evening period through Wed.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 230618
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles/oxnard ca
1118 pm pdt Mon may 22 2017

Synopsis
Very warm conditions are expected to continue through Tuesday.

A weak low pressure center will approach the southwest california
coast on Wednesday... Dramatically cooling temperatures through
Friday. Overnight to morning low clouds and fog will extend
further inland each day through late in the week. A ridge of high
pressure will bring a warming trend to the area Saturday through
early next week.

Short term (mon-thu)
the marine inversion at klax was near 800 ft deep early this evening
and was a rather strong inversion, with the base at 55 deg, and the
top at 80 deg around 2000 ft. At kvbg, the 00z sounding showed an
inversion depth of 1300 ft and also strong with a base temp of 50
degrees, and the inversion top temp at 75 deg at 3200 ft. Low clouds
and fog were noted along many coastal areas early this evening
except for the sba county S coast. Weak onshore gradients will help
the low clouds to expand over the coastal waters and along all
coastal areas thru tonight, with patchy low clouds and fog possible
into some of the adjacent vlys. Patchy dense fog will also be
possible later tonight with the shallow and strong marine inversion.

Otherwise, mostly clear skies will prevail across the forecast area
overnight.

Upper ridging over SRN ca will persist over the region thru tue.

Flat upper ridging can be expected over the region Tue night and
wed, followed by an upper level trof moving into the area from
the NW Wed night and thu.

The marine layer pattern will continue over the forecast area tue
thru thu. The marine inversion will deepen thru the period, with low
clouds and fog moving further inland each night. By Wed night, it
looks like the marine layer will deepen to at least 3500 feet with
the low clouds moving well inland to the lower coastal slopes and
into much of the slo county interior vlys. Patchy drizzle cannot be
ruled out later Wed night and Thu morning as well, especially from
the coast to coastal slopes of vtu/l.A. Counties. The deep moist
layer clouds on Thu may be persistent thru the day for many areas as
well. All this will be in response to the upper level trof moving in
wed night and Thu and increased onshore flow.

There may also be a few clouds over the mtns Wed afternoon,
otherwise mostly clear skies can be expected Tue thru wed, with
mostly clear skies Thu mainly for interior portions of the forecast
area.

Gusty S to W winds can be expected during the afternoon and evening
hours for the foothills, mtns and deserts during the period. The
strongest winds are expected on Thu with some gusts possibly
approaching advisory levels at times especially in the mtns and
deserts.

Temps will be on a cooling trend Tue thru thu, with highs still
several degrees above normal away from the coast on tue, then
cooling to near normal for the most part on wed, and several degrees
below normal for thu. Afternoon temps for the warmest vlys will peak
in the upper 80s to lower 90s on tue, except upper 90s in the
antelope vly, then cool Wed to the upper 70s to low 80s except upper
80s to around 90 in the antelope vly, and upper 60s to around 70 on
thu except around 80 in the antelope vly.

***from previous discussion***

Long term (fri-mon)
one more cool, slow clearing, strong onshore flow day Friday
before the low and long wave trough shift east Saturday and a
ridge develops through early next week. High temps still likely
a few degrees below normal Saturday but warming to normal or
slightly above Sunday and then warmer still Monday. Current
forecast for Monday if anything, is a tad on the cool side if
current model projections hold.

Aviation
23/0610z
at 0545z, the marine inversion at klax was 1000 ft deep. The top
of the inversion was at 2000 ft with a temperature of 26 deg c.

Moderate confidence in the 06z tafs at coastal airfields with
timing of flight cat transitions likely within +/- an hour of
fcst.

Hi confidence in the inland tafs.

Klax... Moderate confidence in the TAF with timing of the flight
cat transitions likely within +/- an hour of fcst.

Kbur... Very good confidence in the TAF with only a 10 percent
chance of lifr conds 12z-16z.

Marine
22/830 pm
moderate to high confidence in the forecast. A SCA is in effect
through 3 am Tuesday for gusty northwest winds between point
conception and the western channel islands... And southward to san
nicolas island. Winds will diminish early Tuesday morning... But
there is a 40% chance that SCA gusts will occur in the same region
late Tuesday afternoon and evening... And again on Wednesday.

Patchy to areas of dense fog is expected over much of the coastal
waters area tonight through Tuesday around noon.

Lox watches/warnings/advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Tuesday for
zones 673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (thu-mon)
advisory level southwest winds are possible Thursday through
Friday across the mountains and deserts.

Public... Sirard/mw
aviation... Rorke
marine... Smith
synopsis... Smith
weather.Gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi59 min NW 23 G 27 52°F 55°F5 ft1014 hPa (+0.0)
HRVC1 24 mi49 min 1015.2 hPa (+0.0)
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi49 min N 23 G 24 51°F 1015 hPa (+0.0)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi39 min WSW 12 G 16 1014.6 hPa
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi73 min SSE 4.1 G 6 55°F 1014.8 hPa
46257 29 mi49 min 53°F5 ft
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi49 min 53°F5 ft
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 47 mi49 min 58°F3 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi54 minWSW 43.00 miFog/Mist50°F50°F100%1015.2 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi53 minW 310.00 miOvercast52°F51°F97%1016 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi56 minESE 77.00 miOvercast56°F55°F97%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3W5W6W9W10W12W9W7SW6W6SW6SW5SW5SW4SW4Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5W5W8W9W13W12W14W10W8W8SW5SW5SW5CalmCalmSW3
2 days agoCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3SW3W5SW6W11
G14
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G16
W10W10W6SW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:54 AM PDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:32 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:53 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:01 AM PDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:32 PM PDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:46 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:02 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:53 PM PDT     5.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.10.90.1-0.20.212.13.13.94.13.93.22.21.40.80.81.42.43.64.85.765.54.5

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Point Arguello
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:51 AM PDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:01 AM PDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:23 PM PDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:48 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:04 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:49 PM PDT     5.72 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
20.80.1-0.10.2122.93.63.83.62.92.11.40.911.52.53.74.85.55.75.34.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.