Monday, January21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:21PM Monday January 21, 2019 9:46 AM PST (17:46 UTC) Moonrise 6:13PMMoonset 7:34AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 925 Am Pst Mon Jan 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
Today..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 7 to 8 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 30 kt, becoming N 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt after midnight. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Tue night..Eastern portion, nw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming ne 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Western portion, W winds 5 to 10 kt becoming variable 10 kt or less after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 15 seconds.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 925 Am Pst Mon Jan 21 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 17z...or 9 am pst, a 1028 mb high was over the eastern pacific and a 1000 mb low was over wyoming.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 211109
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
309 am pst Mon jan 21 2019

Synopsis 20 1025 pm.

There is a chance of snow showers in the ventura and los angeles
county mountains through Monday evening. Otherwise conditions will
be dry across the region this week. Winds will be breezy then gusty
santa ana winds will develop Tuesday morning. Temperatures will be
cool on Monday then there will be a warming trend during the week.

Short term (tdy-wed) 21 303 am.

Yesterdays weak cold front has passed on by. It dropped light
amounts of rain across slo and NRN sba counties. Strong northwest
winds have developed in the wake of the front and the upslope flow
near the kern county line will bring clouds and a chance of light
rain snow showers across the north facing mountain slopes for the
rest of the day and into the evening. Light rain showers are also
possible across the san gabriel foothills this morning due to
favorable cyclonic flow.

Snow levels will were above 6000 feet yesterday but with all the
cold air pushing in they will lower rapidly this morning,
especially near the kern county line. Snow levels will dip to
3500 feet today. This low a snow level will bring snow showers
to interstate 5 near the grapevine as well as highway 33 in the
ventura county mountains. Total snow accumulations with this
system will be between 1-3 inches across north facing mountain
slopes. The grapevine could see almost an inch of snow. The snow
showers will combine with the strong post frontal winds will
produce difficult driving conditions. A winter weather advisory
continues for the north facing mountains of la ventura counties
(including interstate 5) through noon.

The post frontal winds fueled by a strong sfc pressure gradient,
cold air advection and good upper support will bring northwest to
north advisory level winds to much of the area. The strongest
winds are expected in the mountains (especially i-5 corridor,
santa ynez range, and hwy 33 corridor in ventura county). The antelope
valley will also be very windy today with gusts between 45 and 55
mph will be common along with isolated gusts to 60 mph in favored
locations. Strong winds will also occur across the sba south
coast, with gusts over 50 mph in the hills.

All of the cold air advection will make today the coolest day of
the next 7 with MAX temps coming in 3 to 6 degrees below normals.

Strong cold sfc high pressure builds into nv on Tuesday and will
set up a strong NE offshore pressure pattern. The winds will
shift to the northeast early Tuesday and a santa ana wind event
will start up. The strongest winds will set up in the la county
mountains and will extend to the SW going through the santa
clarita vly, the western san fernando vly, the eastern portion of
the ventura vlys. The winds will also flow through the santa
monica mtns and will squirt out and over the beaches from malibu
to pt mugu.

There will be a little warming on Tuesday across the coasts and
vlys (the interior will see temps similar to today) due to the
compressional warming of the offshore winds. But since there will
also be quite a bit of cool desert air arriving with the santa ana
winds there will only be 2 to 4 degree of warming and most areas
max temperatures will remain below normal.

The santa ana winds will continue Wednesday but there will be much
less upper level and thermal support. The windiest mtn and vly
locations will see low end advisory gusts. By noon, however, the
diurnal pressure trends will diminish the winds to below the
advisory thresholds.

With less cold air advection there will be a good jump in temps
everywhere and most if not all areas should see MAX temps rise to
3 to 6 degrees above normal under sunny skies.

Long term (thu-sun) 21 309 am.

Both the ec and GFS agree that the state will be under the
eastern half of an east pac high for the entire time thu-sun. Sfc
high pressure remains anchored over the great basin through the
period and there will be varying degrees of offshore flow through
the period. Right now it looks like Friday will have the strongest
offshore flow and some low end advisories may be needed then.

The ridge and the offshore flow should keep skies mostly clear
through the period. The higher than normal hgts combined with the
offshore flow will bring well above normal temps to the area for
all four days. Currently Saturday is slated to be the warmest of
the next 7 with mx temps 8 to 12 degrees above normal.

Aviation 21 1030z.

At 1030z, there was no marine inversion at klax.

Overall, moderate to high confidence in 12z TAF package. High
confidence inVFR sky conditions for all sites through the taf
period with sct-bkn040-060 deck possible through 20z. Moderate
confidence in wind forecast due to some uncertainty of the timing
of changes in strength direction. There is 40% chance of some MVFR
vsbys in blowing dust sand at kwjf kpmd 16z-02z.

Klax... Moderate confidence in 12z taf. High confidence inVFR
conditions through TAF period. Moderate confidence in timing of
changes in wind strength direction. There is a 50% chance of
northerly cross winds around 15 knots 03z-12z.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in 12z taf. High confidence inVFR
conditions through TAF period. Moderate confidence in timing of
changes in wind strength direction.

Marine 21 230 am.

For the outer waters, moderate confidence in current forecast.

Strong small craft advisory (sca) level northwest winds will
continue through tonight with a 20% chance of gale force gusts. On
Tuesday, there is a 30% chance of SCA level winds then winds and
seas are expected to remain below SCA levels Wednesday through
Friday.

For the inner waters north of point sal, high confidence in
current forecast. SCA level northwest winds will continue through
tonight. For Tuesday through Friday, winds and seas are expected
to remain below SCA levels.

For the inner waters south of point conception, moderate
confidence in current forecast. High confidence in SCA level west
to northwest winds through this evening. For Tuesday and
Wednesday, there is a 60% chance of SCA level northeast winds from
point mugu southward. For Thursday and Friday, winds and seas are
expected to remain below SCA levels.

Beaches 21 230 am.

A new west to northwest swell will move into the coastal waters
today. These swells will produce elevated surf and strong rip
currents on west-facing beaches through Tuesday. Large
astronomical high tides are also be expected each morning through
this time, peaking today. Due to the higher than normal tides and
elevated surf, there could be minor coastal flooding near the
times of the morning high tide each day. As a result of the
elevated surf and potential for minor coastal flooding, a beach
hazards statement is in effect for all west facing beaches through
Tuesday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Beach hazards statement in effect through Tuesday morning for
zones 34-35-40-41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Wind advisory in effect until 10 am pst Tuesday for zones
39-52. (see laxnpwlox).

Beach hazards statement in effect through this afternoon for
zone 39. (see laxcfwlox).

Wind advisory in effect until 3 pm pst this afternoon for
zone 41. (see laxnpwlox).

Wind advisory in effect until noon pst Wednesday for zones
44>46-53-54-88-547. (see laxnpwlox).

Winter weather advisory in effect until noon pst today for
zones 53-54. (see laxwswlox).

Wind advisory in effect until 4 pm pst this afternoon for
zone 59. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pst Tuesday for
zones 645-670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pst this evening
for zones 650-655. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
Advisory level north to northeast winds possible Wednesday across
la and ventura counties.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Rat
marine... Rat
beaches... Rat
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi27 min 16 G 21 1021.9 hPa
HRVC1 24 mi29 min 56°F 1023.1 hPa
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi47 min N 19 G 22 53°F 1022.5 hPa (+1.9)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi27 min WNW 21 G 25 55°F 59°F1021.3 hPa45°F
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi71 min W 5.1 G 8.9 54°F 1020.6 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi17 min 59°F11 ft
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 47 mi26 min 58°F8 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi52 minW 610.00 miFair48°F37°F66%1021.7 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi54 minN 14 G 2510.00 miFair57°F32°F39%1020.1 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3W7CalmCalmE4N4CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmNE5SW4CalmN4CalmNE5
2 days agoN3CalmS3CalmS4W4NW5SW6SW5SW4CalmNE4CalmCalmNE4CalmCalmW3NE3NE4NE3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:05 AM PST     1.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:05 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:32 AM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:21 AM PST     6.75 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:28 PM PST     -1.68 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:19 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:13 PM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:58 PM PST     4.24 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.61.91.61.82.63.856.16.76.65.74.22.40.6-0.8-1.6-1.6-0.80.41.83.144.2

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.