Sunday, April22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 7:49PM Sunday April 22, 2018 2:07 PM EDT (18:07 UTC) Moonrise 11:18AMMoonset 12:45AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
.gale watch in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon...
Rest of today..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..E winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming se 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft, building to 8 to 13 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 5 to 8 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft after midnight. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, increasing to very rough after midnight. Rain.
Tue..SE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. Rain. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 9 ft after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 221703
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
103 pm edt Sun apr 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to build over the region through the
weekend. A slow moving low pressure system will affect the area
Monday through Wednesday. A cold front is expected to push
through the area late next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1015 am sun... Edged MAX t's up a degree or two, as latest
obs and fcst lo lvl thicknesses suggest many interior areas
reaching or surpassing the 70 degree mark today. Cooler upper
50s expected for the NRN obx with light onshore flow. No other
changes.

Previous discussion... As of 630 am sun... Latest sfc analysis
shows 1030mb high pressure extending from the great lakes region
into the mid- atlantic and eastern nc. Satellite imagery shows
high clouds streaming into the region from the west, ahead of
the upper low moving through the mid-west and strengthening sfc
low in the gulf states. Expect more cloud cover today, with
mainly high clouds though could see some higher based CU develop
with increasing onshore flow. Low level thickness values,
partly cloudy skies, and onshore flow support highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s along the outer banks, and mid 60s to low 70s
inland.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday
As of 2 am sun... High pressure will slide off the coast
tonight, as surface and upper low approach from the west.

Moisture increases across the carolinas, though expect any
precip chances to hold off until after daybreak. Not as cool
overnight with increasing clouds and easterly flow. Lows in the
upper 40s to low 50s.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 345 am sun... Surface high pressure will be off the mid-
atlantic, influencing the weather across north carolina, while a low
pressure system lifts towards the carolinas from the gulf states
through midweek. A though pattern will continue through the weekend
leading to additional showers.

Monday through Tuesday night... Unsettled conditions continues
for this period as a significant upper low tracks across the
southern plains ms valley through mid-week. High pressure will
continue to influence the weather Monday, delaying most of the
rain until Monday afternoon as the upper level low and sfc low
lifts towards the carolinas Monday night and Tuesday. Meanwhile
the upper level low will weaken to an open wave and become
slightly negative tilted as it becomes absorbed with another
significant shortwave trough dropping down from the northern
plains. This system will have the potential for widespread rain
with amounts of 1-3 inches as the models continue to show
significant 850mb moisture transport from the atlantic towards
the area Monday night and Tuesday. This can result in minor
flooding in low lying areas. The models are now consistent with
with track of the low moving farther inland, this will result in
the potential for severe weather as low level winds will be
backing, negative-tilted trough aloft, and modest instability
now present; will continue to monitor. Overall, expect moderate
to heavy rain, gusty winds and possible severe weather on
Tuesday. Expect highs in the mid to upper 60s inland and low mid
60s along the beaches.

Wednesday through the weekend... Rain will become more scattered and
taper off as the sfc low lifts NE and drier air filters in. Most
places will have a break from rain Wednesday night until the other
aforementioned shortwave trough and it's associated weak cold front
approaches the area with rain redeveloping again Thursday. Then
another cold front will approach the area Friday and push through
Saturday with more rain showers. Expect highs in the 70s inland and
60s along the outer banks during the forecast period.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
Short term through Monday ...

as of 100 pm sun... Will continue to indicateVFR conditions
through the TAF period though clouds will be thickening and
lowering late tonight through Mon afternoon as moisture
increases ahead of an approaching low pressure center. Not out
of the question that scattered MVFR ceilings develop late
tonight and early Mon as the flow becomes SE but a much stronger
signal for subVFR conditions is indicated after 18z (2 pm) mon
as rain begins to advance into the area ahead of the low.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 100 pm sun... MVFR to ifr conditions Mon night and Tue as
a low pressure system tracks across the carolinas producing
widespread rain and gusty winds. Conditions will improve to
mostlyVFR Wednesday through Friday, but the threat of isolated
to scattered showers will continue each day with a possibility
of brief sub-vfr conditions.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 630 am sun... Latest obs show NE to SE winds 5-15 kt with
seas 2-3 ft. High pressure will continue to extend over the
waters today, moving offshore tonight ahead of the approaching
low pressure system to the west. Ene winds 10-15 kt today with
seas 2-3 ft. Easterly winds increase to 10-20 kt tonight with
seas building to 2-4 ft.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 630 am sun... Gale watch has been issued for the southern
waters beginning Monday night. Wind gradient will tighten Monday
as a low pressure system approaches the region from the gulf
states, expect E winds 15-25 knots, then increasing to 20-30
knots Tuesday with gale force gusts. As the low lifts ne, winds
will become SW 10-15 knots Wednesday. A weak cold front is
expected to push through Thursday, resulting in winds becoming
nw 5-15 knots. Seas will build 5-7 ft throughout Monday, and
continue to build as the sfc low approaches the area, expect
seas to reach as high 10-15 ft Tuesday. Seas will gradually
start to subside Tuesday night with seas becoming 5-8 ft
Wednesday and then around 5 ft Thursday.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 635 am sun... A low pressure system will impact the region
Monday night through Wednesday. Strong SE winds will develop,
resulting in many coastal impacts across eastern nc. Minor
coastal flooding will be possible Monday night into Tuesday
night, for areas adjacent to the pamlico sound and rivers, as
strong southeast winds develop. Minor coastal flooding, beach
erosion, and overwash will be possible Monday night through
Tuesday night for areas along the immediate coast. Rough surf,
dangerous shore break, and an elevated rip current risk are
expected along the beaches.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Gale watch from Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon for
amz156-158.

Synopsis... Cqd sgk
near term... Cqd tl
short term... Cqd
long term... Bm
aviation... Jme bm
marine... Cqd bm
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 31 mi60 min E 14 G 18 63°F 65°F1028.4 hPa
41159 31 mi38 min 65°F4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi50 min E 15 G 17 62°F 64°F1028 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 34 mi38 min 60°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi60 min E 12 G 16 62°F 61°F1027.7 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi50 min SE 9.9 G 15 62°F 62°F1028.7 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi60 min E 16 G 21 64°F 65°F1027.8 hPa
WLON7 39 mi50 min 67°F 64°F1027.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi68 min ENE 13 G 14 1029.2 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC13 mi72 minE 610.00 miFair69°F39°F35%1028.1 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi71 minESE 1110.00 miFair68°F46°F47%1029.1 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SE13SE11SE9SE9SE6E8SE5SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNE5NE5E5E7E7SE10E6SE12
1 day agoN11
G15
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4N5N8SE6S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN43CalmNW3NE5E4E4--4S5
2 days agoW19
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N12W6

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
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Sun -- 01:10 AM EDT     3.54 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:48 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:45 PM EDT     2.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     First Quarter
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.33.53.42.92.21.30.60.200.30.81.42.12.52.52.31.81.20.60.20.10.40.91.7

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:57 AM EDT     5.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:30 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:32 PM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     First Quarter
Sun -- 07:24 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.85.14.842.81.60.60.10.10.61.42.33.13.63.63.22.41.50.60.20.20.71.62.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.