Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:28PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:11 AM EDT (07:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:56AMMoonset 11:09PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 103 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Rest of tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 280520
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
120 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
An upper level disturbance will cross the region overnight.

High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday through late
week then move offshore for the weekend with troughing inland
through early next week.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 110 am wed... Cold front now has passed through the region
and is currently tracking south through the coastal waters. Last
of the showers and thunderstorms are moving into the gulf stream
off of oregon inlet, and have a dry forecast going forward.

Cold front seems to have moved a bit slower than expected, and
still have mild temps along the southern coast. Have adjusted
temps up, and raised low temps a few degrees in these areas.

Still think lows inland will drop into the upper 50s, and upper
60s to low 70s along the immediate coast. Also adjusted
dewpoints up a few degrees based on current trends.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 am Thursday
As of 300 pm Tuesday... Dry weather with pleasant temperatures
and comfortable humidities are expected Wednesday as high
pressure remains over the area. High temps inland will be in the
mid 80s with upper 70s to lower 80s expected along the coast.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 315 pm Tuesday... High pressure will settle overhead
through Wednesday night and provide fair and seasonably cool
conditions. The high shifts off the coast Thursday, and
southerly flow develops, and will bring an increase of moisture.

Unsettled weather returns Friday through Tuesday as scattered
rain showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop each day.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Dry weather is expected both
Wednesday and Thursday with high pressure influencing the area.

Lows Wednesday night will be pleasant but a couple degrees
warmer than Tuesday night, with lows in the lower 60s inland to
lower 70s along the immediate coast. Winds come around to the
se Thursday, and humidity begins to increase as high pressure
slides off the coast. High temps on Thursday will be mainly in
the mid upper 80s inland and the low mid 80s along the coast.

Friday... A weak upper level disturbance will move into the
region Friday morning originating from the gulf of mexico. Both
the latest GFS and euro show fairly widespread showers for the
southern half of the CWA on Friday. So, have slight chance pops
increasing from the south starting late Friday Thursday
night early Friday morning. Pops increase to 20 to 40 percent
Friday, highest across southern areas. Shower thunderstorm
activity will shift to the coast and coastal waters Friday night and
have chance pops along the coast for this. High temps will
reach the upper 80s and the low to mid 80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Tuesday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
expected to develop each afternoon from Saturday to Tuesday and
move towards the coast overnight. Have broad chance pops for
this period with the highest pops over inland areas during the
day, and along the coast at night. A weak front may aid shower
and thunderstorm development Sunday and again on Tuesday. High
temps look to be around 90 inland and mid 80s near the coast.

With lows in the lower to mid 70s

Aviation 05z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through 06z Thursday ...

as of 115 am wed...VFR conditions are expected through the taf
period. Some mid high clouds currently over the southern coast
will move out to sea, and then mostly clear conditions will
persist through Thursday morning. Winds will be very light
overnight and out of the NE Thursday morning, then ene later in
the afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 315 pm Tuesday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible
Friday through Sunday as scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop and could see some periods of MVFR-ifr
fog low stratus early mornings beginning on Friday.

Marine
Short term tonight and Wednesday ...

as of 300 pm Tuesday... Main concern is the potential for
moderate N NE flow late tonight into Wednesday as high pressure
builds over the waters. Light variable winds 10 kt or less
occurring over the waters this afternoon will become southerly
around 10 kt this evening. Then after midnight the flow will
become nw-n, veering to ne-e Wednesday. The NAM and cmc
regional models indicate that winds could reach 20 kt sustained
late tonight early Wednesday while the GFS keeps this flow
around 10 kt. Have trended the forecast closer to the stronger
models and will indicate winds increasing to 15 kt with gusts to
20 kt late tonight and early Wednesday. Seas will be 1-2 feet
through this evening then build to around 3 ft late tonight
into Wednesday in the stronger flow.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 315 pm Tuesday... Fair boating conditions expected in the
long term, especially Thursday. Winds will turn to the se
Wednesday night and remain weak. SE flow around 10 kt gradually
becomes more southerly by Thursday night into Friday. By
Saturday winds become more southwest and increase to 10-15 kts.

This will continue into Sunday. Could see periods of 15 to 20 kt
in the outer waters. Saturday and Sunday. Seas will be mostly
2-3 ft, with some 4 foot seas possible beginning Saturday over
the central and southern waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Sgk
short term... Jme
long term... Rsb sgk
aviation... Rsb sgk
marine... Rsb jme


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 31 mi63 min NNE 16 G 19 78°F 81°F1018.2 hPa
41159 31 mi28 min 81°F2 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi41 min N 9.9 G 12 74°F 80°F1017.7 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi63 min NNE 12 G 19 77°F 79°F1018.3 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 34 mi42 min 79°F2 ft
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi146 min W 1 73°F 1019 hPa68°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi41 min NNE 8.9 G 12 74°F 79°F1017.9 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi63 min NNW 12 G 18 79°F 81°F1017.2 hPa
WLON7 39 mi41 min 73°F 82°F1018.5 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi71 min N 13 G 15 76°F 1018 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC13 mi15 minNNW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F62°F78%1019.1 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi14 minN 410.00 miFair70°F59°F68%1019.4 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW3W4W3W3W5W3NW54----S5--S5S6SW5CalmNW5W4W3N9N6N5N3
1 day agoCalmN5N3N8N6N7N9NE10
G15
NE8NE7NE63Calm3S4S4S4S3S3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW3SW3W7W3W4W7W6W5--W7W74NW5NW6NW9N5CalmS3CalmSW6SW8NW4SW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:00 PM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:59 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.73.22.41.40.5-0.1-0.3-00.61.42.22.82.92.82.21.40.70.1-00.20.71.62.43.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:38 AM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:47 AM EDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:41 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.24.43.11.60.4-0.3-0.40.11.12.33.444.23.82.91.80.70.1-0.10.41.32.63.84.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.