Saturday, August19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 7:53PM Saturday August 19, 2017 1:41 AM EDT (05:41 UTC) Moonrise 3:07AMMoonset 5:24PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 106 Am Edt Sat Aug 19 2017
Rest of tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 190453
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1253 am edt Sat aug 19 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will move into the area late tonight and stall
through the weekend. This front will move south of the area
early next week. High pressure builds back in by Tuesday.

Another cold front will approach the area in the middle of next
week.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1245 am Saturday... Based on current radar coverage, will
drop pops through the remainder of the overnight hours as expect
the overnight to remain dry. Raised minimum temperatures a
degree or so with yet another very warm and muggy night with
lows in the 76-81 degree range.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 am Sunday
As of 300 pm Friday... A unstable conditions will continue
tomorrow with CAPE values ranging 3000-3500 j kg, LI -8 and pw
remaining above 2 inches. The cold front is progged to be over
eastern nc by morning and becoming stationary. This will lead to
good sfc convergence and result to more showers and
thunderstorms to develop late morning into the evening. Expect
highs near 90 degree inland and mid 80s along the coast.

Long term Sunday through Saturday
As of 300 pm Friday... For the remainder of the weekend, a cold
front will move into the area Saturday night and Sunday but
quickly weaken and waver across the area. The best chance for
storms this weekend will be Saturday evening and with pwats
still above 2", locally heavy rain is possible. By Sunday much
drier air moves into the northern 2 3 of the area, with pwats
here dropping under 1.5". Continued low chance pops across the
southern portion of the area where lingering front or sea breeze
could interact with slightly higher moisture values.

Monday Tuesday... No big changes to this period of the forecast as a
cold front mentioned above washes out across our area. The biggest
impact from the front will be the much drier air, with pwats
mainly around 1.5 inches. This is a bit more moisture than in
previous forecast and carried a low chance of mainly diurnally
driven convection both days. Expect highs in the low 90s inland
to mid 80s along the beaches..

Wednesday Thursday... The next front will move into nc Wednesday,
and our area late Wednesday night into Thursday. Moisture will
increase ahead of the front through the period. Will maintain
the previous forecast of rain chances close to 50% during this
time with the passage of the front. Temps near 90 Wednesday will
slide back into the 80s Thursday with the passage of the front.

By Friday with the frontal passage through the area, expect much
drier and cooler weather. Lows Friday morning will dip into the
upper 60s to around 70 inland and highs Friday will be in the
lower 80s. Carried low chance pops for potential for widely
scattered afternoon convection on Friday should the front
linger in the area, but if trends hold, Friday could be a very
pleasant and dry day.

Aviation 06z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through 06z Sunday ...

as of 1245 am Saturday... Skies have cleared over eastern nc with
vfr conditions prevailing. With SW winds at 5-7 knots, think
there will be sufficient low-level mixing to preclude much in
the way of any significant fog or stratus. Scattered showers
and storms expected to develop again Sat afternoon, with best
chances at ewn and oaj.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 300 pm Friday... SubVFR conditions possible Saturday
night with the passage of a cold front, with showers and
thunderstorms most likely . Shifting to coast during evening
hours. Beyond Saturday night, mainlyVFR weather expected
through mid week until the next front approaches Wednesday into
Wednesday night with a better chance of more widespread showers
and thunderstorms.

Marine
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 1250 am Saturday... Sw winds continue at 10-20 knots with
a few gusts in excess of 20 knots ahead of a cold front tonight.

Seas are at 2 up to 5 feet at diamond buoy. Most guidance winds
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots during the late night hours into
Saturday. Seas on Saturday should run 2-4 feet. Only minor
tweaks to the current marine forecast.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 300 pm Friday... Quiet boating conditions continue on the
waters through early next week. Winds will be 10 kt or less and
waver direction as a front lingers and dissipates in the area
through the area through Monday night. Seas will run 1 to 3 feet
through that period. Winds become southerly and begin to
increase Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night and into
Wednesday as a cold front approaches the area. Winds will be
around 15 kt Tuesday night and increase to 15 to 20 kt Wednesday
with seas increasing to 3 to 4 feet.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bm
near term... Ctc
short term... Bm
long term... Rsb
aviation... Rsb ctc cqd
marine... Rsb ctc cqd bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 31 mi34 min SW 16 G 21 81°F 84°F1014.2 hPa
41159 31 mi29 min 84°F6 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi42 min SW 12 G 14 83°F 84°F1013 hPa (+0.9)
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 34 mi43 min 84°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi34 min SW 14 G 19 84°F 84°F1013.9 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi42 min SW 8 G 13 83°F 83°F1013.3 hPa (+0.6)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi34 min SW 16 G 21 84°F 83°F1014 hPa
WLON7 39 mi42 min 82°F 84°F1013.8 hPa (+0.8)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi42 min SW 12 G 17 83°F 1013.7 hPa (+0.5)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC13 mi46 minSSW 610.00 miFair81°F79°F94%1013.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi45 minSW 9 G 1610.00 miFair77°F0°F%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS4S3S4S3S4SW6W7SW6SW6SW5S8CalmSE5S9S11
G17
S10S8S8SW7SW7SW6SW6SW6
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5S5S8SE7SE8S8S7S8S6S5S5CalmS3S4S4S4Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmW3--NW3NW3NW8N5N7N5N5N664N7N4NE4NE5S4S3S4S4SW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:05 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:54 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:57 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:32 PM EDT     4.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.20.81.62.32.832.72.21.30.5-0-0.200.71.62.73.5443.62.71.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:41 AM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:39 AM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:19 PM EDT     5.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.51.42.53.54.14.23.82.81.60.5-0.2-0.30.21.22.74.15.25.75.64.83.52.10.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.