Monday, December11, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:00PM Monday December 11, 2017 4:17 AM EST (09:17 UTC) Moonrise 12:48AMMoonset 1:21PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 237 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Wednesday afternoon...
Today..W winds 10 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight.
Tue..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Tue night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Wed..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 110800
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
300 am est Mon dec 11 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build south of the region today. Two dry
cold fronts will cross the area this week, the first one
Tuesday, the second one Thursday night.

Near term through today
As of 230 am Monday... High pressure will continue to build over
the area from the south today producing clear skies and light
winds. Highs will be in the lower to mid 50s.

Short term tonight
As of 230 am Monday... A dry cold front will approach from the
west late. Initially light winds clear skies early will lead to
strong radiational cooling and rapidly falling evening
temperatures. Then late tonight as the front approaches winds
could increase late as the pressure gradient tightens. Thus low
temps could occur around midnight with steady or slowly rising
temps late.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 300 am mon... Another shot of arctic air will surge in tue
night and Wed as upper trof crosses the region. Models are dry
with limited moisture so no precip expected. Very cold Wed with
lows in the mid 20s inland to low 30s coast and highs mainly
upper 30s to lower 40s.

Another front moves through late in the week. Timing of this
feature much in question. HPC surface prog has it passing
through Thursday. However, the latest run of both the GFS and
the ECMWF are much slower with it, bringing it through fri
afternoon. Because of this, I will continue the dry forecast for
late week as moisture still appears limited. The weekend looks
dry with high pressure building into the region from the
southwest.

Highs Thu upper 40s to lower 50s and mostly lower mid 50s fri
and upper 40s to lower 50s sat. Temps moderate a bit Sunday with
highs in the mid upper 50s.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 230 am Monday... High confidence in mainlyVFR conditions
through tonight as high pressure prevails today and a dry cold
front approaches late tonight. Expecting mostly clear skies and
light winds through the period. Early this morning, if winds
decouple, then patchy shallow ground fog could occur with a
brief period of subVFR visibilities possible.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 300 am mon...VFR dry weather expected with partly cloudy to
mostly clear skies.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 230 am Monday... Small craft advisory conditions are
expected to develop late tonight as a strong cold front
approaches from the west thus advisories have been issued for
all of the near shore waters and the pamlico sound. Through this
morning westerly winds 15 to 20 kt will diminish to 5 to 10 kt
this afternoon and evening as high pressure to south builds over
the waters. Then late tonight (after midnight) the pressure
gradient will tighten as the cold front approaches causing winds
to increase to SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft this morning will
subside to 2 to 3 ft late this afternoon and evening then build
to 4 to 7 ft toward Tuesday morning.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 300 am mon... The long term will feature mostly poor
boating conditions for the coastal waters and sounds. Two dry
fronts will pass through the area, one on Tuesday and the other
on Thursday.

The flow will be westerly through the period, with the strongest
winds Tuesday into Wednesday at 20-30 knots on the coastal
waters and pamlico sound. Small craft advisories are now in
effect for those zones. A few gusts to gale force will be
possible Tuesday and Tuesday night on the coastal waters.

Winds Thursday and Friday will average 10-20 knots, with 20-25
knots possible from hatteras to ocracoke on Friday.

Seas on the coastal waters will be highest Tuesday and Tuesday
night, averaging 5-9 feet. Seas will remain elevated for the
remainder of the period, with small craft conditions continuing
through the end of the week for most of the coastal waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 am Tuesday to 7 pm est Wednesday
for amz135-150.

Small craft advisory from 4 am Tuesday to 7 pm est Friday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 4 am Tuesday to 5 pm est Wednesday
for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Jme
short term... Jme
long term... Hsa
aviation... Jme hsa
marine... Jme hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 31 mi69 min W 14 G 19 51°F 68°F1021.4 hPa
41159 31 mi47 min 68°F4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi47 min WSW 8.9 G 11 41°F 56°F1021.7 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi69 min W 14 G 19 47°F 58°F1021.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 34 mi48 min 58°F2 ft
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 38 mi92 min W 1.9 38°F 1021 hPa30°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi47 min WNW 6 G 9.9 44°F 52°F1021.2 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi69 min W 18 G 25 51°F 66°F1021.7 hPa
WLON7 39 mi47 min 37°F 54°F1021.5 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi77 min W 12 G 15 1021.6 hPa (-1.0)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N11
G15

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC13 mi21 minWSW 410.00 miFair35°F28°F76%1021.3 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi20 minW 410.00 miFair39°F28°F67%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10W8W8W8W11NW12NW16NW14NW13W12NW10W7SW3SW3S3SW3SW4SW3SW3SW3SW4SW5SW3SW4
1 day agoN8N10N12N12N10N11N8N10N9N10NW11NW7NW8NW10NW7W11W11W11
G17
W8W4W7W7W8W11
2 days agoN7NE6N8N6NE9N9N10N10N13N10N11N11
G20
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N12N11NW13NW10NE7NE9NW9N126

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:03 AM EST     2.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:13 AM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:20 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:19 PM EST     2.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:40 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.82.92.82.31.610.50.30.40.81.42.12.62.92.82.41.81.10.50.100.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:49 AM EST     4.21 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:55 AM EST     0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:21 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:06 PM EST     4.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:22 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.54.14.23.93.12.11.20.60.40.71.42.33.23.94.13.93.32.31.30.50.10.10.71.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.