Saturday, April21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 7:46PM Saturday April 21, 2018 7:08 PM EDT (23:08 UTC) Moonrise 10:13AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 315 Pm Edt Sat Apr 21 2018
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight.
Mon..E winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon.
Mon night..E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming se 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 9 to 12 ft after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, increasing to very rough after midnight. Rain.
Tue..SE winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough in the afternoon. Rain.
Tue night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Rain in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 212223
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
623 pm edt Sat apr 21 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to build over the region through the
weekend. A slow moving low pressure system will affect the area
Monday through Wednesday. A cold front is expected to push
through the area late next week.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 615 pm sat... No change planned with good radiational
cooling leading to lows mainly 40 to 45.

Prev disc... Temperatures have warmed into the mid to upper 60s
across most for eastern nc (50s on obx) this afternoon under
sunny skies. We should add a couple more degrees this afternoon,
but temps will stay below average. Clear skies will persist
through tonight, with some mid to high level clouds moving in
overnight. With high pressure moving overhead, winds will be
calm, and another cold night is expected. Lows will range from
the low 40s inland, to the mid 40s along the coast.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
As of 245 pm sat... High pressure just to the north of the region
will allow for light easterly winds on Sunday. Skies will again
be mostly clear, and temperatures will warm to levels similar to
Saturday. Upper 60s to low 70s are expected west of us 17, mid
to upper 60s closer to the coast, and then upper 50s to low 60s
for the outer banks.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
As of 250 pm sat... High pressure will move off the coast Sunday
night, and then an area of low pressure will approach from the
lower mississippi valley through midweek. An upper trough will
linger over the region through the rest of the week, leading to
unsettled weather.

Sunday night... High pressure will move off the coast Sunday
night, with easterly flow persisting. Lows in the upper 40s
inland to mid 50s near the coast are expected by Monday morning.

Monday through Tuesday night... Unsettled conditions are expected for
this period as a significant upper low tracks across the southern
plains ms valley during the first half of next week. Scattered showers
look to arrive after mid morning Monday, but most of the rain
will hold off until Monday late afternoon. Meanwhile the upper
level low will become an open wave and slightly negatively
tilted as it becomes absorbed with another strong shortwave
trough dropping down from the northern plains. The track of the
sfc low will cross the area Tuesday night and Wednesday, but the
exact track and timing is still to be decided. This system will
have the potential for widespread rain with amount 1-3 inches
as the models show a significant 850mb moisture transport from
the atlantic towards the area Monday night and Tuesday. Also,
there is the potential for severe weather, depending on the
track of the low, with a negatively tilted trough aloft, but at
this time instability is very limited; will continue to monitor.

Expect highs in the mid to upper 60s inland and low mid 60s
along the beaches.

Wednesday through Saturday... Rain will start to taper off
Wednesday as the sfc low lifts NE and drier air filters in. Most
places will have a break from rain Wednesday night into
Thursday until the other aforementioned shortwave and it's
associated weak cold front approaches the area with rain
redeveloping again Thursday. The weak cold front is expected to
push through Thursday night with a secondary cold front Friday
or Saturday. Expect a warming trends to start Wednesday with
highs 70s inland and 60s along the outer banks.

Aviation 22z Saturday through Thursday
Short term through Sunday ...

as of 615 pm sat... High pressure will continue to prevail over
the area through Sunday. High confidence in mainlyVFR
conditions through the TAF period with mostly clear skies and
light winds. Very brief and patchy shallow ground fog will be
possible again 10-12z early Sunday morning espcly at kpgv. Could
also see some high based CU develop Sunday afternoon with
onshore flow.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday ... As of 105 pm
sat...VFR conditions will continue through Monday as high
pressure influences the weather. Moisture will increase across
the region as a low pressure system tracks towards the carolinas
producing widespread rain Monday night and Tuesday resulting in
MVFR conditions with possible ifr. Conditions will improve
Wednesday and Thursday as the low lifts north but sufficient
moisture and lift will persist to keep a threat of showers with
brief subVFR conditions both days.

Marine
Short term through Sunday ...

as of 615 pm sat... No changes planned with NE winds tonight
veering to more E Sunday with speeds increasing a bit late
Sunday.

Prev disc... Winds are currently 10-15 kts from the NE over the
coastal waters with seas 2-3 ft. Winds are expected to remain
light ene around 5-15 kts through Sunday afternoon, and seas
will range from 2-4 ft.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday ...

as of 310 pm sat... Wind gradient will tighten Monday as a low
pressure system approaches the region from the gulf states,
expect winds to become ene 10-25 knots, then increasing to 25-35
knots Tuesday with gusts to 40 kts. A gale watch is likely to be
needed, but will hold off on issuance for now. As the low lifts
ne, winds will become SW 10-15 knots Wednesday. Seas will
generally be around 2-3 ft through early Monday morning, then
seas will build 5-8 ft Monday afternoon. Seas will continue to
build Monday night and Tuesday as the sfc low approaches the
area, expect seas to reach as high 10-15 ft peaking Tuesday
afternoon. Seas will gradually subside Wednesday, but remain
above 6 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Rf sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Jme bm sgk
aviation... Rf bm
marine... Rf bm sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi51 min SE 12 G 16 59°F 63°F1028.5 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi69 min E 12 G 13 1028.7 hPa (-0.9)
41159 33 mi39 min 66°F3 ft
41064 33 mi61 min E 9.7 G 14 61°F 66°F1028.3 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi51 min ESE 12 G 14 61°F 64°F1027.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi39 min 60°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi61 min ESE 9.7 G 14 61°F 61°F1027.5 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi61 min E 14 G 18 62°F 66°F1028 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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S8
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NE7
G11
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NE2
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NE6
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G14
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N13
G23
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N8
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N3
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SW12
G18
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G17
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G20
SW14
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SW10
G19
W5
G13

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC3 mi72 minSE 1010.00 miFair60°F37°F44%1028.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi71 minSSW 67.00 miClear64°F43°F46%1027.9 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi73 minESE 910.00 miFair63°F37°F40%1028 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi71 minESE 11 G 1610.00 miFair60°F37°F44%1028.3 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6--E5SE3SE3SE3CalmCalm--CalmCalm--Calm3NE8NE9CalmCalmCalmNE12NE8
G16
E8S6SE8
1 day agoN15
G27
N18
G26
N19
G24
N15N14N12----N11--N6N5--N9NW11NW12N4
G15
N10N10NW13
G17
N8
G15
NW7N12N7
2 days agoS9S13
G19
SW1620SW15
G21
SW12
G20
SW11SW14--SW10SW11SW10SW10SW15
G20
SW14SW12SW16
G22
SW13SW11
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SW12N8N19
G32
N20
G27

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
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Sat -- 12:06 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:35 PM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.72.62.21.610.40-00.20.61.11.61.91.91.71.30.80.3000.30.71.42

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:09 AM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:45 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:38 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:35 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.73.532.21.30.60.1-00.20.81.52.12.52.62.31.81.10.40.100.311.82.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.