Monday, September24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:02PM Monday September 24, 2018 2:00 PM EDT (18:00 UTC) Moonrise 6:11PMMoonset 5:20AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 105 Pm Edt Mon Sep 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 10 pm edt this evening through late Tuesday night...
This afternoon..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with isolated tstms.
Tonight..E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Isolated tstms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Tue..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 241127
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
727 am edt Mon sep 24 2018

Synopsis
A weak cold front will drift south of the region this morning then
gradually dissipate. Weak low pressure is expected to lift north near
the coast Tuesday and Tuesday night. A stronger cold front will
push through the area Friday night.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 730 am Monday... The cold front has pushed south of the
area this morning as strong high pressure builds in from the
north while a coastal trough persists off the coast. Areas of
stratus have spread to much of the coast behind the front and
expect low clouds to persist through late morning, then clouds
will gradually lift through mid-day. The high centered to the
north will migrate off the new england coast through the day
with low level flow veering from N NE to predominantly E this
afternoon which will serve to push the coastal trough inland.

Isolated to scattered showers have spread into southern coastal
sections this morning are expected to push westward across the
area through the day as the trough moves inland. Could also see
an isolated thunderstorm this afternoon with CAPE forecast
around 2000 j kg and 0-6km bulk shear around 25 kt. Highs today
will mainly be in the low to mid 80s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday
As of 230 am Monday... The coastal trough pushes west of the area
this evening with showers diminishing with loss of surface
heating, though could see isolated showers, especially along the
coast. A low pressure area off the southeast coast will push
westward closer to the coast overnight with shower chances
increasing across eastern sections after midnight. Lows expected
around 70-75.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 330 am mon... Predominantly E SE flow across the area thru
Tuesday with high pressure sliding off the new england coast
while continuing to ridge SW into the piedmont and a weak area
of low pressure or open trough moving westward beneath the high
towards the southeast coast Tuesday. Sufficient moisture,
instability and shear will be present to bring scattered showers
and thunderstorms to the region, especially through peak
heating, though expect most storms to remain below severe
limits. Some heavy rain will be possible, with pwat values
approaching 2 inches. Coastal sections will see the best
chances of precip Tuesday with the weak low or trough in the
vicinity. Low level thicknesses begin to increase Tuesday with
highs expected to generally be in the mid 80s, except low 80s
along the coast.

High pressure will be centered off the SE coast Wednesday and
Thursday with SW flow continuing to bringing a warm, moist and
unstable airmass across the region with scattered showers and
thunderstorms expected. Best chance of precip will come Thursday
with increasing SW flow aloft ahead of a digging longwave
trough across the central CONUS and an embedded shortwave
progged to lift across the southeast. Low level thicknesses
support high in the mid to upper 80s Wednesday but drop some
Thursday with highs mainly in the mid 80s. Overnight lows in the
upper 60s to mid 70s.

A cold front approaches from the NW Friday and is currently
progged to push through the area Friday night. Continued moist
and unstable airmass ahead of the front will bring scattered
showers and thunderstorms across the area. 0-6km bulk shear is
expected to increase to around 30-40 kt and could see stronger
storms develop. Highs Friday expected in the low mid 80s. A
more stable airmass moves in behind the front but could see an
isolated shower during the day Saturday. Temps will be cooler
with highs mainly in the lower 80s with dewpoints dropping into
the 60s.

Aviation 12z Monday through Friday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 7 am Monday... A front has pushed south of the area this
morning with lifr stratus advecting into eastern nc which is
expected to persist until mid-morning, then will gradually lift
through the late morning and mid day hours with predVFR
returning early this afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers
with an isolated thunderstorm possible across rtes this
afternoon as a coastal trough pushes inland. Shower chances
decrease this evening as the trough pushes to the west and
instability decreases with loss of heating. An area of low
pressure off the southeast coast will push westward tonight with
showers chances increasing along the coast after midnight.

Could also see patchy fog develop at the terminals late tonight.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 330 am mon... PredVFR conditions expected much of the
period though patchy late night early morning fog possible each
morning. Also could see isolated to scattered showers or
thunderstorms through the period, especially through peak
heating each day. Thursday will have the best chance of showers
and thunderstorms at the terminals with shortwave energy lifting
across the area.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 3 am Monday... A front is pushing south of the area this
morning with strong high pressure building in from the north
while a coastal trough persists just offshore. The high will
push off the new england coast today and tonight with the
coastal trough pushing inland. Expect pred NE winds around 5-10
kt this morning, becoming E around 10-15 kt this afternoon. An
area of low pressure off the southeast coast will push northwest
toward the coast tonight with gradients tightening further
between the low and high pressure to the north and expect e
winds around 15 to 20 kt. Seas around 2-4 ft feet this morning
build to 3 to 6 ft this afternoon and evening and to 5-8 ft late
tonight as a prolonged easterly fetch develops across the
western atlantic.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 330 am mon... High pressure slides off the new england
coast Tuesday while continuing to ridge into the region and
expect winds to trend to the SE Tuesday as a weak area of low
pressure or open trough moves westward toward the southeast
coast. SE winds 10-20 kt tue. The prolonged fetch of onshore
winds will keep seas elevated 5-8 ft tue, subsiding to 4-6 ft
wed. Extended SCA several hours based on good agreement between
nwps and wavewatch. The trough weak low dissipates Tuesday
night with high pressure strengthening off the southeast coast
bringing S to SW winds around 5-15 kt Wednesday and Thursday.

Seas expected to slowly subside to around 3-5 ft north and 2-4
ft south by Wednesday evening and continuing through Thursday. A
cold front will approach the waters Thursday, though likely not
moving through until Friday night. Winds shift behind the front
becoming NE 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt.

Hydrology
As of 230 pm Sunday... Rivers have all crested and will cont to
see levels grad drop next several days. Still have major to
moderate flooding over the southern portion of the area. Heed
all local law enforcement instructions and do not drive into
flooded roadways.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt
Wednesday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 2 am edt
Wednesday for amz158.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 8 am edt
Wednesday for amz156.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 6 pm edt
Wednesday for amz150.

Synopsis... Sk
near term... Sk
short term... Sk
long term... Cqd
aviation... Sk cqd
marine... Sk cqd
hydrology... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi30 min ENE 8.9 G 12 83°F 82°F1022.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi60 min NE 15 G 17 1022.7 hPa (+0.0)
41159 32 mi30 min 82°F4 ft
41064 33 mi52 min ENE 12 G 16 81°F 82°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi30 min NNE 13 G 15 78°F 82°F1022.4 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi30 min 81°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi52 min N 16 G 19 76°F 81°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi52 min NNW 7.8 G 14 74°F 81°F1022.3 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi3.1 hrsN 67.00 miOvercast77°F75°F94%1022.9 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi64 minN 610.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F72°F79%1023.1 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3N74E6E3--SE5--------N4--N4N5N3--N6N7N83N9N7N6
1 day agoCalm--CalmE4NE6S5SE7S5S3SE3SE3----Calm----NW3--Calm----NE4----
2 days ago--NE6N33NE8NE7NE6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalm--Calm----W6

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.