Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:13PM Thursday May 25, 2017 4:01 PM EDT (20:01 UTC) Moonrise 5:04AMMoonset 7:07PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1253 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Rest of today..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 5 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, increasing to very rough late. A chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..W winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 5 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Fri night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 251945
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
345 pm edt Thu may 25 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will pass to the south Friday and Saturday. A
frontal boundary will move south into the region Saturday night
and become stationary through Tuesday morning, when it will
move off the coast. Another front will move in Wednesday and
become stationary across the area.

Near term tonight
As of 330 pm Thursday... Latest sfc analysis is showing the sfc
low over the ohio, meanwhile a sfc trough over the central nc.

An mid-upper vort MAX will become negatively tilted as it moves
across eastern nc this afternoon. Even though, dewpoints are
in 50s low 60s, but with strong upper level forcing and mid
levels becoming very cold enough to cause steep lapse rates
aloft to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms. Spc
continues to keep our region in a marginal risk for severe
storms, but think if any thunderstorms to become strong it will
be isolated. Main threat will be gusty winds and hail.

Latest radar returns are showing isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms developing across E nc. Storms will weaken
and diminish with the lack of heating and vort MAX lifting
northeast tonight. The sfc low over ohio will finally lift
northeast overnight, as high pressure builds in from the south.

Expect overnight lows in the upper 50s to around 60 degree
inland to mid upper 60s south coast and outer banks under partly
cloudy to mostly clear skies.

Short term Friday
As of 330 pm thurs... Weak high pressure will build in from the
south through Saturday. Expect mostly sunny skies and much
warmer weather. Low level thicknesses are supporting mos
guidance with high temps in the low 80s inland and upper 70s
along the beaches.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
As of 245 pm Thursday... Unsettled weather due to a stalled front
over the region will continue through early next week. Another
front will approach the area next Thursday.

Friday night through Sunday After a dry Friday night, weak
low pressure will move along the nc va border Saturday into
Saturday night as the mid-level ridge weakens and weak h5
shortwaves cross the region. A chance of precipitation will
occur mainly across the northern counties late Saturday into
Saturday night. As the weak boundary moves south and stalls on
Sunday, scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will continue
over most of the area on Sunday. H8 temps will support a rather
warm weekend, especially inland with highs into the lower 90s
with mid 80s along the coast.

Sunday night through Tuesday... Deep moisture will linger across
the CWA through early next week with a stalled boundary over the
southern part of nc. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue and will continue with 30-40 pct pop through the
period. Temperatures will be slightly cooler with most of our
cwa north of the boundary with highs mid 80s and lows mid 60s.

Tuesday night through Wednesday night... Weak ridging will build
in from the west shunting any precipitation to near or just off
the coast. Temperatures will be a degree or two cooler with
highs mid 80s and lows in the low mid 60s.

Thursday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms return,
especially later in the day, as another slow-moving cold front
enters the area from the west.

Aviation 19z Thursday through Tuesday
Short term through tonight
as of 1255 pm thu... High confidence ofVFR conditions will
persist through most of the TAF period. Cold front has pushed
off the coast this morning... Leading to scattered clouds around
5kft. Expect scattered clouds through most of the day with bkn
ceiling as an mid-upper level vort MAX crosses eastern nc. This
will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms, a few of
which could be severe with gusty winds and hail. SW winds 10-15
knots with gusty winds up to 25 knots. Any convection will end
early this evening with skies becoming clear late tonight. Winds
will diminish to around 10 knots and continue through the
overnight.VFR conditions will continue Friday with SW winds
around 10 knots gusting to 20 knots.

Long term Fri night through tues
as of 245 pm Thursday...VFR conditions are expected Friday night
and Saturday with weak mid-level ridging in place. Occasional
MVFR ceilings and vsbys will then be possible starting Saturday
night and continuing into Tuesday as a weak frontal boundary
stalls over the region with scattered showers and a few embedded
thunderstorms.

Marine
Short term tonight and Friday
as of 330 pm thurs. Latest buoy obs are showing SW winds 15-25
with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas are 6 to 10 ft south of oregon
inlet with the highest over the southern waters, meanwhile 3 to
5 ft north. Southwest winds will continue 15-25 knots with
occasional gusts up to 35 knots (occasional gale gusts) south of
cape hatteras as the pressure gradient tightens. Winds will
start to decrease early Friday morning (before sunrise), then
becoming west 15-20 knots Friday afternoon. Seas will be 7 to
11 ft south of oregon inlet and 4 to 6 ft north tonight and
overnight. Seas will subside 4 to 6 ft Friday afternoon. No
change to current small craft advisories now in effect.

Long term Fri night through tues
as of 245 pm Thursday... Seas will gradually fall below 6 feet
over the central waters Friday night with improving and
relatively quiet marine conditions for most of the upcoming
week. With upper ridge offshore and a weak boundary impacting
inland areas, expect winds to continue SW at 10-15 knots with
occasional gusts to 20 knots, especially during the evening
hours over the next several days. Per latest local nwps swan and
wavewatch, seas should range from 2-5 feet through the period.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
098-103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for amz136-
137.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Friday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until noon edt Friday for amz130-131-150.

Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt Friday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 9 pm edt Friday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Bm
near term... Bm
short term... Bm
long term... Ctc
aviation... Ctc bm
marine... Ctc bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi44 min SW 13 G 26 75°F 73°F1001.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi62 min SW 21 G 28 75°F 1002.3 hPa (-0.5)
41159 33 mi49 min 75°F10 ft
41064 33 mi54 min WSW 25 G 35 74°F 75°F1002.9 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi44 min SW 26 G 34 72°F 76°F1001.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi33 min 74°F6 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi54 min SSW 18 G 33 73°F 74°F1003.1 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi54 min SSW 23 G 31 73°F 75°F1001.8 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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S12
S11
G15
SW10
G14
SW11
G16
SW13
G18
S21
S19
G24
S17
G22
S19
G25
S16
S18
G23
S24
G29
S20
G26
SW11
G17
SW7
G12
SW7
G15
SW8
G14
SW8
G14
SW8
G20
SW9
G17
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G20
SW11
G20
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G22
1 day
ago
SW11
S14
G17
SW12
G16
SW7
G15
W8
G14
SW5
G12
SW7
G11
SW13
G20
S16
G22
S19
G23
SW15
G21
SW10
G14
W9
G15
W4
G12
W4
G7
W3
G7
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G7
SW4
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G8
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G13
2 days
ago
SW13
G17
S14
G19
SW11
G16
SW10
G15
SW8
G11
SW9
G13
SW8
G11
SW10
SW4
G8
W1
G5
W2
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SW3
S4
S10
S16
G23
S14
G19
S16
S16
S18
G23
SW15
G20
SW10
G13
SW9
G16
SW11
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC3 mi65 minSW 19 G 3010.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy74°F59°F60%1002.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi68 minSW 20 G 3210.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy77°F55°F47%1001.4 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi66 minSSW 106.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain69°F63°F81%1002.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi64 minSW 25 G 3510.00 miFair and Windy77°F62°F60%1002.4 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S8S10SE6S9S12
G19
S9
G19
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G21
S11
G18
S13
G19
S11
G30
S13
G24
SW14
G23
SW12SW9SW8SW15
G23
SW18
G25
SW17
G26
--W21
G29
SW21
G31
SW20
G32
1 day agoS7S11--SW11S8SW8S9S8SW8S8S10SW7W12W8SW7SW4SW4W6SW43S7SW8SW6SW11
2 days agoS15
G22
S13
G19
SW11SW9S8
G17
SW5SW3W6SW6--CalmCalm--CalmCalmSW5S5S9S4SW7S11SW9S9
G19
SW13
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:45 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:36 AM EDT     2.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:38 PM EDT     -0.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:08 PM EDT     3.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.3-0.4-0.10.51.21.92.32.321.40.6-0.1-0.5-0.6-0.20.51.42.32.93.23.12.51.7

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:47 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:39 AM EDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:40 PM EDT     -0.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     4.33 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.4-0.2-0.4-00.71.62.533.12.7210.1-0.5-0.6-0.10.71.93.13.94.34.13.52.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.