Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bogue, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:22PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 8:09 AM EST (13:09 UTC) Moonrise 6:47AMMoonset 5:12PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 657 Am Est Tue Jan 16 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
.small craft advisory in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Areas of fog this morning. Areas of fog early this afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less this morning.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except around 2 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of rain in the morning, then rain or snow likely in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Rain likely or a chance of snow in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bogue, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.68, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 161135
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
635 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
Cold high pressure remains over the area today. A cold front will
produce light snow on Wednesday and will push offshore Wednesday
night, followed by high pressure building in from the west late in
the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 635 am tues... Consensus of the high resolution hrrr and
consshort models is for the fog and low stratus invading from
the east is to make it as far southwest as greenville and new
bern during the next 2-3 hours then retreat and dissipate around
15z.

As the fog and stratus dissipate late morning, afternoon
sunshine will help to warm temperatures into the upper 40s to
low 50s. Widely scattered to scattered shower activity is
expected across the outer banks and hyde and dare counties in
association with an inverted trough off the coast. However,
high-res guidance wasn't as robust as the previous forecast, and
have scaled back pops in this region to now be mainly over the
outer banks.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 335 am tues... Increasing clouds Tuesday night will
prohibit another night of lows in the 20s. Low temps are
expected to reach the low 30s inland, and mid 30s along the
coast. Most areas should remain dry ahead of advancing cold
through Wednesday morning.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 345 am Tuesday... Wednesday through Wednesday evening will
be the focus for wintry weather as rain quickly mixes with then
changes over to snow across most of eastern nc by evening.

Fortunately the system will have limited moisture with most
model QPF forecasts indicating 0.25" or less of water
equivalent. Nonetheless, the system will have good forcing to
wring out what moisture is available. The 00z models have come
in slightly cooler suggesting a faster change over to snow
Wednesday afternoon, especially inland as a surface cold front
moves rapidly east across the area Wednesday morning. This will
be an anafront, where precip occurs behind the sfc boundary.

Thus, not expecting freezing rain, as cooling will occur from
top down. Bndry layer wet bulb temps will be near 0 degrees c
through the day, and even though sfc temps will climb to the
upper 30s north to mid 40s south, the arrival of precip will wet
bulb down to the sfc due to dynamic cooling. So expect a brief
period of rain before transitioning to a ra sn mix then quickly
to snow, from northwest areas to southeast. Right now think
timing will be early afternoon for snow across NW zones, finally
switching to snow southeast zones by early evening as the
precip is coming to an end. Best chance of light accums will be
northern and northwestern counties where deeper cold bndry layer
temps will reside. Timing of the snow should adversely affect
the afternoon and evening commute when the heaviest of the snow
is forecast to occur. Column drying occurs Wed evening as deep
layer saturation quickly erodes, and there may be a brief period
of freezing drizzle before precip comes to an end around
midnight. Roads will likely be treacherous where snow falls
through thur morning as overnight lows Wed night expected in the
upper teens to lower 20s inland to 25-30 immediate coast.

Thursday through Sunday... Cold and dry conditions will follow
this low pressure system, with high temps Thursday only topping
out in the upper 30s across the area. Low temps will be very
cold Thursday and Friday mornings with teens expected inland,
and 20s along the coast. As the cold upper trough moves away on
Friday, high temperatures will moderate to around 50. High
pressure moving off the coast, and rising heights will allow
temperatures to warm above average over the weekend, with dry
weather expected.

Monday... A cold front will approach late Monday bringing a
threat of showers to area by evening. Mild temperatures will
continue ahead of the front with highs in the lower to middle
60s expected.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 635 am tues... Main concern is whether the large area of
low clouds and fog producing lifr conditions over the eastern
half of the area will make it as far southwest as greenville and
new bern by 14z as the high resolution hrrr and consshort
models indicate. Will forecast prevailing MVFR temp lifr those
terminals through 16z thenVFR in line with the models.VFR
conditions then are expected to prevail this afternoon through
tonight, though clouds withVFR bases will be on the increase
tonight ahead of an approaching cold front.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 345 am Tuesday... Rain snow will impact flying conditions
Wednesday and Wednesday night, then a return toVFR conditions
are expected Thursday through Saturday with dry high pressure
forecast to be over the area.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 635 am tues... Have issued a dense fog advisory for most
of the waters due to invading area of fog now moving into
southern waters with visibilities currently 1 nm or less in many
locations this morning.

Winds are currently N 10 to 15 kts, with seas 5-8 ft still. Sca
advisories continue for all the coastal waters, with areas
south of ocracoke inlet forecast to come down later this
afternoon. Winds will remain mostly 10-15 kts out of the nnw for
the rest of the period. Seas will be slowly coming down today
with 4-7 ft expected by mid morning, and 3-6 ft likely by
tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 345 am Tuesday... Small craft conditions will persist
across the through Thursday dues to gusty northerly winds 20 to
25 kt through Thursday morning and hazardous 5 to 8 ft seas
through Thursday afternoon. Winds and seas slowly decrease late
Thursday afternoon. Friday and Saturday W SW flow around 15 kt
is expected with seas 3-5 ft Friday and 2 to 4 ft Saturday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Dense fog advisory until 10 am est this morning for amz130-131-
135-136-150-152-154-156-158.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est this afternoon for amz156-
158.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Jme sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Jme tl
aviation... Jme sgk
marine... Jme sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 20 mi51 min N 9.9 G 11 33°F 45°F1031.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 28 mi69 min NNW 8 G 8.9 1031.1 hPa (+1.4)
41159 33 mi39 min 59°F4 ft
41064 33 mi61 min NNE 7.8 G 12 45°F 59°F1030.9 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last
24hr
N11
G17
N13
G17
N11
G20
N14
G18
N13
G19
N14
G17
N13
G16
N12
G16
N11
G15
N9
G12
N8
G13
N10
G14
N11
G15
N11
G14
N11
G14
N12
G15
N9
G12
N8
N9
N9
G12
N11
N10
N8
N8
1 day
ago
N15
G20
N19
G24
N16
G22
NE16
G22
N17
G21
N13
G23
N13
G16
NE12
G22
N14
G19
N15
G19
N11
G18
N12
G16
N16
G20
N17
G23
N16
G20
N16
G21
N17
G22
N16
G22
N17
G21
N13
G20
N13
G19
N14
G18
N12
G20
N12
G15
2 days
ago
SW5
G11
SW6
G13
SW8
G17
SW5
G10
SW5
G10
SW8
G15
W5
G10
NW14
G19
NW10
G14
N11
G15
N11
G16
N15
G20
NE10
G14
N12
G19
N13
G18
N11
G16
N12
G15
N15
G21
N17
G29
N13
G21
N16
G21
N11
G21
N14
G17
N17

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC1 mi72 minNNW 510.00 miFair29°F28°F96%1031.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi2.2 hrsNNW 67.00 miClear32°F28°F88%1030.5 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi71 minNNE 410.00 miFair30°F28°F96%1031.5 hPa
MCAS New River, NC22 mi73 minNNW 310.00 miFair28°F26°F92%1031.8 hPa

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
Last 24hrN10
G17
N8
G17
N10
G14
N7
G16
N8N7N10
G17
N10
G15
N5N6N3N5N6N7N6N6N5N4N6N6N6NW5N5N5
1 day agoN13
G21
N13
G19
N11
G18
N12
G18
N11
G20
N11N10N12
G17
NE9--N5N9N11
G19
N12
G19
N14
G21
N11
G20
N9N14
G20
N10N10
G16
N8
G16
N10N11N8
G17
2 days agoSW8--W9W9W8NW10
G15
--NW9
G14
NW8
G15
NW10
G16
N86N8N8N7N6N9N11
G18
N8
G16
N8
G17
N9N7N9N9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:33 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:46 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     2.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:33 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:12 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:21 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:18 PM EST     1.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.10.20.61.21.82.22.42.31.91.30.70.3-0-00.20.61.11.51.71.71.40.90.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:03 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:11 AM EST     1.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:02 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:11 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:20 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tue -- 09:25 PM EST     0.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.2-0-0.100.20.611.21.31.31.10.80.50.20-000.30.60.8110.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.