Saturday, May26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Knoll Shores, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:13PM Saturday May 26, 2018 12:26 AM EDT (04:26 UTC) Moonrise 4:27PMMoonset 3:23AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 936 Pm Edt Fri May 25 2018
Overnight..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers late.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then showers likely with a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Mon..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Showers.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Knoll Shores, NC
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location: 34.69, -76.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260144
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
944 pm edt Fri may 25 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will remain over the western atlantic through
next week. Subtropical storm alberto will move into the gulf
states early next week. The remnants of it will move into the
mid-atlantic states by the end of the week. The circulation
around the system will keep a deep supply of tropical moisture
and unsettled weather across the area through most of next week.

Near term tonight
As of 945 pm fri... Latest sfc analysis shows high pressure
offshore and weakening stationary front just to the south. No
sig changes needed to previous forecast for update. Winds are
expected to become light to calm, allowing for good radiational
cooling which will lead to low stratus and patchy fog to develop
after midnight in high rh boundary layer. Lows will be in the
upper 60s to low 70 across the area.

Short term Saturday
As of 325 pm fri... Continuing moistening and warming conditions
expected. By afternoon, more of a typical summer time pattern
with an iso or sct shower or storm for inland locales and rising
hts near the coast spelling dry conditions in the afternoon.

Have 30-40 pops for wrn SRN areas on sat. Temps very warm and
humid with highs 85-90 inland and near 80 beaches.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 325 pm fri...

Saturday night... Dry but muggy with lows in the 70-75 degree
range.

Sunday... Have trended drier with fcst, as ridging will be in
place courtesy of bermuda high offshore with above climo hts. It
will be quite warm and humid, with highs in the 85-90 degree
range again inland, to near 80 beaches. Pops will only be 20%
wrn half to 10% eastern zones.

Sunday night through Monday... Increased confidence this period
with threat for heavy rain and localized flooding, as models
converging on piece of energy associated with the tropical
system in the gulf moving through E nc. Layer moisture increases
dramatically by Sun eve with advertised pwats inc to AOA 2
inches, and layer streamlines approaching 15 g kg, indicative of
tropical air mass across E nc. Forcing for ascent increases as
the area will be under rrq of upr jet streak to the north. These
ingredients combine to bring up to a few inches of rain
possible for Sunday night into Monday. Have added +ra wording to
grids and will highlight heavy rain threat in hwo. Have inc
pops further to 70-80%.

Monday night through Thursday... Fcst becomes less certain this
period, as the area will still be under threat for showers and
storms indirectly associated with the tropical system over the
deep south. Will maintain higher chance pops but cap them at
50%, as timing of potential shortwaves interacting with frontal
boundary in the area will dictate when and where precip moves
through the region. Nevertheless, it still looks like an
unsettled period as very warm and humid air mass will still be
in place. Highs this period generally in the mid 80s inland to
near 80 coast. Lows will be 70-75.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through Sat ...

as of 630 pm fri...VFR conditions currently across the area, but
decent chances of widespread sub-vfr developing late tonight and
early Saturday morning. With high boundary layer, and mostly
calm winds radiational cooling will allow for low stratus and
patchy fog to form with ifr conditions possible at all 4
terminals.VFR will return by mid-morning with ssw wind gusts
15-20 kt Sat afternoon. Scattered afternoon convection
expected.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 345 am fri... MainlyVFR through Sunday, though threat for
overnight fg stratus bringing conditions to MVFR or lower.

Better chance for widespread subVFR comes into play Sunday
night through Monday as tropical moisture and periods of heavy
rain move into the area.

Marine
Short term through Sat ...

as of 945 pm fri... Latest obs show S SW winds 5-15 kt, with
some gusts up to 20 kt north of ocracoke with seas 2-3 ft.

Southwest flow will be the rule in the short term with high
pressure off the southeast coast. Winds will average 5-15 knots
tonight on the coastal waters and sounds, 5-10 knots on the
rivers. Winds will increase Saturday, courtesy of the offshore
high and increasing land sea thermal gradient. Speeds will be
10-20 kt on the coastal waters and 5-15 knots on the rivers.

Some gusts will approach 25 kt Sat afternoon and evening on the
pamlico sound. Seas will average 2-4 feet.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 345 am fri... The SW winds will generally remain 10-20 kt
through Tuesday, with seas building close to SCA range (4-6 ft)
later Mon into Tuesday.

Equipment
As of 325 pm fri... Kmhx radar is down until further notice,
awaiting parts.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Cqd hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Tl
aviation... Cqd hsa tl
marine... Cqd hsa tl
equipment... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 7 mi38 min SSW 6 G 8.9 75°F 79°F1017.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 15 mi26 min SSW 7 G 8 1017.2 hPa (+0.0)
41159 34 mi26 min 77°F2 ft
41064 34 mi78 min S 5.8 G 7.8 76°F 76°F1017.2 hPa
41063 46 mi146 min SSW 9.7 G 14 77°F 1017.3 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC8 mi88 minSSW 910.00 miFair75°F72°F90%1017 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC12 mi28 minS 47.00 miClear74°F73°F97%1016.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC13 mi29 minSSW 710.00 miFair74°F73°F100%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmNE4NE5NE3--NE3E7SE93S8SE11S8S10SW11S9S10S10S7S8S9S9SW7
1 day agoCalmSW4SW4NE3SW3SW6W4N3N6NE7E6E6E9E11E11E9E9E6E6E4E3E3CalmCalm
2 days agoSW12SW12SW10SW11SW11SW10SW8SW13SW15SW12SW13SW16SW15S18SW16SW21
G26
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SW14SW12SW13SW11SW13W10

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:32 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:33 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:38 PM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.20.10.10.30.50.91.11.21.10.90.60.30.1-0.1-0.10.10.50.91.21.41.51.31.1

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Macon, USCG Station, North Carolina
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Fort Macon
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:06 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:11 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:10 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:37 PM EDT     3.63 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-00.10.71.42.22.83.12.92.41.70.90.3-00.10.71.52.33.13.53.63.22.51.60.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.