Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Casmalia, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:21PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 6:30 PM PDT (01:30 UTC) Moonrise 6:33AMMoonset 7:21PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ670 Point Piedras Blancas To Point Sal From 10 To 60 Nm- 417 Pm Pdt Tue Mar 28 2017 Update
.gale warning in effect until 3 am pdt Wednesday...
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 30 kt with local gusts to 40 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 12 to 15 ft dominant period 17 seconds.
Wed..N winds 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 11 to 13 ft dominant period 16 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with local gusts to 35 kt. Combined seas 11 to 12 ft dominant period 16 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with local gusts to 35 kt...becoming 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 10 to 12 ft dominant period 15 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Combined seas 13 to 14 ft dominant period 12 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Combined seas 12 to 14 ft dominant period 11 seconds...subsiding to 10 to 13 ft dominant period 12 seconds in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Combined seas 13 to 14 ft dominant period 11 seconds...subsiding to 11 to 14 ft dominant period 11 seconds after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Combined seas 9 to 12 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Combined seas 11 to 14 ft.
PZZ600 417 Pm Pdt Tue Mar 28 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z...or 1 pm pst...a 1030 mb high pressure center was located 550 nm northwest of point conception and a 1000 mb low pressure center was located over new mexico. Winds will be elevated during much of this coming week. Gales will possibly return again Thursday and Friday. Short period seas will dominate the waters due to persistent northwest winds.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Casmalia, CA
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location: 34.7, -121.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 282106
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles/oxnard ca
206 pm pdt Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
Weakening offshore flow and ridging aloft will bring a warming
trend through Wednesday. A trough of low pressure will bring
cooler conditions by Friday with another round of gusty offshore
winds. Warmer conditions will likely return this weekend as weak
offshore flow lingers and a ridge aloft builds into the region.

Short term (tdy-fri)
north to northeast winds continue to weaken this afternoon and all
advisories will be allowed to expire. However, a new set of low
end wind advisories will be issued for southern santa barbara
county as models still show a decent gradient and winds below
850mb to justify it. Still some uncertainty on the strength of the
santa ana winds on Wednesday across la/ventura counties. The nam
was stronger today with the upper support than it was yesterday
but with the ridge building and the low and cold air air well to
the east this seems unlikely. MOS guidance is all pretty weak as
well. There may be a couple hours of near advisory level gusts in
the morning across the mtns mainly but will keep winds below
advisory levels for now. Gradients are stronger, which is not
uncommon for the second day of offshore events, and the air mass
is quite a bit warmer with the ridge aloft, so high temps should
jump several degrees from today. Low 90s expected for warmer
valleys, which would be close to record levels, and 70s and 80s
for coastal zones which probably won't be quite enough to reach
records.

On Thursday a trough will move into NRN california then move
southeast into southern nevada Thursday evening. This will result
in a rapid shift from offshore to onshore (an almost 7 mb 24 hour
trend from Wed from lax-dag), and several degrees of cooling,
especially for coast/valleys.

Another round of very gusty north winds expected behind the
trough Thu evening into Friday morning with speeds possibly
approaching the levels experienced last night.

Then gradients turn offshore again Friday, though air mass will be
quite a bit cooler so highs should be a few degrees cooler than
thu despite the offshore trends.

Long term (sat-tue)
a second day of offshore gradients Saturday will be accompanied
by a much warmer air mass as the upper low exits to the east and
the ridge builds. Highs not expected to be quite as warm Saturday
as tomorrow but still at least 10-15 degrees above normal. There
will be some northeast breezes but likely below advisory levels.

Gradients then shift to onshore Sunday that should lead to some
cooling but still at least a few degrees above normal in most
areas.

For Monday and Tuesday the GFS has shifted towards the much
weaker and progressive trough pattern that the ECMWF has been
advertising. It's been bouncing around quite a bit though so
confidence is pretty low for early next week, but if these trends
hold then it would certainly be a warmer and less windy forecast
than previously expected with no chance of rain. Bumped up highs
a few degrees but didn't want to adjust too much in case the
solutions reverts back to a cooler/windier one.

Aviation 28/1800z.

At 1703z at klax... There was no marine inversion.

High confidence inVFR conditions through the next 24 hours.

Klax... High confidence in the 18z taf.VFR conditions are
expected.

Kbur... High confidence in the 18z taf.VFR conditions are
expected.

Marine 28/200 pm.

Across the outer waters... Another gale warning continues as model
solutions project 45 kt gusts in the western sections late this
afternoon through much of tonight. It is a bit difficult to
monitor conditions in the coastal waters due to an outage of
observations. Small craft advisory winds will resume Wednesday
and continue into Wednesday night. By late Thursday, wind speeds
in the outer waters may again increase to gale warning criteria.

Across the inner waters... A SCA for hazardous seas is in effect
through this afternoon south of point conception due to steep and
choppy waves. Gale level winds may affect the inner waters on
Thursday and Friday.

Lox watches/warnings/advisories
Ca... High surf advisory in effect until 2 pm pdt Wednesday for
zones 34-35. (see laxcfwlox).

Wind advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Wednesday for zones
39-52. (see laxnpwlox).

Beach hazards statement in effect through Wednesday afternoon
for zones 40-41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening
for zone 645. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect until 3 pm
pdt this afternoon for zones 650-655. (see laxmwwlox).

Gale warning in effect until 3 am pdt Wednesday for zones
670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (fri-tue)
another round of strong and gusty northerly winds are expected
Friday.

Public... Mw
aviation... Sweet
marine... Sweet
synopsis... Munroe
weather.Gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46259 19 mi30 min 57°F15 ft
46011 - SANTA MARIA - 21 NM Northwest of Point Arguello, CA 23 mi40 min NNW 14 G 18 56°F 56°F11 ft1019.8 hPa (-1.2)
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 32 mi30 min 55°F12 ft
46257 34 mi30 min 55°F13 ft
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 36 mi30 min N 23 G 25 55°F 1018.4 hPa (-1.7)
HRVC1 36 mi42 min 1018.9 hPa
46215 - Diablo Canyon, CA (076) 42 mi40 min 56°F8 ft
PSLC1 - 9412110 - Port San Luis, CA 43 mi42 min W 13 G 14 66°F 55°F1019.2 hPa

Wind History for Port San Luis, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lompoc, Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA39 mi32 minN 18 G 224.00 miFair with Haze and Breezy57°F51°F82%1018.9 hPa

Wind History from VBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN22
G29
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N19N17N13N14N15N15N12N10N12N11N11N7N8N7N14N13N14N17N20N19N16N18
G22
1 day agoN12N9N6N7N8N6N7N6NE34N12N10N14N10N15N18
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N21NW17N22
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2 days agoN13N15N13N11N11N10N9N10N12N12N12N9N7N11N16N19N15N16
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G24
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N19N15
G20

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Point Arguello
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:44 AM PDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:30 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:56 AM PDT     4.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:57 PM PDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:20 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:17 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:15 PM PDT     5.12 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.43.42.21.10.40.20.71.52.73.84.54.84.43.62.41.30.50.20.51.42.53.74.65.1

Tide / Current Tables for Oil Platform Harvest (Topex Project), California
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Oil Platform Harvest (Topex Project)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:39 AM PDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:30 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:45 AM PDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM PDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:20 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:17 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:08 PM PDT     5.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.53.42.110.30.20.81.72.94.14.854.53.52.31.20.40.20.61.52.744.95.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.