Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beaufort, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:49PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 4:23 AM EDT (08:23 UTC) Moonrise 2:28PMMoonset 3:00AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 332 Am Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 6 to 9 ft, except 5 to 7 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy late. Scattered tstms with a slight chance of showers late.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beaufort, NC
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location: 34.72, -76.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 250731
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
331 am edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure over central north carolina will move northeast today
and push a cold front through the area later tonight. Several weak
disturbances will affect the area from late Thursday into the
weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 310 am wed... Low pressure has now moved into central nc,
with a cold front extending south so the myrtle beach area, and
a warm front extending to the NE up into the southern delmarva
region. A surface trough is pivoting around the low and through
eastern nc early this morning, with showers and thunderstorms
along along it. Most of the convection remains offshore, and
looks to be east of the outer banks now. Will maintain a slight
chance pop for the obx and offshore, but it will be mostly dry
though mid morning. Vertically stacked upper level and surface
low will move across nc and into SE va through the day today,
and will spark some showers after mid morning. By late morning,
and especially in the afternoon, scattered thunderstorms along
with showers are likely, especially north of us 264. No severe
weather is expected, although there could be some small hail.

Current temperatures are mild, mostly in the low to mid 60s. Expect
lows to be close to current readings, in the upper 50s inland
and the low 60s along the coast. Partly cloudy skies later today
will allow temperatures to rise into the mid to upper 70s
inland, with low 70s expected near the coast.

Some patchy fog will also be possible through sunrise, with lots
of low level moisture in the area, and could drop visibilities
to 1-3 miles at times.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 320 am wed... Any shower or thunderstorm activity should
begin to weaken by this evening. A dry night is expected
thereafter, with mostly clear skies. The cold front behind the
slow moving low pressure system will finally push through early
tonight, with winds shifting to the nw. Low temps will reach the mid
to upper 50s across eastern nc by morning.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 330 am Tuesday... Weakening upper low just west of area
early Wed will move east across area during the day, then will
be followed a dampening short wave trough Thu night into early
Friday and then a stronger trough Saturday. This will keep
isolated to scattered shower threat in forecast that period,
then dry high pressure will build in Sat night into Monday.

Wednesday night through Saturday... Upper trough energy and pw
around 1 to 1.25 inch support chance pops for scattered shower
threat mainly Wed and again Thu night into Friday with mainly
slight chance pops for isolated activity rest of period. Some
model differences on surface low development with short wave thu
night into Friday with GFS stronger with inland low while ecmwf
and NAM support weaker low near coast. Temps near or slightly
below normal during period with lows mainly 50s and highs low-
mid 70s inland and 65-70 coast.

Sat night through Monday... Stronger upper trough passage with
associated cold front will bring in slightly cooler and drier
air mass during period, with some inland lows in 40s and highs
around 70.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday night ...

as of 320 am wed... A mix of MVFR andVFR conditions are
expected for the TAF period. There may be some brief periods of
ifr across the coastal plain overnight, but it should be
predominately MVFR.VFR conditions are present at all TAF sites
currently, with some scattered clouds 1000 to 2000 ft present.

Expect the coverage of this deck to increase overnight, leading
to MVFR ceilings inland, including kpgv and kiso. Closer to the
coast,VFR ceilings should persist through the TAF period. There
could also be some patchy fog developing inland, so have
included in the forecast across the coastal plain.VFR
conditions are expected to return later this morning, and some
scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible later in the
day.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday ...

as of 330 am Tuesday... Conditions will improve to mostlyVFR
through period, but the threat of isolated to scattered showers
will continue each day with a possibility of brief sub-vfr
conditions.

Marine
Short term through Wednesday night ...

as of 320 pm wed... Rough seas and strong, but diminishing winds
will continue this morning and through most of today. Small
craft advisories are ongoing for all the coastal waters, and
will continue through Thursday morning afternoon.

Winds are currently ssw 15-20 kts across the coastal waters,
with seas 7-12 ft. Winds and seas will continue to subside
today, although a period of winds SW 20-25 kts is expected late
this afternoon into the evening. Later tonight, winds will shift
to the NW as a cold front moves through the waters, and winds
will become NW 5-15 kts by tomorrow morning. Seas will subside
to 6-10 ft this afternoon, and then to 4-7 ft by early tomorrow
morning.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 330 am Tuesday... .Slow moving surface low will move
through Wed evening. Winds shift briefly to northerly behind
front early Thu but then some model differences with handling of
next surface low results in low confidence forecast of winds
rest of period. GFS indicates deepening surface low moving sw-ne
well inland of area Friday which results in moderate to strong
s-sw winds over waters. ECMWF and NAM indicate weaker surface
development along coast with stronger winds remaining offshore.

Models do agree on stronger front moving through late Saturday
followed by decent surge of northerly winds Sat night. Given
model differences, leaned to blend of superblend and previous
forecast for thu-sat period.

Elevated seas will gradually subside below 6 ft Wed night into
thu, then generally 3-4 ft rest of period but low confidence
forecast for thu-sat per above.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 130 am wed... Minor beach erosion, rough surf, dangerous
shore break, and high rip current risk are expected to persist
today across the local beaches.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement from 8 am edt this morning through
this evening for ncz095-098-103-104.

High surf advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for ncz103-
104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Thursday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Thursday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Jbm
aviation... Jbm sgk
marine... Jbm sgk
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 0 mi54 min S 4.1 G 5.1 62°F 63°F1008.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 10 mi84 min S 4.1 G 4.1 1008.9 hPa (-1.4)
41159 38 mi54 min 67°F8 ft
41064 38 mi76 min SW 12 G 16 68°F 67°F1005.9 hPa
41063 39 mi144 min W 9.7 G 14 69°F 1008.9 hPa (-1.2)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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SE15
G20
SE17
G21
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G27
E18
G26
SE21
G27
SE23
G30
SE24
G31
SE2
G8
NE7
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NE4
G8
S5
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NE6
S6
SE14
G17
SE19
G23
SE18
G23
SE16
G23
SE13
SE14
SW3
G7
SW4
G7
SE2
S6
G9
1 day
ago
E7
E7
G11
E9
G12
E7
G10
SE9
G12
SE14
G18
E14
G19
SE19
G24
SE20
E14
G21
E13
G19
SE13
G17
SE14
G18
E14
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E14
G22
E14
G20
E12
G19
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G20
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SE16
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SE15
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2 days
ago
N5
NE4
NE4
E5
G9
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G12
E7
G13
SE10
G13
E5
G12
E10
G13
E10
G13
E8
G11
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G12
E9
G13
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G12
E8
E6
G10
NE5
N4
N3
NE4
NE4
SE5
SE8

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC1 mi86 minS 59.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F60°F97%1008.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi27 minSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1008.6 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11
G19
SE13
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G29
SE17
G28
W7
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NE10NE7S6E5S7SE13
G19
SE16
G27
SE13
G26
SE12
G23
SE11SE8
G14
SW5W6CalmS5S5
1 day agoE6E8SE6SE8SE11E10
G20
E10
G19
E15
G24
E10
G22
E14
G20
E10
G19
E9
G17
E12
G18
E12
G19
E14
G20
--E13
G20
E11E15
G23
SE11
G21
SE10
G19
SE13
G19
SE11
G17
SE11
2 days agoNE4E3NE3E5E6E8E7E7SE10E11
G16
NE10E9E11E10
G16
E7E8NE3N5NE5CalmNE43SE5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Duke Marine Lab, Beaufort, North Carolina (sub)
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Duke Marine Lab
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:53 AM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:15 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:31 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:35 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.61.32.12.83.33.53.22.61.70.90.2-0.100.51.32.12.83.23.22.82.11.20.50.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:10 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:51 AM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:48 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:21 PM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.10.10.511.41.81.91.81.51.10.70.30.100.20.71.21.61.91.81.61.30.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.