Friday, April26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beaufort, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:49PM Friday April 26, 2019 4:40 AM EDT (08:40 UTC) Moonrise 12:56AMMoonset 11:12AM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 306 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2019
.gale warning in effect from this afternoon through this evening...
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft this afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to rough. A chance of showers and tstms this morning, then showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight. Showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sun night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beaufort, NC
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location: 34.72, -76.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260801
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
401 am edt Fri apr 26 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move through this evening, followed by high
pressure for the weekend. Another front is expected to move
through the area Sunday evening. High pressure will remain in
control early next week.

Near term through today
As of 330 am fri... An interesting day across our area as our
recent stretch of sunshine and warmth will come to an end and
the threat for some stronger thunderstorms. Clouds have already
moved into our area well ahead of a cold front that by 18z will
be just west of the forecast area. SPC continues to keep our
entire area in a slight risk for severe weather with the primary
threat being damaging winds. The severe threat today will come
in two parts, widely scattered showers and thunderstorms through
18z. Then along and just ahead of the front itself some sort of
line sweeping through the area between 20z and 0z this
afternoon evening.

Our best instability will be with the initial chance of
individual cells through 18z as sbcapes average between 1000
and 2000 j kg. With increasing shear and environmental winds
damaging winds will remain the main threat but the limiting
factor during this time may be coverage as the storms look
widely scattered at best.

After 18z our instability drops off sharply with sbcapes falling
to around 500 j kg when most of the higher resolution guidance
shows a line coming through the area. Despite the decrease in
instability, forcing along the front itself may make up for
this. Damaging winds will still remain the main threat with an
inverted v sounding (dry air in the lower levels) and
environmental winds of 45 to 50 kts between 5 and 7,000 feet.

Whatever line forms will have the potential to produce a very
brief window of heavy rain and gusty winds while moving off the
coast early this evening.

Outside of the severe weather threat it will be breezy and not
nearly as warm as Thursday. Highs today with the cloud cover
will be held to around 80 or about 10 degrees cooler than
Thursday. Southwest winds ahead of the front will become gusty
this morning and between 17z and 22z peak at 35 to 40 mph
inland and also along the outer banks. Held off on any wind
headlines as this is just below the threshold of 46 mph needed
for a wind advisory.

Short term tonight
As of 330 am fri... Shower threat ends very early this evening
with a clear sky moving it rather quickly. While winds will
diminish a bit overnight we could have some 30 mph winds
especially along the outer banks. It will feel crisp behind the
front with lows falling back into the lower 50s inland.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
As of 315 am fri... Mostly dry and warm conditions expected
through the period. Precip chances increase mid to late next
week.

No significant changes needed to previous forecast. Still looks
like a nice weekend, with dry conditions and seasonable temps.

Most of the latter half of the weekend through the middle of
next week will be characterized by a quasi-stationary frontal
boundary to our north over virginia with an east-west oriented
area of high pressure ridging over the eastern carolinas from
the atlantic. A cold front will push through the area Sunday
evening, but still looks moisture starved. Cannot rule out a few
showers with it, but looks mostly dry with sfc winds becoming
nne. A mid-level ridge will build along the mid-atlantic Monday
through Wednesday keeping precipitation north of the area and
enabling temperatures to warm from the 70s over the weekend to
well into the 80s inland Tuesday Wednesday and overnight lows to
moderate into the 60s. A weak cold front will being to approach
the area mid to late next week and will continue sc pops.

Aviation 07z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Friday ...

as of 150 am fri...VFR conditions through late morning with a
gradual lowering of the CIGS to around 5,000 feet. A few
showers are possible during this time but restrictions are not
expected. This afternoon and early this evening an area of
showers and thunderstorms will move through the terminals.

During this time roughly between 17z and 0z MVFR restrictions
are possible in showers and thunderstorms. The other main
aviation concern will be the wind today. Southwest winds around
10 kts through sunrise will become gusty with gusts to 20 kts
through late morning, then 28 to 34 knots during the peak winds
between 17z and 21z. With the passage of the showers and storms
winds will quickly veer into the west at 15 to 20 kts early this
evening before diminishing some after 03z.VFR is expected
tonight with skc.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 315 am fri... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period. Though cannot rule out patchy fog or stratus early
mornings next week.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 330 am fri...

ahead of an approaching cold front winds will continue to
increase today, peaking late this afternoon and early tonight as
a cold front moves through the waters. Southwest winds will be
15 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 kts over most of the waters.

Slightly higher gusts over the central and southern waters are
expected and therefore we issued a gale warning for these
waters. In addition with the higher confidence in stronger winds
later today we also expanded the SCA to include all of the
inland rivers.

With the frontal passage early tonight winds will quickly veer
into the west this evening and then northwest overnight. While
the peak of the winds should be through 03z, a secondary surge
behind the front on northwest winds will keep winds in the 15 to
25 kt range, with gusts to 30-35 through most of the night. Seas
which will build to 6 to 11 feet by this evening will subside a
bit late tonight to 5 to 8 feet by daybreak Saturday.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 315 am fri... Gusty winds and rough seas will persist
through late Sat morning and early afternoon behind the cold
front. Seas should drop below 6 feet by early Sat afternoon,
with westerly winds diminishing to 10-20 kt then becoming wsw
late. SCA conditions may re-develop Sun afternoon and continue
into the first part of Monday. High pressure will continue off
the coast Sunday, with SW winds increasing to 15-25 kt ahead of
another cold front Sunday evening. Increasing SW winds will
allow seas to build to 3-5 ft Sun afternoon, maybe up to 6 ft
across the outer central waters. The cold front will push
through Sunday evening with winds becoming nne 15 to 25 kt.

Strong nne surge expected behind the front, and increased winds
from previous forecast based on better agreement in guidance.

Depending on the strength of the surge, seas may build to 6 ft
or greater Sun night and Monday morning, ESP north of ocracoke.

Winds diminish through the day Mon becoming more easterly. Sw
winds 10-15 kt return Tue with seas 2-3 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement from 8 am edt this morning through
this evening for ncz195-196-204-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 10 am edt
Saturday for amz131-135-230-231.

Small craft advisory from 9 am this morning to 1 pm edt
Saturday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 9 am this morning to 11 am edt
Saturday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 1 pm edt
Saturday for amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Eh
short term... Eh
long term... Ctc cqd
aviation... Eh cqd
marine... Eh cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 0 mi47 min SW 5.1 G 7 68°F 69°F1011 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 10 mi41 min SSW 8.9 G 12 69°F 1010.8 hPa (-1.8)67°F
41064 38 mi93 min WSW 9.7 G 14 71°F 70°F1010.2 hPa
41159 38 mi41 min 70°F4 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC1 mi1.7 hrsSW 910.00 miFair69°F64°F87%1010.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi47 minSSW 910.00 miFair70°F62°F76%1010 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi44 minSW 910.00 miFair69°F64°F87%1010.7 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC24 mi45 minSSW 1010.00 miFair69°F64°F87%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW15SW13SW12SW13
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2 days agoW6W5W4NW6NW53W6SW9SW12SW12S13S12S12SW12SW11SW10SW9SW9SW11SW13SW8SW11SW12SW12

Tide / Current Tables for Duke Marine Lab, Beaufort, North Carolina (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:54 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:13 PM EDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:19 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:57 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.11.41.71.71.61.41.10.80.60.40.30.50.71.11.41.51.51.31.10.80.60.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.