Saturday, August19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Morehead City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 7:51PM Saturday August 19, 2017 7:01 AM EDT (11:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:03AMMoonset 5:22PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 637 Am Edt Sat Aug 19 2017
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morehead City, NC
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location: 34.83, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 191022
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
622 am edt Sat aug 19 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will stall over the area today before moving offshore on
Sunday. High pressure builds back in by Tuesday. Another cold front
will approach the area in the middle of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 610 am Saturday... A couple of isolated showers have popped
up and since dissipated along the coast and sound counties. Have
added a slight chance of showers here, otherwise no big changes
to the forecast. After a mostly sunny start this morning, scattered
showers and thunderstorms will develop by early afternoon
inland and spread toward the coast through the evening as a cold
front moves to just west of our CWA before stalling today then
starting to move toward the coast tonight. Stability parameters
are less impressive than Friday with forecast surface-based cape
values around 2500 j kg with somewhat lower precipitable water
values. Will forecast high chance pops, mainly east of highway
17 where these numbers will be maximized with chance pops over
the coastal plains. High temperatures will also be a degree or
two cooler than yesterday with highs in the lower 90s, except
upper 80s immediate coast. Heat indices are mostly just below
105 degrees, although a few spots may reach this value for an
hour or two. After coordination with surrounding offices, have
opted to not put up another heat advisory for today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Sunday
As of 410 am Saturday... The cold front should start to move
toward the coast tonight and will carry 30-50 pct pops over the
eastern portions of the CWA through midnight then along the
immediate coast after midnight before all precipitation is over
toward morning on Sunday. While still warm, low temperatures
will not be quite so oppressive tonight with low to mid 70s
behind the front inland, with the upper 70s confined to the
outer banks.

Long term Sunday through Friday
Sunday early next week...

no big changes to this part of the forecast with a front washing out
across our area. The end result will be a more comfortable air
mass, still hot but mainly dry for the majority of the area.

Slightly higher moisture will be found near and south of the front
itself, and that is where we will confine precip chances. Highs
through the period will be near 90 inland to mid 80s at the beaches.

Wednesday and beyond... Best shot for precipitation over the extended
period will come late Wednesday into Thursday as a new, stronger
front moves into the area. Continued high chance pops (50%) for
this period. Big story with this front will be the relief from the
heat with highs in the lower 80s both Thursday and Friday!

Aviation 10z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through 06z Sunday ...

as of 615 am Saturday... Generally clear skies across the region
this morning andVFR conditions should prevail outside of
scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms, which may produce
brief periods of sub-vfr conditions. Most all of the available
guidance shows some patchy dense fog late tonight and will
include a few hours of MVFR fog early Sunday morning.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 330 am Saturday...VFR through Tuesday. SubVFR conditions
possible late Wednesday in scattered showers and storms.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 620 am Saturday... Winds remain gusty over the central
waters early this morning with 15-20 knot winds. Guidance shows
winds coming down a bit later today and tonight, dropping off
to SW at 10-15 knots this afternoon and evening, and 10 knots or
less overnight. Seas are generally 3-5 feet, although diamond
buoy has briefly been around 5.5 or 5.6 feet at times early
this morning, but should gradually drop off to 2-4 tonight.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 330 am Saturday... Quiet boating conditions continue through
Tuesday. During this period winds will be 10 kts or less with wave
heights 2 to 3 feet. With a boundary near the coastal waters wind
directions will vary quite a bit during this time depending on
location on the water (north to south). By Wednesday marine
conditions become less favorable as a cold front approaches. Ahead
of the front southwest winds increase 10 to 20, with seas building
to 3 to 5 feet as a gradient tightens ahead of the front.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Eh
aviation... Ctc eh
marine... Ctc eh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 8 mi43 min WSW 5.1 G 12 83°F 82°F1012.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 17 mi61 min SW 11 G 15 83°F 1012.6 hPa (-0.6)
41063 40 mi61 min WSW 19 G 23 84°F 1012.6 hPa (-0.8)
41159 45 mi48 min 83°F5 ft
41064 45 mi53 min WSW 18 G 21 81°F 83°F1013.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC7 mi63 minSW 1310.00 miA Few Clouds83°F82°F97%1012.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi67 minSW 610.00 miFair81°F77°F88%1012.7 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC18 mi65 minSW 810.00 miFair0°F0°F%1013.1 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi64 minWSW 1010.00 miFair75°F0°F%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW9S10SW12SW14SW14SW14SW18SW17SW15S13S16SW15SW15
G22
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1 day agoCalmE3E4E5E4S5SE8SE8S8S9S9S7S7S4S4SE6S7S7S7S8S10S9SW10SW9
2 days agoNW5N9N6N8N8NW6NW7N5S8SE13CalmE43E3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:38 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:21 AM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:39 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     2.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.10.10.30.81.41.92.22.21.91.40.80.40-00.30.81.52.12.62.72.52.11.5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:00 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:20 AM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:01 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:49 PM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.50.100.20.61.21.61.91.81.61.20.80.40.1-00.10.61.21.82.22.32.11.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.