Tuesday, May22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Morehead City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:11PM Tuesday May 22, 2018 3:23 PM EDT (19:23 UTC) Moonrise 12:22PMMoonset 1:03AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 302 Pm Edt Tue May 22 2018
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, a few gusts to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then showers and tstms likely after midnight.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morehead City, NC
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location: 34.83, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 221824
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
224 pm edt Tue may 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue offshore through Wednesday. A cold
front will move through the area late Wednesday night followed
by high pressure building in from the north Thursday. The high
will move offshore Friday with a bermuda high pattern returning
for the weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 220 pm Tuesday... Scattered convection over the NRN tier
expected to lift NE and grad diminish thru early evening. Much
of the night expected to be dry with no forcing over the
region... Did keep slight pops far N late as could see some
remnant shra from activity well to the nw. Will be another
muggy night with lows upr 60s to lower 70s.

Short term Wednesday through Wednesday night
As of 220 pm Tuesday... A cold front will approach from the n
wed then push SE thru the region Wed night. This front coupled
with decent instab and deep moisture will lead to active weather
wed thru Wed evening. Should have enuf heating Wed for good
instab to develop and although shear is not very strong NW flow
aloft could lead to a strong to poss severe storm mainly acrs
nrn tier where marginal risk is fcst by spc. Have chc pops thru
wed morn then increase to likely later Wed NRN tier. Convection
may weaken a bit with loss of heating Wed evening but expect
good cvrg to grad shift S along ahead of front and have likely
pops thru evening central and s. Precip shld taper off from N to
s late Wed night as drier air spreads in behind the front.

Highs Wed mostly mid upr 80s inland to lower 80s central and
srn cst. Lows Wed night 65 to 70 N to lower 70s central and srn
cst.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 340 am Tuesday... Little change in the overall forecast
for the extended period. Pattern flip to a somewhat drier
scenario Thursday and Friday. Moisture increases again Saturday
with another round of wet weather possible for early next week.

Thursday through Saturday... Somewhat drier and slightly cooler
weather will prevail Thursday and Friday. With the front sagging
over the far southern CWA Thursday morning, will keep a decent
chance of showers and thunderstorms for this area early in the
day. By afternoon, drier air will be the rule as dewpoints drop
into the low mid 60s, which will be followed by low temperatures
into the low mid 60s inland and around 70 outer banks for
Friday morning. Good model consensus for a no pop forecast for
Friday as high pressure shunts all of the precipitation to the
south of our cwa. Winds veer to S SW by Saturday as high
pressure strengthens offshore and moisture starts to return to
the south due to an upper low over the northern gulf of mexico.

Temperatures warm back to the mid 80s Saturday with a better
chance of rain.

Sunday and Monday... Deep moisture between low pressure along
the central to western gulf coast and strong high pressure
anchored offshore will lead to increasing deep moisture for
Sunday into early next week. Will continue forecast of higher
pops and increasing SE S winds Sunday and Monday.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through 18z Wed ...

as of 1230 pm... MainlyVFR conditions expected thru period
however will have brief threat for reduced vsbys and CIGS in
convection mainly NRN tier this aftn and all areas Wed morn thru
early aftn. With low lvls remaining nearly saturated cant rule
out some lower stratus trying to form late tonight however fcst
soundings look marginal and guidance not showing much so will
keep out. SW breeze shld limit threat for late night fog.

Long term Wednesday afternoon through Saturday ...

as of 350 am Tuesday... Widespread showers and a few
thunderstorms will lead to frequent periods of sub-vfr
conditions Wednesday aftn into Wednesday night. A somewhat
drier airmass arrives Thursday and Friday behind a back door
coldfront withVFR conditions likely. Increased moisture and a
return to shower and thunderstorm activity will lead to a few
periods of sub-vfr conditions for Saturday.

Marine
Short term through Wed ...

as of 220 pm Tuesday... Increasing ssw winds expected to develop
this aftn and cont into Wed ahead of approaching cold front.

Winds will be mainly in the 10 to 20 kt range... However some
gusts 20 to 25 poss at times espcly pamlico sound and outer
waters. These winds will lead to seas grad building to 3 to 5
feet highest central waters.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday...

as of 35 am tue... The front should pass across the CWA between
06z and 12z Thursday with winds becoming N NE at generally 10-15
knots with a few gusts to 20 knots possible. Seas of 3 to 5 feet
wed night will drop back to 2-4 feet for Thursday into
Saturday. As high pressure strengthens offshore, winds veer to
se by Friday and become S SW at 10-15 knots with a few higher
gusts by Saturday. No small craft advisories are anticipated for
the extended period at this time.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf ctc
marine... Rf ctc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 8 mi53 min SSW 13 G 16 77°F 76°F1020.5 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 17 mi83 min SSW 9.9 G 11 1021 hPa (-1.0)
41063 40 mi143 min WSW 16 G 18 76°F 1020.7 hPa (-1.1)
41159 45 mi53 min 76°F4 ft
41064 45 mi75 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 76°F 1021.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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SW9
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G12
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G14
SW5
G12
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SW9
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SW8
G14
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G14
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G11
SW4
G9
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G7
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G10
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G9
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G9
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G11
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G12
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S13
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G19
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G20
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S12
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G14
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G17
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G19
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SW9
G13
SW9
G14
SW10
G15

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC7 mi85 minS 1210.00 miFair79°F73°F85%1020.7 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi25 minS 137.00 miOvercast82°F71°F69%1019.2 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi26 minSSW 1310.00 miFair79°F73°F85%1020.4 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW10SW12SW8SW10SW10SW9SW12SW11SW7SW9SW8SW7W6SW7SW7SW7SW8SW9SW9SW12SW10SW12S12SW13
1 day agoSW15SW14SW15SW13SW12SW14SW12SW13SW11SW9SW10SW10SW10SW9SW10SW8W8SW8SW10SW13SW13SW13SW14SW10
2 days agoS13
G20
S12
G18
S10S10S12S11S12
G19
S10S12S11S9S8S9S8S9S9S10S10S12SW15SW11SW13SW14SW18

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:21 AM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:00 PM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:28 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.522.22.11.91.510.50.200.20.51.11.622.121.71.20.70.40.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:20 AM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:25 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:59 PM EDT     1.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:50 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.71.21.61.91.81.61.30.90.50.200.10.40.81.31.71.81.71.51.10.70.40.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.