Thursday, April27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Morehead City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 7:51PM Thursday April 27, 2017 12:40 PM EDT (16:40 UTC) Moonrise 6:27AMMoonset 8:19PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 945 Am Edt Thu Apr 27 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 pm edt this evening through Friday afternoon...
Rest of today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morehead City, NC
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location: 34.83, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 271344
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
944 am edt Thu apr 27 2017

Synopsis
High pressure over the atlantic will continue to extend over
eastern nc through the weekend producing above normal
temperatures. A cold front will approach from the west Monday
and cross late Monday night or early Tuesday. High pressure will
build in behind the front Wednesday.

Near term /rest of today/
As of 945 am thu... No big changes with morning update. Only a 20
pop for iso showers across the obx and downeast carteret through
rest of the morning as some sprinkles grazing the coast here.

Previous discussion... As of 655 am thu... Latest sfc analysis
shows stacked low slowly moving along the NE coast early this
morning, as high pressure extends over eastern nc from offshore.

992mb low over northern il/eastern wi and associated front
draped through the gulf states will continue to push eastward
with moisture gradually increasing across the carolinas today.

Latest satellite imagery shows area of sct/bkn clouds pushing
through the albemarle sound region and northern obx this
morning, increased sky cover for the next few hours. Very warm
and dry day expected across the region, with low level thickness
values and ssw supporting temps several degrees above normal,
with highs generally 80-85 degrees.

Short term /tonight/
As of 655 am thu... Surface low will lift northward into the
great lakes region and southern ontario, as front pushes into
the mid-atlantic and SE us. Dampening shortwave energy
associated with this feature could be enough to support isolated
to widely scattered showers and storms overnight. High res
models show line of precip associated with this feature having a
difficult time pushing east of the mountains, but models are in
good agreement showing weakening line approaching the coastal
plain after 03/04z. Will continue sc/low chance pops, with best
chances across the northern tier late. Overnight lows in the
upper 60s/low 70s.

Long term /Friday through Wednesday/
As of 230 am thu... Warm and mainly dry through the weekend then
rain chances increase early next week as a cold front crosses
the area late Monday night into early Tuesday. Temps are
forecast to briefly cool down to normal levels behind the front
Tuesday.

Friday... Remnants of a short wave may produce widely sct
convection Fri morn espcly cst then mainly dry rest of the day
with just isold convection poss along inland moving sea breeze.

With good deal of Sun and SW winds will be very warm with highs
approaching 90 inland with upr 70s/low 80s cst.

Sat and sun... This period will be dominated by surface high
pressure offshore with ridging aloft. Precip chances look
minimal with just a few widely sct shra/tsra poss each
afternoon and evening assoc with sea breeze. With predominately
southwest flow thru the weekend will have very warm temps with
highs 85 to around 90 inland and upper 70s to lower 80s
beaches. Early summer like lows in the 60s to lower 70s.

Mon through wed... A cold front will approach from the W Mon and
slowly cross the region Mon night and early tue. Will remain
warm Mon with chc of some convection espcly inland during the
aftn as the front approaches. Models continue to indicate a
decent coverage of precipitation Mon night/early Tue with the
front sliding offshore late Tue with lingering shra ending from
w to e. Highs Mon will again climb well into the 80s then cool
into the 70s Tue behind the front. High pressure is forecast to
build into the area Wed with temps moderating into the low 80s
inland.

Aviation /14z Thursday through Monday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 655 am thu...VFR conditions expected through the period.

Sct CU expected to develop this afternoon. Ssw wind gusts
15-20kt today. Could see isolated to widely scattered
showers/tstms push into the area ahead of a cold front tonight,
with best chances at pgv. Low confidence at this time, but
there is the potential for sub-vfr ceilings to develop late
tonight and early Friday morning.

Long term /fri through Monday/...

as of 230 am thu...VFR should dominate most of this period.

Widely sct shra and tsra possible early Fri as weakening short
wave crosses... Otherwise mainly dry with just isold late day
shra/tsra poss with sea breeze Sat and Sunday. Cold front will
be approaching from the W later Mon and may see a bit better
coverage of shra and storms inland with brief subVFR poss. Sw
flow around offshore high pres shld limit threat for late night
fog thru the period.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 655 am thu... Latest obs show s/sw winds 5-15kt, strongest
over the outer central waters, with seas 3-6 feet. High
pressure will continue to extend over the waters through the
period. Gradient will tighten late today and tonight, as a cold
front approaches from the west. S/sw winds increase to 15-20kt
this evening, with seas building to 4-7 feet south of oregon
inlet. Will initialize with SCA for the central waters with
41025 still hovering at 6 ft, and nwps model keeps 6 ft seas
across the central waters through the period. SCA seas develop
south of ocracoke this evening.

Long term /fri through mon/...

as of 230 am thu... Moderate SW flow of 10 to 20 kts expected
thru Sat night around offshore high pres. These winds combined
with some lingering swell should lead to 6 foot seas outer
central and SRN wtrs Thu night into fri... Otherwise seas of 3
to 5 feet rest of the period. On Sunday the the flow is
forecast to be SW 10-15 kt with 2 to 4 ft seas. The flow is then
forecast to increase to SW 20 to 25 kt Sun night and Mon ahead
of the next cold front with seas building to 5 to 8 ft.

Hydrology
As of 230 am thu... The tar river in greenville is currently
forecast to crest above major flood stage, while contentnea
creek in hookerton is expected to crest above moderate flood
stage. The NE CAPE fear river in chinquapin and neuse river in
kinston expected to reach minor flooding. The roanoke river is
forecast to rise over the next several days due to increased
flow out of kerr dam but is expected to remain just below flood
stage. A river flood warning has also been issued for areas
upstream of trenton along the trent river as gauge is about to
reach the 14 foot flood stage.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz103-
104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt Friday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 3 pm edt Friday
for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Rf/cqd
near term... Cqd/tl
short term... Cqd
long term... Rf/eh
aviation... Rf/cqd
marine... Rf/cqd
hydrology... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 8 mi40 min SSW 8.9 G 12 74°F 67°F1014.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 17 mi40 min SW 8.9 G 12 74°F 1014.7 hPa (+1.0)
41159 45 mi27 min 72°F4 ft
41064 45 mi32 min WSW 9.7 G 12 72°F 1015.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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SW9
G13
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G14
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SE5
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G31
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S5

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC7 mi42 minSW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F68°F77%1014.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi1.8 hrsSSW 97.00 miOvercast78°F64°F64%1014.6 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC18 mi44 minSW 1010.00 miOvercast0°F0°F%1015.5 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi43 minSSW 1010.00 miFair76°F66°F74%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11SW13SW17SW14S12S10S8SW9S9SW9SW9SW8SW9SW8SW7SW7SW6SW3CalmCalmSW6SW7SW6SW10
1 day ago4S10S11S11SW12SW10SW9SW12SW8SW10W14W10W8W6W7W6W10W9W7NW7W8W7W65
2 days agoSE4SE15
G23
SE7SE15
G28
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N7NW6SW5SW4SW5SW4NW3NW3SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Thu -- 04:28 AM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:14 AM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:33 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:36 PM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.30.60-0.3-0.30.10.81.52.12.42.31.91.30.70.1-0.2-0.30.10.81.62.32.72.8

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:13 AM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:55 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:35 PM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.81.20.70.2-0.2-0.3-00.61.21.82.121.71.20.70.2-0.1-0.2-00.51.31.92.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.