Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Morehead City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:13PM Sunday May 26, 2019 3:59 AM EDT (07:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:48AMMoonset 11:47AM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 348 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to flat after midnight.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morehead City, NC
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location: 34.83, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260514
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
114 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to build off the east coast tonight,
and settle off the southeast coast tomorrow. Another backdoor
front will move into the region Monday, but then will quickly
retreat north Tuesday, with very hot temperatures expected
across the region through at least the middle of next week. A
cold front is expected to move into the area Friday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 110 am Sunday... A few tstms have developed along the
leading edge of some mid-level shortwave energy crossing central
nc this evening. A couple of severe thunderstorm warnings have
been issued by the rah office. Latest batch of the high-
resolution models including the hrrr and 3km NAM show this
activity moving into our western zones over the next few hours
and will continue previous forecast for low pops for scattered
showers with isolated thunderstorms. Any precipitation should
exit the area before daybreak. In addition to the threat of
showers and storms, some lower stratus indicated by satellite
and sfc observations over the far south southwest CWA as well.

No change to forecast temperatures, mainly in the upper 60s to
lower 70s area-wide.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 am Monday
As of 210 pm sat... High pressure offshore will drift south of nc
tomorrow, leading to a return of SW flow. Low level thicknesses
will increase again, and blazing hot conditions are expected
away from the immediate coast. Expect close to record high
temps, with highs in the upper 90s inland, low to mid 90s east
of us 17, and mid to upper 80s along the coast. It will be
mostly dry except for a few seabreeze showers thunderstorms that
may develop across to the west of the pamlico sound in the
afternoon hours.

Long term Monday through Sunday
As of 230 pm Saturday... A subtropical surface ridge coupled
with an abnormally strong late spring upper level ridge will
continue to produce hot and mostly dry weather for much of the
next week. Well above normal temperatures well into the 90s
inland are expected Monday through at least Thursday. The axis
of heat peaks mid week where several inland locations could
reach 100 degrees or a little higher. Beaches will cont to be a
bit cooler with winds off ocean and sounds but shld be well into
the 80s with some spots reaching AOA 90. Overnight lows will
likewise be quite warm... Mostly in 70s. As the upr ridge breaks
down and a cold front approaches late week temps will cool a
bit but still likely reach lower 90s inland.

Mdls show series of weak impulses and convective complexes
passing mainly N of region thru mid week. Some of these may clip
nrn tier at times but overall confidence is low so will cont
with dry fcst. As upr ridge weakens and front approaches late
week will have a little better chc of shra tsra Fri into sat
with 20 30 pops.

Aviation 05z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 06z Monday ...

as of 110 am Sunday... Satellite and sfc observations show a
large area of stratus now moving into the southern and
southwestern CWA with koaj already showing MVFR ceilings. Will
forecast a period of MVFR ceilings this morning as the stratus
continues to advect slowly north. Some isolated tstms are also
possible overnight, especially at kpgv and perhaps kiso.

Vfr ceilings will emerge around by sunrise as the influence of
the shortwave shifts away from the area.

Long term Sunday night through Thu ...

as of 230 pm sat...VFR conditions are likely throughout the
extended period. The chances of showers tstms will be very slim
with upr rdg in control. Threat for any late night fog also low
as soil moisture conts to decrease given prolonged hot spell.

Marine
Short term through tomorrow ...

as of 110 am Saturday... Winds are a bit gustier than depicted by
the models and will go with a solid 15 knot southerly wind
across the board overnight. Seas will continue at 3-5 feet over
northern sections and 2-4 feet south. For Sunday, seas will be
3-4 ft with some 5 footers possible over the outer central
waters.

Long term Sunday night through Thu ...

as of 230 pm Saturday... Sw winds of 10 to 20 knots expected Sunday
night as a weak front approaches from the northwest. This front
will get far enough south to produce a wind shift to NE e
Monday over the central and northern tier. The front will lift
back N on Tuesday with winds becoming ssw 10 to 20 kts that will
cont thru wed. As another front begins to approach Thu SW winds
will increase to 15 to 25 kts.

Seas will be mainly 2 to 4 feet thru the period, some 5 foot
seas poss outer wtrs Sun night and early mon. Better chc of 5
foot seas Thu as winds approach SCA lvls.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected for much of next week.

Record high temps for 5 26 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 100 1953 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 88 1962 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1927 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 96 1953 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 2004 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 28 (Tuesday)
location temp year
new bern 93 2014 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 97 1916 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 2004 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 1967 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 29 (Wednesday)
location temp year
new bern 95 1982 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 91 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 95 1918 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 92 1991 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 1991 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 1967 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Ctc
short term... Sgk
long term... Rf ctc
aviation... Ctc cb
marine... Rf ctc cb
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 8 mi60 min S 12 G 15 76°F 78°F1020 hPa (-1.5)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 17 mi60 min S 13 G 14 76°F 1019.7 hPa (-1.2)70°F
41064 45 mi52 min SSW 16 G 21 77°F 77°F1018.7 hPa
41159 45 mi60 min 77°F4 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC7 mi2 hrsS 1010.00 miFair76°F70°F82%1019.7 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi66 minS 510.00 miFair76°F69°F79%1019.2 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC18 mi64 minS 610.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1019.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi63 minSSW 910.00 mi77°F72°F85%1019.9 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4NE5CalmCalmNE3E5E10SE8SE10SE10
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1 day agoW10SW11W8W16
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W12SW12SW11SW11SW13SW13SW14SW11SW8SW12SW85NE8NE9
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2 days agoNE3CalmCalmCalmNE4S6S8S6SW8S10S10SW13S13S14SW13SW12SW13SW13SW13SW15SW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Sun -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:54 AM EDT     1.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:37 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:30 PM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:55 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.61.81.91.81.61.30.90.60.40.40.60.91.31.61.81.81.71.41.10.80.60.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:53 AM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:29 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:17 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.611.31.61.61.61.41.10.80.60.40.30.40.711.41.51.61.41.210.70.50.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.