Sunday, November18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:12PM Sunday November 18, 2018 11:04 AM EST (16:04 UTC) Moonrise 2:50PMMoonset 2:01AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 315 Am Est Sun Nov 18 2018
Today..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of rain.
Mon..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of rain.
Mon night..W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 2 to 4 ft.
AMZ200 315 Am Est Sun Nov 18 2018
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A coastal trough will brush the coast today into Monday. A cold front will cross the waters Tuesday night and will be followed by cooler high pressure for the middle of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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Fxus62 krah 181516
afdrah
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
1016 am est Sun nov 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will remain over the mid atlantic through the weekend.

A cold front will approach the region early next week.

Near term today and tonight
As of 1015 am Sunday...

morning update: early fog and low stratus is beginning to abate
across central nc with a small patch left from burlington to siler
city that should burn off within the hour or so. Lot of spread in
the temperature guidance today with high clouds moving in from the
west and an inverted trough forming near the coast which will bring
lower clouds in from the south later this afternoon and evening. For
now remaining near the higher guidance but have pulled high temps
down a degree or two. Still expecting upper 50s in the NW piedmont
to mid 60s across the southeast. Previous discussion follows. -ellis
a weak upper short wave currently moving across the carolinas attm
is providing a fair amount of high clouds over the eastern half of
the state. This wave, and these clouds, will exit to our east
shortly, with clear skies in it's wake. Given current dwpt
depressions, we should see fog expand in coverage until sunrise.

Otherwise, high pressure centered over the mid-atlantic will shift
east offshore today, with the ridge axis lingering across the state.

As such, look for light low level flow most of today, gradually
becoming more southerly late. We noted a substantial difference
between the NAM and the GFS wrt how long morning stratus lingers.

The NAM keeps stratus locked in through early afternoon, with temps
struggling through the low 50s. The GFS forecast soundings on the
other hand mix out the low clouds, but move in the next batch of
upstream high clouds fairly quickly. Either way, looks like a fair
amount of cloudiness today, so will keep temps persistent with
yesterdays readings. Highs around 60.

For tonight, most of the guidance show an inverted trough developing
off the carolina coast, with moisture spreading northward. The
ecmwf is the most aggressive and farthest west with said moisture,
and even suggests some light rain may be possible east of i-95
overnight and Monday morning. Will continue slt chance pops east of
us-1 tonight, per current grids. Lows 40-45, warmest east. -np

Short term Monday and Monday night
As of 335 am Sunday...

central nc will be located between a coastal trough to our east, and
a cold front approaching from the west. Fair weather with highs in
the low-mid 60s expected during the daytime Monday.

Monday night, the aforementioned cold front to our west will cross
the mountains and move into the western piedmont before sunrise. A
band of light pre-frontal showers will begin moving across central
nc after 06z Tuesday, thus will carry slight chance pops during that
time. Lows in the mid 40s.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday
As of 400 am Sunday...

a generally dry cold front is expected to move across central on
Tuesday morning (very small chance of showers), with the main push
of cold air expected to hold off until Tuesday night. This should
yield high temps ranging from the upper 50s near 60 north northwest
to the mid 60 south southeast. Low temps Tuesday night Wednesday
morning are expected to be in the 30s.

Surface high pressure will build into extend into the area from the
west Wednesday into Thursday morning, before a reinforcing dry
backdoor cold front sinks south southwestward through the area on
Thursday, with strong surface high pressure (1038+ mb) building into
the area behind the front. This will usher in a much colder airmass,
with high and low temps Thursday through Friday closer to normal
highs and lows in january, with highs struggling to reach 50 across
the piedmont on Friday with some lows in the 20s possible on Friday
morning. Meanwhile, S W ridging will move across the area on Friday,
yielding a continuation of dry conditions.

A S W disturbance will approach the area from the west on Friday
evening night, then moving across the area on Saturday Saturday
night. This should yield a good chance of precip on Saturday, with
some sort of cad possible.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 630 am Sunday...

through 12z Monday... Currently seeing MVFR fog ATTM across portions
of central and eastern nc, with localized ifr and lifr conditions.

Otherwise, the high clouds from earlier have departed, thus
expectingVFR conditions to return as the morning progresses and the
fog lifts.VFR conditions are then expected through the afternoon
with mostly high clouds moving in from the west. This evening and
tonight, mid and lower clouds are expected to move in from the
south, then after 19 06z and mainly east of i-95, flt conditions may
locally drop belowVFR as light rain showers may move in from the
south.

After 12z mon... MVFR conditions are possible areawide late Mon night
into Tue morning as an upper disturbance and weak surface low pass
through the area.VFR conditions should then return for late tue
through Thu under high pressure.

Rah watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... Np
near term... Ellis np
short term... Np
long term... Bsd
aviation... Np


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 86 mi34 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 58°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Last
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi72 minE 410.00 miFair53°F45°F74%1027 hPa
Lumberton Municipal Airport, NC17 mi70 minE 410.00 miFair54°F44°F69%1026.6 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair49°F44°F83%1028.5 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi71 minENE 510.00 miFair52°F44°F75%1026.5 hPa

Wind History from MEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE55CalmSE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4CalmNE3NE3CalmNE3NE4NE3NE3NE3E4E44
1 day agoW96NW66W7W6NW3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5NE8E7
2 days agoN12
G19
N9NW9NW10NW8NW6W7W10W8W7W11----W10----------------NW7--

Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:00 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:02 AM EST     0.69 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:58 AM EST     1.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:49 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:11 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:23 PM EST     0.83 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:24 PM EST     1.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.110.80.70.70.70.911.11.21.31.21.21.110.90.80.80.911.21.31.3

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:00 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:06 AM EST     0.54 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:56 AM EST     1.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:48 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:10 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:27 PM EST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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110.90.80.70.60.50.60.70.80.91110.90.80.80.70.70.70.70.80.91

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.