Sunday, June25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:26PM Sunday June 25, 2017 4:55 AM EDT (08:55 UTC) Moonrise 6:35AMMoonset 8:55PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 338 Am Edt Sun Jun 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 am edt this morning...
Today..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 250707
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
307 am edt Sun jun 25 2017

Synopsis
A tropical airmass will linger into Monday as a cold front
approaches from the northeast. The front will meander just off
the coast through Wednesday. High pressure will build in from
the west Wednesday through late next week.

Near term through today
As of 3 am Sunday... Bulk of precipitation has moved offshore
with only a few stray showers on land. Think rain chances wil be
minimal through most of the morning with little additional
activity indicated upstream, only a few storms in the charleston
area and over southeast georgia. Latest high-resolution hrrr and
nssl WRF models indicate some redevelopment along the sea breeze
this afternoon and will have high chance pops along the
immediate coast tapering to slight chance coastal plains with no
pops over the far northwestern cwa. Stream of deep-layer
moisture indicated by water-vapor satellite will keep skies on
the cloudy side today, but there should be enough breaks in the
clouds to allow high temperatures to reach the mid to upper 80s.

Short term tonight
As of 3 am Sunday... Latest GFS and ECMWF models show ribbon of
deeper moisture and omega right along and just off the coast
tonight and will keep low chance pops over the coastal sounds
portion of our CWA tonight with no pops inland. Numerical
guidance indicates some lower dewpoints and slightly cooler low
temperature readings tonight behind weak frontal boundary with
mid 60s inland ranging to mid 70s outer banks.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 3 am sun... Scattered showers expected Monday and Tuesday.

Then, cooler and much drier air will spread into eastern nc
Wednesday through late week. Typical summertime pattern
re-develops late week and next weekend.

Monday through Tuesday... Frontal boundary will linger along the
coast through Monday morning, and could see isolated to
scattered showers along the coast. A strong mid-level shortwave
will move through virginia and the carolinas Tuesday,
supporting scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm.

Marginal instability but strong shear and much cooler temps
aloft, 500mb temps drop to -12 -13c, could see some small hail.

Will continue chance pops. Will keep sc thunder mention both
days, but think it will be isolated. Low level thickness values
and pred N NE flow support highs in the low mid 80s Mon and
tue, with dewpoints in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Wednesday through Saturday... Strong high pressure will move
overhead on Wednesday, and off the coast late week into the
weekend. While overhead, this high will provide a somewhat
refreshing airmass with lower humidities and cooler temps.

Temperatures quickly warm back up however, as southwest winds
return on Thursday and highs creep back to the upper 80s 90
degrees late week and the weekend. Low temps for the period will
range mostly from the upper 50s low 60s inland to upper 60s low
70s along the coast. Typical summertime redevelops late week
into next weekend, with troughing inland and high pressure
offshore. Dry wx will continue through late week, with scattered
diurnal convective chances next weekend.

Aviation 06z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 06z Monday ...

as of 1 am Sunday... A mixed bag aviation-wise this evening with
occasional lower ceilings at the southern-most TAF sites of kewn
and koaj and generallyVFR conditions elsewhere. Current trends
are a bit more optimistic as precipitation is moving out quickly
along the coast and additional showers to the west in sc are
fairly light, so think mostlyVFR conditions can be expected
through the TAF cycle, although will include vicinity
showers tstorms at koaj given the latest high-resolution hrrr
forecast showing additional showers or storms near the coast
from daybreak into mid-morning.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 3 am sun... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period. Scattered showers and storms may produce brief period of
sub-vfr conditions Tuesday. As usual, patchy fog stratus will
be possible most mornings.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 305 am Sunday... Winds continue to slowly diminish but some
6-foot seas are persisting over the outer fringes of the central
and southern waters and will keep SCA in place south of oregon
inlet through 8 am. Winds should subside to 10 knots or less
with seas 2-4 feet by later this afternoon into tonight. Winds
will veer to more W wnw later tonight behind an initial cold
front ahead of a stronger front around Tuesday night or so.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 3 am sun... Generally benign and pleasant boating
conditions expected through the period. Models now showing a
stronger surge behind the initial front Monday morning.

Increased winds to 10-15 kt with seas 2-3 ft, but there is the
potential for a brief period of 15-20 kt Mon morning. Surface
high pressure will build in over the area Tuesday night, crest
over the waters Wednesday, moving offshore Thursday. N NW 5-10
kt tue, N NE 5-15 kt wed, becoming S SE 5-15 kt thu, with seas
generally 2-3 ft.

Rip currents
As of 3 am sun... Moderate threat of rip currents north of cape
hatteras, and high threat south of CAPE hatteras.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-098-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt this morning for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 8 am edt this morning for amz156-
158.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Cqd
aviation... Ctc cqd
marine... Ctc cqd
rip currents... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 20 mi55 min SW 8.9 G 13 78°F 1015.7 hPa (-1.0)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 21 mi37 min WSW 5.1 G 8 77°F 79°F1015.4 hPa
41063 22 mi55 min SW 16 G 19 79°F 1015.8 hPa (-1.3)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 41 mi37 min WSW 9.9 G 15 75°F 79°F1015.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW9
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SW4
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SW4
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G8

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC12 mi59 minSW 510.00 miOvercast0°F0°F%1016.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC20 mi2 hrsSW 1210.00 miLight Rain77°F77°F100%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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SW7W4W10
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1 day agoSW5SW7SW8SW10SW10SW10SW11SW11SW12
G21
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G25
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2 days agoSW6SW5W5W5W9W8W10W12W11W10S6S7SW7SW6SW5S3SW4SW5SW6SW6SW6SW8SW6SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Sea Level, Core Sound, North Carolina
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Sea Level
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:48 AM EDT     0.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:57 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:44 PM EDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:50 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.910.90.70.60.40.30.20.10.20.30.50.60.60.50.30.20.1-0-000.10.30.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:32 AM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:13 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:56 PM EDT     2.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.31.91.40.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.20.30.91.51.91.91.71.30.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.20.311.62.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.