Monday, August21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 7:49PM Monday August 21, 2017 12:41 AM EDT (04:41 UTC) Moonrise 5:16AMMoonset 6:55PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1003 Pm Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Overnight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms late.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers and tstms likely.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. Showers and tstms likely, then a chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 210159
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
959 pm edt Sun aug 20 2017

Synopsis
A frontal boundary just to the south will dissipate tonight.

High pressure will extend over the area from offshore Monday
through Wednesday, then a stronger cold front will move through
Thursday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 955 pm sun... Fcst looks good with mainly dry conditions
overnight with few shra tsra poss approaching central and srn
cst late. Some high clouds are streaming NE across region but
appear to be thinning and expect some fog to develop overnight
as temps reach dwpts.

Prev disc... Weak high pressure will extend over area from n-ne
with surface boundary dissipating offshore. Convective activity
expected to remain offshore during evening, but some isolated
threat along coast overnight with light onshore flow. Patchy fog
and low clouds possible for mainly inland sections late tonight
with light winds. Lows will range from lower 70s coastal plain
to mid 70s coast.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through 6 pm Monday
As of 215 pm sun... Hot and humid weather expected with inland
highs into the lower 90s and dewpoints in the mid 70s, keeping
muggy weather around. Most of the area will remain dry but
leftover moisture will linger over southern sections from the
dissipated front. It will be here that a isolated showers or
storms will be possible mainly during the peak heating of the
day.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
As of 230 pm Sunday... Forecast remains on track with a quiet
start to the week followed by increasing chances for rain
Wednesday into Thursday. Much cooler weather still expected by
weeks end.

Monday night Tuesday... Hot and humid weather expected both days
with inland highs into the 90s and dewpoints in the mid 70s,
keeping muggy weather around. Most of the area will remain dry
but a front that has stalled over our area now will wash out
over the southern part of our forecast area. It will be here
that a few showers or storms will be possible during the peak
heating of the day. Pwats will be closer to climo this period,
or around 1.5 to 1.75". This will make locally heavy rain a bit
less of a concern than it was the past few days with pwats well
above the 2" mark.

Wednesday into Thursday... A cold front will move into north
carolina Wednesday and will be moving through our area Wednesday
night into Thursday. Slowed the progression of the front
slightly with this update, closer to wpc guidance ECMWF than
faster gfs. This front will be an anafront with the best chance
for precipitation along and behind it. With that thinking will
maintain high chance pops (50%) ahead of the front Wednesday
afternoon, with the most likely period for raining coming
Wednesday night into Thursday. With a good chunk of Wednesday
looking dry we will make another run at 90 inland. By Thursday
however cooler air aloft, clouds, and rain chances will cap
temps in the lower 80s.

Friday into Sunday... .If you like the cooler weather for
Thursday, you will love our forecast heading into next weekend.

Highs will remain in the lower 80s through Sunday, with lows at
night in the 60s! Confidence in pops Friday is low, with model
blends continuing to indicate a low chance pop along the
immediate coast, but there is still a chance the precip is
mostly off the coast Friday. Drier air makes a more substantial
push Saturday into Sunday, which will dry us out along with
increase our chances for some sunshine.

Aviation 02z Monday through Friday
Short term through mon
as of 615 pm sun...VFR through late this evening. Guidance
supports repeat of ifr fog stratus again late tonight espcly
well inland from the coast, with weak high pressure extending
over area from ne. Any fog st will burn off by mid-morning
Monday with mostly clear pc skies rest of day. An isolated
thunderstorm is possible at ewn and oaj in the afternoon, with
dry conditions forecast at pgv and iso. Winds will be calm
overnight and southeast around 5 knots Monday.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 230 pm Sunday...VFR through Tuesday. SubVFR conditions
possible late Wednesday into Thursday in scattered showers and
storms. NE flow could keep low stratus into Thursday night
before we see a return to predominateVFR Friday.

Marine
Short term through mon
as of 955 pm sun... No changes with light mainly ese winds
becoming ene and seas mainly around 2 ft.

Prev disc... Quiet boating conditions continue through Monday.

Weak high pressure will build in from the north and extend over
the area tonight into Monday. Winds will be mainly east to
northeast across the marine area at 10 knots or less, with seas
2-3 feet.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 230 pm Sunday... Quiet boating conditions continue through
Tuesday mid day. During this period winds will be 10 kts or
less with wave heights 2 to 3 feet. With a boundary near the
coastal waters wind directions will vary quite a bit during this
time depending on location on the water (north to south).

Tuesday afternoon and evening winds begin to increase out of
the south as a front approaches and by Tuesday night marine
conditions become less favorable. Ahead of the front southwest
winds increase 10 to 20 kt, with seas building to 3 to 4 feet as
a gradient tightens ahead of the front. We may see a few 5
footers outer central waters during this time.

Winds will decrease to around 10 kt and seas will subside to 3
to 4 feet Wednesday night as the front begins moving into the
area. The front will make its way through the waters on
Thursday. Thursday will see variable winds around 10 kt and seas
2 to 3 feet. Winds will be shifting with the frontal passage
and begin to increase out of the northeast Thursday night to a
solid 15 kt with seas building to 3 to 4 feet.

By Friday we will be in solid NE flow 15 to 20 kt with seas
building to 4 to 5 feet.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Rf hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rsb
aviation... Rsb rf hsa
marine... Rsb rf hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi42 min NE 1.9 G 1.9 81°F 81°F1020.7 hPa (+0.4)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi42 min ENE 2.9 G 2.9 81°F 1020.8 hPa (+0.4)
41159 46 mi29 min 84°F2 ft
41064 47 mi34 min S 3.9 G 5.8 81°F 84°F1021.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi48 minN 09.00 miFair77°F73°F90%1021.2 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi45 minN 010.00 miFair72°F0°F%1021.9 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi48 minN 00.75 miFog/Mist75°F75°F100%1021.8 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi1.7 hrsN 010.00 miFair79°F78°F97%1021.3 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4CalmW3CalmCalmNW3NW4N4SE5S3S3CalmN4E5E8E8E5S5SE6SE4CalmSE3CalmCalm
1 day agoSW9SW8SW10SW8SW8SW6SW6SW7SW11W8W9SW8SW7SE10S9SW13S3SE5W6S3SW3NW3CalmS4
2 days agoS5S5--S4S4SW5S4SW5--SW9SW7S8S73SW3SE5S9S13
G19
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:21 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:10 AM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 03:31 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:33 PM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.70.2-0.1-0.10.411.72.22.42.321.40.80.2-0.1-0.10.30.91.62.32.62.72.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:16 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:49 AM EDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 04:16 PM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:19 PM EDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.70.30.1-0.1-00.20.611.31.41.310.60.2-0-0.2-0.10.20.61.11.51.71.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.