Wednesday, March22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 7:22PM Wednesday March 22, 2017 8:25 PM EDT (00:25 UTC) Moonrise 2:27AMMoonset 1:01PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 604 Pm Edt Wed Mar 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Thursday...
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft...except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Thu..NE winds 20 to 25 kt...diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft...except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough...diminishing to choppy in the afternoon.
Thu night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 221945
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
345 pm edt Wed mar 22 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the northwest tonight and
Thursday then slide offshore Friday. The high will remain
offshore through the weekend with the next frontal system
approaching the middle of next week.

Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/
As of 330 pm Wednesday... Strong CAA continues across area as
sprawling high pressure centered over great lakes builds
southeast. Current scu and ci over southern sections will clear
early this evening and diminishing winds will allow temps to
drop into upper 20s to lower 30s inland with mainly mid to upper
30s beaches. Upgraded to freeze warning for inland portions of
carteret and onslow counties where growing season has officially
started.

Short term /6 am Thursday morning through 6 pm Thursday/
As of 330 pm Wednesday... Arctic high pressure will continue to
build in from northwest with fair skies but temps 10-15 degrees
below normal. Highs ranging from mid 40s northern outer banks to
mid 50s inland.

Long term /Thursday night through Wednesday/
As of 245 pm Wednesday... Above normal temperatures expected
this weekend into early next week. A frontal system will
approach from the west late in the weekend bringing an increased
chance of showers that will continue into the first part of
next week.

Thursday night through Friday night... Cold again Thu night/fri
morning with temperatures near/a few degrees below freezing
inland and 35 to 40 along the coast. The high moves offshore
fri bringing moderating temperatures as s/sw flow develops.

Highs Fri in the low 60s along the coast, and mid to upper 60s
inland. Lows Fri night in upper 40s to lower 50s.

Saturday through Wednesday... High pressure will remain anchored
offshore Sat into early next week... With above normal temperatures
expected as warm moist s/sw flow continues across the region.

Low level thickness values support highs 65-70 degrees along the
outer banks, and upper 60s to upper 70s inland. Overnight lows
in the 50s.

Models continue to trend drier this weekend into early next week.

Though could see scattered shower/isolated TSTM Sunday
afternoon/evening into Monday as a weak shortwave moves through
the carolinas... With best chances remaining west of the coastal
plain. A vertically stacked low pressure system is forecast to
track across the ohio river valley sun, then gradually weaken as
it moves off the mid-atlantic coast mon. Uncertainty continues
with this system, but the ECMWF and wpc are trending towards the
gfs, which keeps the associated front and best forcing n/w of
the area. Latest guidance now shows stronger system moving
through the mid- atlantic Tuesday night, pushing a cold front
through enc wed. Will continue 20 to 30 pops Sun through
tue... Though right now the best chance looks like Tue and tue
night. Will also keep thunder mention into Tue with marginal
instability and shear.

Aviation /20z Wednesday through Monday/
Short term /through Thursday/...

as of 110 pm wed...VFR conditions have returned to all taf
sites except iso where MVFR ceilings are hanging on. Expect iso
to becomeVFR shortly as clouds continue to clear the area.

Skies will totally clear later this evening and remain clear
overnight. Winds are generally 10 to 15 knots out of the north,
but are gusting 20 to 25 knots. Overnight, winds slack off some
but remain around 10 knots, and this combined with an influx of
dry air, will inhibit any fog formation overnight.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/...

as of 245 pm wed... PredominantVFR conditions expected Thursday
through Sunday... Though cannot rule out patchy early morning
fog. Periods of sub-vfr conditions possible Sunday and Monday as
a frontal system approaches the region with scattered showers
developing.

Marine
Short term... /through Thursday/...

as of 330 pm Wednesday... Latest obs still indicating frequent
gusts to 30-35 knots most of waters and will keep gales/sca in
place. Latest guidance supports winds gradually diminishing
overnight through Thursday as high pressure builds in from
northwest. Seas have built to 7-10 feet with stronger winds and
will remain elevated overnight, then gradually subside on
Thursday.

Long term /Thursday night through Monday/...

as of 245 pm wed... E/ne winds 10-15kt Thu night with seas 2-4
feet. High pressure will shift off the coast Friday and Friday
night, with southerly flow developing by Fri afternoon. S/sw
winds generally 5-15 kt expected Fri night through Monday, ahead
of approaching frontal system. Seas this weekend into early
next week 2-4 feet, with some 5 feet on the outer waters south
of oregon inlet Monday.

Tides/coastal flooding
As of 330 pm Wednesday... Strong nne winds have built seas to
7-10 feet as expected and threat of breaking waves near 8 ft
will continue this evening for the beaches north of cape
hatteras. No change to high surf advisory.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... High surf advisory until midnight edt tonight for ncz103.

Wind advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for ncz103-104.

Freeze warning from 3 am to 9 am edt Thursday for ncz095-098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for amz136-
137.

Gale warning until 8 pm edt this evening for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Thursday for amz130-131.

Gale warning until 9 pm edt this evening for amz152-154-156-
158.

Gale warning until 7 pm edt this evening for amz150.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Rsb/cqd
aviation... Cqd/sgk
marine... Jbm/cqd
tides/coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi37 min NE 11 G 16 47°F 53°F1024.6 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi25 min NE 26 G 30 49°F 1025.2 hPa (+3.0)
41159 46 mi42 min 64°F8 ft
41064 47 mi77 min ENE 23 G 29 53°F 1023.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW1
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N16
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G14
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NE6
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G12
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G8
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi31 minNE 14 G 217.00 miFair49°F30°F50%1025.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi28 minENE 910.00 miFair49°F30°F48%1026 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi31 minNE 1110.00 miFair49°F30°F48%1026 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi87 minENE 12 G 2210.00 miFair49°F30°F48%1024.7 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6SE3E4E4SE6E5NE10N12NE9E6N12N8N8N9N12W11NE18
G25
NE16NE16NE15
G24
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G27
--NE14
G21
1 day agoS4Calm3SW4S3SW6SW5SW5SW5SE4S4S7S9S11SW13SW7W8W7W11W11
G16
S6S6S5SE4
2 days agoN9N5CalmCalmNW4W4NW4--N10--NW5NW6N12N11N7NW8N125N10N74N5S8--

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:43 AM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:31 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:09 PM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:34 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.91.31.71.91.91.81.61.30.90.60.50.50.711.41.61.81.71.51.20.80.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:43 AM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:43 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:10 PM EDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.40.50.811.11.11.10.90.70.50.40.30.30.30.50.70.80.90.90.80.60.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.