Thursday, June29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:26PM Thursday June 29, 2017 11:48 AM EDT (15:48 UTC) Moonrise 10:55AMMoonset 11:42PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 704 Am Edt Thu Jun 29 2017
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers early this morning.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the evening.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 291335
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
935 am edt Thu jun 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure offshore is expected to remain steady through
early next week, with a piedmont trough producing chances for
thunderstorms each day.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 930 am Thursday... Just some minor tweaks to forecast
update this morning. Adjusted area of slight chance for showers
through mid morning over the southern coastal waters near cape
lookout. Area of showers should continue to diminish. Had a very
isolated area of dense fog and smoke develop this morning in
the havelock area. This was likely a super fog event related to
smoke and fine particulates in the air from a prescribed burn
yesterday. The fog and smoke that is making for poor air quality
should mix out by around noon as the inversion burns off and
winds increase.

Se flow will develop later today as high pressure settles in
off the coast. This will lead to an increase in dewpoints into
the lower to mid 60s. Highs will be in the mid upper 80s inland,
with low 80s expected along the coast. Some patchy high based
cumulus clouds are possible this afternoon, but otherwise it
will be mostly clear.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Friday
As of 645 am thurs... Radiational cooling again will allow temps
to drop into the mid to low 60s again tonight. Closer to the
coast lows will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Some scattered
showers will be approaching the region near sunrise Friday, but
should hold off until later Friday morning.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 415 pm Thursday... High pressure will shift off the coast
through the long term period with typical summer pattern
developing. Scattered afternoon and evening storms are possible
beginning Friday through early next week.

Friday Friday night... A weak short wave will move into the area
from the southwest during the day. Latest guidance continues to
indicate showers with some embedded thunder possible for mainly
the southern and western areas of the area. Will maintain the
low chance pops until additional guidance provides more
consistency on location, timing, and strength of the shortwave,
as precip chances may have to be raised for some areas with
subsequent forecasts. Shower thunderstorm activity will shift to
the coast and coastal waters Friday night and maintained chance
pops along the coast for this. Low level thicknesses will build
to 1410-1415 meters, yielding MAX temps in the upper 80s inland
with mid 80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Monday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
possible each afternoon through this period. Forecast pops based
on climo (20-40 percent), with interior areas seeing best
chances for scattered storms each afternoon and early evening,
then best chances along the coast and offshore during the
overnight periods. A weak front may aid shower and thunderstorm
development Sunday night into Monday, though this feature
currently appears too weak and subtle to indicate higher than
chance pops at this time. High temps will range from the low
90s inland to mid 80s near the coast, with lows 72 to 78,
coolest well inland and warmest on the beaches.

Tuesday through Thursday... A bit more uncertainty this period,
as ECMWF is indicating building heights thicknesses which would
limit convection, while GFS cmc are indicating a weakness in
the building ridge which may keep scattered showers storms in
the forecast. Will maintain 20 pops for the area at the moment,
which is in line with ECMWF ensemble MOS probabilities.

Aviation 14z Thursday through Monday
Short term through Friday morning ...

as of 700 am thurs...VFR conditions expected through most of
the TAF period with exception of a period of MVFR fog likely to
develop early Friday morning. Although fog was very scattered
this morning, low level moisture will increase today, and
combined with another clear and calm night, will lead to more
widespread MVFR conditions. Otherwise, light E to SE winds are
expected today under mostly sunny skies.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 410 am Thursday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible each
day as some scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms may develop, and could see some periods of MVFR-
ifr fog low stratus during the pre-dawn hours each morning.

Marine
Short term Thursday and Thursday night ...

as of 930 am Thursday... No changes with this update. High
pressure will have a strong influence over the nc coastal waters
through Thursday night. Winds will be out of the E less than 10
kts this morning, and will then become SE this afternoon and
tonight increasing to 10-15 kts. Seas will mostly be 2-3 ft
across the coastal waters.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 405 am Thursday... Fair boating conditions expected through
the long term as bermuda high pressure will prevail offshore. This
will produce SW winds of 5-15 kt through the weekend into early
next week with seas mainly 2-3 ft, though some occasional 4 ft
seas will be possible for the outer portions of the central and
southern waters. Latest swan and wavewatch guidance in good
agreement through the medium range with the gfs-based wavewatch
appearing reasonable for the extended period.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Rsb sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Dag
aviation... Dag sgk
marine... Rsb dag sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi49 min Calm G 8 81°F 77°F1023 hPa (+0.0)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi49 min NE 7 G 8 79°F 1023.4 hPa (+0.3)
41159 46 mi36 min 81°F2 ft
41064 47 mi41 min E 7.8 G 9.7 79°F 81°F1023.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last
24hr
N7
NE5
G10
N9
N8
G11
N8
G11
E8
G12
E11
G15
E7
G12
E8
E4
E4
E2
NE2
N2
NE4
NE4
NE4
NE4
NE4
NE4
NE5
G8
NE6
G9
SE4
G7
S1
G8
1 day
ago
N1
G5
S11
S9
G12
S6
G9
S7
G10
S7
SW8
SW7
SW2
G6
SW1
G4
W3
G6
NW6
G9
NW5
N11
G17
N11
N8
N8
NE5
N4
G7
N7
G10
N9
N9
N9
G12
NE5
G8
2 days
ago
NE5
G8
E6
G9
E8
E5
SE6
NE4
G8
SE5
G9
E5
E3
E2
E2
--
E1
N1
N1
N1
E1
N2
NW4
NW3
NW2
G5
NW3
N6
N4

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi55 minVar 410.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F62°F49%1023.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi1.9 hrsESE 810.00 miFair80°F66°F62%1024 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi55 minN 010.00 miFair82°F62°F51%1024 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi1.8 hrsENE 410.00 miFair82°F69°F65%1023.5 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last 24hr3NE4NE96CalmE9NE5E7E8SE4SE4--SE5CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSW3CalmCalmE4E34
1 day agoN634SE4SE5S3S6SW4SW3SW3SW3SW4N10N9N9N7NE3CalmN3CalmN7N6NE66
2 days agoNE9NE6NE10NE10NE11NE9NE8NE7E4SE4SE3SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmNW3W3W7NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:35 AM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:12 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:10 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:37 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.92.22.221.610.50.1-0.1-00.40.91.51.92.12.11.81.30.80.40.10.10.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:23 AM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:16 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:04 PM EDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:28 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.31.41.41.310.60.30-0.1-00.20.50.91.11.21.210.70.40.20.10.10.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.