Friday, December15, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 4:59PM Friday December 15, 2017 6:48 PM EST (23:48 UTC) Moonrise 4:34AMMoonset 3:32PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 241 Pm Est Fri Dec 15 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt early this evening. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds, increasing to 10 seconds after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 151921
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
221 pm est Fri dec 15 2017

Synopsis
Weak low pressure will deepen as it lifts to the northeast tonight
pushing a cold front through the region. High pressure will
build in from the west Saturday through Sunday. A complex
frontal system will affect the region early next week with high
pressure building in for the middle of next week.

Near term through tonight
As of 215 pm Friday... As low pres moves NE away from the area
and deepens tonight it will push a cold front thru. Sct to bkn
high clouds expected into the evening ahead of a short wave then
clearing overnight as drier air moves in. Combo of CAA and
decent radiational cooling will lead to lows in the upr 20s low
30s inland with 35 to 40 beaches where better breeze will
persist.

Short term Saturday through Saturday night
As of 215 pm Friday... High pres will build across with clr
skies expected as very dry airmass moves in. Below normal temps
with highs Sat upr 40s low 50s and lows Sat night upr 20s low
30s inland to mid upr 30s beaches.

Long term Sunday through Friday
As of 300 am Friday... Weak ridging builds into the area this
weekend followed by a complex system moving into the region
early next week bringing better chances of rain.

Sunday... Weak ridging and sfc high pressure will keep
conditions dry. High pressure moves offshore Sun with
increasing clouds ahead of the next approaching shortwave.

Return flow will bring a warming trend Sun with highs expected
in the mid 50s to around 60.

Sunday night through Tuesday night... A better chance of rain
expected early next week as a series of dampening shortwave
troughs lift out of the southern plains and lift across the area
tapping into gulf moisture. While model guidance is in somewhat
better agreement this morning, there remains some differences
with the strength and timing of the systems. 00z models have
trended drier with an upper ridge centered over the western
caribbean and ridging into the southeast holding strong with
very little shortwave energy remaining as they move across the
region, however we do get better jet dynamics Tue as a northern
stream trough pushes across the region with the attendant cold
front pushing across the region Tue night. Temps expected to be
above normal this period with predominant SW to W flow across
the region with highs generally in the low to mid 60s and lows
in the 40s inland to around 50 coast.

Wednesday through Thursday... High pressure builds into the
region wed, then pushes offshore Thu ahead and the next northern
stream system digging into the plains with dry conditions
expected across eastern nc. Highs expected to be in the 50s
wed, then warming a few degrees to the upper 50s low 60s thu.

Wed night lows expected in the 30s inland to low 40s coast.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 1205 pm Friday... High confidence inVFR conditions
through this TAF period. Sct to bkn high clouds into early
evening ahead of short wave then mainly clr rest of period as
short wave exits. Combo of light wnw breeze and lowering dewpts
shld preclude fog from forming late tonight despite clr skies.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 315 am Friday... PredVFR conditions expected through
Sunday. High pressure builds into the region over the weekend
but will see increasing clouds Sun in advance of the next system
approaching the region. Rain chances increase late Sun night or
mon and continue through Tue with periods of sub-vfr conditions
possible.

Marine
Short term tonight and Sat ...

as of 215 pm Friday... Wsw winds are starting to pick up as low
pres deepens to the n. Expect cont increasing wsw winds this
aftn becoming wnw this evening as low cont to deepen and cold
front crosses. SCA may be a bit marginal some wtrs but shld at
least see period of gusts AOA 25 kts peaking this evening. As
the high builds closer Sat winds will become W less than 15 kts
in the aftn. Seas will reach 4 to 7 ft this evening... Highest
outer central wtrs. Seas will subside to 3 to 5 ft toward
morning then reach 2 to 3 feet later sat.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 330 am Friday... Winds diminish to 5-10 kt Sat night, then
becomes S SW around Sun afternoon as the high moves offshore
while seas subside to 1-2 ft late Sat night and sun. The next
system approaches from the west early next week but uncertainty
remains with the details leading to a low confidence forecast.

Do expect winds to increase some as the system approaches and
have W SW winds increasing to around 10-15 kt Sun night and mon
and 10-20 kt Mon night and Tue ahead of a stronger cold front.

Seas expected around 2-3 ft Sun night and Mon building to 3-5 ft
mon night and Tue and may build up to 6 ft across the outer
portions of the central southern waters late tue.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 pm this evening to 3 am est
Saturday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 7 am est Saturday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 3 am est Saturday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 6 am est
Saturday for amz150.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Sk
aviation... Rf sk
marine... Rf sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi49 min WSW 6 G 8.9 55°F 51°F1012.9 hPa (+0.4)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi49 min WSW 9.9 G 12 1013.2 hPa (+0.6)
41159 46 mi49 min 65°F5 ft
41064 47 mi101 min WSW 18 G 21 60°F 65°F1013.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N1
NE3
G6
NE3
N1
N5
NE6
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G9
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G8
N7
N6
N6
N6
NE5
NE2
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W1
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G24
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W5
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G21
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G24
W10
G22
W9
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G15
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G19
W7
G13
W4
G10
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G9
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W6
G10
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G8
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NW8
G13
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G12
W5
G8
NW18
G28
NW12
G19
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G23
NW12
G17
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G15
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G20
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G13
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G17
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G19
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G19
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G14
NW9
G13
NW8
G13
W8
G13
NW9
G12
W3

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi55 minSW 610.00 miFair51°F42°F71%1013 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi52 minW 410.00 miFair54°F46°F75%1014 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi55 minNW 1010.00 miFair52°F37°F59%1013.5 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi1.8 hrsWSW 910.00 miFair55°F46°F74%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNE8NE6NE6N4NE4NE4N3NE3CalmCalmCalmS4SW8SW10SW12W13SW12SW9SW7SW6
1 day agoS4SW3S5SW8SW4SW8SW14SW14SW17
G26
SW15SW8SW10SW10SW10W11W12W8W9W9NW8W8SW6NW4Calm
2 days agoW9W7W8--NW15
G20
NW14
G27
NW17
G22
NW13NW15NW14NW11NW11NW9W8NW10
G18
NW18
G26
NW16
G24
NW12W10
G17
W15
G20
NW12W9W7SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:32 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:32 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:45 AM EST     2.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:22 PM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:31 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:58 PM EST     1.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-00.20.71.31.82.12.221.71.20.70.300.10.40.81.31.71.81.71.40.90.5

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:30 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:37 AM EST     1.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:26 PM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:32 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:51 PM EST     1.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1000.20.50.91.21.41.41.310.70.40.20.10.10.30.60.811.110.80.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.