Thursday, March23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:23PM Thursday March 23, 2017 6:06 PM EDT (22:06 UTC) Moonrise 3:11AMMoonset 1:56PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 329 Pm Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming E 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...diminishing to light chop late.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sat night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 231840
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
240 pm edt Thu mar 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the northwest today then slide
offshore Friday. The high will remain offshore through the
weekend with the next frontal system approaching the middle of
next week.

Near term /today/
As of 1000 am Thursday... Minor update for hourly temp/dew point
trends. Fair and cool forecast on track with high pressure
extending over area from north.

/previous discussion/
as of 630 am thu... Cold high pres will build in from the nw
with mainly clear skies. High temps will be well below normal
ranging from mid 40s NE cst to mid 50s s.

Short term /tonight through Friday/
As of 230 am thu... The strong high will remain centered near
the area leading to good radiational cooling with light winds
and mainly clr skies. Lows will range from around 30 cooler
inland spots to mid/upr 30s beaches. A light south wind
Friday will push afternoon highs into the mid/upper 60s with
cooler upper 50s/lower 60s on the outer banks.

Long term /Friday night through Thursday/
As of 240 pm thu... Above normal temperatures expected through
the period... With scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
developing late weekend and early next week.

Friday night through Tuesday... High pressure will remain
anchored off the southeast coast, as frontal boundary slowly
approaches from the west. Warm moist s/sw flow expected across
the region, and low level thickness values support highs 65-70
degrees along the outer banks, and upper 60s to upper 70s
inland. Overnight lows generally in the 50s. Weak shortwave
moves through the carolinas Sunday, and could support an isolated
showers/tstm... Though expect best chances west of the area with
better forcing. Similar set up for Mon with scattered convection
possible. Better precip chances Tue as main front and trough
move into the mid-atlantic and SE us. Will continue 20-40
pops... Highest tue.

Tuesday night through Thursday... Latest guidance shows front
pushing through late Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High
pressure will build in from the north Wed and thu, as another
frontal system approaches late week. Continue slight chance pops
Tuesday night, and dry for Wed and thu. At this time does not
seem like a significant airmass change behind the front, with
above normal temps in the mid 60s to mid 70s wed... And a few
degrees cooler for thu.

Aviation /18z Thursday through Tuesday/
Short term /through Friday/...

as of 1230 pm thu...VFR conditions expected through the short
term. Crystal clear skies present this afternoon, with winds
10-15 knots out of the north/northeast. Winds will occasionally
gust 15-20 knots this afternoon before dropping below 10 knots
tonight. Skies remain clear overnight and dewpoints begin to
increase, but with the dry north wind, fog should remain mostly
a non factor. Clear skies again on Friday and winds will slowly
veer around to the southeast.

Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/...

as of 240 pm thu... PredVFR through the period, with periods of
sub-vfr possible Sunday through Tuesday in scattered showers and
isolated tstms.

Marine
Short term /through Friday/...

as of 1200 pm Thursday... Quick update for SCA expiration
pamlico sound. Latest obs have gusts below 25 knots and latest
guidance supports current forecast of diminishing winds through
afternoon.

/previous discussion/
as of 630 am thu... Updated earlier to issue SCA for pamlico
sound thru the morn as winds have been steadily increasing past
cpl hrs and 06z mdls slightly stronger with winds. As high pres
builds closer these winds shld diminish by around noon.

Otherwise no changes with elevated seas cont today cstl waters.

Prev disc... Ne winds 15 to 25 kts currently will slowly
diminish 10 to 15 kts by this evening... Then become light ese
overnight with the high centered just to the nw. Seas of 6 to 10
ft currently will subside to 4 to 6 feet late today and reach 2
to 4 feet tonight. SCA will end later today or early evening
coastal waters.

Long term /Friday night through Tuesday/...

as of 240 pm thu... High pressure will remain anchored off the
coast through the period, as a slow moving cold front approaches
the waters early next week. S/sw winds generally 5-15 kt
expected into early next week. Seas 2-4 feet Fri night through
Sunday. Models show waves building to 3-5 feet Monday. Could see
some 6 ft seas develop Monday night and Tue south of oregon
inlet in combo of SW winds and increasing swell energy.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... Frost advisory from 3 am to 9 am edt Friday for ncz095-098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for amz150-
156-158.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf/jbm
short term... Rf
long term... Cqd
aviation... Sgk/cqd
marine... Rf/jbm/cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi49 min NE 7 G 14 47°F 51°F1033.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi67 min NE 16 G 19 45°F 1034.5 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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NE10
G19
NE10
G22
NE15
G19
NE11
G18
NE10
G14
NE7
G12
NE8
G11
NE5
N7
G10
E5
NE4
NE7
NE5
G8
NE7
G12
NE9
NE12
G17
NE14
G18
NE14
G20
NE11
G16
NE11
G16
NE10
G16
N11
G16
NE10
G15
NE7
G14
1 day
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W2
SW2
SW1
SE1
SE5
E4
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SE7
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S1
N16
NE9
G15
N10
NE6
NE11
G18
N7
N8
G12
N11
N17
G22
N17
G26
NE11
G20
NE12
G19
NE15
G21
NE10
G18
2 days
ago
SW5
G8
SW5
SW3
SW2
SW2
SW5
SW4
G8
SW2
G5
SW2
G6
SW3
G7
SW3
G7
SW4
G10
W3
G6
SW4
S4
SW10
SW7
G13
SW6
G15
SW6
G11
SW8
G14
SW7
G13
SW6
G11
SW7
G13
SW6
G11

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi71 minENE 12 miFair0°F0°F%1035.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi73 minNE 117.00 miClear50°F30°F46%1034.7 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi73 minE 610.00 miFair52°F26°F37%1034.7 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi69 minNNE 1110.00 miFair50°F28°F43%1034.9 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--NE14NE14
G21
E16
G21
NE8E12NE11
G20
NE11NE8NE7NE7NE8NE10NE9NE15NE15NE12
G24
E15E14E12E14E12
G16
NE15NE11
1 day agoS6S5SE4SE6SE3E4E4SE6E5NE10N12NE9E6N12N8N8N9N12W11NE18
G25
NE16NE16NE15
G24
E16
G21
2 days agoN5S8--S4Calm3SW4S3SW6SW5SW5SW5SE4S4S7S9S11SW13SW7W8W7W11W11
G16
S6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:42 AM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:26 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:07 PM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.60.91.31.7221.91.61.20.90.60.40.40.611.41.71.91.81.61.20.80.5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:56 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:48 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:06 PM EDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.40.71.11.51.71.71.61.41.10.80.50.30.30.50.81.21.51.61.61.41.10.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.