Sunday, June16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 8:24PM Sunday June 16, 2019 12:34 PM EDT (16:34 UTC) Moonrise 6:52PMMoonset 4:20AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2019
Rest of today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop late.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 161401
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1001 am edt Sun jun 16 2019

Synopsis
High pressure just offshore will slowly drift further east, but
continue to ridge into the area into early next week. Chances
of showers and thunderstorms return by mid week.

Near term today
As of 10 am sun... Only change with am update was to introduce an
iso shower mention, as a few showers have developed near ilm and
could work their way into onslow where an agitated CU field is
evident. Any showers that form will mix out and dissipate by
early afternoon as SW winds increase. No sea breeze storms
expected today as atms will be too dry and subsidence too strong
for any convection this afternoon.

Prev discussion... As of 7 am sun... No changes. High pressure
will drift a bit further east today, but will still keep any
rain chances away from the area. Southerly flow will increase
through the day, and we will see dewpoints on the rise, reaching
the low 70s by this afternoon. The heat will also return, with
high temps climbing into the low 90s inland, and the mid to
upper 80s closer to the coast.

Short term tonight
As of 3 am sun... Mostly clear skies with high pressure
continuing to extend in from the atlantic. Light south southwest
winds will keep overnight lows in the lower 70s throughout the
area, with mid 70s along the outer banks.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 300 am sun... Hot and humid conditions return with
occasional showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday.

Drier weather prevails to end the week, but hot and muggy
conditions will persist.

Monday through Tuesday... A summertime pattern sets up across
the area with high pressure off the coast and an inland surface
trof in place. Temps will climb further as low-level thicknesses
increase, and td's will be uncomfortably high into the 70s.

Highs reach the low 90s inland, and the mid to upper 80s along
the coast. Low temps will again become warm and muggy... Mostly
remaining in the 70s.

Convective chances still minimal on Monday, as upr ridging
continues its grip on E nc. Have opted to keep forecast
predominantly dry for Monday, which has support from the first
set of high-res guidance for the period. Slightly better chance
for a storm or two on Tuesday afternoon as heights fall slightly
ahead of a weak shortwave embedded in mainly zonal flow. Will
cap pops at 30% well inland, with coastal areas remaining dry.

Wednesday through Thursday... Ridge will be flattened a bit by
mid week as low amplitude shortwaves ride through main flow and
bring somewhat better chances of convection. The timing of these
features is still difficult to pin down which keeps pops no
higher than chance for now. Shear is fairly minimal so not
expecting severe, and any convection should mainly be relegated
to afternoon through early evening with daytime heating. Hot
and humid conditions continue with highs around 90 inland to
mid upr 80s nearer the coast, and 70s overnight lows.

Friday through Saturday... 16 00z global model suite remains
consistent with front and shortwave moving off the east coast
by early Friday, thus mainly a dry forecast. The front will not
bring relief from the heat and humidity however, with hot temps
and high humidities continuing as hts remain above climo. Highs
in the 90s inland to 80s beaches with lows in the 70s.

Aviation 14z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 06z Monday
as of 7 am sun...VFR through the short term with high pressure
extending into the region from the atlantic. South to southwest
flow 10 knots or less this morning, increasing to 10-15 knots
this afternoon, decreasing once again to 10 knots or less this
evening.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 320 am sun...VFR conditions expected Monday with high
pressure rebuilding and dry air mass in place. Some ocnl subVFR
possible tue, and ESP Wed and thu, with afternoon and early
evening sct thunderstorms. Could be some overnight early morning
br fg develop each morning as lower atmos moistens by early
next week.

Marine
Short term through tonight
as of 7 am sun... No changes. Flow will be southwest through the
period with high pressure centered off the coast. Wind speeds
will increase from 10-15 knots today to 15-20 knots by late
afternoon early evening due to the increasing thermal gradient,
mainly over the pamlico sound and central southern coastal
waters. Seas will average 2-4 feet through the period.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 330 am sun... Sw winds increase on Mon afternoon evening
and again Tue and wed, and with increasing thermal gradient
afternoon and evening winds 15-20 kt with ocnl gusts to 25 kt,
esp for pamlico and SRN ctrl waters. Currently do not anticipate
conditions to last long enough to warrant a sca. Seas will
increase a bit to 3-5 ft, with a choppy 5 second periodicity.

Sca conditions are probable with a front moving through late
Thursday or early Friday with more stout swrly winds of 20-25 kt
developing and seas building to 6+ ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Hsa tl
short term... Hsa
long term... Ms
aviation... Hsa ms
marine... Hsa ms


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi35 min SSW 12 G 15 80°F 1019.4 hPa (-0.0)69°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
Last
24hr
S9
S9
G12
S9
G13
S10
G13
S10
S10
G15
SE6
G10
S9
G12
S12
G15
S10
G13
SW8
G11
S8
G14
SW9
G13
SW6
G11
SW4
G9
SW2
G6
SW3
SW3
SW5
SW7
G10
SW7
G11
S9
SW8
G13
SW10
G14
1 day
ago
N9
G12
NW4
G7
NW6
G10
N5
G8
N3
G7
N5
G8
NW4
NE3
G7
SE5
S5
SE4
--
--
N1
N2
SE2
--
N1
E1
E2
SE4
SE4
SE5
G9
SE9
G13
2 days
ago
SW6
G15
SW13
G16
SW11
G16
SW16
SW12
G18
SW14
G18
SW10
G18
SW7
G18
SW10
G16
SW8
G18
SW10
G16
SW10
G14
SW8
G15
W6
G12
NW8
G13
NW9
G14
N10
G14
N13
G16
NW9
G13
N10
G15
NW9
G14
NW9
G15
NW8
G13

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi39 minSSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F66°F57%1019.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi41 minSSW 9 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F66°F53%1018.9 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi41 minSW 910.00 miA Few Clouds84°F69°F61%1019 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi97 minSW 1110.00 miFair82°F70°F67%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
Last 24hrS10
G17
SE9S9
G16
S10SW10S8
G16
S5S5SE4S4S4S4CalmCalmCalmE3SE4CalmCalmCalmSW9S10SW11SW9
G19
1 day agoNW10
G19
NW8N5N11N5N6N6N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E5SE10S7
2 days agoW11W11S13S12
G18
S13SW16
G22
SW14
G18
SW10SW9SW8SW11SW11SW9SW9W11W7NW6NW8N14NW13NW11NW11
G20
NW12N13

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:14 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:54 AM EDT     1.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:05 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:16 PM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.10.50.1-0.1-0.10.30.91.51.921.81.510.40.1-0.100.51.11.72.22.52.42.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:36 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:53 AM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:27 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:15 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.51.10.60.2-0.1-0.10.20.71.21.61.71.61.30.90.50.1-0.1-00.30.81.41.92.12.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.