Saturday, April29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 7:53PM Saturday April 29, 2017 1:34 AM EDT (05:34 UTC) Moonrise 8:09AMMoonset 10:33PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1254 Am Edt Sat Apr 29 2017
Overnight..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Patchy fog.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Patchy fog in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sun..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Showers and tstms likely.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 290459
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1259 am edt Sat apr 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure over the atlantic will continue through the
weekend producing record or near record highs over eastern north
carolina. A cold front will approach from the west Monday and
cross late Monday night or early Tuesday. High pressure will
build in behind the front Wednesday. A strong low pressure area
may affect the region late next week.

Near term /until 6 am this morning/
As of 1 am sat... Very quiet night with high pressure dominating
the area... Bringing warm and muggy conditions.Lows will be in
the low 70s area wide. S to SW breeze will prevent any fog
development inland, though may see patchy sea fog develop due to
the very warm air mass over the still cooler shelf waters. Best
bet for sea fog will be across the NRN obx, meanwhile bringing
low stratus clouds over the coastal plains.

Short term /6 am this morning through 6 pm Sunday/
As of 330 pm fri... Record or near record highs expected as
heights and thicknesses will peak on Saturday. Strong ridging
sfc and aloft will prevent any threat for even a sea breeze
storm so dry fcst continues. Scattered to broken low stratus in
the early a.M. Will burn off by late morning and be replaced by
mostly sunny skies. Low lvl thicknesses 1410-1420m suggest
highs on the higher end of the MOS guide with readings in the
88-93 degree range interior with 78-82 on the beaches.

Long term /Sunday night through Friday/
As of 330 pm Friday... Models remain in decent agreement during
period with a upper ridge indicated for weekend, then more
progressive flow leading to more unsettled weather for next
week.

Saturday night through Sunday night... Ridging surface and aloft
will result in a warm and dry period with temps 10-15 degrees
above normal. Models continue to indicate mainly dry weather
this period. Lows each night in mid 60s to around 70. Highs
Sunday in upper 80s inland with low to mid 80s closer to the
coast.

Monday through Tuesday... A cold front will approach from the w
late Mon and slowly cross the region Mon night and early tue.

Temps remain warm Mon with a low chc of some convection espcly
inland during the aftn as the front approaches. Models continue
to indicate a decent coverage of precipitation Mon night/early
tue and will continue likely pops this period. Lingering shra
ends from W to E Tue morning with the front sliding offshore.

Highs Mon will again climb well into the 80s then cool into
the mid 70s to around 80 Tue behind the front.

Wednesday through Friday... High pressure is forecast to build
into the area Wed with dry weather and temps moderating into the
low 80s inland. The weather for late next week will feature a
strong upper low and complex surface low pressure which will
push a couple of fronts through the area with the potential for
significant precipitation late week and much cooler temperatures
next weekend.

Aviation /06z Saturday through Wednesday/
Short term /through Saturday/...

as of 1 am sat... High confidence of low stratus clouds will
develop through the overnight hours leading to MVFR/ifr
conditions. S to SW winds of 5 to 10 knots will continue through
the night, inhibiting fog development. By sunrise, clouds will
start to erode away... Leading to mostly sunny skies by mid/late
morning.VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period
with SW winds of 10 to 15 knots throughout Saturday. Not even a
sea breeze storm expected Sat as strong high pres will remain
in control.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/...

as of 330 pm Friday...VFR expected to prevail through Monday
with enough nocturnal mixing to preclude fog development. A
cold front will be moving across the area Mon night into early
tue with better coverage of shra and storms with periods of sub
vfr conditions possible. High pressure builds in behind the
front late Tue through wed.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as 1 am sat... Marine forecast in good shape. No changes needed.

Latest buoy obs are showing S to SW 5-15 kts and seas 2-4 ft. S
to SW winds continue as bermuda high pres remains in control.

Wind speeds of 10-20 kt through Saturday expected with gusts
nearing 25 kt at times though should remain below sca. Seas will
be 2-4 ft near shore to 3-5 ft outer waters south of oregon
inlet.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/...

as of 330 pm Friday... Moderate SW flow of 10-20 kts with seas
around 3-5 ft expected thru Sun around offshore high pressure.

An approaching cold front will increase SW winds to 20-30 kt
mon through early Tue with seas building to 6-11 ft by late
mon/mon night. SW winds diminish to 10-20 kt tue, briefly become
w around 5-15 kt late Tue night, then back to southerly wed.

Seas slowly subside Tue and Tue night, dropping below 6 ft late
tue night/early wed.

Hydrology
As of 10 pm Friday... The tar river in greenville is expected to
reach moderate flooding, while contentnea creek in hookerton is
in major flood stage. The neuse river in kinston is now at
minor flood stage, and is forecast to increase further to major
flood stage next week. In the NE CAPE fear river in chinquapin
forecast remains in minor flooding. The roanoke river is
forecast to rise over the next several days due to increased
flow out of kerr dam but is expected to remain just below flood
stage.

Climate
Record highs are possible through Sunday as an extremely warm air
mass settles over eastern nc.

Record high temps for 04/29
---------------------------
location temp/year
new bern 90/1974 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 84/1994 (khse asos)
greenville 91/1981 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 86/2002 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96/1914 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 89/1974 (knca awos)
record high temps for 04/30
---------------------------
location temp/year
new bern 91/1974 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 84/1974 (khse asos)
greenville 92/1957 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 86/1957 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 94/1906 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 90/1987 (knca awos)

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tl
near term... Tl/bm
short term... Tl
long term... Sk
aviation... Sk/hsa/bm
marine... Sk/hsa/tl/bm
hydrology... Mhx
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi47 min SSW 9.9 G 12 73°F 70°F1021.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi35 min S 8 G 8.9 73°F 1021.8 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW5
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G12
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NW6
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi39 minSSW 87.00 miMostly Cloudy0°F0°F%1022.2 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi2.7 hrsSSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F72°F88%1021.1 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi41 minSSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F73°F94%1021.5 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi97 minSSW 96.00 miFog/Mist74°F73°F100%1021.8 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S9S9S10SW10SW11SW10
G18
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1 day agoS6SW4SW4SW4CalmCalm4SW8SW9S9--SW10
G17
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S7S5S8S8S8
2 days agoW7W5W7W5W7W7W5W7NW7W7W6W13W14SW11S10S10--S7S7S7S8S7S7S6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Sat -- 06:13 AM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:57 AM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:16 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:33 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.72.41.81.10.5-0-0.3-0.20.311.62.12.32.11.71.10.50-0.2-0.10.311.72.3

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:27 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:35 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:56 PM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.32.11.61.10.50.1-0.2-0.20.10.71.31.821.81.510.60.1-0.1-0.10.20.71.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.