Monday, August21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 7:49PM Monday August 21, 2017 11:15 PM EDT (03:15 UTC) Moonrise 5:15AMMoonset 6:54PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1002 Pm Edt Mon Aug 21 2017
Overnight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers and tstms likely.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers likely. Tstms likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Fri..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 220201
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1001 pm edt Mon aug 21 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
Wednesday, then a cold front will move through Wednesday night
and Thursday. Strong high pressure will build in from the north
Friday through Sunday, while areas of low pressure move along
the stalled frontal boundary off the southeast coast.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
As of 1000 pm Monday... No significant changes with this update. Radar
currently clear across the area with mostly clear skies and
expect dry conditions through most of the overnight with the
possible exception of the south coast. Models indicate we will
again have possible offshore activity spreading near southern
coast later overnight with surface flow becoming light s-sw as
high pressure continues to drift offshore. Kept pops as
previously forecast with just a slight chance along coast after
2 am. Areas of patchy fog and low stratus will again be possible
for inland sections later tonight. Min temps from lower 70s
inland to mid to upper 70s coast.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through 6 pm Tuesday
As of 315 pm Monday... Expect similar conditions tomorrow as
today, with a bit more moisture and humidity as southerly flow
increases. Any lingering early morning fog and stratus will burn
off by mid morning. Will see a small chance of a shower
skirting the coast in the morning then 20 to 30 pops for the
afternoon for scattered sea breeze activity. Highs will be in
the lower 90s inland to mid to upper 80s along the coast.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 3 pm mon... Forecast remains on track with a quiet start
to the week followed by increasing rain chances Wednesday into
Thursday. Much cooler weather expected late week and this
weekend.

Tuesday night through Thursday... Hot and humid weather will
continue Wednesday ahead of the approaching cold front, with
high pressure extending over the area from offshore. Highs wed
in the upper 80s to low 90s, dewpoints in the 70s, and heat
indices around 100 deg in the afternoon. The slow moving front
will push into the area Wednesday night and Thursday. This front
will be an anafront with the best chance for precipitation
along and behind it. Will continue high chance to likely pops
developing ahead of the front Wed afternoon, with the most
likely period for precip coming Wednesday night into Thursday.

By Thursday however cooler air aloft, clouds, and rain chances
will keep high temps in the lower 80s.

Friday into Monday... .Strong high pressure will build in from
the north, with broad upper troughing across the area, while
areas of low pressure are forecast to move along the stalled
front off the SE coast. Scattered showers fri, with best
chances along the coast. Much drier air filters into the area
this weekend, with forecast soundings showing pwat values
dropping below 1" Sat and sun. Low level thickness values and
ne E flow support temps several degrees below normal, with highs
in the upper 70s to low 80s and overnight lows 60-70 degrees.

Some guidance even has some inland spots dropping into the upper
50s this weekend. Depending on the track and strength of low
pressure areas off the coast this weekend, could see some
showers skirt the coastal areas but at this time expect bulk of
precip to remain offshore. By early next week however, rain
chances return as a stronger area of low pressure passes just to
the south and pushes moisture back into the forecast area.

Aviation 02z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 12z tue
as of 720 pm Monday...VFR conditions currently prevail across
the area and this will continue through the evening. Expect
areas of fog stratus will again be likely inland late tonight
and ifr to lifr conditions will be possible at all taf
locations and will slowly improve after sunrise through around
10 am. ExpectVFR to return for late morning through afternoon
with only a low chance for some scattered afternoon convection
along the sea breeze.

Long term Tue night through sat
as of 3 pm mon... Sub-vfr conditions possible Wednesday into
Saturday in scattered showers and storms. NE flow developing
behind the cold front Wed night and thu, could keep low stratus
locked in across the area into Thursday night before we see a
return predVFR conditions Fri into sat.

Marine
Short term through Tuesday ...

as of 1000 pm Monday... No changes with this update. Benign
conditions through Tuesday morning with light winds and seas 2
to 3 feet. Winds become more southerly and increase through the
day on Tuesday to 10 to 15 kt by late afternoon. Seas build to 3
to 4 feet during the afternoon.

Long term Tue night through sat
as of 3 pm mon... A prolonged period of moderate to strong ne
winds expected behind the front Thursday night through the
weekend. SCA conditions likely to develop this coming weekend,
as early as Friday.

High pressure will continue to extend over the waters from
offshore Tue night and wed. The gradient will tighten Tue night
and Wed ahead of the front, with SW winds increasing to 10-15
kt and seas building to 3-5 ft. The slow moving front will push
through the waters Wed night and Thursday, with winds gradually
becoming NE 10-15 kt behind the front. Strong high pressure will
build in from the north Thu night and fri, while areas of low
pressure are forecast to move along the stalled front off the se
coast. NE winds will increase to 15-20 kt Thu night into Friday
with seas building to 4-6 ft. Gusty NE winds and rough seas are
expected to continue into the weekend and early next week.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Rsb
near term... Rsb
short term... Rsb
long term... Hsa
aviation... Rsb hsa
marine... Rsb hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi46 min SE 4.1 G 5.1 81°F 81°F1021.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi76 min SE 6 G 6 82°F 1021.4 hPa (+0.7)
41063 44 mi136 min S 1.9 G 1.9 83°F 1021.7 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi20 minN 010.00 miFair0°F0°F%1022.2 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi22 minN 010.00 miFair77°F73°F90%1021.6 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi22 minN 09.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1022 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi78 minN 010.00 miFair79°F77°F94%1021.8 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE3CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3NE6NE6NE5NE9E7E10SE9SE7S5S7S5S4CalmSE3Calm
1 day agoS4SW4CalmW3CalmCalmNW3NW4N4SE5S3S3CalmN4E5E8E8E5S5SE6SE4CalmSE3Calm
2 days agoSW9SW9SW8SW10SW8SW8SW6SW6SW7SW11W8W9SW8SW7SE10S9SW13S3SE5W6S3SW3NW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:21 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:10 AM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 03:31 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:33 PM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.70.2-0.1-0.10.411.72.22.42.321.40.80.2-0.1-0.10.30.91.62.32.62.72.4

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:43 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:09 AM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 04:53 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:32 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.81.20.70.2-0-0.10.20.71.41.92.121.71.30.80.3-0-0.10.10.61.31.92.32.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.