Friday, June23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:26PM Friday June 23, 2017 6:09 AM EDT (10:09 UTC) Moonrise 4:32AMMoonset 6:58PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 324 Am Edt Fri Jun 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through late Saturday night...
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft late. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy this afternoon. A slight chance of showers until late afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sat..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. Showers and tstms likely.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon. Showers and tstms likely.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 230752
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
352 am edt Fri jun 23 2017

Synopsis
A hot and humid airmass will remain over the region through
this weekend. The remnants of tropical cyclone cindy will pass
well to the north on Saturday. A tropically enhanced cold front
will move very slowly through eastern nc Saturday and Sunday,
before pushing just south of the area Monday night and early
Tuesday. High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday
through late next week.

Near term through today
As of 3 am fri... Latest sfc analysis shows high pressure
anchored off the SE coast and TD cindy over arkansas louisiana
early this morning. Warm and breezy today as southwesterly flow
begins to increase as remnants of cindy move eastward into the
ohio river valley. Latest radar imagery shows light scattered
showers pushing into eastern nc associated with an upper level
shortwave. Scattered showers through about 15z this morning,
with little precip chances after. An isolated seabreeze
shower storm possible this afternoon early evening, but coverage
looks limited with better chances south of our forecast area.

Airmass begins to dry out in the mid levels this afternoon with
pwat values dropping to about 1.75". Low level thickness values
and SW flow support highs in the mid 80s to low 90s.

Short term tonight
As of 3 am fri... Frontal boundary and cindy remnants will
approach from the west overnight, but expect area to remain pred
dry. Warm and muggy with lows in the mid upper 70s.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
As of 330 am Friday... Deep moisture associated with the remnants
of tropical storm cindy, coupled with an approaching cold front
will lead to a wet weekend across eastern nc. Drier and somewhat
cooler air will overspread the region behind a fairly strong
summer cold front for Tuesday through Thursday of next week.

Saturday through Monday... Deep moisture with precipitable water
values in excess of 2 inches, associated with the remnants of
tropical storm cindy tracking to our north and an approaching
cold front from the northwest, will lead to a rather wet weekend
across eastern nc. Instability will be greatest Saturday
afternoon and evening and SPC has a marginal threat of severe
weather across the region during this time frame. Heavy rain
will be the main threat, especially near the coast during this
time. As the initial front edges offshore, the atmosphere
becomes more stable and the rain will be confined to near the
coast or just offshore. With warm SW winds ahead of the main
area of precipitation on Saturday, high temperatures will be
into the low to perhaps mid 90s inland with mid to upper 80s
coast. Cooler with more clouds and precipitation on Sunday with
most areas in the mid upper 80s, then cooler still for Monday
with highs mostly in the lower 80s with cloudy skies.

Monday night through Thursday... The primary cold front should
move offshore late Monday night or early Tuesday morning leading
to a period of pleasant weather for this time of year. Some
model differences with the ECMWF still holding more moisture in
the area, but this seems overdone, and will go with the drier
gfs solution with minimal pops from Monday night through late
week. Dewpoints will drop into the mid upper 50s inland and
lower 60s inland as daytime highs range in the 80s and pleasant
overnight lows in the upper 50s inland and low mid 60s coast
through the period.

Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 3 am fri... Mixed bag ofVFR and lifr early this morning,
with patchy fog and low stratus. All sites will have the
potential for ifr stratus, with best chances at oaj and iso.

Scattered light showers this morning. Expect stratus to lift
shortly after sunrise this morning, with conditions returning to
vfr by 15z. Isolated showers TSTM possible this afternoon.

Breezy SW winds this afternoon with gusts to 20kt.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday ...

as of 345 am Friday... A moist unstable airmass will lead to
widespread showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon through
Sunday with periods of MVFR and perhaps ifr ceilings and vsbys.

Most precipitation should be east of the TAF sites by later
Sunday night with high pressure building in behind a cold front
early next week. As usual, patchy late night early morning fog
will be possible, especially in areas that receive rainfall.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 3 am fri... Latest obs show SW winds 5-15kt and seas 2-3 ft
this morning. Conditions will gradually deteriorate this
afternoon and evening, as pressure gradient tightens between the
remnants of cindy passing to the west and high pressure off the
coast. Southwest winds will increase to 15-25 kt with seas
building to 4-6 feet. Winds and seas will peak overnight. Sca
continues for the waters and pamlico sound. Could see some gusts
to 25 kt for the albemarle sound as well. Nwps and wavewatch
have seas peaking at 4-8 feet tonight.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday ...

as of 350 am Friday... Gusty SW winds of 15-25 knots will
continue Saturday and Saturday night with rough seas building to
as high as 7-9 feet over the coastal waters. Winds veer to more
w NW behind an initial cold front and diminish by late Saturday
night and early Sunday and seas drop off to 3-5 feet by Sunday
afternoon. A stronger secondary cold front moves across the
waters late Monday night or early Tuesday morning but wind
guidance does not indicate much of a surge behind this front
with winds generally under 15 knots and seas 2-4 feet for
Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 3 am fri... Minor coastal flooding will be possible for
areas along the coast at times of high tide today through the
weekend, as king tide event peaks. Nuisance type flooding
possible with no significant inundation expected at this time.

Long period swells, that have been responsible for dangerous rip
currents over the past week or so, continue to subside and have
lowered all but the CAPE lookout to bogue inlet zone to a
moderate rip current threat today. For the CAPE lookout to bogue
inlet zone, lifeguard reports indicated strong rip currents
late yesterday and opted to keep this area in the high risk for
at least one more day.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-103-
104.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 9 pm edt
Saturday for amz135.

Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 7 am edt
Sunday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 5 am edt
Sunday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 10 pm edt
Saturday for amz150.

Synopsis... Rsb cqd
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Ctc sgk
aviation... Ctc cqd
marine... Ctc cqd
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi52 min SW 4.1 G 8 79°F 78°F1015.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi70 min SW 7 G 8.9 79°F 1016.4 hPa (-0.9)
41063 44 mi70 min WSW 9.7 G 12 80°F 1016.8 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi74 minSW 57.00 miFair0°F0°F%1016.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi76 minSW 69.00 miFair78°F75°F90%1016.4 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi76 minSW 67.00 miOvercast77°F75°F96%1016.8 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi72 minSW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds80°F79°F97%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3W5W7W8W10
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W8W8W9NW10SW4W5W7--CalmSW3SW6SW5SW5SW5SW6SW5SW6SW6SW6
1 day agoW9W6W7W6W6W9SW4SW6SW9SW11S9S9SW11SW7S7SW5SW6SW6SW6SW6--SW6SW4Calm
2 days agoSW9SW11--SW10W7----SW11SW11SW7W7W5W6CalmCalm--CalmCalmSW4--CalmCalmW10W13

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:03 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:45 AM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:01 PM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:11 PM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:32 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.3-0.1-0.3-0.10.411.72.12.221.50.90.3-0.2-0.3-0.10.41.11.92.52.82.72.3

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:25 AM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:44 AM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:23 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:10 PM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:32 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.510.40-0.2-0.20.20.81.41.81.91.71.30.80.4-0-0.3-0.20.20.91.62.12.42.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.