Friday, April26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:49PM Friday April 26, 2019 1:42 AM EDT (05:42 UTC) Moonrise 12:57AMMoonset 11:12AM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 1028 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 9 am edt Friday through Saturday morning...
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Fri..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough in the afternoon. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough, diminishing to rough after midnight. Showers and tstms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260054
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
854 pm edt Thu apr 25 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move through late Friday and Friday evening,
followed by high pressure for the weekend. Another front is
expected to move through the area late Sunday.

Near term through Friday
As of 830 pm thu... Forecast in good shape and little changes
needed for the evening update.

High clouds this evening will gradually lower through the night
as moisture profiles increase well ahead of a cold front. Most
of the night will remain mild and dry but toward daybreak a few
showers are possible especially over the far southwest part of
the area. With the increase in cloud cover and light to moderate
brz lows wl hold in the middle 60s for a large part of the
area, with some upr 60s coast.

Short term Friday night through 6 pm Friday
As of 220 pm thu... A cold front and associated mid level
shortwave will approach the area Friday. Precipitable water
values increase to around 1.5 and will continue trend of high
chc pops developing in the morn with likely pops in the
afternoon. SPC now has the area outlooked in a slight risk for
svr weather, with the main threat damaging wind gusts. Sb cape
values 1000 to 1500 j kg, 0-6 km bulk shear increasing to 40-45
kt, and steep lapse rates support the threat of convection with
a few strong to severe storms possible during the afternoon. Sw
winds will be breezy from mid morn on with highs most upr 70s to
around 80.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 240 pm Thursday... After precipitation moves offshore late
Friday night, a mostly dry and warm period will follow for much
of the upcoming week.

Friday night... Will maintain chance pops near the coast through
late Friday night before moving offshore early Saturday morning.

Decent CAA kicks in behind the front Saturday morning with lows
in most areas in the low mid 50s.

Saturday through Thursday... Most of the latter half of the
weekend through the middle of next week will be characterized by
a quasi-stationary frontal boundary to our north over virginia
with an east-west oriented area of high pressure ridging over
the eastern carolinas from the atlantic. A mid-level ridge will
build along the mid-atlantic Monday through Wednesday keeping
precipitation north of the area and enabling temperatures to
warm from the 70s over the weekend to well into the 80s inland
Tuesday Wednesday and lows to moderate into the 60s. A weak cold
front will being to approach the area by Thursday and have
continued previous forecast of slight chance of shower tstms for
Thursday.

Aviation 00z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Fri ...

as of 830 pm thu...VFR conditions will cont through most of
tonight with clouds increasing and grad lowering. CIGS will
lower to 5000 ft early Fri with cvrg of shra and tsra grad
increasing thru the morn into the aftn. Outside of convection
expect contVFR Fri however there will be bouts of subVFR when
a shra storm crosses a terminal. SW winds will gust AOA 20 kts
from mid morn on fri.

Long term Friday night through Tue ...

as of 245 pm Thursday... Would anticipate mostlyVFR conditions
through the period. Showers storms should be east of the taf
sites by late Friday evening with surface and upper level
ridging building across the region into early next week.

Marine
Short term through Fri ...

as of 830 pm thu... Sw winds surge around 15-25 kt has peaked
over the past couple hours and winds have begun to diminish
slightly, though still see a few locations with gusts to around
25 kt. Guidance still showing the winds diminishing a bit move
overnight so not planning on starting the SCA earlier than
currently advertised.

Winds diminish a little overnight but still in 10 to 20 kt
range with 3 to 5 foot seas. Winds increase Fri ahead of
approaching cold front with speeds reaching 20 to 30 kts in
aftn. Will be close to gales for mainly central wtrs late but
not slam dunk so will cont with strong sca. As winds ramp up
seas will build to 6 to 10 feet by evening.

Long term Friday night through Tue ...

as of 245 pm Thursday... Gusty winds and rough seas will persist
Friday night and Saturday as cold front moves offshore. Seas
should drop below 6 feet by Saturday night. High pressure will
continue off the coast Sunday, with SW winds increasing to
15-20 kt, maybe some gusts to 25 kt ahead of another cold front
Sunday evening. A brief period of SCA conditions possible Sunday
evening. Increasing SW winds will allow seas to build to 3-5
ft. The cold front will push through Sunday night with winds
becoming nne 10 to 20 kts. These winds will cont Mon with dir
becoming more E 15 kt or less later Mon as high pres to the n
begins to slide offshore. Seas 3-5 ft subsiding to 2-4 ft late
mon.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement from 8 am edt Friday through Friday
evening for ncz195-196-204-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 1 pm Friday to 10 am edt Saturday
for amz131-135-230-231.

Small craft advisory from 9 am Friday to 1 pm edt Saturday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 9 am Friday to 11 am edt Saturday
for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 1 pm Friday to 1 pm edt Saturday for
amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Rf sk
short term... Rf
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf ctc sk
marine... Rf ctc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi48 min SW 5.1 G 9.9 68°F 70°F1012.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi42 min SW 6 G 8 68°F 1012.6 hPa (-0.8)64°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi46 minSW 610.00 miFair69°F61°F76%1012.4 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi48 minSW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F60°F71%1012 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi48 minSSW 610.00 miFair68°F57°F70%1012.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi1.7 hrsWSW 910.00 miFair69°F64°F84%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW10SW10SW7SW8SW7SW7SW10SW9W8----CalmN4NW5NW10
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2 days agoSW4SW3CalmW4W4W3W5W5W5Calm4CalmS8S8S12S13S14SW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:45 AM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:32 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:14 PM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:19 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:35 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.7221.91.61.30.90.60.40.40.611.31.61.81.71.51.20.90.60.50.40.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:44 AM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:54 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:13 PM EDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:19 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:57 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.11.41.71.71.61.41.10.80.60.40.30.50.71.11.41.51.51.31.10.80.60.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.