Friday, February22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 5:58PM Friday February 22, 2019 3:49 AM EST (08:49 UTC) Moonrise 9:38PMMoonset 8:57AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 334 Am Est Fri Feb 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough late this morning and afternoon. Patchy fog early this morning. A chance of rain this morning, then rain likely this afternoon.
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A chance of showers.
Sun night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se. Seas 1 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 220826
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
326 am est Fri feb 22 2019

Synopsis
A front will remain stalled to the south of the region through
tonight. The front is expected to then lift back to the north
as a warm front Saturday and Saturday night, resulting in a
continued unsettled weather pattern. A strong cold front will
cross the region Sunday. High pressure will build in from the
northwest early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 315 am Friday... The cold front that crossed the region
thu night is forecast to stall off the southeast coast today
and tonight. Strengthening northerly low level flow will lead to
cooling throughout the day with todays high temps likely to
occur this morning. Considerable clouds and areas of light rain
will help to keep the cool weather in place with readings in the
40s much of the day. Warm advection above the shallow cool dome
will result in areas of light rain today and tonight in a
typical cad surface pressure pattern. The models are indicating
a north to south gradient in precipitation with the heaviest
amounts across the north and lighter amounts across the far
southern counties with most locations receiving at least a light
amount of measurable rain. Will continue categorical to likely
pops.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
As of 315 am Friday... Cool, wet conditions are expected tonight
with brisk northerly winds, a widespread low overcast cloud
deck and continued areas of light rain, again with a north to
south gradient in heaviest precipitation amounts. Not much of a
diurnal change in temperatures is expected with lows 40-45
inland and mid 40s coast.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
As of 255 am fri... Mostly unsettled weather expected to the end
of the weekend with persistent cold air damming and a stalled
front to the south. A cold front crosses the region Sunday
ushering in a brief period of dry high pressure to start the
new week. Another round of unsettled weather is possible at the
end of the period.

Sat through Sunday... Warm front will persist near the coast
Saturday then lift north of the region Sat night. Isent lift
will cont Sat with areas of rain espcly NRN tier where have
likely pops with chc to the s. Highs Sat will range from lower
50s inland to lower 60s most beaches. As the warm front lifts
to the N Sat night precip chcs diminish with manly slight chc
across the region. A non diurnal temperature curve appears
probable Saturday night as the region comes under the influence
of WAA ahead of a deep surface low lifting into the great lakes
and associated cold front to the west. Mdls show limited
moisture and very little QPF along and ahead of cold front
Sunday... Cont low chc pops early diminishing and ending late.

Very warm Sunday with inland areas well into the 70s with 65 to
70 beaches. Will become windy Sunday with SW winds of 15-25 mph,
with some gusts up to 30 mph.

Sunday night through tue... Dry high pres builds in thru Tue with
temps not far from normal with highs lower 50s NE to around
60 lower 60s SW Mon and tue.

Wed and thu... Models differ this period as next frontal system
impacts the area. GFS much wetter than ECMWF which shows very
little precip. Kept pops in slight chc to low chc range for now
with seasonal highs in low mid 50s NE to lower 60s sw.

Aviation 08z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 315 am Friday... While predominately subVFR conditions
are expected through the period, conditions will remain quite
changeable through early this afternoon in periodic light rain.

Could see a prolonged period of ifr conditions late today
through tonight as the low levels become saturated leading to
widespread low clouds typically associated with the cad surface
pattern forecast for the area through tonight. Brisk northerly
winds to 20 kt are expected through the period.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 255 am fri... Areas of rain will keep subVFR likely sat.

Precip will taper off and mainly end Sat night with prob still
some bouts of subVFR. Limited shra expected with cold front
Sunday as area is in warm sector so expect mainlyVFR. Gusty sw
winds expect Sunday.VFR will dominate Sun night thru Tue as
dry high pres builds in from the nw.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 315 am Friday... Sca's are in effect for the pamlico sound
and the waters south of oregon inlet. The cold front pushed
through the waters late Thu night and is forecast to stall
southeast of the area through tonight. Weak n-ne flow 10 kt or
less early this morning will strengthen to 20-25 kt south of
oregon inlet and across the pamlico sound around 12z then
continue through tonight. The flow across the northern waters
and albemarle sound is forecast to increase to 10 to 20 kt
through tonight. Seas will build to 5-8 ft today into tonight
over the southern and central waters and 3-5 ft over the
northern waters.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 255 am fri... Ne winds 15 to 25 kts early Sat will become
ese 10 to 20 kts later sat. Seas will be in the 4 to 6 foot
range much of the day central and SRN wtrs so extended the sca.

Winds grad become SW 15 to 20 kts later Sat night ahead of
approach cold front. SW winds peak Sunday 20 to 30 kts just
ahead of front with seas building 6 to 9 feet.

After front crosses winds become NW 20 to 25 kts Sun night thru
early Mon then weaken to W around 15 kts late mon. Seas will
grad subside below 6 ft by around mid day mon. Very light winds
tue with high over region and seas will drop to 1 to 3 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est Saturday for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory from 6 am this morning to 6 pm est
Saturday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 6 am this morning to 10 am est
Saturday for amz135.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Jme
short term... Jme
long term... Rf ms
aviation... Rf jme
marine... Rf jme


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi49 min NNE 7 G 8.9 58°F 56°F1021.5 hPa (-0.3)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi49 min NNE 13 G 14 1020.9 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi55 minNE 87.00 miOvercast57°F55°F96%1021.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi55 minNE 86.00 miFog/Mist59°F59°F100%1021.1 hPa

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4W3S5S4W4SW7W7W7W9
G15
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1 day agoNE11E10E9NE8E8E7E6NE5E6E5E4NE3E4S3N4N3NW4NW6NW5NW4W3S5SW4W5
2 days agoN7NE10NE11NE10NE10NE12NE13NE13NE11NE10N8N9NE9NE10E7NE8NE9NE14NE12NE8NE10N8NE10NE10

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:58 AM EST     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:55 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:53 AM EST     2.35 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:23 PM EST     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:56 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:20 PM EST     2.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.40.70.1-0.4-0.5-0.30.211.72.22.32.21.710.4-0.2-0.5-0.400.71.422.3

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:56 AM EST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:56 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:47 AM EST     1.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:56 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:21 PM EST     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.20.90.40-0.2-0.3-0.20.20.61.11.41.41.310.60.2-0.1-0.3-0.200.40.91.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.