Tuesday, April24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 7:49PM Tuesday April 24, 2018 8:32 PM EDT (00:32 UTC) Moonrise 1:25PMMoonset 2:21AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 809 Pm Edt Tue Apr 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt late this evening and overnight. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft after midnight. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop late this evening and overnight. A chance of showers early this evening.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 250007
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
807 pm edt Tue apr 24 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure over the southeast states will move northeast Wednesday
and push a cold front through the area Wednesday night. Several weak
disturbances will affect the area late Thursday into the
weekend.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 7 pm tue... Area of showers moving north through the
northeast counties at present, with little else across the
area. Adjusted pops down this evening across most of the area
with only lingering slight chance along the outer banks and dry
elsewhere. Patchy fog may develop in wake of precip due to
saturated grounds, light winds, and skies becoming partly
cloudy. Lows quite mild in the upper 50s to low 60s with light s
winds.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through 6 pm Wednesday
As of 330 pm tue... Main short wave will pivot through nc during
the day, and with areas still under cyclonic flow, isolated
showers in the morning will become scattered in the afternoon,
and have inc pops to 30-50% interior to 20% coast. Otherwise,
warm conditions expected despite the mostly cloudy skies with
highs generally 70-77, warmest inland and coolest obx.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 330 am Tuesday... Weakening upper low just west of area
early Wed will move east across area during the day, then will
be followed a dampening short wave trough Thu night into early
Friday and then a stronger trough Saturday. This will keep
isolated to scattered shower threat in forecast that period,
then dry high pressure will build in Sat night into Monday.

Wednesday night through Saturday... Upper trough energy and pw
around 1 to 1.25 inch support chance pops for scattered shower
threat mainly Wed and again Thu night into Friday with mainly
slight chance pops for isolated activity rest of period. Some
model differences on surface low development with short wave thu
night into Friday with GFS stronger with inland low while ecmwf
and NAM support weaker low near coast. Temps near or slightly
below normal during period with lows mainly 50s and highs low-
mid 70s inland and 65-70 coast.

Sat night through Monday... Stronger upper trough passage with
associated cold front will bring in slightly cooler and drier
air mass during period, with some inland lows in 40s and highs
around 70.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 7 pm tue... A slight chance of a shower for the next hour
or so at pgv and iso, otherwise dry for the remainder of the
night. Patchy fog will develop by late evening, with 2-5 miles
in br expected after around 06z tonight. Conditions return to
vfr on Wed though sct showers will break out ESP during the
afternoon hours.

Strong SE winds 20-30 kt winds with gusts 35 kts, are expected
through this afternoon. There will also be some llws 40-50 kts
around 2000 ft which could cause problems at local airports.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday ...

as of 330 am Tuesday... Conditions will improve to mostlyVFR
through period, but the threat of isolated to scattered showers
will continue each day with a possibility of brief sub-vfr
conditions.

Marine
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 8 pm tue... Quick update to zones to remove SCA headlines
from pamlico, pungo, neuse and bay rivers. No other changes. As
low moves away to the northeast tonight, winds will slowly
diminish though seas will remain elevated. Several headlines
expiring this evening as conditions slowly improve, so will be
sending out several updated zone packages through the evening.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 330 am Tuesday... .Slow moving surface low will move
through Wed evening. Winds shift briefly to northerly behind
front early Thu but then some model differences with handling of
next surface low results in low confidence forecast of winds
rest of period. GFS indicates deepening surface low moving sw-ne
well inland of area Friday which results in moderate to strong
s-sw winds over waters. ECMWF and NAM indicate weaker surface
development along coast with stronger winds remaining offshore.

Models do agree on stronger front moving through late Saturday
followed by decent surge of northerly winds Sat night. Given
model differences, leaned to blend of superblend and previous
forecast for thu-sat period.

Elevated seas will gradually subside below 6 ft Wed night into
thu, then generally 3-4 ft rest of period but low confidence
forecast for thu-sat per above.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 330 am Tuesday... Se winds are increasing over the area as
expected with tightening pressure gradient ahead of surface low
to w-sw. Persistent period of SE winds 25-35 kt during the day
will result in a number of coastal impacts. Minor coastal
flooding will be for areas adjacent to the pamlico sound and
rivers. Wind will funnel water up the pamlico river, leading to
possible minor flooding up through the town of washington.

Minor coastal flooding, beach erosion, and overwash will be
possible through tonight for areas along the immediate coast.

Rough surf, dangerous shore break, and a high rip current risk
are expected along the beaches.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement from 8 am edt Wednesday through
Wednesday evening for ncz095-098-103-104.

High surf advisory until 2 pm edt Wednesday for ncz103-104.

High surf advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for ncz095-098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Wednesday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for amz130-
131.

Gale warning until 11 pm edt this evening for amz152-154.

Gale warning until 9 pm edt this evening for amz156.

Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Thursday for amz150.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Thursday for amz158.

Synopsis... Tl sgk
near term... Hsa tl
short term... Tl
long term... Jbm tl
aviation... Hsa tl jbm
marine... Hsa tl jbm
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi45 min ESE 21 G 23 65°F 62°F1011.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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E12
G19
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E6
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G11
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G12
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G24
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E7
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G9
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G12
E8

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi39 minSE 77.00 miA Few Clouds64°F61°F90%1011.4 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi95 minSE 16 G 237.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F64°F87%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE11
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E11E8E7E8E7SE7SE8SE7
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G23
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G25
6SE5E8E10SE5SE5SE6SE5SE7
1 day agoE6E3NE5E6E3CalmNE6E6NE5E6E5E5E7E8
G17
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G21
SE13
G23
SE14
G24
E11
G21
SE8
G21
E9
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G21
E8
2 days agoS4CalmE4E3E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE655E9SE8E7SE86E9
G15
E5E7E5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:46 AM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:28 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:20 PM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:48 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.81.31.82.12.221.71.20.80.40.10.10.40.91.41.82.121.81.40.90.40.1

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:28 AM EDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:25 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:09 PM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.30.60.91.21.41.41.210.70.40.1000.20.50.81.11.21.110.70.40.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.