Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield Harbour, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 6:01PM Saturday February 24, 2018 10:35 PM EST (03:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:29PMMoonset 1:54AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1003 Pm Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Showers likely.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield Harbour, NC
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location: 35.07, -76.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 250305
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1005 pm est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue offshore over the weekend with
continued very warm temperatures. A cold front will move through
the area early Monday, followed by high pressure Tuesday into
Wednesday. Another storm system will impact the area late
Wednesday into Thursday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 1000 pm Saturday... No changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 3 pm sat... Very warm conditions this afternoon as temps
have risen through the 70s to near 80 in some interior locales.

The mild SW winds will continue tonight with very warm overnight
lows in the 60s, continued well above climo. There may be some
iso showers developing near the coast as low level moisture
convergence maximizes towards sunrise. Most places remain dry
however with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Not expecting fog
tonight as winds will be a bit higher than previous nights and
remain above 5 knots.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
As 3 pm sat... Strengthening gusty SW winds as gradient
increases ahead of approaching cold front to the west.

Heights thicknesses rise in response to the approaching front,
and temps again reaching or exceeding record highs (see climate
section below). Most locales away from the coast should reach
the low to possibly some mid 80s if clouds hold off to the west.

Winds will gust to 20-25 mph in the afternoon.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
As of 3 pm Saturday... A very warm day on Sunday followed by
widespread rain Monday. After a couple of dry days Tuesday and
Wednesday, unsettled weather is expected for late next week as
strong low pressure impacts the area.

Sunday night through Monday night... The 24 12z model suite
remains in generally good agreement with a wet period beginning
Sunday night and especially Monday across eastern nc. Qpf
totals will be one quarter to one half inch with some locally
higher amounts. We will be on the cold side of the boundary by
Monday morning with maximum temperatures Monday only in the
60s. Have tapered pops to chc SE half on Sunday night, as ecm
has slowed progression of front into the area, though GFS nam
remain wet so have kept likely pops confined to NW half of the
fa. Raised to categorical all areas on Monday as it appears a
washout is in store with bulk of precip behind sfc cold front.

Rain ends Mon evening with rapid drying expected after midnight.

Lows Mon night drop back to the 40s, still considered mild for
late feb.

Tuesday and Wednesday... With strong dry high pressure in
control, some cooler, though above normal temperatures, expected
Tuesday into Wednesday. Highs both days will be in the low mid
60s with lows in the low mid 40s with lower 50s outer banks.

Wednesday night through Friday... A closed upper level low will
pull out of the desert southwest and move quickly east late next
week. Strong low pressure will develop and track across the
upper south into the carolinas Thursday into Friday. The GFS is
much faster with this system and actually has the strong cold
front offshore by early Friday, while the much slower ecmwf
keeps Friday wet with the front not moving offshore until later
on Friday. With so much uncertainty this far out, will include
high chance pops for Thursday and Thursday night, with a chance
pop for Friday. Temperatures will remain above normal for this
period.

Aviation 03z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 00z Monday ...

as of 630 pm Saturday...VFR expected through this evening then
some MVFR stratus scu developing late tonight into early Sunday.

Ssw winds around 5 kt expected to keep cigs AOA 1k ft. Any
lingering CIGS lifting toVFR by afternoon with just a slight
chance of pre-frontal showers. SW winds will gust to around 20
kt during the day.

Long term 18z Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 350 am Saturday... Periods of sub-vfr conditions are
likely later on Sunday through the day Monday as widespread
showers occur and perhaps a TSTM or two Sunday evening. High
pressure will bring in drier air andVFR conditions for Tuesday
and Wednesday.

Marine
Short term through Sunday ...

as of 1000 pm Saturday... No changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 3 pm sat... Sw winds 10-20 kt currently will remain in
this range through tonight and into Sunday. Gradient may tighten
just enough over the warmer gulf stream waters, and thus sca
rmns in effect across the central waters on Sunday. Seas will
mostly be 2-5 ft with some 6 ft sets between CAPE lookout and
oregon inlet over the warmer gulf stream waters. Some areas of
sea fog once again possible overnight into Sunday morning mainly
for pamlico albemarle sounds, as well as the waters north of
oregon inlet.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 350 am Saturday... No major changes to the marine forecast
thinking this morning. With gusty SW winds of 15-25 knots Sunday
and Sunday night, expect seas to build to as high as 6 feet and
a small craft advisory will be needed. Behind the front Monday,
nw N winds of 10-20 knots and seas of 3-5 feet should prevail
through midweek. Some marginal SCA seas may develop again by
Tuesday in the gusty NE winds.

Climate
Record high temps for 02 24 (Saturday)
location temp year
new bern 84 1962 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 76 2017 (khse asos)
greenville 81 1985 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 77 1996 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 84 1930 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 86 1982 (knca asos)
record high temps for 02 25 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 80 2017 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 74 2017 (khse asos)
greenville 81 2017 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 76 2017 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 84 1930 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 78 2017 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 am Sunday to 4 am est Monday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 1 pm Sunday to 1 am est Monday for
amz156.

Synopsis... Tl bm
near term... Jbm tl
short term... Tl
long term... Ctc tl
aviation... Rf ctc jbm
marine... Ctc jbm tl
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 29 mi47 min SSW 6 G 8 64°F 61°F1021.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi35 min SSW 8.9 G 12 1021.3 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC4 mi41 minSSW 810.00 miFair65°F62°F90%1020.6 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi97 minSSW 97.00 miClear68°F64°F90%1020.9 hPa

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmS4CalmSW5SW3CalmW4S5SW6SW8W10W12SW10SW10W9SW5S7S8S6S9S7S8
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmS3CalmW3N4NE8NE5E5NE63NE45E53N3SE7SE6S7S8S3S3S3
2 days agoS5S4S5SW5S3CalmS3SW4S4SW3SW6SW8SW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:52 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:03 AM EST     2.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:55 AM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:28 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:31 PM EST     1.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:56 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.622.121.71.30.90.50.20.10.30.611.51.71.71.51.20.70.30-0.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:52 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:52 AM EST     1.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:48 AM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:13 PM EST     0.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:41 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.711.31.31.21.10.80.50.20.100.10.40.60.810.90.80.60.30.1-0.1-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.