Saturday, November18, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Ashley Heights, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 5:09PM Saturday November 18, 2017 8:20 PM EST (01:20 UTC) Moonrise 6:50AMMoonset 5:42PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashley Heights, NC
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location: 35.09, -79.38     debug

Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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Fxus62 krah 190024
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
725 pm est Sat nov 18 2017

A cold front will sweep east across the area late tonight. Chilly
high pressure will return for Sunday through Tuesday.

Near term tonight
As of 705 pm Saturday...

minor adjustment made to the timing of pops across central nc based
on observed radar trends and how this is verifying compared to the
hrrr and convective allowing models presentation.

Strong cold front currently crossing the lower oh valley and the
tennessee valley with a band of convection stretching from eastern
great lakes southwestward into mississippi. This front being
propelled east-se by a S W crossing the great lake,s and projected
to lift northeast into southern new england. Since bulk of upper
support lifting well north of our region, better forcing will be
found with the low level front. However, this front will be
encountering an atmosphere lacking moisture and instability compared
to the air mass its currently crossing. Thus, expect the band of
convection to gradually weaken in intensity as it crosses the
mountains late this evening, and reach the triad region after
midnight (possibly closer to 2 am).

The increasing cloud cover and a steady breezy sly wind will cause
evening temperatures to hold steady or possibly slowly rise through
midnight-2 am.

The cold front and the narrow band of showers accompanying it should
exit our coastal plain counties by sunrise. Clearing skies will
occur over the NW piedmont by 4-5 am, possibly reaching the highway
1 corridor by sunrise.

Short term Sunday through Sunday night
As of 301 pm Saturday...

skies will be clear quickly early Sunday morning. The warm start to
the day will partly offset the caa. However, highs will still reach
the mid 50s to mid 60s NW to se. NW winds at 10-20 mph are expected
with gusts to 25 mph.

Winds will be diminishing Sunday evening and night. Clear skies
will bring lows in the lower to mid 30s with some upper 20s in the
northern piedmont.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 205 pm Saturday...

mid level ridging will keep the area rain-free for Monday into early
part of Tuesday. From later Tuesday into Friday a trough will
dominate the pattern over the eastern us bringing a chance for some
rain to the local area. Best chances for rain will be Tuesday night
into early Wednesday, and again Thursday into Thursday night as waves
of low pressure move from the gulf of mexico across florida to off
the southeast coast. Temperatures Thursday night will drop into the
30s but confidence is very low for frozen precipitation to mix in
with any rainfall. A rather flat west to east flow develops Friday
night and Saturday with dry and seasonable weather for central north

Aviation 00z Sunday through Thursday
As of 725 pm Saturday...

vfr parameters across central nc early this evening will giveway to
a period of MVFR parameters as a cold front crosses the region well
after midnight. Breezy sly winds ahead of the front will gusts
between 20-27kts at most locations through 06z, then gradually
decrease. The threat for showers will increase in vicinity of the
triad terminals between 04z-06z, and in vicinity of krdu and kfay
between 07z-09z. In proximity of krwi, the threat for a shower or
two will be greatest between 09z-12z. In addition to the showers,
ceilings will briefly lower into the MVFR range with bulk of
ceilings hovering around 3000ft, though a period of 1500 ft ceilings
may occur along and behind the front.

Nw winds behind the sfc cold front will usher a drier, more stable
air mass into central nc. This will lead to clearing skies nw-se,
with the clearing trend occurring in the triad between 09-10z,
reaching krdu by 12z. Skies are expected to quickly clear at kfay
and krwi between 12z-14z.

Brisk NW winds will occur after daybreak with gusts 18-23kts
anticipated. The winds will gradually subside during the afternoon.

Vfr conditions Sunday through Monday. The period Tuesday through
thanksgiving day will feature a few opportunities for adverse
aviation conditions in the form of MVFR ifr ceilings and areas of
light rain. This potential looks highest from Wednesday through
Thursday night.

Rah watches warnings advisories

Synopsis... Badgett
near term... Wss
short term... Badgett
long term... Franklin
aviation... Wss

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 87 mi51 min ESE 1.9 G 2.9 61°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC7 mi25 minS 810.00 miFair62°F53°F74%1008.7 hPa
Pinehurst/Southern Pines, Moore County Airport, NC10 mi25 minSSW 1110.00 miFair63°F53°F70%1008.8 hPa
Pope Air Force Base, NC20 mi25 minSSW 610.00 miFair64°F53°F70%1007.4 hPa
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC21 mi29 minSSW 710.00 miFair63°F55°F76%1008.2 hPa
Fort Bragg / Simmons Army Airfield, NC24 mi25 minS 510.00 miFair63°F54°F73%1007.4 hPa
Rockingham-Hamlet Airport, NC24 mi41 minS 810.00 miFair62°F54°F75%1007.8 hPa

Wind History from HFF (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW9SW10S10
1 day agoCalmCalmNW4CalmCalmN4N7CalmN5N4N5CalmE6NE8N5CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmNW3CalmCalmN3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4NW3NW9W7NW5W8W6W5W5CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Sat -- 02:22 AM EST     1.37 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:46 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:43 AM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:56 PM EST     1.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:11 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:42 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:20 PM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Sat -- 03:20 AM EST     1.10 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:46 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:47 AM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:54 PM EST     1.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:10 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:42 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 10:24 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.