Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bridgeton, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:14PM Sunday May 26, 2019 11:06 PM EDT (03:06 UTC) Moonrise 12:50AMMoonset 11:48AM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1011 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeton, NC
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location: 35.12, -77.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 270209
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1009 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will continue off the coast tonight. A cold front
will push south into the region Monday, then quickly retreat
north Tuesday, with very hot temperatures expected across the
area through at least the middle of the week. A cold front is
expected to move into the area Friday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 1005 pm Sunday... Forecast in good shape; no change to this
update.

Prev dis... A few isolated showers developed along the sea
breeze late this afternoon, but quickly dissipated. For the
remainder of the night, expect dry conditions across the enc,
while models continue to show organized convection well to the
north of the area. Overall, expect mostly clear skies with only
high clouds streaming through and a mild night with temps
dropping into low mid 70s.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through 6 pm Monday
As of 220 pm Sunday... Backdoor cold front will push S thru most
of the region mon. Once again overall lack of forcing and
moisture aloft shld keep convection limited. Did cont isold
mention N and just inland from SRN cst for enhanced convergence
on front sea breeze. Will have decent temp gradient Mon with
nrn coast reaching 80 to 85 with developing onshore flow, sw
tier shld see some upr 90s. Dewpts progged to drop in aftn
inland keeping apparent temps mainly AOB 100.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
As of 200 pm Sunday... Upper ridging over the southeast coupled
with surface high pressure offshore will bring hot and mainly
dry conditions through much of the work week. The ridge breaks
down late in the week with a frontal system approaching from the
bringing increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms Friday
through Saturday.

Monday night through Thursday... Upper ridging will be centered
over the deep south with surface high pressure centered
offshore. Models continue to show a series of weak
impulses remnant convective complexes moving through the NW flow
aloft Monday night into Tuesday with a backdoor front pushing
to SRN tier Mon evening which dissipates early Tuesday. The
weak mid level energy combined with convergence along the front
and sea breeze boundaries may be sufficient to trigger isolated
thunderstorms across parts of the area with somewhat better
chances across the northern tier. The upper ridge axis shifts
eastward late Tuesday into Thursday with dry and hot conditions
prevailing.

The main story this week will be the hot temps with 850mb temps
around 17-20c, possibly peaking as high as 23c Wednesday as
fcst in the 00z ecmwf. The front dissipates by Tuesday with
highs expected in the mid to upper 90 inland to mid to upper 80s
beaches. The heat peaks Wed with highs around 100 inland to low
to mid 90s beaches, then the upper ridge begins to slide
offshore Thursday with high in the upper 90s inland to mid upper
80s along the beaches.

Friday and Saturday... The upper ridge slides offshore late in
the week with near zonal flow developing across the eastern
conus. A dampening shortwave trough and surface frontal boundary
approach from the west bringing increased chances of showers and
thunderstorms across eastern nc. There are some significant
model differences on timing and amount of precip, so will keep
pops to slight chance or low chance. Temps will not be quite as
hot as earlier in the week but still well above average with
highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s inland and mid 80s along the
coast.

Aviation 02z Monday through Friday
Short term through Monday ...

as of 700 pm Sunday... High confidence inVFR conditions to
dominate the TAF period. There's a decent temp dewpt spread
that will preclude any fog and guidance shows no stratus
developing. A back door cold front will move south thru most of
the area tomorrow, however lack of forcing and moisture should
limit convection to isolated cvrg if any tomorrow afternoon.

Light S SW winds overnight, becoming NW N 5-10 knots mon
afternoon.

Long term Monday night through Fri ...

as of 200 pm Sunday... Upper ridging will keep generally dry and
hot conditions across the area this week with predVFR
conditions expected. Cannot rule out a widely scattered shower
Tuesday as weak impulses ride over the ridge but coverage
expected to be minimal. Early morning fog chances also look
minimal but cannot completely rule out patchy late night early
morning fog or stratus.

Marine
Short term tonight and Mon ...

as of 1005 pm Sunday... Minor tweaks to the marine forecast to
reflect current trends, but overall forecast in good shape. The
latest buoys are showing S SW winds 5-10 knots and seas 3-4 ft.

Weak cold front will approach from the N tonight then push s
thru most of the region mon. Ahead of the front tonight expect
ssw winds 10 to 20 kts... Highest all wtrs this evening then
mainly SRN half late. As front pushed S Mon will see winds
become nne in its wake at mainly 10 to 15 kts with some gusts 15
to 20. Over far SRN tier front wl likely slow and may have hard
time pushing S as sea brz develops.

Seas mainly 2 to 4 feet however will see some 5 footers... Mainly
out wtrs off obx.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 200 pm Sunday... A backdoor front will dissipate Monday
night into Tuesday while high pressure remains centered offshore
through the period. Winds Tuesday veer to S around 10-15 kt by
afternoon, then becoming SW Tuesday night into Wednesday. Sw
winds increase to 15-20 kt late Wednesday through Thursday as
gradients tighten ahead of an approaching cold front. Small
craft conditions will be possible late in the day Thursday and
into Friday, as winds increase to 20-25 kts out of the sw. Seas
subside to 2-4 ft Tuesday and Wednesday. Seas begin to build
back to 3-5 ft Thursday, with some 6 foot seas possible by
Friday.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected for much of the week.

Record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 28 (Tuesday)
location temp year
new bern 93 2014 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 97 1916 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 2004 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 1967 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 29 (Wednesday)
location temp year
new bern 95 1982 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 91 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 95 1918 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 92 1991 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 1991 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 1967 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through Monday evening for ncz195-196-
199-203>205.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Rf bm
short term... Rf
long term... Sk sgk
aviation... Bm sgk
marine... Rf bm sgk
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi37 min SSW 4.1 G 7 78°F 80°F1015.5 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi67 min SW 6 G 8 77°F 1015.3 hPa (+0.0)75°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC3 mi73 minS 310.00 miA Few Clouds80°F75°F85%1015 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi73 minSSW 39.00 miA Few Clouds79°F73°F82%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S6S6S6S7SW6SW4W4S6SW6SW8SW5NW54--W6CalmNW5NW7NW6S3S6S3Calm
1 day agoE4E6E5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E5E8SE7S8SE5E6SE8SE10S12S10SE11S9S7S3S5
2 days agoSW7SW9SW6SW8SW8SW8SW8W7W10W7W8W8
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Sun -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:54 AM EDT     1.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:37 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:30 PM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:55 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.61.81.91.81.61.30.90.60.40.40.60.91.31.61.81.81.71.41.10.80.60.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:38 AM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:20 AM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:14 PM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:38 PM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.52.82.82.62.31.81.20.80.60.711.52.12.52.72.72.421.51.10.80.81

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.