Wednesday, September20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Buxton, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:07PM Wednesday September 20, 2017 3:37 AM EDT (07:37 UTC) Moonrise 6:02AMMoonset 6:33PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 1057 Pm Edt Tue Sep 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday evening...
Overnight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Thu night..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Fri..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Fri night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buxton, NC
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location: 35.13, -75.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200545
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
145 am edt Wed sep 20 2017

Synopsis
Tropical cyclone jose will continue moving north of the area
overnight. High pressure builds in Wednesday and persists
through early next week. At this time hurricane maria is
expected to track well offshore of the southeast coast next
week.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1000 pm Tuesday... Updated for lingering scu over ne
sections in cyclonic circulation around departing jose. Rest of
forecast generally on track.

Previous discussion
as of 230 pm Tuesday... TC jose will continue to lift N away
from ERN nc tonight as high pres builds in from the w. Clouds
and spotty shra over NE sections will grad shift offshore with
skies becoming mclr all areas. Gusty nnw winds over NE tier will
also diminish thru the night with winds becoming light to calm
inland. Good radiational cooling will lead to lows in lower 60s
cooler inland spots with beaches in upr 60s to lower 70s.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Thursday
As of 230 pm Tuesday... Dry weather expected in wake of jose
however may see some increase in clouds in aftn as weak short
wave approaches. With good deal of Sun thru at least mid day
will have highs in mid to upr 80s inland with low to mid 80s
cst.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
As of 3 pm tue... High pressure will build in from the north
through the period, while we continue to monitor hurricane maria
currently located near the virgin islands. Some uncertainty
continues regarding the track of hurricane maria late this
weekend and next week, though models have been trending more
eastward with the system keeping it well offshore of the
southeast coast. Eastern nc residents and interested parties
should continue to monitor the latest official forecasts from
nhc.

Pred dry wx expected through the period, though could have some
isolated showers and storms Thu afternoon. Could see some
showers along the coast early next week, depending on the maria
track. Low level thickness values support temps near to
slightly above normal, generally highs in the 80s and overnight
lows in the mid 60s inland to upper 60s low 70s along the coast.

Thu and Fri likely to be the warmest days.

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through 06z Thursday ...

as of 130 am Wednesday... Patchy MVFR fog expected for kpgv and
kiso mainly 08z-12z with good radiational cooling conditions,
and period of ifr vsbys likely for pgv due to steam fog off
river. Otherwise,VFR expected during period with just an
isolated TSTM possible for southern sections this evening. Calm
winds overnight will become light westerly during the day.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 3 pm tue...VFR conditions will dominate most of the
period, though some early morning fg br and low stratus may
develop each night as a ridge of high pressure will be across
the region.

Marine
Short term through Wed ...

as of 1000 pm Tuesday... Dropped SCA for southern waters an hour
early with winds and seas diminishing in offshore flow there.

Winds have dropped to 10-20 kt over northern waters as well but
seas still elevated at 7-13 feet per buoy reports.

Previous discussion
as of 230 pm Tuesday... Winds will cont to diminish as jose
moves further away. SCA will end SRN wtrs and sounds late today
or this evening. Very large seas cont NRN wtrs and will be slow
to subside and SCA will cont these wtrs. Seas of 12 to 16 feet
nrn tier late today will drop to 7 to 10 feet late tonight and
5 to 8 feet wed. Over SRN tier seas of 4 to 7 feet late today
will drop to 3 to 5 feet tonight and 2 to 4 feet wed.

Long term Wed night through Sunday ...

as of 3 pm tue... Hurricane jose will continue to lift
northwards off the NE coast Wed night and thu, then is forecast
to slowly weaken and retrograde late week into the weekend.

High pressure will build in from the north through the period,
while we continue to monitor hurricane maria currently located
near the virgin islands. Some uncertainty continues regarding
the track of hurricane maria late this weekend and next week,
but models have been trending keeping it well offshore of the se
coast. Mariners and interested parties should continue to
monitor the latest official forecasts from nhc.

Sw winds 5-15 kt Wed night, becoming N NE by Thu afternoon. Ne
winds 5-10 kt Fri increasing to 10-15 kt Sat and 10-20 kt sun.

Nwps and wavewatch in good agreement with elevated seas
lingering across the central waters through the entire period.

Seas 2-4 ft expected south of ocracoke through Thu night. Will
likely start seeing long period southeast swell build from
distant hurricane maria Thu night through the weekend across all
the waters. Small craft seas likely to re-develop Fri and
continue into the weekend, possibly seeing double digit seas by
late weekend.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 1000 pm Tuesday... Replaced coastal flood warning with
advisory for obx dare overnight into Wed morning with guidance
indicating next high tide at duck coe gauge around 8 am about 1
foot less than past 2 cycles (6.52 feet at 7 am Tue and again at
8 pm tue). Soundside flooding threat has diminished for carteret
and ob hyde and dropped coastal flood advisory there. High surf
advisory continues for ob dare overnight with 9 feet reported at
buoy 2 east of duck.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-103-
104.

High surf advisory until 6 am edt early this morning for
ncz103.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 am edt this morning for ncz103.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Sunday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf jbm
short term... Rf
long term... Cqd
aviation... Jbm cqd
marine... Rf jbm cqd
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41025 - Diamond Shoals 20 mi48 min W 9.7 G 14 75°F 74°F6 ft1012.1 hPa (-0.3)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi50 min WNW 13 G 15 75°F1012.2 hPa
44095 45 mi50 min 74°F9 ft
41062 45 mi98 min 16 G 19 73°F 1011.7 hPa (+0.3)
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 53 mi56 min W 12 G 16 74°F1011.6 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N24
G29
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N25
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G29
NW22
G27
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G28
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G25
NW22
NW20
NW16
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W7
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N17
G23
N15
G21
N9
G18
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G25
N15
G20
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G23
N13
G22
N14
G20
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G25
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G30
N24
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G31
N20
G29
N23
G29
N23
G28
N23
G29
N24
G31
N24
G30
N25
G32
N27
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E7
G10
SE8
G11
SE4
NE5
E3
N11
N14
N16
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NE15
G20
NE13
G20
NE12
G20
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G18
NE12
G17
NE11
G17
NE12
G17
NE8
G14
N7
G14
N10
G15
NE10
G15
N14
G21
N16
G21

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC30 mi47 minVar 510.00 miOvercast75°F70°F84%1012.1 hPa

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9
G25
NW11
G19
NW12
G24
NW9
G17
--N9
G20
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G20
NW8
G19
NW13
G25
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6NW7NW7W7W45
1 day agoN10
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G20
N9
G18
N9
G21
N9
G25
N11
G21
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G21
N9
G25
N9
G23
2 days agoNE7NE4S7SE3CalmCalm36N7NE11
G19
NE9
G14
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G18
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G18
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G21
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G17
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N7
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NE9
G16
NE9N8
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 01:54 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:01 AM EDT     3.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:11 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.2-00.311.92.93.53.73.52.91.910.3-0.10.10.71.62.63.43.83.73.22.4

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 01:58 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:06 AM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:12 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     3.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.4-0.2-0.4-0.20.51.32.22.83.12.92.31.50.70-0.3-0.20.41.22.12.83.23.12.71.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.