Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ford City, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 7:15PM Sunday March 26, 2017 11:55 AM PDT (18:55 UTC) Moonrise 6:09AMMoonset 5:59PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 821 Am Pdt Sun Mar 26 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm pdt this afternoon through Monday morning...
Today..Western portion...winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 13 seconds building to 6 to 8 ft dominant period 8 seconds in the afternoon.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 30 kt...becoming nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt after midnight. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 7 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 35 kt by the afternoon. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Mon night..Western portion...nw winds 25 to 35 kt becoming 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Eastern portion...nw winds 15 to 20 kt becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Combined seas 8 to 11 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 8 to 9 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 11 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft.
PZZ600 821 Am Pdt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pst...a 1025 mb high was 600 nm sw of point conception and a 984 mb low was located in the gulf of alaska. Winds will be elevated during the next few days and widespread gale force winds will be possible across the outer waters Monday and Tuesday. A short period swell will impact the coastal waters through early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ford City, CA
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location: 35.16, -119.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 261630
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles/oxnard ca
930 am pdt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
Despite increasing clouds there will be a few degrees of warming
today. A weak trough on Monday may bring a few light showers over
san luis obispo and santa barbara counties as well as the north
slopes. Strong gusty north winds will begin Monday night and
persist into Tuesday. Weak ridging aloft will bring warm and dry
conditions for the middle of next week.

Short term (tdy-tue)
satellite imgary showing low level clouds lingering across
portions of the la basin and central coast/santa ynez valley
this morning, with higher level clouds advancing from the
northwest. By this afternoon and evening, mid and high level
clouds are expected to increase across the forecast area. Mild
temperature readings today across the region, with warmest valleys
climbing into the lower 70s. Weakening cold front still expected
to bring a slight chance of showers to san luis obipso county
tonight, with a better chance of showers across the interior
mountains of sba/ventura/la counties late tonight into Monday.

Strong wind event still on track for Monday evening into Tuesday
morning. High wind watches already posted for the mountains,
sba south coast, and santa clarita valley where damaging wind
gusts of 60 mph or greater will be possible. Leading up to this
strong wind event will be increasing west to northwest winds on
Monday afternoon, where wind advisories will likely be needed for
the above mentioned locations, as well as the central coast and
antelope valley (with gusts in the 40 to 50 mph range). By Monday
night (during the peak of the event), the flow will turn more
northerly, with wind advisories likely being needed for the san
fernando valley, ventura valleys, santa monica mountains, and la
coast.

*** from previous discussion ***
the winds will decrease rather quickly and by late morning
Tuesday there will only be moderate winds. Aside from the
winds... It will be sunny as a strong 576 dm ridge pushes in. Max
temps will jump 4 to 8 degrees and most of the coasts and vlys
will have above normal temps.

Long term (wed-sat)
both the ec and GFS that Wednesday will be the warmest day of the
next 7 as the ridge peaks with 580 dm hgts. The north flow will
switch to the NE and there will be sub advisory canyon winds in
the morning. MAX temps will be 8 to 12 degrees above normal with
almost all of the vly MAX temps in the 80s and the non beach
coastal areas in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

An inside slider will zip down the nv/ca state line Thursday it
will bring onshore flow and cooler conditions as well as setting
the stage for another north wind event Thursday night and Friday
morning.

Both mdls forecast a ridge for Friday its just the GFS forecasts a
very large one and the ec a small one. For now split the
difference and gave the forecast MAX temps in between the sort of
warm ec fcst and the hot GFS solution.

Mdls then go off on the own different ways for Saturday with the
gfs continuing the hot ridge solution and the ec bringing in a
much cooler inside slider. For now shaded forecast towards the
warmer GFS thinking.

Aviation 26/1615z...

at 1600z, the marine inversion at klax was based at 4500 feet. The
top of the inversion was 6000 feet with a temperature of 9 degrees
celsius.

Overall, moderate confidence in 18z TAF package. Current cig and
vsby restrictions are expected to dissipate within the next couple
of hours withVFR conditions anticipated through this evening.

Overnight, will bring in a MVFR cloud deck to all coastal/valley
taf sites, but with low confidence as there is a 50% chance that
conditions could remainVFR.

Klax... Overall, moderate confidence in 18z taf. High confidence in
vfr conditions developing this afternoon. For tonight, low
confidence in development of MVFR CIGS (as there is a 50% chance
conditions will remainVFR).

Kbur... Overall, moderate confidence in 18z taf. High confidence in
vfr conditions developing this afternoon. For tonight, low
confidence in development of MVFR CIGS (as there is a 50% chance
conditions will remainVFR).

Marine 26/800 am...

for the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast.

Northwest winds will increase to small craft advisory (sca)
levels today and remain at SCA levels through Monday morning. By
Monday afternoon and continuing through Tuesday evening, winds
will increase to gale force levels. After a slight lull to sca
levels on Wednesday, winds will likely increase to gale levels
again on Thursday.

For the inner waters, moderate confidence in current forecast. For
the waters north of point sal, winds are expected to remain just
below SCA levels this afternoon/evening (30% chance of SCA level
gusts). By Monday afternoon, winds are expected to increase to sca
levels and remain at SCA levels in the afternoon/evening hours
through Thursday (with a 30% chance of gale force winds
developing). For the waters south of point conception, high
confidence in winds increasing to SCA levels this afternoon and
evening across the western half of the santa barbara channel, but
remaining below SCA levels elsewhere. For Monday and Tuesday,
winds will increase with a good chance of SCA level winds across
most of the waters with a chance of SCA level winds continuing
Wednesday and Thursday.

Lox watches/warnings/advisories
Ca... High wind watch in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday
morning for zones 39-52>54-88. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm this afternoon to 11
am pdt Monday for zone 650. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 11 am pdt Monday for
zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Gale watch in effect from Monday morning through Tuesday
afternoon for zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (tue-sat)
strong and gusty north winds will affect the area into early
Tuesday, with the potential for damaging wind gusts especially in
the mountains. Travel will be impacted by the winds over a large
area.

Another round of strong and gusty northwest to north winds will
be possible Thu night in the mountains and along the santa barbara
county south coast, with travel being affected by the winds.

Public... Gomberg/rorke
aviation... Rat
marine... Rat
synopsis... Sweet
weather.Gov/losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 54 mi80 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 57°F 1018.6 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 67 mi26 min W 1.9 G 5.8 1019 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA27 mi62 minNE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F50°F65%1019.1 hPa

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Last 24hrCalm3NW10NW12NW10NW11N9N10NW5N3N3N3N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NE3
1 day agoSW35NW3NW8N9N9N11N8NW6N5NW6W7CalmSE7CalmE4NE5NE3CalmNE4SW3S3S83
2 days agoNW7CalmCalm4CalmCalmCalmW5NW5N3E5E5E4E4E4CalmE5SE4SE5S4SE3SE5SE5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
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Sun -- 03:02 AM PDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:09 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:53 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:10 AM PDT     5.15 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:33 PM PDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:00 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:53 PM PDT     4.63 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.921.211.21.92.944.85.154.231.70.5-0.2-0.20.41.42.63.74.44.64.3

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:02 AM PDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:08 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:52 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:08 AM PDT     5.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:33 PM PDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:59 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:14 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:48 PM PDT     4.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.91.91.10.81.11.82.94.155.45.14.331.60.3-0.4-0.40.21.32.73.94.74.94.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.