Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Avon, NC
March 29, 2024 7:21 AM EDT (11:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:52 AM Sunset 7:26 PM Moonrise 10:53 PM Moonset 7:55 AM |
AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 634 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning - .
Today - NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds.
Tonight - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds.
Sat night - SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sun - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue - SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ100 634 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A coastal low north of us with a tightening pressure gradient will impact the area through Friday bringing the potental for small craft force winds and high seas. High pressure then builds in from the south over the weekend with another frontal passage likely in middle of next week.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 290925 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 525 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
A coastal low will move along the Crystal Coast today, followed quickly by a cold front passage. High pressure then builds in from the south over the weekend with another frontal passage likely early next week.
NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 415 AM Friday...Fog has dissipated from the coastal plain as dry air advection has been breaking away at it over the past hour. SPS for patchy dense fog expires at 5AM, but threat has ended at this point. We are rain- free with clear skies and calm to light W/NW winds. Temps are currently in the low 40s, dropping down to the upper 30s/near 40 inland over the next couple hours. Along beaches temps are in the upper 40s and will drop to the mid 40s around daybreak.
Downsloping winds will warm us up, bringing high temperatures up to the upper 60s over mainland ENC and mid 50s along the OBX today. These downsloping winds paired with daytime mixing allowing higher momentum air aloft to make it down to the surface will result in gusty conditions today, up to 25-30 mph along the coastal plain. Some scattered cumulus could move in from the north in the afternoon/evening along a weak shortwave.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 430 AM Friday...Pressure starts building in Friday night as a sfc high moves to our south and we decouple. Dry air will prevent any fog formation, and lows will be in the mid 40s inland, and low 50s for beaches. Mid and upper level clouds start moving in from the west early morning Saturday.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 345 AM Fri...High pressure remains in place through the weekend resulting in benign weather across ENC with above avg temperatures forecast. Next potential frontal boundary then impacts the area Tue into Wed with another ridge of high pressure building in from the west to end the week.
Saturday through Monday... Zonal flow remains overhead on Sat with a weak mid level shortwave riding along the zonal flow to our north.
At the surface, frontal boundary will extend W-E across the Ohio River Valley and into northern Virginia with a weak low riding E'wards along the front. Surface ridging continues to extend N'wards into the Carolinas during this timeframe. While we expect to remain precip free on Sat some additional cloud cover may begin to sneak into our northern zones Sat afternoon and evening, though with breezy SW'rly surface winds and increasing low level thicknesses expecting a rather pleasant day overall with high temps getting into the mid 70s inland and upper 60s along the OBX, while lows remain rather warm Sat night only getting down into the mid 50s. As we step into Sunday, upper ridging builds overhead as a positively tilted upper trough begins to dig into the western CONUS. At the surface, ridging begins to slide off to the east while the pesky surface front to our north dips slightly S'wards nearing the CWA Sun evening with yet another weak surface low riding E'wards along the boundary, this will allow additional cloud cover to build further south across the area, though we expect to generally remain precip free Sun as well. By Mon, upper level trough quickly pushes E into the Plains and Upper Midwest with upper ridging still extending over the Eastern Seaboard. Ridging continues to extend N'wards into the Carolinas on Mon as well resulting in a pleasant day overall, however cloud cover will be on the increase as the aforementioned frontal boundary sags further south with even an isolated chance for a shower or two along our northern zones Mon evening. Increasing low level thicknesses and a steady SW'rly breezes will keep temps well above avg on Sun and Mon with highs getting into the 80s inland and near 70 along the OBX and coast.
Tue and Wed...Upper level trough quickly pushes E'wards nearing the Eastern Seaboard by Wed. Associated surface low and cold front also quickly march E'wards bringing our next best threat for precip on Tue and Wed. There does look to be enough instability in place for some isolated thunder primarily Tue evening into Wed morning with this frontal passage when the best forcing overspreads the area so have included that in the latest forecast. Front pushes offshore by Wed evening allowing the area to clear out rather rapidly from west to east. Front quickly pushes offshore by Wed evening. Last above avg temperature day will be Tue with temps then lowering back closer to normal on Wed with the passage of the cold front.
Thurs through end of the week... High pressure ridging builds back into the Eastern Seaboard from the west to end the workweek bringing steady W'rly winds and fair weather to ENC. Temps will remain about avg from Thurs onward.
AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 430 AM Friday...Fog has dissipated leaving us with widespread VFR conditions.
As of 200 AM Friday...Clear skies and winds calmer than expected have resulted in patchy IFR to LIFR dense fog for the coastal plain early this morning. Fog chances drop quickly as we approach daybreak, leaving for VFR conditions through Friday.
Downsloping winds could get gusty at times with ample mixing of higher momentum air aloft during the daytime Friday. Current forecast calls for westerly gusts near 25kts in the coastal plain.
LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 4 AM Fri... VFR conditions will persist through early next week with our next threat for sub-VFR conditions occuring Tue evening into Wed with the passage of a frontal boundary.
Could see some gusty SW'rly winds Sat afternoon with peak heating but otherwise no significant impacts to operations anticipated this weekend.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 430 AM Friday...Coastal low has lifted east of the delmarva peninsula, strengthening later than anticipated. This has resulted in winds under performing, near 25kts for coastal waters and sounds. Have dropped all gale warnings with this update, and replaced them with SCA's. Dropped the SCA's for Neuse, Pamlico, and Alligator rivers. SCA's for the sounds will drop this morning, with coastal waters SCA continuing with 6+ ft seas going into the weekend. It is likely that coastal SCA for waters from Oregon Inlet to Duck will drop sooner than what is currently drawn up. We will be monitoring observations through the day today as models are inconsistent with how quickly seas drop. Southern coastal waters will briefly drop to sub-SCA conditions Saturday, but will rise back up again Saturday evening/night as pressure gradient tightens with the high building to our south and the low to our north. Winds are currently NW'rly 10-20G25kts for waters, and seas are 4-7 ft.
LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/...
As of 4AM Friday... High pressure ridging will extend northwards over our waters through the weekend. Will have a stalled front to the north which should pinch the gradient Sat afternoon resulting in 5-15 kt W-SW'rly winds briefly increasing to 20-25 kts across the Pamlico Sound and coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet. 10-20 kt winds will be found across the rest of the waters Sat afternoon and evening. 2-4ft seas to start the period will also build in response to the increasing winds up to 5-8 ft along the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet, with 4-6 ft seas found across our northern coastal waters and lower wave heights across the inland sounds and rivers. As a result will keep the ongoing SCA's south of Oregon Inlet up through Sat.
With additional SCA's possibly needed across the Pamlico Sound and northern coastal waters at some point tonight to cover this threat. Elevated winds and seas then persist into Sun morning before more benign boating weather finally returns to all the waters. General 5-15 kt SW'rly winds and 2-5 ft seas are forecast from Sun afternoon onwards.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 515 AM Friday... Just as quick as the winds came up yesterday, the winds have eased fairly rapidly this morning as the previously mentioned low pressure system well to our north and east had deepened a bit further away from the coast overnight allowing the pressure gradient to be slightly more relaxed this morning and for winds to be lighter than previously forecast. This has allowed the seas to lower slightly sooner than forecast and the previously issued high surf advisory has since been cancelled.
Otherwise the overall spirit of the forecast hasn't changed since the previous update with at least one more round of some minor coastal flooding impacts (generally around 1-2 ft AGL)
possible with this mornings high tide (~1040AM) for soundside locations of Ocracoke and Hatteras Island, mainly where dune structures have been compromised. Current forecast then suggests the coastal flooding threat lowers after this morning with no current extension of the ongoing coastal flood advisories planned.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for AMZ230- 231.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 525 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
A coastal low will move along the Crystal Coast today, followed quickly by a cold front passage. High pressure then builds in from the south over the weekend with another frontal passage likely early next week.
NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 415 AM Friday...Fog has dissipated from the coastal plain as dry air advection has been breaking away at it over the past hour. SPS for patchy dense fog expires at 5AM, but threat has ended at this point. We are rain- free with clear skies and calm to light W/NW winds. Temps are currently in the low 40s, dropping down to the upper 30s/near 40 inland over the next couple hours. Along beaches temps are in the upper 40s and will drop to the mid 40s around daybreak.
Downsloping winds will warm us up, bringing high temperatures up to the upper 60s over mainland ENC and mid 50s along the OBX today. These downsloping winds paired with daytime mixing allowing higher momentum air aloft to make it down to the surface will result in gusty conditions today, up to 25-30 mph along the coastal plain. Some scattered cumulus could move in from the north in the afternoon/evening along a weak shortwave.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 430 AM Friday...Pressure starts building in Friday night as a sfc high moves to our south and we decouple. Dry air will prevent any fog formation, and lows will be in the mid 40s inland, and low 50s for beaches. Mid and upper level clouds start moving in from the west early morning Saturday.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 345 AM Fri...High pressure remains in place through the weekend resulting in benign weather across ENC with above avg temperatures forecast. Next potential frontal boundary then impacts the area Tue into Wed with another ridge of high pressure building in from the west to end the week.
Saturday through Monday... Zonal flow remains overhead on Sat with a weak mid level shortwave riding along the zonal flow to our north.
At the surface, frontal boundary will extend W-E across the Ohio River Valley and into northern Virginia with a weak low riding E'wards along the front. Surface ridging continues to extend N'wards into the Carolinas during this timeframe. While we expect to remain precip free on Sat some additional cloud cover may begin to sneak into our northern zones Sat afternoon and evening, though with breezy SW'rly surface winds and increasing low level thicknesses expecting a rather pleasant day overall with high temps getting into the mid 70s inland and upper 60s along the OBX, while lows remain rather warm Sat night only getting down into the mid 50s. As we step into Sunday, upper ridging builds overhead as a positively tilted upper trough begins to dig into the western CONUS. At the surface, ridging begins to slide off to the east while the pesky surface front to our north dips slightly S'wards nearing the CWA Sun evening with yet another weak surface low riding E'wards along the boundary, this will allow additional cloud cover to build further south across the area, though we expect to generally remain precip free Sun as well. By Mon, upper level trough quickly pushes E into the Plains and Upper Midwest with upper ridging still extending over the Eastern Seaboard. Ridging continues to extend N'wards into the Carolinas on Mon as well resulting in a pleasant day overall, however cloud cover will be on the increase as the aforementioned frontal boundary sags further south with even an isolated chance for a shower or two along our northern zones Mon evening. Increasing low level thicknesses and a steady SW'rly breezes will keep temps well above avg on Sun and Mon with highs getting into the 80s inland and near 70 along the OBX and coast.
Tue and Wed...Upper level trough quickly pushes E'wards nearing the Eastern Seaboard by Wed. Associated surface low and cold front also quickly march E'wards bringing our next best threat for precip on Tue and Wed. There does look to be enough instability in place for some isolated thunder primarily Tue evening into Wed morning with this frontal passage when the best forcing overspreads the area so have included that in the latest forecast. Front pushes offshore by Wed evening allowing the area to clear out rather rapidly from west to east. Front quickly pushes offshore by Wed evening. Last above avg temperature day will be Tue with temps then lowering back closer to normal on Wed with the passage of the cold front.
Thurs through end of the week... High pressure ridging builds back into the Eastern Seaboard from the west to end the workweek bringing steady W'rly winds and fair weather to ENC. Temps will remain about avg from Thurs onward.
AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 430 AM Friday...Fog has dissipated leaving us with widespread VFR conditions.
As of 200 AM Friday...Clear skies and winds calmer than expected have resulted in patchy IFR to LIFR dense fog for the coastal plain early this morning. Fog chances drop quickly as we approach daybreak, leaving for VFR conditions through Friday.
Downsloping winds could get gusty at times with ample mixing of higher momentum air aloft during the daytime Friday. Current forecast calls for westerly gusts near 25kts in the coastal plain.
LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 4 AM Fri... VFR conditions will persist through early next week with our next threat for sub-VFR conditions occuring Tue evening into Wed with the passage of a frontal boundary.
Could see some gusty SW'rly winds Sat afternoon with peak heating but otherwise no significant impacts to operations anticipated this weekend.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Friday/...
As of 430 AM Friday...Coastal low has lifted east of the delmarva peninsula, strengthening later than anticipated. This has resulted in winds under performing, near 25kts for coastal waters and sounds. Have dropped all gale warnings with this update, and replaced them with SCA's. Dropped the SCA's for Neuse, Pamlico, and Alligator rivers. SCA's for the sounds will drop this morning, with coastal waters SCA continuing with 6+ ft seas going into the weekend. It is likely that coastal SCA for waters from Oregon Inlet to Duck will drop sooner than what is currently drawn up. We will be monitoring observations through the day today as models are inconsistent with how quickly seas drop. Southern coastal waters will briefly drop to sub-SCA conditions Saturday, but will rise back up again Saturday evening/night as pressure gradient tightens with the high building to our south and the low to our north. Winds are currently NW'rly 10-20G25kts for waters, and seas are 4-7 ft.
LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/...
As of 4AM Friday... High pressure ridging will extend northwards over our waters through the weekend. Will have a stalled front to the north which should pinch the gradient Sat afternoon resulting in 5-15 kt W-SW'rly winds briefly increasing to 20-25 kts across the Pamlico Sound and coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet. 10-20 kt winds will be found across the rest of the waters Sat afternoon and evening. 2-4ft seas to start the period will also build in response to the increasing winds up to 5-8 ft along the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet, with 4-6 ft seas found across our northern coastal waters and lower wave heights across the inland sounds and rivers. As a result will keep the ongoing SCA's south of Oregon Inlet up through Sat.
With additional SCA's possibly needed across the Pamlico Sound and northern coastal waters at some point tonight to cover this threat. Elevated winds and seas then persist into Sun morning before more benign boating weather finally returns to all the waters. General 5-15 kt SW'rly winds and 2-5 ft seas are forecast from Sun afternoon onwards.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 515 AM Friday... Just as quick as the winds came up yesterday, the winds have eased fairly rapidly this morning as the previously mentioned low pressure system well to our north and east had deepened a bit further away from the coast overnight allowing the pressure gradient to be slightly more relaxed this morning and for winds to be lighter than previously forecast. This has allowed the seas to lower slightly sooner than forecast and the previously issued high surf advisory has since been cancelled.
Otherwise the overall spirit of the forecast hasn't changed since the previous update with at least one more round of some minor coastal flooding impacts (generally around 1-2 ft AGL)
possible with this mornings high tide (~1040AM) for soundside locations of Ocracoke and Hatteras Island, mainly where dune structures have been compromised. Current forecast then suggests the coastal flooding threat lowers after this morning with no current extension of the ongoing coastal flood advisories planned.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for AMZ230- 231.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
41120 | 14 mi | 81 min | 49°F | 7 ft | ||||
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC | 17 mi | 51 min | NW 18G | 50°F | 51°F | 30.02 | ||
41025 - Diamond Shoals | 26 mi | 41 min | NW 18G | 53°F | 30.01 | |||
44095 | 26 mi | 25 min | 49°F | 6 ft | ||||
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC | 28 mi | 51 min | NW 13G | 47°F | 51°F | 30.02 | ||
44086 | 42 mi | 25 min | 48°F | 6 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KHSE BILLY MITCHELL,NC | 13 sm | 30 min | NW 08G17 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 39°F | 71% | 30.01 |
Avon
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:55 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:25 AM EDT 2.24 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:18 PM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:21 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:53 PM EDT 3.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:55 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:25 AM EDT 2.24 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:18 PM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:21 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:53 PM EDT 3.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Avon, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
2.5 |
1 am |
1.9 |
2 am |
1.2 |
3 am |
0.6 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.5 |
7 am |
1 |
8 am |
1.5 |
9 am |
2 |
10 am |
2.2 |
11 am |
2.2 |
12 pm |
1.9 |
1 pm |
1.4 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
0.4 |
4 pm |
0.1 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.6 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
1.9 |
9 pm |
2.5 |
10 pm |
2.9 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:30 AM EDT 0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:55 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:35 AM EDT 3.36 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:22 PM EDT 0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:21 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:51 PM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:30 AM EDT 0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:55 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:35 AM EDT 3.36 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:22 PM EDT 0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:21 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:51 PM EDT 3.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
3.3 |
1 am |
2.5 |
2 am |
1.6 |
3 am |
0.9 |
4 am |
0.5 |
5 am |
0.5 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
1.5 |
8 am |
2.2 |
9 am |
2.9 |
10 am |
3.3 |
11 am |
3.3 |
12 pm |
2.9 |
1 pm |
2.3 |
2 pm |
1.5 |
3 pm |
0.8 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.5 |
6 pm |
0.9 |
7 pm |
1.6 |
8 pm |
2.5 |
9 pm |
3.3 |
10 pm |
3.8 |
11 pm |
3.9 |
Morehead City, NC,
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