Sunday, May20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Salvo, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 8:10PM Sunday May 20, 2018 1:53 PM EDT (17:53 UTC) Moonrise 10:02AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 921 Am Edt Sun May 20 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Rest of today..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of tstms. A chance of showers late this morning and early afternoon, then a slight chance of showers late.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 3 to 5 ft late. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..N winds around 10 kt, becoming se. Seas around 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Salvo, NC
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location: 35.46, -75.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 201720
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
120 pm edt Sun may 20 2018

Synopsis
Tropical moisture will continue over the area into early next week
with high pressure offshore and frontal boundaries remaining to the
west and north. A cold front will approach from the north midweek.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 905 am sun... No changes planned to current forecast.

Eastern nc will remain in a weakly forced but very moist
environment today with anomalously high pw values around 1.75"
a band of broken showers currently extends from near
jacksonville northeast to columbia and is forecast to move east
across the area for the remainder of the morning hours with most
of the "inner banks" region adjacent to the sounds seeing a
brief period of showers possible thunderstorm this morning.

Then this afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms are
forecast to develop, especially inland as local sea sound breeze
circulations act as a trigger. High temps will warm into the
upper 70s and low 80s later today, again inhibited by
considerable cloudiness due to the high moisture content of the
atmosphere.

Short term tonight
As of 655 am sun... Scattered shower activity is expected
tonight, but will be mainly along the coast. Have chance pops
across the coast, with a slight chance of precip inland. Low
temps will be warm and muggy again, in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Long term Monday through Sunday
As of 330 am Sunday... Little change in the overall pattern is
expected for the early part of the week, but a pattern shift
will occur around midweek as a back door front drops south
across the region, finally bringing some drier air to the region
for the latter portion of the week.

Monday and Tuesday... High pressure ridge over the atlantic to
continue to provide moist southwest winds across our area for
the early part of the week. Weak mid-level shortwave energy will
enhance convection a bit on Monday, but less activity is
indicated by the model consensus for Tuesday. High temperatures
will generally range in the low to mid 80s.

Wednesday and Thursday... A pattern shift Wednesday night into
Thursday will bring in a drier pattern for the latter portion of
the week. Good model consensus for a back door cold front to
move into the CWA between 06z and 12z on Thursday. The front
will provide sufficient convergence to enhance shower and
thunderstorm activity ahead of it on Wednesday, before slightly
cooler and more stable air reaches the area Wednesday night.

Pop-wise, Wednesday appears to be the wettest day of the week.

Temperatures will be slightly cooler for Thursday with less
coverage of showers and thunderstorms.

Friday and Saturday... A light E SE flow Friday become more
southerly on Saturday and increases a bit bringing a return of
more humidity and warmer temperatures. In fact, Saturday appears
to be the warmest day of the week with highs well into the 80s
away from the water. Rain chances Friday and Saturday will be
below climatology.

Aviation 17z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through Monday ...

as of 120 pm sun... Ceilings have lifted toVFR this afternoon,
though could hover between MVFR andVFR through 00z. Scattered
showers this afternoon, with best chances at oaj and ewn. There
will be the potential for light fog and stratus at pgv iso
early Monday morning, but with below normal confidence will keep
conditionsVFR at this time. Scattered showers and storms
likely to re-develop Monday afternoon and evening.

Long term Monday night through Thursday ...

as of 335 am Sunday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
possible Monday through Wednesday, mainly diurnally driven
during the afternoon and evening hours. This could produce some
occasional sub-vfr conditions. Drier and slightly cooler air
should produce a generallyVFR day for Thursday.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 905 am sun... No changes to current forecast. Small craft
conditions will continue through tonight across the southern and
central waters for hazardous seas of 4-7 ft, and southerly
winds mostly 15-20 kts with gusts around 25 kts. Seas and winds
will begin to decrease this evening, with winds becoming 10-15
kts by Monday morning, with seas decreasing to 3-5 ft.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 340 am Sunday... A very steady-state marine forecast
through midweek as high pressure offshore continues to provide
sw winds at 10-15 knots with seas running around 3 to 4 feet. A
back door front finally crosses the area between about 06z and
12z Thursday morning leading to a more NE wind flow, but winds
speeds should still remain at or below 15 knots with seas at 4
feet or less.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
098-103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 9 am edt Monday for amz154.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Monday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for amz152.

Synopsis... Jme sgk
near term... Jme sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Ctc
aviation... Ctc cqd
marine... Jme ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41062 22 mi54 min 14 G 18 1021.7 hPa (-0.9)
44095 23 mi66 min 65°F5 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 33 mi54 min S 25 G 29 77°F 76°F1020.2 hPa (-1.2)
41025 - Diamond Shoals 35 mi44 min SSW 19 G 23 78°F 76°F1022 hPa72°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 36 mi54 min SSW 7 G 12 76°F 75°F1021.5 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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W8
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W3
G7

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC32 mi63 minSW 13 G 207.00 miOvercast77°F71°F82%1022 hPa

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS11S11S11S13S11S10S11S11S13S11S11S9SW8SW7SW5SW8SW9SW9S8S8SW6SW10SW11SW13
G20
1 day agoS8S7S7S8S9S8S9S10S9S11S10S9S11S11S9S10S8S7S8S7S9S8S10S11
2 days agoSW7S9S9S11S13S10S10S10S10S8S7S7SW8SW7S7SW5S8S7SW7S8S5S9S7S9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:15 AM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:27 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:56 PM EDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:54 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.811.110.90.70.40.30.10.10.10.20.40.60.70.70.70.50.40.20.10.10.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:18 AM EDT     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:18 PM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:04 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.63.22.51.60.7-0-0.3-0.30.20.81.52.12.42.31.91.30.70.200.20.71.42.33

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.