Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Chocowinity, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:15PM Friday May 24, 2019 6:56 PM EDT (22:56 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:56AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 332 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt late this evening and overnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft this evening, then 1 ft.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chocowinity, NC
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location: 35.51, -77.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 241929
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
329 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move through the area this afternoon and
tonight, with high pressure building back in tomorrow. Another
backdoor front will move into the region Monday, but then will
quickly retreat north Tuesday, with very hot temperatures
expected across the region through at least the middle of next
week. A cold front is expected to move into the area Friday.

Near term through tonight
As of 300 pm fri... A very hot day is unfolding across the
region with temps already into the low to mid 90s in most
locations, as a strong upper level ridge remains situated over
the SE us. Little relief has been seen so far as the sea breeze
has been pinned to the coast. This has allowed temperatures to
climb into the mid to upper 90s inland as well as closer to the
coast, including the mhx office where we have hit 96 so far
today (and have tied the may high temp record). However, a
backdoor cold front is currently moving through NE nc including
the nobx, and will continue to move south this afternoon and
evening to the southern coast. Behind the front temps have
cooled off into the upper 70s and low 80s, with some gusty ne
winds also. Have added a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms across the northern coastal plain, and further
east towards the albemarle sound, as high res models are showing
the possibility of a shower or two later this afternoon and
evening.

Tonight winds will continue to be out of the E ne, but should
become light inland. Expect dry conditions to continue and temps
should drop into the mid to upper 70s across the northern tier,
and upper 60s to low 70s across the southern coast.

Short term Saturday
As of 310 pm fri... High pressure will move off the mid-atlantic
coast tomorrow and reinforce easterly winds across the area,
until late in the afternoon when the high moves far enough
offshore for winds to turn to the se. Low level thicknesses will
be slightly lower than today, resulting in highs climbing into the
low 90s inland, and then with easterly onshore flow most of the
day, temps will only reach the upper 70s to low 80s across the
obx and mainland hyde and dare counties.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 215 pm Friday... An anomalous upper ridge will linger
across the southeastern quarter of the united states for the
next several days. This will produce well above normal
temperatures into the middle of next week with high
temperatures well into the 90s inland with a few spots poss reaching
100 degrees Tue thru thu. Beaches as usual will be a bit cooler
with flow off ocean sounds but shld climb well into the 80s.

Heat index values thru Thu will be mainly 95 to 100 but could
reach 100 to 105 a few sites Tuesday through Thursday. As the
upper ridge begins to break down late in the week a cold front
will drop into the area Fri with temps cooling a bit with
warmest sites 90 to 95.

Models show weak impulse moving thru Sat night early Sunday and
some show light precip poss... For now wl keep dry but cont to
monitor. Otherwise differential heating boundaries in the
afternoon and evening could produce an isolated shower or storm
most any day, the coverage of any precipitation is very low and
have left out of the forecast through thu. As the upr ridge
begins to break down with cold front moving in did add a 20 pop
for fri.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through Saturday afternoon ...

as of 315 pm fri...VFR conditions are present across the
airspace, and will continue for the TAF period. Some scattered
cumulus clouds are expected to develop later this afternoon, and
then a backdoor front will turn winds from W to NE beginning
late this afternoon. Winds will gust 15-20 mph behind the front,
but should calm down overnight. Mostly sunny skies expected
again tomorrow.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 220 pm Friday...VFR conditions are likely throughout the
extended period. Cannot rule out patchy shallow fog or stratus
early in the morning each day, but the extent should be short
and limited.

Marine
Short term tonight and Sat ...

as of 320 pm fri... Winds are currently SW 10-15 kts to the south
of CAPE hatteras, and NE 15-20 kts to the north, as a cold front
slowly drops south across the waters this afternoon and evening.

There could be some brief gusty winds to 25-30 kts, but the
duration isn't long enough to issue a sca, so have issued a mws
for the pamlico sound and central coastal waters as a heads up
for a brief period of gusty winds, which may need to be extended
south later this evening. Winds tomorrow will be mostly E ne
around 10-15 kts, and then turn to the SE late in the day. Seas
are currently 2-3 ft, and are expected to remain 2-3 ft through
tomorrow.

Long term Saturday night through Wed ...

as of 220 pm Friday... Front lifts back N Sat night with winds
veering from SE 10 to 15 kts in evening to ssw late. SW winds
will increase 15 to 20 kts later Sun and Sun night as another
front approaches from the nw. This front expected to cross nrn
half of area Mon and Mon night with light N to E winds expected
behind front and SE to S winds ahead of front SRN tier. The
front will lift back N Tue with winds becoming ssw 10 to 20 kts
all wtrs. Ssw winds cont Wed with offshore high pres dominating
speeds 10 to 15 kts early with some 15 to 20 kts likely late.

Seas will be mainly in the 2 to 4 foot range thru the period.

Could see some 5 footers outer wtrs at times when winds peak
espcly later Sun into early mon.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected late this week into
early next week.

Record high temps for 5 24 (Friday)
location temp year
new bern 96 2011 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1992 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1925 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 87 1992 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 94 1994 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 2011 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 26 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 100 1953 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 88 1962 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1927 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 96 1953 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 2004 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 28 (Tuesday)
location temp year
new bern 93 2014 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 97 1916 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 2004 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 1967 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 29 (Wednesday)
location temp year
new bern 95 1982 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 91 1991 (khse asos)
greenville 95 1918 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 92 1991 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 93 1991 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 1967 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf sgk
marine... Rf sgk
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 59 mi56 min WSW 7 G 13 82°F 79°F1016.3 hPa (-0.0)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 68 mi56 min SW 9.9 G 13 79°F 1015.6 hPa (-0.3)72°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC4 mi76 minWNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy95°F65°F38%1015.6 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC19 mi66 minNW 5 G 1410.00 miFair95°F64°F36%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE8E6SE4SE3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4SW8SW9SW6SW9SW9
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2 days agoE8E6E8E4E5E4NE3CalmNE3NE3NE4CalmCalmNE4NE6NE6E9E7NE3E5E8NE7S4SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:16 AM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:46 PM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.12.11.81.51.10.70.40.30.40.71.11.51.81.81.71.41.10.70.50.40.50.81.2

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.