Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington Park, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 5:01PM Sunday November 19, 2017 6:59 AM EST (11:59 UTC) Moonrise 7:37AMMoonset 6:10PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 335 Am Est Sun Nov 19 2017
.gale warning in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Today..SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming nw late this morning, then diminishing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt this afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 ft. Showers likely this morning.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Mon..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Mon night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of rain.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of rain.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of rain.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington Park, NC
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location: 35.54, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 190907
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
407 am est Sun nov 19 2017

Synopsis
A strong cold front will move through the area early this
morning and move offshore by afternoon. High pressure will build
in tonight and Monday and then move offshore Tuesday. Low
pressure will move northeast near the coast early Wednesday and
again Friday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 330 am Sunday... Strong cold front is on track to move
across area this morning, and enough guidance support to
indicate period of likely pops for showers moving across area
between 5 and 10 am. Gusty winds ahead of and behind front and
no change to wind advisory for outer banks and eastern portions
of of carteret county. Temp forecast a bit problematic as
expect current mild reading to continue just past sunrise, then
will drop 5-10 degrees after frontal passage. Temps then likely
steady rest of day as insolation and downsloping w-nw winds will
offset cold air advection. Thus most areas will see morning
highs from lower 60s inland to near 70 coast, then steady temps
in upper 50s to lower 60s late morning through afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday
As of 330 am Sunday... Cold and dry air mass will continue to
spread in through the night. Lighter winds and better
radiational cooling conditions will allow temps to drop to lower
30s inland while breezy conditions will keep coast in low-mid
40s.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 230 am sun... High pressure moves in from the west Monday
then off the coast Tuesday. A cold front will move through
Wednesday morning and become stationary off the coast of the
southeast states. Areas of low pressure will move northeast
along the front thanksgiving day into Friday.

Monday and Tuesday... High pressure will build in from the west
Monday and then move off the coast on Tuesday. Cold air aloft
will lead to much below normal highs on Monday, but then warmer
southerly flow on Tuesday will lead to milder highs. Highs
Monday will be in the lower to mid 50s, and on Tuesday highs
will reach the lower to mid 60s. Low temps will be in the lower
to mid 30s inland both Monday and Tuesday mornings, with mid to
upper 30s further east, and low to mid 40s along the coast.

Wednesday thru Friday... A cold front will move off the coast
Wednesday morning and stall over the offshore waters of the
southeast states. A few waves of low pressure will move
northeast along the front during this time. The best chance for
rain during this time will be mainly east of highway 17 with
pops no higher than 40-50%
high temps will be in the lower to mid 60s Wednesday, and then
the lower to mid 50s Thursday and 55-60 Friday. Low temps wed
will range from the upper 40s inland to the mid to upper 50s
along the south coast and outer banks. Lows Thursday will be
around 40 on the coastal plain to 45-50 south coast and obx.

Lows Friday morning will be in the mid to upper 30s coastal
plain to mid upper 40s south coast and obx.

Saturday... The offshore front will move off to the east as a
deep upper trof sweeps in from the west. Highs will be around 60
after morning lows in the upper 30s inland, with upper 40s to
lower 50s outer banks.

Aviation 08z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 06z Monday ...

as of 100 am Sunday... High confidence thatVFR conditions will
dominate most of the TAF period, except for a brief period when
the cold front and associated showers pass through the area
between 08-12z when a 1-2 hour period of MVFR conditions will be
possible. Winds will increase tonight into Sunday with gusts up
to 30 knots and a chance of low level wind shear 35-40 kt to
occur. After the frontal passage, conditions will return back to
vfr with gusty NW winds diminishing late.

Long term Mon through thu
as of 230 am sun...VFR conditions forecast Monday and Tuesday.

Sub-vfr in light rain Wednesday and thanksgiving day, with the
best chance at ewn and oaj. Only isolated activity at pgv and
iso.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 330 am Sunday... Winds continue to increase ahead of strong
cold front and no change to gale warnings for coastal waters and
pamlico sound and SCA rest of waters. Winds will shift to nw
behind the front with gusts to around 25 kt likely for pamlico
sound and outer waters into tonight.

Seas will build to 8-13 feet this morning, then subside this
afternoon but likely linger around 6 feet outer portions into
early Monday.

Long term Mon through thu
as of 230 am sun... Winds Monday morning will be NW 15-20 kts,
subsiding to 10-15 kts in the afternoon. Winds Tuesday will be
sse 5-10 kts. Another front will cross the waters Wednesday
morning, with winds becoming north 15-20 knots and continuing
through thanksgiving day.

Seas will subside Monday as high pressure builds in from the
west, with seas on Tuesday only 1-2 feet. However, seas will
very quickly build to 5-8 feet north of CAPE lookout and 4-6
feet south following the passage of the cold front Wednesday
morning.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Wind advisory until 10 am est this morning for ncz095-103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for
amz130-131-136-137.

Gale warning until 1 pm est this afternoon for
amz135-150-152-154-156-158.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Hsa
aviation... Jbm hsa
marine... Jbm hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 69 mi59 min SW 16 G 20 1004.1 hPa (-1.2)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Last
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC2 mi74 minWSW 19 G 247.00 miRain and Breezy65°F57°F77%1002 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi74 minWSW 9 G 1710.00 miLight Rain63°F59°F88%1003 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3S4S5SW5SW10
G16
SW14
G22
SW13
G17
SW13
G18
S9
G16
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S8S4S6SW10
G15
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G19
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G19
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G20
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G18
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G18
SW12
G23
SW11
G17
1 day agoCalmCalmN4NE8N6N4NE5N3N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmW3NW6W4W6NW7W5W5NW5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW6NW5N4N6N7CalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:06 AM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:46 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:10 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:22 PM EST     2.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.50.20.10.20.71.31.82.32.52.421.610.50.20.10.30.81.31.8221.7

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
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Newport River (Yacht Club)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:19 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:36 AM EST     3.86 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:13 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:10 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:53 PM EST     2.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.50.20.30.71.62.53.33.83.83.52.81.91.10.50.20.30.81.52.32.82.92.72.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.