Friday, September22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Washington Park, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 7:06PM Friday September 22, 2017 8:17 PM EDT (00:17 UTC) Moonrise 8:10AMMoonset 7:48PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 619 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..N winds 20 to 25 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Washington Park, NC
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location: 35.54, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 222220
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
620 pm edt Fri sep 22 2017

Synopsis
A weak trough of low pressure will cross the area tonight then
high pressure will extend into the area over the weekend.

Hurricane maria is expected to track off the southeast coast
late this weekend and next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
As of 620 pm Friday... Fcst looks good with current patchy cu
field diminishing after sunset and mclr skies leading to good
radiational cooling and likely some fog overnight.

Prev disc... A weak surface trough will cross the area
overnight. Ahead of this feature through late today an isolated
shower may develop with this threat ending with the loss of
daytime heating. Diurnal cumulus field is also expected to
dissipate after sunset with only patchy clouds expected
overnight. With winds expected to become calm, strong
radiational cooling should lead to the development of patchy
dense fog after midnight. Went with the coolest guidance for
lows with temperatures in the low to mid 60s. Fall officially
arrives at 402 pm this afternoon.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
As of 255 pm Friday... Fall will get off to a warm dry start
Saturday as high pressure builds in from the north. Morning fog
is expected to dissipate rapidly in the morning with typical
afternoon cumulus clouds and highs in the lower to middle 80s.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 250 pm fri... High pressure centered over the great lakes
will extend down across the region through the period, while we
continue to monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues
regarding the track of maria. Eastern nc residents and
interested parties should continue to monitor the latest
official forecasts from nhc.

Friday night through Sunday night... Surface high pressure and
upper ridge will continue to build in from the north through the
weekend, as the remnants of jose meander well off the NE coast.

Pred dry weather expected. Low level thickness values support
above normal temps with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s and
overnight lows in the mid 60s coastal plain to upper 60s low 70s
along the coast.

Monday through Friday... Hurricane maria is currently forecast
to slowly lift north off the SE coast through mid week. Eventual
track will be determined by several factors including the
strength of the upper ridge and remnant circulation of jose. It
is still too soon to determine specific impacts for eastern nc,
which will be very dependent on the track how close to the
coast it gets. Models continue to slow maria down, keeping it
off the SE coast through Thursday. The 12z GFS is slightly
further westward than previous runs and the ecmwf. Regardless
of the exact track, rough surf and dangerous rip currents are
likely this weekend into next week, as large long period
southeast swells build. Gusty N NW winds, minor coastal
flooding, and ocean overwash erosion will be also possible,
with the greatest threat along the outer banks. Slight
chance low chance rain showers, mainly along the coast, possible
through wed. The next frontal system will approach the area
late week, as maria pushes further ene offshore. Temps through
the period, near to slightly above normal with highs in the 80s
and lows in the mid 60s low 70s.

Aviation 22z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through 00z Saturday ...

as of 620 pm Friday...VFR conditions are expected through early
evening. Then strong radiational cooling is expected overnight
with with mostly clear skies and light winds. This is expected
to result in areas of fog developing with conditions going
from MVFR to ifr after midnight. Confidence not as high as
yesterday though due to very shallow low level moisture profiles
which would limit vertical extent of fog. Fog is expected to
dissipate rapidly after 13z Saturday withVFR with scattered
high based afternoon cumulus.

Long term Sat night through Wednesday ...

as of 250 pm fri...VFR conditions will dominate most of the
period, though some early morning fg br and low stratus may
develop each night as a ridge of high pressure will be across
the region. Sub-vfr possible in isolated to scattered showers
mon through wed.

Marine
Short term through Sat ...

as of 620 pm Friday... No changes with swells from jose and
maria leading to SCA all waters tonight.

Prev disc... Small craft advisories have been posted for all of
the eastern nc coastal waters. Large swell, residual from jose
combined with newly arriving from maria, will produce seas in
excess of 6 ft over the eastern nc waters tonight and Saturday.

This will cause waves in the inlets to become dangerous a couple
hours either side of low tide which occurs around 4 pm today
and 4 am Saturday. Light and variable winds late today will
become northerly 10 kt or less overnight then increase to 10 to
ne 10 to 15 kt late Saturday.

Long term Sat night through Wed ...

as of 250 pm fri... High pressure centered over the great lakes
will build down into the region through the period, while we
continue to monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues
regarding the track of hurricane maria late this weekend and
next week, though models continue to slow it down keeping it
offshore of the SE coast through thu. Mariners and interested
parties should continue to monitor the latest official forecasts
from nhc. SCA continue for all coastal waters through the
period.

N NE winds 10-20 kt Sun then likely increasing to 15-25 kt mon
and Tue as maria lifts northward. At this time strongest winds
look like Tue and wed. Long period southeast swell will continue
to gradually build through the period, peaking mid week. Have
capped seas at 15-16 ft for the waters next week, though could
end up being much higher if track shifts more westward. Still
too soon to determine specific impacts from maria, but dangerous
seas expected and gusty N NW winds will be possible. Rough surf
and dangerous rip currents are likely.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Wednesday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Wednesday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Jme eh
near term... Rf jme
short term... Jme
long term... Cqd
aviation... Rf jme cqd
marine... Rf jme cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 60 mi47 min S 5.1 G 6 79°F 78°F1015.1 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 69 mi77 min S 5.1 G 6 79°F 1015.5 hPa (+0.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 74 mi47 min Calm G 2.9 78°F 79°F1015.5 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC2 mi32 minN 010.00 miFair77°F67°F71%1015.6 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC20 mi22 minN 010.00 miFair75°F71°F89%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4NW4CalmN5N6NW3N4N4CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmE6NE6NE3CalmCalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmW3W3CalmCalmW3W3W3CalmCalmW4CalmW4W6W8NW7W8W6W6NW4NW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:01 AM EDT     2.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:34 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:17 PM EDT     2.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.81.20.60.20.10.30.71.422.52.72.52.11.610.50.20.20.511.62.12.4

Tide / Current Tables for Newport River (Yacht Club), North Carolina
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Newport River (Yacht Club)
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:25 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:29 AM EDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:54 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:49 PM EDT     3.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
32.21.30.50.10.20.71.52.53.43.83.83.42.61.70.90.30.20.41.122.83.43.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.