Friday, December15, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Engelhard, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:53PM Friday December 15, 2017 10:15 PM EST (03:15 UTC) Moonrise 4:31AMMoonset 3:28PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1007 Pm Est Fri Dec 15 2017
Overnight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Engelhard, NC
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location: 35.65, -76.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 160010
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
710 pm est Fri dec 15 2017

Synopsis
Weak low pressure will deepen as it lifts to the northeast tonight
pushing a cold front through the region. High pressure will
build in from the west Saturday through Sunday. A complex
frontal system will affect the region early next week with high
pressure building in for the middle of next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
As of 650 pm Friday... Updated for thicker high cloud cover early
this evening decreasing from west to east, and adjusted hourly
temp and dew points per latest obs and trends. Wind shift to nw
behind cold front has made it to oregon inlet-kewn-kdpl line and
front expected to move off coast by 8 pm. Back edge of high
cloudiness approaching i-95 and should clear most of area by
midnight.

Previous discussion
as of 215 pm Friday... As low pres moves NE away from the area
and deepens tonight it will push a cold front thru. Sct to bkn
high clouds expected into the evening ahead of a short wave then
clearing overnight as drier air moves in. Combo of CAA and
decent radiational cooling will lead to lows in the upr 20s low
30s inland with 35 to 40 beaches where better breeze will
persist.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Saturday night
As of 215 pm Friday... High pres will build across with clr
skies expected as very dry airmass moves in. Below normal temps
with highs Sat upr 40s low 50s and lows Sat night upr 20s low
30s inland to mid upr 30s beaches.

Long term Sunday through Friday
As of 300 am Friday... Weak ridging builds into the area this
weekend followed by a complex system moving into the region
early next week bringing better chances of rain.

Sunday... Weak ridging and sfc high pressure will keep
conditions dry. High pressure moves offshore Sun with
increasing clouds ahead of the next approaching shortwave.

Return flow will bring a warming trend Sun with highs expected
in the mid 50s to around 60.

Sunday night through Tuesday night... A better chance of rain
expected early next week as a series of dampening shortwave
troughs lift out of the southern plains and lift across the area
tapping into gulf moisture. While model guidance is in somewhat
better agreement this morning, there remains some differences
with the strength and timing of the systems. 00z models have
trended drier with an upper ridge centered over the western
caribbean and ridging into the southeast holding strong with
very little shortwave energy remaining as they move across the
region, however we do get better jet dynamics Tue as a northern
stream trough pushes across the region with the attendant cold
front pushing across the region Tue night. Temps expected to be
above normal this period with predominant SW to W flow across
the region with highs generally in the low to mid 60s and lows
in the 40s inland to around 50 coast.

Wednesday through Thursday... High pressure builds into the
region wed, then pushes offshore Thu ahead and the next northern
stream system digging into the plains with dry conditions
expected across eastern nc. Highs expected to be in the 50s
wed, then warming a few degrees to the upper 50s low 60s thu.

Wed night lows expected in the 30s inland to low 40s coast.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through 00z Sunday ...

as of 630 pm Friday... High confidence inVFR conditions through
taf period. High clouds will clear TAF sites by 03z with mostly
skc rest of period. Colder and drier air mass will move in
behind front moving off coast early this evening, and expected
to preclude fog development overnight. NW winds near 10 kt this
evening will become light W Saturday.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 315 am Friday... PredVFR conditions expected through
Sunday. High pressure builds into the region over the weekend
but will see increasing clouds Sun in advance of the next system
approaching the region. Rain chances increase late Sun night or
mon and continue through Tue with periods of sub-vfr conditions
possible.

Marine
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 700 pm Friday... No changes with update. Cold front is
moving across waters and on track to be offshore by 9 pm,
followed by period of NW winds 15-25 kt into overnight hours.

Previous discussion
as of 215 pm Friday... Wsw winds are starting to pick up as low
pres deepens to the n. Expect cont increasing wsw winds this
aftn becoming wnw this evening as low cont to deepen and cold
front crosses. SCA may be a bit marginal some wtrs but shld at
least see period of gusts AOA 25 kts peaking this evening. As
the high builds closer Sat winds will become W less than 15 kts
in the aftn. Seas will reach 4 to 7 ft this evening... Highest
outer central wtrs. Seas will subside to 3 to 5 ft toward
morning then reach 2 to 3 feet later sat.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 330 am Friday... Winds diminish to 5-10 kt Sat night, then
becomes S SW around Sun afternoon as the high moves offshore
while seas subside to 1-2 ft late Sat night and sun. The next
system approaches from the west early next week but uncertainty
remains with the details leading to a low confidence forecast.

Do expect winds to increase some as the system approaches and
have W SW winds increasing to around 10-15 kt Sun night and mon
and 10-20 kt Mon night and Tue ahead of a stronger cold front.

Seas expected around 2-3 ft Sun night and Mon building to 3-5 ft
mon night and Tue and may build up to 6 ft across the outer
portions of the central southern waters late tue.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 3 am est Saturday for amz135-156-
158.

Small craft advisory until 7 am est Saturday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 6 am est Saturday for amz150.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf jbm
short term... Rf
long term... Sk
aviation... Rf jbm sk
marine... Rf jbm sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 27 mi45 min NW 14 G 19 41°F 48°F1016.8 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi45 min NW 25 G 29 45°F 55°F1016.3 hPa
44095 38 mi57 min 63°F6 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi45 min WNW 14 G 21 39°F 53°F1016.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 42 mi45 min 54°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi30 min 54°F4 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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NE6
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NE6
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NE5
G9
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G15
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SW14
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G21
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G20
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G25
NW16
G22
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1 day
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SW13
G18
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G16
SW11
SW18
SW21
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G27
SW21
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G22
SW16
SW13
W8
G12
W6
G10
W5
G8
NW10
NW7
G10
NW4
N10
G13
N9
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G14
NE10
G13
N10
G14
NE11
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ago
NW19
G25
NW17
G22
NW20
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G25
NW18
G27
NW21
G28
W19
G27
W17
G24
W14
G20
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G27
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G27
W14
G22
W17
G22
W13
G18
W11
G15
W10
G14
W10
G13
W10
G13
SW10
G13
SW12
G15
SW14
SW12
SW15

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC26 mi30 minNNW 11 G 1510.00 miFair40°F28°F64%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7E9E10E8E7E6E8E6E6E8E9E8E9
G16
SW5SW8W14W10
G16
W8NW10
G16
NW11
G18
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G19
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N8
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1 day agoSW13
G18
SW6SW7SW11SW14SW15SW15
G19
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W11NW6NW6NW7W5W6NW3NW3NE8NE10NE8NE7NE8NE7
2 days agoN11
G19
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G26
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G25
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G22
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G23
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G21
NW15
G24
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G22
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G24
NW11
G22
NW12
G21
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G18
NW11
G19
NW9
G16
NW7NW9W7W8W8SW8SW13SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:30 AM EST     0.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:16 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:25 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:43 PM EST     0.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-00.10.30.50.60.70.70.60.50.30.20.1000.10.30.50.60.60.50.40.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:05 AM EST     0.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:47 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:25 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:18 PM EST     0.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-000.20.50.70.90.90.90.80.60.40.2000.10.30.50.70.80.70.60.50.30.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.