Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rodanthe, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 5:56PM Saturday February 24, 2018 10:34 PM EST (03:34 UTC) Moonrise 12:22PMMoonset 1:50AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 1003 Pm Est Sat Feb 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 am est Sunday through late Sunday night...
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds around 10 kt, increasing to around 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Showers.
Mon night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rodanthe CDP, NC
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location: 35.66, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 250305
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1005 pm est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue offshore over the weekend with
continued very warm temperatures. A cold front will move through
the area early Monday, followed by high pressure Tuesday into
Wednesday. Another storm system will impact the area late
Wednesday into Thursday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 1000 pm Saturday... No changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 3 pm sat... Very warm conditions this afternoon as temps
have risen through the 70s to near 80 in some interior locales.

The mild SW winds will continue tonight with very warm overnight
lows in the 60s, continued well above climo. There may be some
iso showers developing near the coast as low level moisture
convergence maximizes towards sunrise. Most places remain dry
however with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Not expecting fog
tonight as winds will be a bit higher than previous nights and
remain above 5 knots.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
As 3 pm sat... Strengthening gusty SW winds as gradient
increases ahead of approaching cold front to the west.

Heights thicknesses rise in response to the approaching front,
and temps again reaching or exceeding record highs (see climate
section below). Most locales away from the coast should reach
the low to possibly some mid 80s if clouds hold off to the west.

Winds will gust to 20-25 mph in the afternoon.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
As of 3 pm Saturday... A very warm day on Sunday followed by
widespread rain Monday. After a couple of dry days Tuesday and
Wednesday, unsettled weather is expected for late next week as
strong low pressure impacts the area.

Sunday night through Monday night... The 24 12z model suite
remains in generally good agreement with a wet period beginning
Sunday night and especially Monday across eastern nc. Qpf
totals will be one quarter to one half inch with some locally
higher amounts. We will be on the cold side of the boundary by
Monday morning with maximum temperatures Monday only in the
60s. Have tapered pops to chc SE half on Sunday night, as ecm
has slowed progression of front into the area, though GFS nam
remain wet so have kept likely pops confined to NW half of the
fa. Raised to categorical all areas on Monday as it appears a
washout is in store with bulk of precip behind sfc cold front.

Rain ends Mon evening with rapid drying expected after midnight.

Lows Mon night drop back to the 40s, still considered mild for
late feb.

Tuesday and Wednesday... With strong dry high pressure in
control, some cooler, though above normal temperatures, expected
Tuesday into Wednesday. Highs both days will be in the low mid
60s with lows in the low mid 40s with lower 50s outer banks.

Wednesday night through Friday... A closed upper level low will
pull out of the desert southwest and move quickly east late next
week. Strong low pressure will develop and track across the
upper south into the carolinas Thursday into Friday. The GFS is
much faster with this system and actually has the strong cold
front offshore by early Friday, while the much slower ecmwf
keeps Friday wet with the front not moving offshore until later
on Friday. With so much uncertainty this far out, will include
high chance pops for Thursday and Thursday night, with a chance
pop for Friday. Temperatures will remain above normal for this
period.

Aviation 03z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 00z Monday ...

as of 630 pm Saturday...VFR expected through this evening then
some MVFR stratus scu developing late tonight into early Sunday.

Ssw winds around 5 kt expected to keep cigs AOA 1k ft. Any
lingering CIGS lifting toVFR by afternoon with just a slight
chance of pre-frontal showers. SW winds will gust to around 20
kt during the day.

Long term 18z Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 350 am Saturday... Periods of sub-vfr conditions are
likely later on Sunday through the day Monday as widespread
showers occur and perhaps a TSTM or two Sunday evening. High
pressure will bring in drier air andVFR conditions for Tuesday
and Wednesday.

Marine
Short term through Sunday ...

as of 1000 pm Saturday... No changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 3 pm sat... Sw winds 10-20 kt currently will remain in
this range through tonight and into Sunday. Gradient may tighten
just enough over the warmer gulf stream waters, and thus sca
rmns in effect across the central waters on Sunday. Seas will
mostly be 2-5 ft with some 6 ft sets between CAPE lookout and
oregon inlet over the warmer gulf stream waters. Some areas of
sea fog once again possible overnight into Sunday morning mainly
for pamlico albemarle sounds, as well as the waters north of
oregon inlet.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 350 am Saturday... No major changes to the marine forecast
thinking this morning. With gusty SW winds of 15-25 knots Sunday
and Sunday night, expect seas to build to as high as 6 feet and
a small craft advisory will be needed. Behind the front Monday,
nw N winds of 10-20 knots and seas of 3-5 feet should prevail
through midweek. Some marginal SCA seas may develop again by
Tuesday in the gusty NE winds.

Climate
Record high temps for 02 24 (Saturday)
location temp year
new bern 84 1962 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 76 2017 (khse asos)
greenville 81 1985 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 77 1996 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 84 1930 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 86 1982 (knca asos)
record high temps for 02 25 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 80 2017 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 74 2017 (khse asos)
greenville 81 2017 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 76 2017 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 84 1930 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 78 2017 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 am Sunday to 4 am est Monday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 1 pm Sunday to 1 am est Monday for
amz156.

Synopsis... Tl bm
near term... Jbm tl
short term... Tl
long term... Ctc tl
aviation... Rf ctc jbm
marine... Ctc jbm tl
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 11 mi52 min SSW 11 G 13 61°F 60°F1020.2 hPa
44095 18 mi46 min 48°F3 ft
41062 30 mi94 min 9.7 G 12 53°F1021.5 hPa (+0.6)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 31 mi46 min SW 6 G 8.9 65°F 62°F1020.9 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 37 mi46 min SSW 14 G 16 65°F 47°F1018.9 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 38 mi34 min 49°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 42 mi49 min 49°F3 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 47 mi34 min SW 18 G 19 73°F 73°F1021.5 hPa (+0.5)66°F
41063 63 mi154 min SW 18 G 21 71°F 72°F1021.4 hPa (+0.5)
44014 - VIRGINIA BEACH 64 NM East of Virginia Beach, VA 78 mi44 min SSW 12 G 14 55°F 50°F3 ft1019.9 hPa (+0.0)55°F
44088 78 mi34 min 49°F4 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 85 mi46 min SSW 6 G 8 64°F 61°F1021.2 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 85 mi46 min ENE 1 G 1.9 68°F 54°F1018.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 86 mi34 min SSW 8.9 G 12 1021.3 hPa (+0.3)
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 87 mi34 min 47°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 90 mi46 min NNE 6 G 8.9 48°F
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 93 mi46 min NE 8.9 G 9.9 53°F 1019 hPa
44096 95 mi43 min 45°F2 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 96 mi46 min 50°F1019.2 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 98 mi46 min NNE 11 G 12 51°F 1019.4 hPa
CHBV2 98 mi52 min ENE 5.1 G 8.9 50°F 1018.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 99 mi46 min NE 6 G 9.9 56°F 1019.2 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 106 mi46 min ENE 16 G 21 47°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 116 mi46 min ENE 11 G 12 50°F 1020 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 117 mi46 min ENE 4.1 G 6 53°F 51°F1019.2 hPa
41159 122 mi34 min 69°F4 ft
41064 122 mi86 min SSW 9.7 G 14 71°F 69°F1021.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 131 mi46 min ENE 14 G 16 1020.1 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 134 mi64 min NE 2.9 56°F 1020 hPa55°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 135 mi46 min NE 14 G 19 46°F 56°F1019.9 hPa
44089 146 mi34 min 42°F3 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 147 mi86 min SSW 12 G 18 70°F 69°F1021.5 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 151 mi46 min SSW 8 G 8.9 60°F 56°F1021.1 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 152 mi86 min SW 5.8 G 9.7 62°F 59°F1021 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 152 mi35 min 58°F3 ft
WLON7 158 mi46 min 66°F 62°F1020.6 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 167 mi46 min E 8 G 9.9 48°F 50°F1019.7 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 168 mi34 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 46°F 44°F1021.1 hPa (+0.0)
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 177 mi46 min ESE 9.9 G 11
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 178 mi46 min E 9.9 G 12 49°F 50°F1020.2 hPa
41108 184 mi34 min 63°F3 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 187 mi46 min ENE 6 G 9.9 44°F 46°F1021.3 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 189 mi46 min ENE 6 G 7 47°F 44°F1019.9 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 190 mi34 min SSW 16 G 19 72°F 70°F1021.3 hPa (+0.3)65°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 194 mi46 min E 5.1 G 6 48°F 1021 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 196 mi86 min SSW 5.8 G 9.7 62°F 62°F1020.9 hPa
SSBN7 196 mi112 min 2 ft
NCDV2 198 mi46 min ENE 1.9 G 5.1 50°F 47°F1019.4 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC18 mi59 minSSW 610.00 miFair61°F59°F95%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE11NE8NE5NE7N7N6N11
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N7NE7N5NE5N5NW4N8N5N5N4E4E4NE4E3CalmS3S6
2 days agoSW7S7S3S7S3SW3SW5S3SW5S5W3W6W6SW5SW9S8S8S12S10S9SW7SW3S5N15
G19

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:49 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:23 AM EST     0.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:20 AM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:51 PM EST     0.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:21 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.80.90.90.80.60.40.30.10.10.10.20.40.60.70.70.70.50.40.20-0-00.1

Tide / Current Tables for Oregon Inlet Channel, North Carolina
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Oregon Inlet Channel
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:49 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:06 AM EST     1.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:47 AM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:33 PM EST     1.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:48 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.21.31.210.80.50.30.10.10.20.40.60.9110.90.70.40.2-0-00.10.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.