Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rodanthe, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 6:24PM Thursday October 19, 2017 5:46 PM EDT (21:46 UTC) Moonrise 5:53AMMoonset 5:41PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 328 Pm Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sat night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..S winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rodanthe CDP, NC
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location: 35.66, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 191916 cca
afdmhx
area forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service newport morehead city nc
316 pm edt Thu oct 19 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build over the region through Saturday and
then slide offshore Sunday into Monday. A strong cold front will
approach from the west Tuesday and move across the area Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
As of 235 pm Thursday... Weak shortwave will move across in dry
nw flow aloft but only result will be some thin high clouds this
evening. Surface high pressure extending across area from w-sw
will produce another fair weather night with dry air mass and
excellent radiational cooling conditions, with min temps ranging
from 45 to 50 inland to around 60 beaches. Patchy fog likely
again late tonight, mainly near rivers.

Short term Friday
As of 235 pm Thursday... Another fair weather day on tap with max
temps 1-2 degrees warmer. Ridging aloft will result in surface
high over appalachians building e-ne, with a minor wind shift to
nw-n over eastern nc. Low level thicknesses rise a few meters,
supporting highs 77-80 inland with mid 70s outer banks.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 245 pm thu... Friday night through Sunday... High pressure
centered over the area will move off the coast this weekend.

High temps will be in the upper 70s to low 80s Sat and sun.

Morning lows will be in the upr 40s mid 50s Sat morning, and
into the 50s Sun morning.

Monday through Thursday... Next significant shortwave cold front
moves into the eastern CONUS by early next week. The models have
slowed down the progression of the shortwave and cold front,
especially the ecmwf. The upper trough becomes a closed low and
hence a slower solution would be favored. With the run-to-run
inconsistency amongst global model suite having a tough time
resolving amplitude of short wave trough and thus timing of the
associated cold front will continue with just chance pops.

Shower chances will increase Monday into Monday night, going
with 20-30% Monday and 40-50% Monday night. Highest pops are
now Tue into Tue night, though Wed could be quite wet if the
slower ecm verifies, so pops are 40-50 percent through mid week.

Too early to tell if thunder will be a factor, but have
maintained the slight chc thunder mention as at least some weak
instability will be present with decent shear parameters. Monday
looks to be the warmest day with highs in the low 80s inland to
70s beaches. Tue could be equally warm with the slower
advancement of the front. Lows early next week quite mild with
the warm and moist southerly flow with readings mainly in the
60s. Dry and cooler conditions expected behind the front Thursday
with highs in the mid 60s throughout.

Aviation 19z Thursday through Tuesday
Short term through 18z Friday ...

as of 145 pm Thursday...VFR mostly skc conditions prevailing for
most of TAF period with high pressure and dry air mass
persisting across area. Some patchy MVFR to ifr vsbys in
radiational fog late tonight... With best chc of ifr occurring
at pgv due to proximity of river.

Long term Fri night through tue
as of 245 pm thu... PredVFR conditions expected through the
weekend. However, there will be optimal radiational conditions
fri night, and some patchy steam fog may be possible at both
kpgv and kewn with their proximity to rivers. Maybe a better
chance of more widespread overnight early morning fog all taf
sites this weekend as low level moisture increases and skies
remain clear with calm winds each night. Sub-vfr in scattered
showers spreading in from the southwest Monday into Monday night
and Tuesday ahead of the next front approaching from the west.

Isolated thunder possible Tuesday.

Marine
Short term through Friday ...

as of 245 pm Thursday... Weakening pressure gradient has allowed
winds to diminish to 5-15 kt this afternoon with seas mainly
around 4 ft. High pressure centered to W will move e-ne tonight
and Friday, resulting in winds backing to nw-n but speeds
continuing 5-10 kt. Seas will continue to subside to around 3
feet by late Friday.

Long term Fri night through tue
as of 245 pm thu... High pressure over the region Fri night will
shift east. Northeast winds Fri night and Sat will become east
Sunday though speeds only 5-10 kt through the period with seas
2-4 ft bringing excellent boating conditions throughout the
marine zones. Winds will turn southeast then south on Monday as
high pressure moves further offshore. Winds will slowly increase
from 5-10 kt in the morning to 10-15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
will be 2-4 ft north of CAPE hatteras and 3-5 ft south. Strong
small craft conditions will develop on the coastal waters Monday
night into Tuesday as the pressure gradient tightens up ahead
of the approaching front.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Hsa
aviation... Jbm hsa
marine... Jbm hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 11 mi46 min NE 5.1 G 8 71°F 67°F1022.2 hPa (-1.0)
44095 18 mi58 min 71°F4 ft
41062 30 mi46 min 7.8 G 9.7 71°F 1022.7 hPa (-1.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 31 mi46 min NNE 6 G 8 71°F 69°F1021.9 hPa (-1.0)
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 37 mi46 min E 5.1 G 5.1 74°F 70°F1021.9 hPa (-1.1)
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 38 mi46 min 70°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 42 mi41 min 71°F3 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 47 mi56 min N 9.7 G 14 75°F 81°F4 ft1021.6 hPa (-1.2)
41063 63 mi46 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 76°F 1021.9 hPa (-0.8)
44T14 78 mi26 min N 1.9 G 3.9 69°F 69°F1022.5 hPa64°F
44014 - VIRGINIA BEACH 64 NM East of Virginia Beach, VA 78 mi56 min NNE 3.9 G 3.9 69°F 70°F3 ft1022.9 hPa (-1.4)60°F
44088 78 mi46 min 69°F3 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 85 mi46 min ENE 5.1 G 6 74°F 69°F1022.2 hPa (-0.7)
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 85 mi46 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 75°F 71°F1021.7 hPa (-1.4)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 86 mi46 min NE 8.9 G 11 73°F 1021.6 hPa (-0.9)
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 87 mi46 min 71°F3 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 90 mi46 min E 5.1 G 6 68°F
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 93 mi46 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 72°F 1021.8 hPa (-1.6)
44064 95 mi36 min 5.8 G 7.8 68°F 1 ft1021.9 hPa
44096 95 mi55 min 71°F3 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 96 mi46 min 70°F1022 hPa (-1.6)
CHBV2 98 mi46 min SSE 5.1 G 6 70°F 71°F1021.1 hPa (-1.7)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 98 mi46 min W 2.9 G 2.9 73°F 1022 hPa (-1.6)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 99 mi46 min Calm G 0 76°F 1022.2 hPa (-1.6)
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 106 mi46 min SSE 6 G 7 69°F
44072 112 mi36 min ESE 1.9 G 3.9 70°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 116 mi46 min SE 4.1 G 5.1 68°F 1022.4 hPa (-1.8)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 117 mi46 min W 5.1 G 7 73°F 70°F1021.5 hPa (-1.8)
41064 122 mi38 min NE 7.8 G 12 75°F 1021.6 hPa
44041 - Jamestown, VA 123 mi36 min W 3.9 G 5.8
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 131 mi46 min S 8 G 8.9 1022.4 hPa (-1.8)
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 134 mi76 min SSW 1 75°F 1023 hPa54°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 135 mi46 min WSW 4.1 G 8 71°F 65°F1022 hPa (-1.5)
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 136 mi36 min W 5.8 G 7.8 72°F 1 ft1022.1 hPa
44089 146 mi46 min 69°F3 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 147 mi38 min ENE 12 G 16 75°F 76°F1021.6 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 151 mi46 min E 8.9 G 8.9 74°F 75°F1022.2 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 152 mi38 min E 5.8 G 9.7 75°F 74°F1021.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 152 mi47 min 75°F4 ft
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 157 mi61 min E 2.9 75°F 1022 hPa61°F
WLON7 158 mi46 min 79°F 73°F1021.7 hPa (-0.9)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 167 mi46 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 72°F 66°F1021.3 hPa (-1.8)
44042 - Potomac, MD 168 mi36 min ESE 3.9 G 3.9 70°F 1021 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 177 mi58 min ESE 2.9 G 2.9
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 178 mi46 min S 7 G 8 66°F 66°F1022 hPa (-1.9)
41108 184 mi46 min 74°F4 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 187 mi46 min SW 12 G 14 68°F 66°F1021.6 hPa (-2.1)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 189 mi46 min WSW 6 G 7 71°F 69°F1020.9 hPa (-1.9)
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 190 mi36 min NNE 14 G 18 75°F 76°F1021.1 hPa66°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 194 mi46 min SSW 7 G 8 69°F 1022 hPa (-1.8)
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 196 mi38 min SE 5.8 G 9.7 74°F 74°F1021.7 hPa
NCDV2 198 mi46 min ESE 5.1 G 6 70°F 66°F1020.3 hPa (-1.7)

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NE10
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N9
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G17
N12
G18

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC18 mi61 minENE 610.00 miFair0°F0°F%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE7E6E5NE3NE4NE4NE5NE5NE5NE7E6E5E6E6E7E9E8E7E5E5E5NE6E6
1 day agoNE7NE8NE10NE9NE7NE7NE6NE7NE7NE8NE9NE7NE9NE8NE9E12E13E11NE13
G16
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G14
NE11NE12
G15
E8NE7
2 days agoN14
G21
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G21
NE20
G25
N19
G31
N21
G29
NE22
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N20
G27
NE23
G28
NE17
G30
NE15
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NE16
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NE14
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G17
NE10
G15

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:38 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:35 AM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:52 PM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.2000.20.40.70.91.11.110.80.60.30.100.10.30.50.8110.90.8

Tide / Current Tables for Oregon Inlet Channel, North Carolina
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Oregon Inlet Channel
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:05 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:17 AM EDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:39 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:34 PM EDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.100.10.40.81.11.41.61.61.310.60.30.10.10.20.50.91.21.41.41.31

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.