Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rutherford College, NC
March 29, 2024 2:44 AM EDT (06:44 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:14 AM Sunset 7:47 PM Moonrise 11:20 PM Moonset 8:19 AM |
Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 290547 AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 147 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry high pressure settles over the Southeast States to start the weekend. A warming trend is expected Friday through the first part of next week, with temperatures well above normal. A cold front is forecast to reach our region from the northwest in the middle of the week bringing another chance of rain and cooler temperatures.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 135 AM EDT Friday: a flat upper ridge begins to spread over our area, as the ridge axis crosses east of the MS River.
At the sfc, dry high pressure will be centered over the Deep South, while a coastal low lingers along the New England Coast. This will keep a NE-SW pressure gradient atop the forecast area, and with fun sunshine and dry air mass, deep mixing will be on tap. Breezy WLY to WNWLY winds can be expected across most of our NC zones, especially along and north of I-40. Less wind expected in our southern zones, where a lee trough backs with winds to SWLY. The 850 mb flow will still have a downslope component, and dewpts should mix out and cause minimum RH values to fall below 25% for most of the area (see fire wx section below). Temps will be a couple categories warmer than yesterday's readings, mainly in the lower 70s east of the mountains and in the 60s in the mountain valleys.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 145 PM EDT Thursday: No major changes for the short term forecast period. Overall it's looking mostly dry and warm for Easter Weekend. Flat upper ridging will build across the southern and eastern US through the period. At the sfc, dry high pressure will be centered over Florida Friday night before gradually nudging east ward into the western Atlantic Saturday into Sunday night.
Meanwhile, a cold front will stall across the Midwest/Ohio Valley Saturday into sunday. The sfc ridge should help keep the majority of the moisture associated with the front through the period. However, with the sfc high retreating farther to the south and east on Sunday, this may allow enough moisture to reach down across the NC/TN border to squeak out some rain showers. Thus, have slight chance PoPs along the spine of the southern Appalachians on Sunday.
Moisture looks to retreat northward Sunday night leading to drier conditions. Temps will gradually warm through the short term period thanks to W/SW flow. Lows start out a few degrees climo Friday night, becoming 8-10 degrees above climo Saturday night and around 15 degrees above climo Sunday night. Temps east of the mountains should climb into the mid 70s on Saturday, with the upper 70s to lower 80s on Sunday. Highs on Saturday will start out 7-10 degrees above climo, becoming 10-15 degrees above climo on Sunday. Breezy winds will develop throughout the day Saturday, remaining elevated across the mountains through Sunday. Breezy winds return again Sunday afternoon east of the mountains, but should generally be lighter compared to Saturday. Gusts should remain below advisory criteria through the period. RH values look to drop below 30% across the mountain valleys and east of the mountains Saturday afternoon.
This combined with breezy winds may lead to fire wx concerns the first half of the weekend.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Thursday: Upper ridging amplifies over the eastern US ahead of an upper trough digs across the western US Monday into Monday night. The upper trough will continue pushing east across the central US Tuesday into Tuesday night while a large upper low develops over the Great Lakes Region. The upper low will push eastward across the Ohio Valley on Wednesday before pushing into the Mid-Atlantic region Wednesday night. Meanwhile, the sfc low will track out of the south/central Plains Monday, ending up in the Midwest/Great Lakes Region by Tuesday. The associated cold front will track across the Carolinas late Tuesday into early Wednesday increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. Since the 12Z guidance has the FROPA tracking across the CWA outside of peak heating, this may help offset the severe weather potential somewhat. The cold front should push east of the western Carolinas throughout the day Wednesday, allowing rain chances to gradually diminish east of the mountains. However, NW flow rain showers look to linger along the NC/TN border Wednesday through late Wednesday afternoon, before possibly transitioning to NW flow snow showers briefly Wednesday evening into late Wednesday night as CAA allows temps to drop behind the departing front. Have capped PoPs to chance across the western zones Monday into Monday night as the 12Z GFS and ECMWF show the potential for some showers, and perhaps thunderstorms, during this time frame well ahead of the main FROPA. Have higher PoPs Tuesday into Tuesday night as the FROPA approaches out of the west. Capped PoPs to chance on Wednesday since activity will be winding down throughout the day. Temps will remain well above climo early next week ahead of the front, with below climo temps expected along and behind the front middle of the week. Low-end wind gusts are possible Monday afternoon, mainly east of the mountains. Winds will increase across the entire forecast area on Tuesday as the cold front approaches out of the west. Winds increase further on Wednesday as the cold front tracks across the CWA, and look to linger across the mountains Wednesday night.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: Expect VFR conditions thru the period at all sites, as dry high pressure builds in. Light NW wind should become WNW or due W after daybreak, then pick up with frequent low-end gusts at the NC sites around 17z. In the Upstate, winds are expected to back to WSW or SW, but not expected to be gusty like in NC. Winds become light around sunset, toggling to SW at all sites.
Outlook: VFR conditions are expected to persist across the fcst area thru the weekend as dry high pressure lingers over the region. Rain chances will increase early next week with associated restrictions possible.
FIRE WEATHER
Low RH values are expected again today with deep mixing and westerly flow. Winds, although occasionally gusty, will not be as strong. Nonetheless, Fire Danger Statements may still be needed, especially for NE GA.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 147 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry high pressure settles over the Southeast States to start the weekend. A warming trend is expected Friday through the first part of next week, with temperatures well above normal. A cold front is forecast to reach our region from the northwest in the middle of the week bringing another chance of rain and cooler temperatures.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 135 AM EDT Friday: a flat upper ridge begins to spread over our area, as the ridge axis crosses east of the MS River.
At the sfc, dry high pressure will be centered over the Deep South, while a coastal low lingers along the New England Coast. This will keep a NE-SW pressure gradient atop the forecast area, and with fun sunshine and dry air mass, deep mixing will be on tap. Breezy WLY to WNWLY winds can be expected across most of our NC zones, especially along and north of I-40. Less wind expected in our southern zones, where a lee trough backs with winds to SWLY. The 850 mb flow will still have a downslope component, and dewpts should mix out and cause minimum RH values to fall below 25% for most of the area (see fire wx section below). Temps will be a couple categories warmer than yesterday's readings, mainly in the lower 70s east of the mountains and in the 60s in the mountain valleys.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 145 PM EDT Thursday: No major changes for the short term forecast period. Overall it's looking mostly dry and warm for Easter Weekend. Flat upper ridging will build across the southern and eastern US through the period. At the sfc, dry high pressure will be centered over Florida Friday night before gradually nudging east ward into the western Atlantic Saturday into Sunday night.
Meanwhile, a cold front will stall across the Midwest/Ohio Valley Saturday into sunday. The sfc ridge should help keep the majority of the moisture associated with the front through the period. However, with the sfc high retreating farther to the south and east on Sunday, this may allow enough moisture to reach down across the NC/TN border to squeak out some rain showers. Thus, have slight chance PoPs along the spine of the southern Appalachians on Sunday.
Moisture looks to retreat northward Sunday night leading to drier conditions. Temps will gradually warm through the short term period thanks to W/SW flow. Lows start out a few degrees climo Friday night, becoming 8-10 degrees above climo Saturday night and around 15 degrees above climo Sunday night. Temps east of the mountains should climb into the mid 70s on Saturday, with the upper 70s to lower 80s on Sunday. Highs on Saturday will start out 7-10 degrees above climo, becoming 10-15 degrees above climo on Sunday. Breezy winds will develop throughout the day Saturday, remaining elevated across the mountains through Sunday. Breezy winds return again Sunday afternoon east of the mountains, but should generally be lighter compared to Saturday. Gusts should remain below advisory criteria through the period. RH values look to drop below 30% across the mountain valleys and east of the mountains Saturday afternoon.
This combined with breezy winds may lead to fire wx concerns the first half of the weekend.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Thursday: Upper ridging amplifies over the eastern US ahead of an upper trough digs across the western US Monday into Monday night. The upper trough will continue pushing east across the central US Tuesday into Tuesday night while a large upper low develops over the Great Lakes Region. The upper low will push eastward across the Ohio Valley on Wednesday before pushing into the Mid-Atlantic region Wednesday night. Meanwhile, the sfc low will track out of the south/central Plains Monday, ending up in the Midwest/Great Lakes Region by Tuesday. The associated cold front will track across the Carolinas late Tuesday into early Wednesday increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. Since the 12Z guidance has the FROPA tracking across the CWA outside of peak heating, this may help offset the severe weather potential somewhat. The cold front should push east of the western Carolinas throughout the day Wednesday, allowing rain chances to gradually diminish east of the mountains. However, NW flow rain showers look to linger along the NC/TN border Wednesday through late Wednesday afternoon, before possibly transitioning to NW flow snow showers briefly Wednesday evening into late Wednesday night as CAA allows temps to drop behind the departing front. Have capped PoPs to chance across the western zones Monday into Monday night as the 12Z GFS and ECMWF show the potential for some showers, and perhaps thunderstorms, during this time frame well ahead of the main FROPA. Have higher PoPs Tuesday into Tuesday night as the FROPA approaches out of the west. Capped PoPs to chance on Wednesday since activity will be winding down throughout the day. Temps will remain well above climo early next week ahead of the front, with below climo temps expected along and behind the front middle of the week. Low-end wind gusts are possible Monday afternoon, mainly east of the mountains. Winds will increase across the entire forecast area on Tuesday as the cold front approaches out of the west. Winds increase further on Wednesday as the cold front tracks across the CWA, and look to linger across the mountains Wednesday night.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: Expect VFR conditions thru the period at all sites, as dry high pressure builds in. Light NW wind should become WNW or due W after daybreak, then pick up with frequent low-end gusts at the NC sites around 17z. In the Upstate, winds are expected to back to WSW or SW, but not expected to be gusty like in NC. Winds become light around sunset, toggling to SW at all sites.
Outlook: VFR conditions are expected to persist across the fcst area thru the weekend as dry high pressure lingers over the region. Rain chances will increase early next week with associated restrictions possible.
FIRE WEATHER
Low RH values are expected again today with deep mixing and westerly flow. Winds, although occasionally gusty, will not be as strong. Nonetheless, Fire Danger Statements may still be needed, especially for NE GA.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMRN FOOTHILLS REGIONAL,NC | 6 sm | 29 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 25°F | 40% | 30.12 | |
KHKY HICKORY RGNL,NC | 8 sm | 51 min | WNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 23°F | 42% | 30.10 |
Greer, SC,
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