Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:23PM Sunday March 26, 2017 1:00 PM EDT (17:00 UTC) Moonrise 5:13AMMoonset 4:59PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1235 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds around 10 kt...becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft... Then 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
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location: 35.8, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 261514
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1114 am edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
Monday. A cold front will move through Wednesday morning. A
warm front will move through from the southwest Friday. A cold
front will move through Saturday night.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
As of 1030 am Sunday... No significant changes with update. Temps
have jumped quickly into the 60s and on track to 70s even with
sun filtered by cirrus and scu. Observed and forecast soundings
indicate very dry conditions from 800-500 mb and no precip
expected through afternoon.

/previous discussion/
as of 650 am Sunday... High pressure offshore will continue to
extend into eastern nc through tonight continuing the warm
southerly flow. Extensive high clouds continue to stream over
the region early this morning but are thinning but additional
high clouds upstream will moving over the area shortly. In
addition, scattered to broken cumulus clouds should develop with
diurnal heating this afternoon. Could see an isolated shower or
two developing this afternoon/early evening as a dampening mid
level shortwave moves across the area, but lack of QPF in the
models, especially in the cam's shied me away from adding
precipitation mention to the forecast. High temperatures should
be similar to Saturday in the mid to upper 70s inland and lower
70s beaches.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday/
As of 310 am Sunday... Continued mild southerly flow as high
pressure extends into the area from the atlantic. The dampening
shortwave will be east of the area after midnight. Other than a
chance for patchy fog late expecting partly cloudy skies with
lows 50 to 55 degrees.

Long term /Monday through Saturday/
As of 320 am sun... Little change overall in the model solutions
for the long term. Surface/upper ridge along the east coast
Monday shifts east as the cold front approaches from the west
Tuesday. Will continue slight chance for seabreeze convection
west of highway 17 Monday afternoon. Continued chance pops on
Tuesday except for the outer banks and adjacent coastal waters,
where better chance pops will be Tuesday night. Time sections
show a strong shortwave will pass through early Tuesday
evening with the deep upper trof. Good lift, convergence and
deep moisture along and ahead of it Tuesday afternoon especially
along the coastal plain. Instability parameters from forecast
soundings show very good instability, with freezing levels and
wet bulb zero heights supportive of hail. Upper trof axis along
with shortwave and deeper moisture move off the coast Tuesday
evening with pops tapering off from west to east, with the
front will moving off the coast by around 12z Wednesday. Dry
Wednesday and Thursday with a surface/upper ridge passing
through from the west. Rain chances return for Thursday night
into Saturday. The ridge shifts off the coast Thursday night.

The frontal boundary to the south will move back north in the
southerly flow. The warm front lifts through on Friday with the
cold front coming through Saturday night. Model guidance pops
going as high as likely Friday and Friday night, but will cap at
50% for now. Dry Saturday night and Sunday as high pressure
behind the front passes through.

Aviation /15z Sunday through Thursday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 650 am Sunday... Still expecting a mainlyVFR forecast the
next 24 hours as high pressure continues to influence the
weather. Exceptions are late tonight when radiational cooling
could lead to the development of fog and or low clouds and a
brief period of subVFR conditions. Can't rule out an isolated
brief afternoon shower this afternoon/early evening.

Long term /Monday through Thursday/...

as of 320 am sun... Sub-vfr in isolated convection Monday
afternoon mainly at pgv and iso,VFR/dry at ewn and oaj.

Sub-vfr throughout in scattered showers and thunderstorms
Tuesday afternoon, with a few storms possibly producing hail.

Convection ends from west to east Tuesday night, with a cold
front moving off the coast Wednesday morning.VFR/dry Thursday.

Surface winds will be from S 5-10 knots Monday, SW 10-15 knots
Tuesday, nnw less than 10 knots Wednesday and NE 5-10 knots
Thursday.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 1030 am Sunday... No changes with update.

/previous discussion/
as of 650 am Sunday... High pressure will continue over the nc
waters through tonight. Warmer waters in vicinity of the outer
central waters continue to result in deeper mixing and thus
stronger winds with gusts to 20 kt and seas to 3-4 ft and expect
this to continue into early this afternoon. Elsewhere southerly
flow 5 to 15 kt will continue today and tonight. Seas 1 to 3 ft
today are forecast to build slightly to 2 to 4 ft tonight.

Long term /Monday through Thursday/...

as of 320 am sun... South to southwest flow continues Monday
through Tuesday night. A cold front will move off the coast
Wednesday morning with winds veering to northwest then
northeast, then continuing northeast into Thursday. Wind speeds
forecast no higher than 10-20 knots on the coastal waters and
5-15 knots on the sounds and adjacent rivers. Small craft seas
of 4-6 feet are forecast much of the time on the waters from
oregon inlet to CAPE lookout Tuesday night into Thursday ahead
of the front, then in a northerly surge Wednesday night into
Thursday.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Jme/jbm
short term... Jme
long term... Hsa
aviation... Jme/hsa
marine... Jme/jbm/hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 44 mi43 min ESE 6 G 7 60°F 48°F1025 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 46 mi49 min S 8 G 8.9 68°F 56°F1025.7 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 47 mi31 min 51°F2 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi81 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F55°F55%1025.4 hPa

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9
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W7W6SW6SW9SW8SW5S8S9S7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5CalmCalm
1 day agoSW7SW9SW8SW8SW10SW8
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SW8SW9SW7SW8SW7SW6SW6S6CalmSW3SW6SW6SW8SW10
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2 days agoE7E7E8SE11
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SE8SE6SE6E4SE6SE6SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SW6

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:36 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:46 AM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:02 PM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:06 PM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.20.20.91.92.83.53.63.32.61.70.7-0.1-0.3-0.10.51.42.53.33.63.42.920.9

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:40 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:06 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:12 PM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.10.20.91.82.83.53.73.42.81.80.80-0.3-0.10.51.42.43.33.63.532.11.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.