Tuesday, April25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 7:49PM Tuesday April 25, 2017 12:38 PM EDT (16:38 UTC) Moonrise 5:00AMMoonset 5:59PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1133 Am Edt Tue Apr 25 2017
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers with isolated tstms.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Isolated tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
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location: 35.8, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 251637
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1237 pm edt Tue apr 25 2017

Synopsis
A complex low pressure system will continue to impact eastern
north carolina today then move northeast away from the region
tonight. High pressure in the central atlantic will build in
Wednesday through the weekend bringing above normal temperatures
and below normal rain chances. A cold front will approach from
the west Monday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
As of 1215 pm tue... The upper low is centered over SE north
carolina around mid day and will continue to lift NE across the
region through the afternoon while becoming vertically stacked.

Latest radar imagery shows widespread moderate to heavy
rainfall pushing across the eastern portion of the CWA with the
heaviest rainfall across the obx. Additional scattered showers
will likely develop across the region this afternoon with modest
instability present and as mid levels lapse rates increasing as
the upper low moves overhead and could see small hail in
stronger storms with cold temps aloft. Low level thickness
values and 850mb temps support highs in the low/mid 70s.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday/
As of 255 am tue... Stacked low will lift off to the nne
tonight, with shower chances tapering off. Think winds will stay
up overnight to inhibit fog development, but could see
increasing low stratus develop late. Mild overnight with lows in
the upper 50s/low 60s.

Long term /Wednesday through Monday/
As of 230 am tue... Surface high pres over the atlantic combined
with ridging aloft will lead to warm and mainly dry weather
through the weekend. Increasingly moist airmass may lead to some
isold aftn and evening tsra along the sea breeze inland from
time to time but most locations will see no rain. Highs on wed
will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s then warm to 85 to 90 inland
and upper 70s to lower 80s beaches Thu through mon. Lows will
be mostly in the 60s with some lower 70s closer to the coast. A
cold front will approach from the W Mon but looks like bulk of
the day will remain rain free.

Aviation /16z Tuesday through Saturday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 715 am tue... Widespread sub-vfr conditions currently
across the terminals ranging from lifr toVFR, with rain
gradually tapering off this morning. Should see improving
conditions late morning becomingVFR. Scattered showers/iso
tstms late morning into the early evening. Forecast soundings
and guidance show low stratus developing late tonight and early
wed morning, with the potential for ifr ceilings.

Long term /wed through sat/...

as of 230 am tue...VFR should dominate this period with warm sw
flow around offshore high pres. Isold late day tsra poss but
just a very small chc will see any subVFR impact a terminal.

Marine
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 1215 am tue... Winds have diminished to around 15 kt or
less, but dangerous seas will continue. Have allowed the SCA to
expire across the rivers and sounds but continue across the
coastal waters with seas around 8-12 ft. SW winds continue
around 5-15 kt through tonight, perhaps slightly stronger across
eastern portions of the southern and central waters near the
warmer gulf stream waters. Seas will continue to slowly subside
to 5-10 feet by late afternoon, and 4-7 feet overnight.

Long term /wed through sat/...

as of 230 am tue... Offshore high pres will lead to a prolonged
period of mainly SW flow this period. Speeds will avg 10 to 15
kts but may occasionally reach 15 to 20 kts espcly during the
aftn and early evening. Lingering swells will keep seas in the 5
to 7 foot range Wed then shld be 3 to 5 ft Thu into sat.

Hydrology
As of 1215 pm tue... The widespread heavy precip has ended
across eastern nc with the flash flood threat diminished but
could still scattered showers this afternoon. Heaviest rain
early this afternoon is along the obx but earlier rainfall
totals weren't as high as to the west. The main hydrology focus
will shift to river flooding as widespread 5-8 inches of
rainfall fell across the upper portions of the basin. The tar
river in greenville and contentnea creek in hookerton are
currently forecast to crest above major flood stage, while the
neuse river in kinston is expected to crest above moderate flood
stage, and the NE CAPE fear river in chinquapin is expected to
crest above this weekend.

Tides/coastal flooding
As of 1215 am tue... High surf advisory continues for beaches
north of CAPE lookout through today with surf heights 7 to 10
feet. Minor ocean overwash will be possible as well given large
waves/periods. High threat of rip currents at all beaches
today.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
098-103-104.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-103-
104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Wednesday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until noon edt Wednesday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Wednesday for amz150.

Synopsis... Rf/cqd
near term... Sk/cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf/cqd
marine... Rf/sk/cqd
hydrology... Mhx
tides/coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 44 mi51 min ESE 8.9 G 8.9 65°F 60°F1003.7 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 46 mi57 min NE 6 G 7 69°F 63°F1004 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 47 mi39 min 60°F10 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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E15
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G17
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E27
E23
E15
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G23
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G30
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NE19
N21
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G25
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NE17
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W11
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E12
N22
NE15
G20
N24
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G23
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N16
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N18
G23
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G27
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G29
NE23
NE19
NE19
NE18
NE19
N19

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi64 minS 410.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F62°F74%1004.1 hPa

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE9E7E6E6E6E5E6E10
G14
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G16
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G19
E10
G17
E7E9
G17
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G14
NE18E14
G24
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S9S10S8S6S3
1 day agoNE7NE7E7
G15
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G14
NE8NE9NE6
G15
NE9
G14
NE9NE6NE6CalmNE7NE9NE7NE5CalmCalmNE7CalmCalmNE6NE6NE8
2 days agoSW9SW8SW9SW9
G16
SW10SW6NW21
G26
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NE8NE8
G14
N8NE7CalmN7N8Calm----NE8NE9NE7NE7NE6E9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:03 AM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:02 AM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:12 PM EDT     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:25 PM EDT     4.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.6-0.30.41.42.53.33.63.42.81.80.7-0.2-0.7-0.50.21.32.53.64.24.23.62.71.5

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:05 AM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:08 AM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:15 PM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.5-0.30.41.32.43.33.73.52.91.90.8-0.1-0.5-0.40.21.32.53.64.24.23.72.81.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.