Friday, November17, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 4:56PM Friday November 17, 2017 7:35 PM EST (00:35 UTC) Moonrise 5:43AMMoonset 4:52PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 651 Pm Est Fri Nov 17 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday evening...
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt late this evening, then becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sun night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
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location: 35.8, -76.42     debug

Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 172321
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
621 pm est Fri nov 17 2017

High pressure will gradually move offshore late tonight and
Saturday. A strong cold front will move through the area early
Sunday. High pressure will be over the area Monday into Tuesday.

A cold front will cross the area Tuesday night followed by high
pressure for mid to late next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
As of 620 pm Friday... High pressure will crest over the area
this evening, then begin to move offshore very late tonight.

Other than some occasional cirrus clouds passing through, the
high will continue to produce mostly clear skies and light
winds. Resultant radiational cooling will lead to lows again the
mid 30s inland along with a threat for frost. Lows along the
coast will be around 40 as winds have decoupled there as well.

We have issued a frost advisory for areas to the north that did
not yet have a killing freeze and where temps will be in the mid
30s. Very shallow patchy fog will also be possible but is not
expected to be widespread enough to create travel issues.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
As of 4 pm Friday... The low-level flow becomes southwest on
Saturday leading to a big warmup as high temperatures will be
well into the 60s with a few spots reaching 70 degrees Saturday
afternoon ahead of strong oncoming cold front. Latest arw shows
some showers just offshore Saturday afternoon, but the area
should mostly remain dry as the bulk of any precipitation holds
off until later on Saturday night with just an increase in mid
clouds during the afternoon hours.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 235 am fri... A cold front will bring showers and strong
winds to eastern nc late Saturday night through Sunday
afternoon. High pressure then builds in Monday and Tuesday, and
then an offshore trough develops and may bring showers to
coastal sections Wednesday. Thanksgiving looks to be mostly dry
with high pressure building in again.

Saturday and Sunday... High pressure off the coast will keep most
of Saturday dry. Temperatures will be warm ahead of the cold
front under strengthening SW flow. High temps will be in the
upper 60s to low 70s across the region. The cold front is
expected to cross eastern nc Sunday morning, with rain showers
breaking out ahead of it inland after midnight Saturday night,
and lasting through Sunday morning along the coast. There is
finally good agreement between the different forecast models,
pushing the front off the coast early Sunday morning.

Precipitation amounts will be light, mainly 0.10" or less in
most areas. Low temps Sunday morning will be mild, in the 50s,
as we will still be receiving strong warm air advection. Highs
on Sunday will be cooler, with temps only rising a few degrees
from the morning lows behind the cold front.

Monday and Tuesday... High pressure will build in from the west
Monday and then move off the coast on Tuesday. Cold air aloft
will lead to much below normal highs on Monday, but then warmer
southerly flow on Tuesday will lead to milder highs. Highs
Monday will range from the low to mid 50s, and on Tuesday highs
will reach the low 60s. Low temps will be at or below freezing
inland both Monday and Tuesday mornings, with mid to upper 30s
further east, and low to mid 40s along the coast. Some frost
will be possible for parts of coastal counties where the growing
season is still ongoing, with the best chances on Tuesday

Wednesday and Thursday... An offshore trough will develop and
move over the gulf stream on Wednesday, and may bring showers to
coastal sections of eastern nc. Have slight chance pops east of
hwy 17. With the latest model suite, thanksgiving looks drier as
the coastal trough pushes further out to sea, and then high
pressure moves in. High temps will be in the mid to upper 60s
Wednesday, and then the upper 50s to low 60s Thursday. Low temps
both days will range from the low 40s inland to the upper 40s
to low 50s along the coast.

Aviation 23z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 620 pm Friday... Mostly clear skies with mainlyVFR
conditions will prevail through Saturday. Can't rule out patchy
shallow fog especially vicinity of kpgv overnight. Increasing
and lowering clouds are expected Saturday with ceilings in the
vfr range. Light winds tonight will become SW and increase and
become gusty Saturday afternoon.

Long term Saturday evening through Wednesday ...

as of 245 am fri... MostlyVFR conditions are expected through
Saturday evening. Then a strong cold front will enter the
airspace, and could produce a period of sub-vfr conditions late
Saturday night into Sunday afternoon.VFR conditions then return
through Tuesday as high pressure builds back over the area.

Short term tonight and Saturday ...

as of 620 pm Friday... Winds and seas will continue to briefly
diminish overnight as high pressure builds over the waters.

Light northerly winds this evening will veer to the S SW toward
morning as the high center moves east of the waters. Seas
should generally run 3-5 feet tonight. SW winds will increase on
Saturday afternoon ahead of a approaching strong cold front,
with 15-20 knot winds likely by later in the afternoon and seas
gradually building to near 6 feet by evening.

Long term Saturday evening through Wednesday ...

as of 4 pm Friday... Have initiated a gale warning for the
coastal waters and pamlico sound starting Saturday evening with
a small craft advisory for the albemarle sound and inland
rivers starting at the same time. These headlines will continue
through late Sunday.

Previous discussion... Winds on Saturday will quickly increase
to SW 15-20 kts by mid morning. 20-25 kt winds are expected by
the afternoon, with winds increasing still overnight. SW winds
30-35 kts are expected across the coastal waters and pamlico
sound early Sunday morning, and as a result have issued a gale
watch for these waters. Elsewhere, strong small craft conditions
are likely. As the cold front crosses the waters Sunday
morning, winds will weaken slightly and shift to NW 25-30 kts.

Gales should end by late morning, with winds becoming 20-25 kts
by late afternoon. Winds on Monday morning will be nnw 15-20
kts, subsiding to 10-15 kts in the afternoon. Winds Tuesday will
be light and variable before becoming sse 5-10 kts.

Seas will initially be 2-4 ft across the coastal waters
Saturday morning, before building Saturday afternoon to 4-7 ft,
and then 8-13 ft Saturday night into Sunday morning. Seas will
remain elevated through Sunday evening, then subside to 3-5 ft
Monday, then 2-3 ft Monday night and Tuesday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Frost advisory from 10 pm this evening to 7 am est Saturday
for ncz045>047-081.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 pm Saturday to 7 pm est Sunday for

Gale warning from 7 pm Saturday to 1 pm est Sunday for amz135-

Synopsis... Jme ctc
near term... Jme ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Jme ctc sgk
marine... Jme ctc jbm sgk

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 47 mi36 min 60°F4 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair42°F39°F88%1022 hPa

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmN7N8N9
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4CalmCalmNW8W10NW8W9CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN10N11N10N7NE6NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
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Fri -- 12:03 AM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:20 AM EST     3.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:49 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:48 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:33 PM EST     3.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:05 AM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:40 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:28 AM EST     4.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:52 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:48 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:41 PM EST     3.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.