Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 6:56PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 2:16 PM EDT (18:16 UTC) Moonrise 11:50AMMoonset 10:16PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1135 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
.tropical storm warning in effect...
This afternoon..Tropical storm conditions possible. NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late.
Tonight..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 25 to 35 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..Tropical storm conditions possible. N winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..E winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.8, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 261523
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1123 am edt Tue sep 26 2017

Synopsis
Hurricane maria is expected to track slowly off the north
carolina coast through mid week. A cold front will cross the
area late in the week. Please see the latest official forecasts
from the national hurricane center and local NWS offices.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1130 am Tuesday... No significant changes with update.

Previous discussion
as of 330 am Tuesday... Hurricane maria about 225 miles SE of
cape hatteras and moving slowly north. Tropical storm warnings
continue for most of our eastern counties: carteret, craven,
pamlico, tyrrell, outer banks dare and hyde, mainland dare and
hyde. Please see hlsmhx for additional details.

Moist n-ne flow under lowering inversion resulting in widespread
low cloudiness across eastern nc with main band or showers
remaining just offshore. Guidance does support clouds gradually
lifting with heating during the days but generally remaining
cloudy to mostly cloudy. Models in good agreement that offshore
showers will gradually spread in along coast this morning with
additional scattered development possible inland as well, thus
increased pops to categorical for coastal sections from cape
lookout to oregon inlet and likely east of hwy 17. Kept precip
wording as just showers as atmosphere not support of tstms.

Winds expected to increase during the day due to large wind
field around maria, and sustained tropical storm force winds
likely for outer banks and downeast carteret county by late
afternoon and gusts to 40 mph possible rest of TS warning area.

Max temps from mid 70s outer banks to lower 80s inland.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 330 am Tuesday... Slowly weakening maria will make closest
approach to area overnight with forecast position about 150
miles east of CAPE hatteras early Wednesday morning. Broad wind
field expected to produce tropical storm conditions for areas
mainly along and east of columbia-new bern-cape carteret line,
with storm surge potential of 2 to 4 feet. See hls for details.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 4 am tue... Long term period will feature continuing
moderate coastal impacts through mid week as maria slowly moves
north off the nc coast, then high pres builds in bringing fall-
like pleasant weather with cooler and drier conditions for late
week into the weekend.

Wednesday into Thursday... Tropical storm force winds will be
ongoing across the obx for Wednesday, with moderate coastal
impacts continuing due to the slow northward movement of maria
off the nc coast. The slow moving nature of this system will
prolong and possibly enhance the impacts that eastern nc does
receive. At this time, the greatest impacts are expected to be
associated with the large surf impacting the coast and
significant beach erosion is likely with ocean overwash probable
in typically flood-prone areas around times of high tide
through Wednesday and likely persisting into Thursday. Highway
12 along the outer banks could be greatly impacted and may
become impassable at times, especially along pea island. Coastal
flooding along the southern pamlico sound is also possible but
the degree of flooding remains dependent upon how close maria
gets before recurving out to sea. The key driver for amount of
inundation from storm surge will be the duration and magnitude
of the northerly winds across the region. The soundside of the
outer banks from buxton to ocracoke, and possibly downeast
carteret county, look to be the most vulnerable locations for
sound side flooding at this time.

Occasional rain showers will continue to pivot in from the east
affecting mainly coastal locales on Wednesday, then mainly dry
thur as maria begins her eastward movement well away from nc. It
will be quite warm with thicknesses around 1410m suggesting
highs in the mid upr 80 both Wed and thu.

Friday through Monday... Pleasant conditions expected as dry high
pres builds in from the north behind shortwave trough. Highs
expected in the 70s, with lows in the 50s interior to low 60s
coast. Could be a small threat for some coastal showers
advecting in off the atlantic by late weekend to early next
week, though will advertise no higher than 20 pop attm.

Aviation 15z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Wednesday ...

as of 1130 am Tuesday... MVFR expected to persist through the
period but only moderate confidence for tonight as some guidance
indicates repeat of ifr CIGS again. Scattered mainly light
showers possible through period with higher chances at kewn and
koaj. North winds 10-20 kt will gust up to 30 kt this afternoon
and evening.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 4 am tue... Main concern is gusty northerly winds 20 to 30 mph
continuing on Wednesday, though CIGS look to improve to mainly
vfr with ocnl MVFR ifr still possible ESP for kewn and koaj.

Quiet weather and good flying conditions expected thur into the
weekend as high pres will be in control with generally N to ne
winds 5-15 mph.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 730 am Tuesday... No changes with update. Forecast on
track.

Previous discussion
as of 330 am Tuesday... Tropical storm warnings remain in effect
for the coastal waters, sounds and neuse bay rivers. SCA in
effect for the pamlico pungo rivers. Building seas and
increasing winds will remain the story for the nc waters. Maria
will continue to move N through tonight and is forecast to be
150 miles east of CAPE hatteras at 8 am wed. Winds expected to
increase to tropical storm force during the day and persist
tonight. Wave models continue to be slightly overdone with 10-17
feet currently observed at buoys, but still expect heights
building to 15-20 feet late today through tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 4 am tue... Extremely rough boating conditions continue
wed into Thu as maria very slowly moves east of nc. The storm
will accelerate eastward Thursday though high seas will
continue. Conditions improve Friday into Saturday with seas 2 to
5 ft. Indications that NE winds pick up later this weekend as a
cool front moves through and SCA conditions return with 4-6 ft
seas possible.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Tropical storm warning for ncz046-047-081-093>095-103-104.

Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz098.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz098.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz136.

Tropical storm warning for amz130-131-135-137-150-152-154-156-
158.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Hsa jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Tl
aviation... Hsa jbm tl
marine... Hsa jbm tl


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 44 mi47 min NNE 31 G 37 75°F 76°F1007.5 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 46 mi47 min N 21 G 31 76°F 76°F1005.6 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 47 mi47 min 75°F11 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last
24hr
NE20
NE22
NE24
NE24
NE23
NE24
NE24
NE23
NE23
NE25
NE24
NE23
G28
NE24
G29
NE26
NE27
G33
NE27
NE27
NE26
NE26
NE27
G36
N25
G31
N25
G32
N30
G37
N27
G33
1 day
ago
NE14
NE14
NE16
NE14
NE14
NE14
NE13
NE15
NE16
NE17
NE19
NE16
NE21
NE17
NE19
NE20
NE20
NE22
NE22
NE20
NE18
NE20
NE21
N20
2 days
ago
NE10
N8
N10
N6
NE9
NE9
G12
NE9
NE8
NE10
NE13
NE11
NE12
NE10
E9
E7
NE9
NE8
N7
G10
N6
N7
N10
N11
NE11
NE13

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi32 minNNE 14 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F73°F71%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrNE8
G14
NE7CalmNE10NE8NE8
G15
NE4N3
G16
N9CalmCalmN8N7CalmN5CalmCalmCalmN9
G16
N9
G15
N10
G16
NE5N9N13
G20
1 day agoE3E6CalmNE8
G14
CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE7
G14
NE6CalmNE10
G15
NE10
G15
2 days agoN6N3E9E7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:19 PM EDT     3.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     1.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
32.82.52.11.61.211.21.52.12.73.33.53.53.22.82.21.71.31.31.41.72.12.5

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Duck Pier
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:01 AM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:20 PM EDT     3.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:58 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
32.92.521.510.811.31.92.63.23.63.53.22.72.11.51.10.91.11.41.92.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.