Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Nags Head, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 4:54PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 2:32 PM EST (19:32 UTC) Moonrise 9:16AMMoonset 7:32PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 936 Am Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Rest of today..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Tonight..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Showers likely.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 5 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nags Head, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 211916
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
216 pm est Tue nov 21 2017

Synopsis
A weak area of low pressure will lift off the nc coast tonight,
and a cold front will move through Wednesday morning. Areas of
low pressure will move northeast across the offshore waters
Thursday through Saturday. A dry cold front will move through
Sunday, bringing a shot of much colder air. High pressure will
build in from the west Monday.

Near term through tonight
As of 215 pm tue... Latest sfc analysis shows high pressure
extending over the area from the east this afternoon, as weak
low begins to develop off the SE coast. Latest radar imagery
shows isolated light showers beginning to develop off the nc
coast this afternoon... With satellite showing lower clouds
increasing along and east of highway 17. Weak low will lift ne
and off the nc coast overnight. Showers will gradually
overspread the area from the SW overnight, with best chances
between 05-12z. Will continue likely to categorical pops.

Instability looks like it will remain offshore, but an isolated
storm could be possible along the coast. Mild overnight with
clouds and precip, lows in the 50s.

Short term Wednesday
As of 215 pm tue... The low will lift quickly to the NE wed,
with a cold front moving through from the west Wednesday
morning. Showers will end quickly from west to east Wed morning
as the low departs with decreasing clouds and increasing
northerly winds. Temps shld reach low to upper 60s Wed before
better CAA kicks in.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 210 am tue... Dry and cool Wed night as high pres builds
in with lows mid upr 30s inland to mostly 40s beaches. Still
some uncertainty for the Thu thru Sat period however bulk of
models now keeping most of the region dry with just some shra
grazing the coast at times. The GFS looks like a wet outlier for
thu Thu evening showing numerous shra over the region. Cont to
lean toward ECMWF with just very small pop near cst late thu
into Fri and again late Fri night into Sat as last of the weak
lows lifts NE offshore. Cool temps cont Thu and Fri with N ne
winds highs mostly in the 50s. On Sat will warm a bit ahead of
approaching cold front with lower 60s expected.

Strong cold front will cross Sat night with cold high pres
building in from the W Sun and mon. Highs Sun will be in the 50s
and looks like mainly 40s to around 50 for mon. Lows will
likely drop to or below freezing most inland areas Sun night.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 1235 pm tue...VFR conditions will continue through
tonight. An increase of low level clouds will occur this
afternoon ahead of the coastal trof weak low and an approaching
cold front from the west. Isolated to scattered showers this
evening, then increasing in coverage overnight. Models and
forecast sounding are indicating MVFR ifr ceilings conditions
late tonight. At this time, indicated MVFR conditions with a
sct007 deck as confidence is low. Will let the next forecast to
assess conditions for the 00z tafs. Conditions will improve back
toVFR late morning. Expect light and variable winds through
the overnight. As the cold front moves through, winds will
become northwest around 5 knots near 12z wed.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 210 am tue... MainlyVFR expected Thu night thru Sat with
deeper moisture and shower threat expected mainly E of TAF sites
with pc to mclr skies expected.

Marine
Short term through Wednesday ...

as of 215 pm tue... Latest obs show variable winds generally
ne SE 5-15 kt, with seas 1-2 ft. Flow becomes more SE S tonight,
and could see some gusts to 20 kt across the outer waters as a
weak area of low pressure lifts NE off the nc coast. Wavewatch
and nwps show seas building to 3-5 ft tonight. The low will
quickly lift NE wed, as a cold front moves through in the
morning. Strong northerly winds will develop Wed afternoon 20-25
kt, peaking Wed evening, with seas building to 6-9 ft. Issued
sca for the coastal waters and sounds beginning early wed
afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 210 am tue... Wind speeds 15 to 25 kts Wed night. NE winds
15 to 20 kts early Thu will grad diminish to 10 to 15 kts late
thu and cont in that range thru most of fri. Winds will become
wsw 10 to 15 kts Sat ahead of approaching cold front.

Seas will build to 5 to 8 feet Wed evening. Seas will slowly
subside to 4 to 6 feet Thu and be mainly 3 to 5 feet Thu night
and fri. On Sat seas will be in the 2 to 4 foot range.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to 4 am est Thursday
for amz130-131-135.

Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to 5 pm est Thursday
for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to noon est Thursday
for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from noon Wednesday to 10 am est Thursday
for amz150.

Synopsis... Cqd hsa
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf bm
marine... Rf cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 8 mi50 min NNE 6 G 8 58°F 53°F1022 hPa
44095 18 mi44 min 63°F1 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi32 min 61°F1 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 21 mi44 min WNW 2.9 G 5.1 60°F 59°F1021.7 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi47 min 61°F1 ft
41062 28 mi92 min 1.9 G 1.9 65°F 1023.5 hPa (-2.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 49 mi44 min ENE 6 G 8 61°F 57°F1021.4 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NW2
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G7
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NW15
G20
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W9
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G12
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NW16
G21
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W8
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S14
G17
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S9
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G14
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S21
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G17
NW13
G20
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NW16
G21
NW15
G20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC6 mi47 minNNE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy58°F45°F63%1022.3 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC9 mi52 minN 010.00 miFair59°F44°F59%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmN6N5NE3
1 day agoNW9NW7NW5NW7NW6NW7NW16
G22
NW11
G19
NW8
G17
NW11
G18
NW11
G16
N7N5NW8N7
G15
N7NW7N10
G14
N8NW7N7NW8NW8NW7
2 days agoSW15SW18
G25
SW14SW11SW12SW14SW16SW16SW15SW14
G20
SW18SW21SW18
G23
SW18SW20
G27
SW27
G32
W18
G22
W13
G19
W9
G14
NW12
G21
NW8
G20
NW8
G16
NW11
G16
NW9
G14

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:28 AM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:44 AM EST     3.77 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:14 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:19 PM EST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:32 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:04 PM EST     3.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.70.30.40.81.52.43.23.73.83.52.92.11.30.70.40.50.91.62.32.93.12.92.5

Tide / Current Tables for Oregon Inlet Marina, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Oregon Inlet Marina
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:21 AM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:14 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:18 AM EST     1.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:28 PM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:32 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:49 PM EST     0.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.30.20.10.10.20.40.711.110.90.70.40.20.10.10.10.20.40.60.80.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.