Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Nags Head, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:14PM Thursday May 25, 2017 4:06 PM EDT (20:06 UTC) Moonrise 4:55AMMoonset 7:03PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 1253 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday morning...
Rest of today..SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds, decreasing to 4 seconds after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nags Head, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 251945
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
345 pm edt Thu may 25 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will pass to the south Friday and Saturday. A
frontal boundary will move south into the region Saturday night
and become stationary through Tuesday morning, when it will
move off the coast. Another front will move in Wednesday and
become stationary across the area.

Near term tonight
As of 330 pm Thursday... Latest sfc analysis is showing the sfc
low over the ohio, meanwhile a sfc trough over the central nc.

An mid-upper vort MAX will become negatively tilted as it moves
across eastern nc this afternoon. Even though, dewpoints are
in 50s low 60s, but with strong upper level forcing and mid
levels becoming very cold enough to cause steep lapse rates
aloft to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms. Spc
continues to keep our region in a marginal risk for severe
storms, but think if any thunderstorms to become strong it will
be isolated. Main threat will be gusty winds and hail.

Latest radar returns are showing isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms developing across E nc. Storms will weaken
and diminish with the lack of heating and vort MAX lifting
northeast tonight. The sfc low over ohio will finally lift
northeast overnight, as high pressure builds in from the south.

Expect overnight lows in the upper 50s to around 60 degree
inland to mid upper 60s south coast and outer banks under partly
cloudy to mostly clear skies.

Short term Friday
As of 330 pm thurs... Weak high pressure will build in from the
south through Saturday. Expect mostly sunny skies and much
warmer weather. Low level thicknesses are supporting mos
guidance with high temps in the low 80s inland and upper 70s
along the beaches.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
As of 245 pm Thursday... Unsettled weather due to a stalled front
over the region will continue through early next week. Another
front will approach the area next Thursday.

Friday night through Sunday After a dry Friday night, weak
low pressure will move along the nc va border Saturday into
Saturday night as the mid-level ridge weakens and weak h5
shortwaves cross the region. A chance of precipitation will
occur mainly across the northern counties late Saturday into
Saturday night. As the weak boundary moves south and stalls on
Sunday, scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will continue
over most of the area on Sunday. H8 temps will support a rather
warm weekend, especially inland with highs into the lower 90s
with mid 80s along the coast.

Sunday night through Tuesday... Deep moisture will linger across
the CWA through early next week with a stalled boundary over the
southern part of nc. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue and will continue with 30-40 pct pop through the
period. Temperatures will be slightly cooler with most of our
cwa north of the boundary with highs mid 80s and lows mid 60s.

Tuesday night through Wednesday night... Weak ridging will build
in from the west shunting any precipitation to near or just off
the coast. Temperatures will be a degree or two cooler with
highs mid 80s and lows in the low mid 60s.

Thursday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms return,
especially later in the day, as another slow-moving cold front
enters the area from the west.

Aviation 19z Thursday through Tuesday
Short term through tonight
as of 1255 pm thu... High confidence ofVFR conditions will
persist through most of the TAF period. Cold front has pushed
off the coast this morning... Leading to scattered clouds around
5kft. Expect scattered clouds through most of the day with bkn
ceiling as an mid-upper level vort MAX crosses eastern nc. This
will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms, a few of
which could be severe with gusty winds and hail. SW winds 10-15
knots with gusty winds up to 25 knots. Any convection will end
early this evening with skies becoming clear late tonight. Winds
will diminish to around 10 knots and continue through the
overnight.VFR conditions will continue Friday with SW winds
around 10 knots gusting to 20 knots.

Long term Fri night through tues
as of 245 pm Thursday...VFR conditions are expected Friday night
and Saturday with weak mid-level ridging in place. Occasional
MVFR ceilings and vsbys will then be possible starting Saturday
night and continuing into Tuesday as a weak frontal boundary
stalls over the region with scattered showers and a few embedded
thunderstorms.

Marine
Short term tonight and Friday
as of 330 pm thurs. Latest buoy obs are showing SW winds 15-25
with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas are 6 to 10 ft south of oregon
inlet with the highest over the southern waters, meanwhile 3 to
5 ft north. Southwest winds will continue 15-25 knots with
occasional gusts up to 35 knots (occasional gale gusts) south of
cape hatteras as the pressure gradient tightens. Winds will
start to decrease early Friday morning (before sunrise), then
becoming west 15-20 knots Friday afternoon. Seas will be 7 to
11 ft south of oregon inlet and 4 to 6 ft north tonight and
overnight. Seas will subside 4 to 6 ft Friday afternoon. No
change to current small craft advisories now in effect.

Long term Fri night through tues
as of 245 pm Thursday... Seas will gradually fall below 6 feet
over the central waters Friday night with improving and
relatively quiet marine conditions for most of the upcoming
week. With upper ridge offshore and a weak boundary impacting
inland areas, expect winds to continue SW at 10-15 knots with
occasional gusts to 20 knots, especially during the evening
hours over the next several days. Per latest local nwps swan and
wavewatch, seas should range from 2-5 feet through the period.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
098-103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for amz136-
137.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Friday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until noon edt Friday for amz130-131-150.

Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt Friday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 9 pm edt Friday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Bm
near term... Bm
short term... Bm
long term... Ctc
aviation... Ctc bm
marine... Ctc bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 8 mi55 min S 26 G 29 74°F 73°F1000.3 hPa
44095 18 mi49 min 66°F7 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi37 min 64°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 21 mi49 min SW 15 G 21 78°F 63°F998.4 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi62 min 66°F5 ft
41062 28 mi67 min SSW 16 G 19 71°F 67°F1001.4 hPa (-1.7)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 49 mi49 min SW 16 G 25 76°F 74°F1001.7 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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NE7
G10
NE9
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G12
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G13
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G14
E6
G10
E5
G9
SE10
G14
SE8
G11
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G16
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G16
S20
G27
S19
G23
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G21
SW15
SW14
G17
S13
S21
S21
G28
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S28
1 day
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E4
G10
S15
S16
G20
S16
S19
SW21
G29
SW18
G22
SW19
G23
SW18
G22
SW15
SW15
G19
SW21
G26
SW15
G21
W9
G17
W9
G12
W6
G9
W5
G9
N6
G9
N5
N6
NE7
NE8
NE9
NE7
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ago
S17
G22
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G24
S17
G22
NW4
G9
S13
G16
S10
G14
S13
G16
SW15
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SW15
SW12
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G14
SW6
G9
W7
G11
NW4
G7
NE2
G8
NE6
NE5
G11
NE11
G15
NE6
E5
E7
G10
SE6
G10
E7
G10

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC6 mi82 minSSW 18 G 2410.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy78°F61°F56%999.7 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC9 mi82 minS 5 G 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F56°F44%999 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E9E9E11E10SE8SE11S5S12S17
G22
S12
G16
S14
G19
S13SW20
G28
SW16
G26
SW11SW13SW14SW15
G20
SW20
G24
SW20W19
G26
SW17
G23
SW19
G24
1 day agoE5E5N6S4SW20
G24
SW16SW14SW12W10SW12W9W7W5W5W6NW4NE6N4N5N5N7E8NE8NE8
2 days agoS17
G24
S19
G24
CalmSW6S8CalmSW6SW13SW11SW7CalmW5W3NW3CalmE10E7E9E8E9SE8SE9SE6SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:35 AM EDT     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:29 AM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:36 PM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     4.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.4-0.40.112.13.13.63.63.12.21.10.2-0.4-0.50.11.12.33.54.34.54.23.32.2

Tide / Current Tables for Oregon Inlet Marina, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Oregon Inlet Marina
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:50 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:59 AM EDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:25 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:36 PM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.20.100.10.40.711.110.80.50.20-0-00.10.40.81.21.51.51.31

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.