Thursday, April26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 7:50PM Thursday April 26, 2018 9:34 AM EDT (13:34 UTC) Moonrise 3:29PMMoonset 3:36AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 643 Am Edt Thu Apr 26 2018
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E this afternoon. Waves 1 ft. Isolated showers this afternoon.
Tonight..SE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Fri..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A slight chance of showers.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming w. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 261054
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
654 am edt Thu apr 26 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build in briefly today. Several weak
disturbances will affect the area from late tonight into the
weekend, followed by high pressure early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 645 am thurs... Mostly clear skies currently with clouds
encroaching from the west and south. Temperatures have fallen
into the low 50s inland this morning, with upper 50s to low 60s
present near the coast. Light northerly winds are seen just to
the north and west of the cwa, indicating that the dry
front wind shift will be here soon. Soon after, high pressure
will briefly build into the area, and winds will shift to the
east. This shift, combined with the seas breeze will enable
showers to break out along the hwy 17 corridor from late morning
into the afternoon. Have chance and slight chance pops for
these areas as a result. Temperatures will be warm again today,
and climb into the mid to upper 70s away from the coast, with
upper 60s to low 70s near the waters.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Friday
As of 320 am thurs... A dry evening is expected, as any showers
will dissipate after the afternoon hours. However, an
approaching shortwave trough and surface low moving up the spine
of the appalachians will bring showers into the region by early
tonight. Have chance pops initially tonight, which then
increase to likely overnight, as more widespread showers move
in. Scattered thunderstorms are also possible, as higher cape
air advects into the region when winds become southerly after
midnight. Low temperatures will again be mild with cloud cover
and showers, mostly in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 330 am Thursday... Models remain in decent agreement during
period with several disturbances moving through Friday into
Saturday, followed by upper low finally moving across to NE of
area late Sunday into early Monday. After brief cooling trend,
heights building surface and aloft will result in warming trend
tue-wed.

Friday into Saturday... Dampening short wave will be lifting n
of area early Friday with lingering scattered shower isolated
tstm threat over NE half of area in the morning. Approaching
elongated shortwave trough will produce isolated convective
threat over western and northern sections in afternoon and all
areas Fri night. Models have trended drier for Saturday with
shortwave moving off coast early and have dropped pops given
limited moisture and lift. Guidance has trended warmer for max
temps both days and raised highs to near 80 inland sections.

Saturday night through Wednesday... Dry cold front will move
through Sat night followed by initial surge of CAA late sat
night into Sunday. Then strong but dry upper trough associated
with upper low will move through Sunday evening, resulting in
secondary CAA surge late Sun night into Mon morning. Cooling
trend will be short-lived as heights will be building quickly
mon night into Tuesday with upper ridge extending over area from
s-sw. No precip expected through the period and main focus will
be temp forecast with readings 5-10 degs below normal for sat
night through Mon night, then moderating to above normal
midweek. It is noted that ECMWF mos is indicating min temps in
mid to upper 30s for Monday morning while GFS mos supports lower
40s.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
Short term through Friday morning ...

as of 650 am thurs... Some areas of ifr and MVFR fog are present
across the airspace this morning. Additional fog develop is
possible before heating begins, but fog should quickly dissipate
after 8-9 am. The rest of today should have good flying
conditions, although some scattered showers are expected to
develop in the afternoon, and could briefly inhibit flying
conditions. Rain showers will move through the region late
tonight, with some subVFR conditions likely.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 330 am Thursday...VFR expected most of period. Brief sub-
vfr possible with scattered showers isolated tstms Friday into
Friday night.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 325 am thurs... Winds currently westerly 10-15 kts, will
shift to the north later this morning at 5-10 kts. Then, this
afternoon, as high pressure briefly builds in, winds shift to
the east 5-10 kts, but then become southerly 10-20 kts after
midnight as low pressure approaches. Seas are currently 5-7 ft
across the coastal waters, and will continue to dissipate today.

Seas will drop below small craft levels this afternoon, and be
mostly 3-5 ft through tonight. Early Friday morning, seas will
again build to 4-6 ft.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 330 am Thursday... Low pressure moving across to NW will
will result in SW winds 15-20 kt Friday. A weak front will
result in a brief wind shift late Fri night into Saturday, then
a stronger front will move through Saturday night followed by a
northerly surge of 15-20 kt winds Sunday. Secondary front moving
through Sunday night will result in another period of NW 15-20
kt winds early Monday.

Seas will build again to near 6 ft outer southern and central
waters Friday with increasing SW winds. Seas then gradually
subsiding to 3-4 ft by late Saturday and persisting into Monday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-098-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until noon edt today for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for amz150.

Synopsis... Sgk
near term... Sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Jbm
aviation... Jbm sgk
marine... Jbm sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi46 min N 4.1 G 5.1 61°F 52°F1011.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi34 min 53°F5 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi52 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 63°F 62°F1011.5 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi79 min 55°F5 ft
44095 38 mi46 min 55°F6 ft
41062 49 mi94 min 3.9 G 5.8 1012.3 hPa (+2.8)

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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S7
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G11
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G16
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SE5
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E21
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SE26
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G25
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E13
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G16
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E20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi59 minN 010.00 miOvercast61°F59°F96%1011.8 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi39 minN 010.00 miOvercast61°F61°F99%1011.5 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi40 minNE 610.00 miOvercast63°F55°F78%1011.7 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6S9SW12SW14S12S15S17
G23
S14NW6NE5SE4SW3SW7SW3W5W3W5NW4NW4NW4--CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE11
G17
SE11
G17
SE12
G19
SE15
G23
SE12
G18
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G15
SE9SE16
G22
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G26
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E7SE4S6S6S4S6S5S6
2 days agoE8SE10SE10SE13
G17
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SE12
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E8E9E8E9SE5SE10SE10
G16
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G17
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SE11
G16
SE11
G17
SE12
G17
SE11
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:18 AM EDT     3.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:40 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:49 PM EDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.61.52.43.13.43.32.92.11.20.4-0.1-0.10.2122.93.53.63.42.71.80.80.1

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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FRF Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:22 AM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:40 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:53 PM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.61.52.43.13.43.432.21.30.5-0-0.10.3122.93.53.73.42.81.80.90.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.