Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 6:24PM Thursday October 19, 2017 5:19 AM EDT (09:19 UTC) Moonrise 5:54AMMoonset 5:42PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 256 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
Today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..NE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..NE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt, becoming se. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 190722
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
322 am edt Thu oct 19 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build over the region through late this
week then slide offshore over the weekend. A strong cold front
will approach from the west early next week then cross the
area mid week.

Near term through today
As of 225 am thu... No signif changes from prev fcst with high
pres continuing to dominate with dry airmass leading to msunny
skies. Some patchy fog expected thru daybreak inland. Satl shows
some sct bkn scu working onshore currently... Mdls show moisture
at 850mb cont inland from cst thru early morn hrs then pushing back
offshore so expect clouds to diminish later in the morn.

Thicknesses rise a bit and high temps shld be near to slightly
above normal with mid to upr 70s inland and low mid 70s cst.

Short term tonight
As of 225 am thu... High pres will cont with mainly clr skies.

With light to calm winds good radiational cooling expected with
lows ranging from 45 to 50 inland to upr 50s around 60 beaches.

Some patchy late night fog likely again inland.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
As of 320 am thu... High pressure will be the dominant feature
through the long term with temps moderating back to above climo
by the end of the week, then a strong cold front will move
towards the area early next week and slowly cross mid next week.

Friday through Sunday... High pressure will build into the
region with clear and dry weather and light northeast to east
winds. Low relative humidities will spell mild days and
seasonably cool nights. High temps will creep back above climo
with readings 75-80 on fri, and into the upper 70s to low 80s
sat and sun. Morning lows will be in the upr 40s mid 50s sat
morning, and into the 50s Sun morning.

Monday through Wednesday... Next significant shortwave cold
front moves into the eastern CONUS by early next week. The
19 00z global model suite has slowed down the progression of the
shortwave and cold front, especially the ecmwf. The upr trough
becomes a closed low and hence a slower solution would be
favored. With the run- to- run inconsistency amongst global
model suite having a tough time resolving amplitude of short
wave trough and thus timing of the associated cold front will
cap continue with just chance pops. Monday and Monday night looks
mainly dry and have tapered down pops a bit. Highest pops are
now Tue into Tue night, though Wed could be quite wet if the
slower ecm verifies, so pops are 40-50 percent through mid
week. Too early to tell if thunder will be a factor, but have
maintained the slight chc thunder mention as at least some weak
instability will be present with decent shear parameters. Monday
looks to be the warmest day with highs in the low 80s inland to
70s beaches. Tue could be equally warm with the slower
advancement of the front. Lows early next week quite mild with
the warm and moist southerly flow with readings mainly in the
60s.

Aviation 06z Thursday through Monday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 1215 am thu...VFR shld dominate much of the time with
just some patchy MVFR to ifr vsbys in radiational fog late at
night... With best chc of ifr occurring at pgv. Skies shld cont
to be mclr thru pd with just some patchy CU at times as high
pres conts over area.

Long term Fri through Mon ...

as of 320 am wed... PredVFR conditions expected through the
long term as high pressure builds into the region. However,
there will be optimal radiational conditions Fri night, and some
patchy steam fog may be possible at both kpgv and kewn with
their proximity to rivers. Maybe a better chance of more
widespread overnight early morning fog all TAF sites this
weekend as low level moisture increases and skies remain clear
with calm winds each night.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 225 am thu... High pres will remain centered W of area
thru the period however pres gradient will cont to relax
leading to lighter winds. NE winds 10 to 15 kts today will be
mainly 10 kts or less tonight. All buoys showing seas of 5 ft
now so plan on dropping sca. Seas of 2 to 4 ft N and 3 to 5 ft s
today will become 2 to 4 feet all wtrs tonight.

Long term Fri through Mon ...

as of 320 am thu... The gradient relaxes through the weekend
with sprawling high pressure to the north. NE winds through sat
becoming more easterly on Sunday and into Monday though speeds
only 5-10 kt through the period with seas 2-4 ft bringing
excellent boating conditions throughout the marine zones. Winds
turn more southeasterly on Monday as high pressure moves
offshore though will remain light and no higher than 10 kt.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Tl
aviation... Rf tl
marine... Rf tl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi50 min ENE 9.9 G 12 67°F 68°F1024.8 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi50 min 69°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi50 min NE 8.9 G 14 67°F 65°F1024.6 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi45 min 70°F4 ft
44095 38 mi62 min 71°F5 ft
41062 49 mi80 min 16 G 19 68°F 1025.2 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
6
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7
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Last
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NE12
G15
NE12
G16
NE14
NE12
G16
NE14
NE15
NE12
G16
NE14
NE14
NE13
NE11
NE10
NE10
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NE9
NE8
NE9
NE8
NE9
NE7
NE8
NE8
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NE10
1 day
ago
NE24
NE22
G27
N25
N21
G26
N19
G26
N18
G25
N20
N17
G23
N18
N16
G23
N11
G17
N15
NE15
G19
NE14
G20
NE16
G20
NE16
NE15
NE12
G15
NE12
N11
G15
NE12
G15
NE12
G15
NE13
G16
NE12
2 days
ago
SW11
G14
SW10
G13
SW7
G10
W12
G15
W12
G15
N21
N17
G24
N17
G22
N22
G28
N18
G25
N19
N19
G27
N25
G31
N26
N24
N28
N30
G38
N27
G33
N24
G32
N25
N28
N24
G31
N27
N24
G33

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi35 minENE 510.00 miFair0°F0°F%1025.1 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi40 minN 010.00 miFair64°F56°F76%1024.7 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi26 minNNE 310.00 miFair58°F55°F93%1025.3 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9NE8NE9E12E13E11NE13
G16
NE11
G14
NE11NE12
G15
E8NE7NE7NE7E6E5NE3NE4NE4NE5NE5NE5NE7E6
1 day agoNE15
G24
NE14
G22
NE14
G22
NE14
G22
NE12
G19
NE15
G20
N14
G23
N13
G24
NE13
G18
NE14
G22
NE12
G17
NE10
G15
NE7NE8NE10NE9NE7NE7NE6NE7NE7NE8NE9NE7
2 days agoW10
G14
SW8W7W6W8NW5N15
G22
NE15
G20
NE16NE15
G21
N15
G20
NE13
G21
N14
G21
N15
G21
NE20
G25
N19
G31
N21
G29
NE22
G31
N20
G27
NE23
G28
NE17
G30
NE15
G22
NE19
G24
NE16
G24

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:32 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:42 AM EDT     4.12 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:05 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.20.10.61.42.53.544.13.83.12.11.10.40.20.411.92.83.43.63.42.92

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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FRF Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:32 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:46 AM EDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:05 PM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:01 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.10.10.51.42.53.444.23.83.12.11.10.40.20.30.91.82.83.43.63.52.92.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.