Tuesday, February20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 5:52PM Tuesday February 20, 2018 10:37 AM EST (15:37 UTC) Moonrise 9:35AMMoonset 10:40PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1027 Am Est Tue Feb 20 2018
Rest of today..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Tonight..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 201106
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
606 am est Tue feb 20 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue off the coast through mid week and
produce a very warm southerly flow across the region. A
weakening cold front will move into the area late week then
dissipate or lift north Friday. Another front will move
through the area Sunday night into early Monday.

Near term through tonight
As of 605 am Tuesday... Southerly flow of warm moist air will
continue across the eastern nc today. The models continue to
indicate enough lift and moisture to sustain a scattered widely
scattered shower threat through the afternoon. Needed to
increase pops inland east of highway 17 early this morning based
on latest radar, with a lesser threat expected this afternoon.

Widespread low clouds and areas of dense fog were occuring early
this morning with a dense fog advisory in effect inland until 9
am. The dense fog should dissipate by 9 am, with the low clouds
lingering through the morning. There will be enough afternoon
sunshine to help boost high temperatures to near record levels
in the mid to upper 70s inland and around 70 beaches.

Short term Wednesday through 6 am Wednesday
As of 255 am Tuesday... Ridging at the surface and aloft
continues from the western atlantic tonight with a persistent
warm moist southerly low level flow across eastern nc. Would
expect to see a repeat of low cloud fog development with the
potential for locally dense fog late as winds partially
decouple. Lows will be in the upper 50s.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 250 am tue... Strengthening high pressure offshore will be
the dominant feature through Thursday, supporting temperatures
well above normal. A slow moving cold front will push into the
area Thursday night and early Friday, then wash out or lift back
to the north Friday afternoon. Above normal temps this weekend,
with another front progged to push through the area late this
weekend into early next week. See climate section below for temp
records.

Wednesday through Friday... The high will cont offshore through
wed as upr rdg builds off the coast. Mainly dry thru Wed night
with area in warm sector and little to no forcing, though an
isolated shower will be possible along the coast. Very mild wed
and Thu with highs in the mid 70s lower 80s. Beaches as usual
will be cooler with mainly upper 60s to low 70s. Areas of low
clouds and fog will be possible in the late night early morning
hours. Sea fog will be possible given the warm air temps cold
water temps and SW flow. If areas of sea fog develop continue,
temps along the coast could be several degrees cooler than
currently forecast. A weak cold front is forecast to push
southward into the area late Thu into early fri, then wash out
or lift back to the north Friday afternoon. Still some
uncertainty on the timing of the front, and how far south it
will get. The GFS and NAM continue to trend faster and further
southward than the ec. Isolated showers possible Thu through
fri, and kept small pops, with front in the vicinity but
moisture and forcing look weak with little in the way of
rainfall expected. At this time best chance looks like late thu
into fri, mainly across the northern forecast area. Temp
forecast could be tricky fri, and likely depend on how far south
the boundary gets. Bit cooler fri... Though hgts thicknesses
remain high so mild temps cont with mid 60s lower 70s inland to
lower mid 60s along the coast.

Saturday through Monday... High pressure will continue to extend
over the area from offshore Sat and sun. Isolated showers will
be possible sat, but better chances Sun ahead of the approaching
front. Temps will likely approach records again Sat and sun,
with low level thickness values and SW supporting highs 75-80
degrees inland, and upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. Cooler
behind the front early next week, with highs in the upper 50s
to 60s... And lows falling into the 40s low 50s. The next front
approaches the area Sunday, likely moving through Sun night into
early mon, though the 00z ECMWF is quite a bit slower than the
previous run. The GFS is much more progressive, while the ec is
slower and looks to stall it off the coast early next week.

Scattered showers possible. Increased pops to chance Sunday and
sun night, possibly lingering into Mon depending on the timing
of the frontal passage.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 605 am Tuesday... Widespread lifr ifr conditions in fog
and low ceilings are forecast to persist until early afternoon
then a return toVFR conditions are expected outside a brief,
isolated shower, from mid afternoon through mid evening. Late
tonight conditions again will be favorable for the development
of subVFR conditions in low clouds and fog as moist southerly
flow saturates the low levels beneath the nocturnal inversion.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 250 am tue... Forecast soundings and guidance support low
ceilings and areas of fog developing each night early morning,
with widespread sub-vfr conditions.VFR conditions likely during
the daytime hours after fog stratus dissipate each morning.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 605 am Tuesday... Atlantic high pressure will continue to
produce southerly flow 10 to 15 kt through tonight with 2 to 4
ft seas. Areas of dense fog will persist at least through early
afternoon and could redevelop again tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 250 am tue... Strengthening high pressure offshore will be
the dominant feature through most of the period. A weak cold
front is forecast to push south into the waters Thursday night
into Friday, before washing out or lifting back to the north
Friday afternoon. Still some uncertainty in how far south the
front will be able to get, and wind directions will depend on
the location of the boundary. S SW winds 5-15 kt expected wed
through thu, with seas 2-4 ft. A brief period of N NE winds
likely Thu night into Friday, before returning to S SW by Friday
evening. Best chances to see the wind shift will be the waters
and sounds, north of hatteras. Increasing SW flow sat, becoming
10-20 kt in the afternoon, with seas possibly building to 5 ft
on the outer central waters.

Climate
Temps could approach and or break records this week.

Record high temps 2 20 (today)
location temp year
cape hatteras 71 1994 (khse)
greenville 81 1991 (coop)
jacksonville 82 1991 (knca)
kinston 81 1991 (coop)
morehead city 73 1994 (coop)
new bern 81 1991 (kewn)
record high temps 2 21 (Wednesday)
location temp year
cape hatteras 75 1989 (khse)
greenville 80 1922 (coop)
jacksonville 78 2011 (knca)
kinston 79 2011 (coop)
morehead city 71 1971 (coop)
new bern 79 2011 (kewn)
record high temps 2 22 (Thursday)
location temp year
cape hatteras 76 1971 (khse)
greenville 80 2003 (coop)
jacksonville 77 2003 (knca)
kinston 78 2003 (coop)
morehead city 72 1971 (coop)
new bern 80 1980 (kewn)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Dense fog advisory until 9 am est this morning for ncz029-044-
045-079-080-090>093-098.

Marine... Dense fog advisory until 1 pm est this afternoon for amz130-
131-135>137-150-152-154-156-158.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Jme
short term... Jme
long term... Cqd
aviation... Jme cqd
marine... Jme cqd
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi49 min SSW 6 G 8 64°F 45°F1032.1 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi37 min 45°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi55 min S 7 G 8.9 60°F 51°F1032.7 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi52 min 45°F3 ft
44095 38 mi49 min 46°F4 ft
41062 49 mi97 min 7.8 G 9.7 51°F1033.4 hPa (+1.2)

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
Last
24hr
E13
SE7
SE12
SE13
SE13
SE12
S14
G18
S15
S13
SE9
G14
S10
S10
S12
G15
S12
S10
S10
S11
G14
S11
G15
S12
S10
S11
S10
S10
S5
1 day
ago
N10
N11
NE20
NE14
G17
NE14
NE13
NE12
NE8
E6
E7
NE9
E10
E10
NE9
NE9
NE10
E10
E9
E8
G11
E9
E8
E5
N1
E15
2 days
ago
NE12
NE11
NE11
NE10
NE7
NE9
E4
S3
NW8
G11
NW8
NW6
G10
NW7
NW11
G14
NW7
NW16
NW6
G9
W11
W12
NW12
G16
NW11
G15
N8
G11
N10
NE11
N11
G14

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi62 minSSW 810.00 miOvercast61°F58°F92%1032.5 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi62 minN 010.00 miOvercast0°F0°F%1032.2 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi43 minSSW 810.00 miOvercast67°F66°F100%1032.3 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
Last 24hrSE5S7
G14
S7S9
G15
S9S4S8S6S8S7S6S6S8SW3S5S4S5S9S9S7S6S7SW9S8
1 day agoNE15
G24
NE12
G24
NE13
G19
NE15
G22
NE14
G19
E11NE7E7E6E7E7E7E9E8E8E10E11E9
G15
E10E8E8E6SE7SE6
2 days agoE10
G17
E11
G16
E12NE10E8E6E6SW4NW9N5NW4NW6N7CalmN9N8CalmNW5NW8N6N3NE13N9
G15
NE17
G25

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:09 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:09 AM EST     3.15 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:26 PM EST     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:36 PM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.41.70.90.2-0.10.10.61.32.12.83.132.51.810.2-0.2-0.20.311.92.73.23.3

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
FRF Pier
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:09 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:13 AM EST     3.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:26 PM EST     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:40 PM EST     3.36 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.51.810.3-00.10.61.32.12.83.232.61.91.10.3-0.2-0.10.311.92.73.23.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.