Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Columbia, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:13PM Wednesday May 24, 2017 9:37 AM EDT (13:37 UTC) Moonrise 4:11AMMoonset 5:54PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 651 Am Edt Wed May 24 2017
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne early this afternoon, then becoming E late. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..SW winds around 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Columbia town, NC
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location: 36.05, -76.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 241043
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
643 am edt Wed may 24 2017

Synopsis
A warm front will lift north of the area today. A cold front
will move through from the west Thursday morning. High pressure
will pass to the south Friday and Saturday. A cold front will
slowly approach from the west early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 7 am wed... Forecast area is in a lull at present with a
large area of rain off the coast moving to the northeast. Warm
front has lifted north of the forecast area with light southwest
flow throughout. Models continue to show good
lift instability vort energy this afternoon as front approaches
from the west. SPC has slight risk for today with wind hail
mostly likely threat along with an isolated tornado. Risk
coverage will not be big enough to mention in the zones, but
will mention in hazardous weather outlook. Made only minor
tweaks to pops today. Much of the morning will be quiet with
just slight chance, but will increase to likely this afternoon
except the far northern counties with 50% as shortwave
approaches and atmosphere destabilizes. Highs will range from
the mid 70s northeast to around 80 southwest.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 330 am wed... Activity will continue into this evening with
convection likely becoming a large area of rain with embedded
thunder. Rain chances will taper off from west to east after
midnight as deeper moisture and instability shift off the coast.

Lows will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 330 am wed... One more unsettled day Thursday, then drier
and warmer weather Friday and Saturday.

An area of rain with embedded thunder should be pushing off the
coast first thing Thursday morning in association with a cold front.

After a brief break in the precipitation behind this, more showers
and even the rumble of thunder are possible Thursday afternoon and
evening as a piece of upper level energy swings through our area
between 18z and 0z. With the cold front just mentioned above to our
east, the atmosphere will be much less supportive of heavy rains
Thursday with precipitable water values (pwats) about half of what
they are today (from near 2" to only around 1"). The result will be
scattered showers but relatively light QPF overall.

Friday and beyond will feature a warming trend, with our weather
becoming hot over the memorial day weekend. 850 mb temps climb from
around 11c Friday, to 15c Saturday and between 18c and 20c Sunday!
in response highs near 80 Friday, will climb well int the 80s
Saturday, and lots of near 90 readings are likely inland Sunday
afternoon. We continue to maintain a 30% chance for a thunderstorm
Saturday night and Sunday. Certainly nothing to cancel any outdoor
activities over. However good model agreement continues that a
series of weak upper level disturbances will move through in the
northwest flow aloft and with increasing instability we can't rule
out a storm. A slightly better chance for storms comes later Monday
into Tuesday as a cold front moves into our area. With slightly
"cooler" air aloft and increased shower chances, highs will mainly
be in the 80s early next week.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through tonight
as of 7 am wed... Ifr MVFR early this morning will becomeVFR by
mid-morning. Sub-vfr in isolated showers through late morning,
then showers and thunderstorms will become numerous this
afternoon. Isolated hail damaging winds possible. Widespread
rain and scattered thunder this evening with vsbys and cigs
lowering to MVFR. Precip will taper off from the west after
midnight. Surface winds will be from the southwest less than 10
knots early this morning, backing to south 10-15 knots this
afternoon and continuing into tonight.

Long term Thu through sun
as of 330 am wed... A few showers are possible over the
terminals Thursday, but we will remain mainlyVFR despite these
chances.VFR expected Friday through Sunday.

Marine
Short term through tonight
as of 7 am wed... A warm front has lifted north of the waters,
with a cold front approaching from the west tonight. Winds will
decrease temporarily through early afternoon, but then begin to
increase late in the day as pressure gradient tightens up once
again ahead of the approaching front.

Small craft conditions have ended north of oregon inlet and on
the pamlico sound. However, SCA conditions will redevelop this
evening and continue through Friday. Upcoming zones will have
the new headlines.

Winds could gust to near gale force over the coastal waters
south of oregon inlet after midnight, but have capped winds at
30 knots for now.

Long term Thu through sun
as of 330 am wed... Poor boating conditions Thursday into early
Friday, then a stark improvement over the waters just in time
for the memorial day weekend!
southwest winds 20-30 Thursday and Thursday night will gradually
veer toward the west by daybreak Friday. While we may see a brief
window where we approach gale conditions over the central waters off
of CAPE hatteras Thursday evening, most model guidance remains just
below gales and the duration would be less than 4 hours if it
materialized. Seas will remain around 4 to 9 feet.

Friday will be the transition day as west winds 20-25 in the morning
will diminish to 15 knots by afternoon. Seas will take awhile to
subside so we will hold onto the small craft advisories through the
afternoon over the coastal waters with seas still above 6 feet
through most of the day.

Much improved conditions over the waters this weekend. Winds
southwest Saturday through Monday, 10 to 15 knots. Seas generally 2
to 4 feet this weekend. Waves may build slightly Sunday into Monday
to 3 to 5 feet. Wavewatch guidance seems too high with 6 foot waves
over our coastal waters, but winds still 15 knots or less we trimmed
the wave heights back a bit.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through this evening for ncz095-098-
103-104.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 2 pm edt
Friday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Friday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Friday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 10 am edt
Friday for amz150.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Eh
aviation... Hsa eh
marine... Hsa eh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 18 mi50 min N 8 G 8.9 61°F 63°F1005.1 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi68 min 64°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi63 min 63°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 31 mi56 min N 7 G 9.9 65°F 71°F1005.2 hPa
44095 43 mi50 min 65°F5 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi44 minN 810.00 miOvercast63°F63°F100%1005.5 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi53 minN 02.50 miFog/Mist64°F64°F100%1005.1 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC20 mi53 minN 43.00 miLight Drizzle65°F64°F99%1005.8 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC24 mi48 minNNE 62.00 miFog/Mist62°F62°F100%1006.1 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12E12E14NE12E10E12E13E11E9E7CalmN9N6NW5NW4CalmNW3NW5N6NW6N6N6N8N8
1 day agoS5S7S7S7SE11S12
G23
S9CalmW13
G17
NW6NW5W3SW5SW4SW3S3S4W3CalmCalmNE6NE9NE9NE13
2 days agoNE8NE9NE12NE8NE9NE13NE8NE8NE10NE9NE7NE8N6N5NE5E4CalmSE3SE7S5S5SE5SE8S8

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:42 AM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:35 AM EDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:43 PM EDT     -0.76 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:01 PM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.4-0.5-0.20.61.72.73.33.432.21.20.1-0.6-0.7-0.30.61.93.14.14.44.23.42.41.1

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:44 AM EDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:44 PM EDT     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:08 PM EDT     4.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.3-0.4-0.10.71.72.73.33.43.12.31.30.3-0.4-0.6-0.20.71.93.14.14.54.33.62.61.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.