Sunday, June24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Duck, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 8:27PM Sunday June 24, 2018 1:16 AM EDT (05:16 UTC) Moonrise 4:16PMMoonset 2:27AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ658 Coastal Waters From Nc Va Border To Currituck Beach Light Nc Out 20 Nm- 1212 Am Edt Sun Jun 24 2018
Rest of tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Mon night..NE winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1212 Am Edt Sun Jun 24 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weakening front over the appalachians moves over the area tonight and disipates. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front will pass through the waters Sunday night. High pressure builds across the waters early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Duck, NC
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location: 36.18, -75.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 240211
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1011 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will approach from the northwest late Sunday, then
drop across the area Sunday evening into Monday morning. High
pressure will build in from the north Monday afternoon into
Tuesday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 1010 pm edt Saturday...

scattered showers along stationary front to the north are
diminishing in areal coverage attm. Have lingered a low pop
through around midnight. Otherwise, have updated to lower sky
cover late in subsidence behind departing shortwave trough.

Remaining mild and muggy, with patchy fog late over the
piedmont. Early morning lows in the 60s out west to low 70s
along the coast.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday
As of 400 pm edt Saturday...

very warm and still rather humid on Sunday, as winds will be
more w-sw in advance of an actual cold front approaching fm the
nw. Partly to mostly sunny with highs generally 90-95f.

Dewpoints should remain in the mid 70s during peak heating for
ne nc adjacent to the albemarle sound and this will result in
heat indices of 105-108f and a heat advisory has been issued. It
could be close in far SE va as well, so the heat advisory may
need to be expanded. Isolated to scattered showers tstms
(20-30%) are possible later Sunday aftn evening, with a
lingering chc of showers into Monday morning. Lows Sunday night
will range from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Monday will be dry for
most of the area and slightly less humid, as high pressure
starts to build in from the north. Iso-sct (20-30%) sea-breeze
convection is possible in NE ne. Highs will mainly be in the mid
to upper 80s.

High pressure is forecast to build into the region Monday night
into Tuesday resulting in pleasant and dry conditions. Lows
Monday night range through the 60s to around 70f far se,
followed by highs Tuesday in the low mid 80s.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 415 pm edt Saturday...

the big story in the extended will be the warming trend as a
strong and anomalous ridge centers itself over the NE states
through the end of next week. After temperatures close to normal
on Wednesday and Thursday with an upper trough moving through,
expect temps to rise into the middle 90s Friday and Saturday in
response to the 595+ dm high centered over new england. Other
than the chance of showers and storms Wed night into Thursday
with the frontal passage, expect mainly diurnally driven
afternoon evening pop up thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. Will
need to maintain chance pops each day Fri Sat to account for
these storms, but it certainly does not look like widespread
rainfall these days.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
As of 715 pm edt Saturday...

showers and tstms continue to persist over the SE portions of
the cwa, especially hampton roads and NE nc. Convection to the
west has mostly diminished or completely dissipated. Some
scattered showers and tstms also continue over parts of
southern md and might affect the eastern shore in the next hour
or two.

Frontal boundary across the region will generally move north of
the area on Sunday keeping the region in warm humid air. Expect
another afternoon evening of scattered showers and tstms on
Sunday with the threats mainly being heavy rain and brief gusty
winds.

A cold front finally drops through the region Monday. Mainly
dry with a northerly wind. However, there is a slight chc of
aftn sea-breeze showers tstms at ecg. High pressure and drier
air prevail Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure moves
offshore by Wednesday and Thursday with a chc of aftn evening
showers tstms by Thursday.

Marine
As of 415 pm edt Saturday...

have opted to drop the SCA for the northern coastal waters.

Latest guidance and current observations suggest the seas will
stay at or below 4 ft tonight into Sunday. Otherwise, south
winds tonight of 10-20kt will shift to the SW and weaken late
tonight into Sunday. A cold front moves through Sunday night
allowing winds to shift to the north. May see wind gusts to 15
to 20 kt behind the front, especially Monday night as the high
builds in. The high shifts offshore by Wednesday which will
allow winds to turn southerly.

Hydrology
A flood warning is in effect for the north anna and upper
pamunkey rivers due to the combination of heavy rainfall and
increased dam releases at lake anna. The increased dam releases
have been terminated, but it will still take some time for the
water to flow through the basin. Therefore, the warning has been
extended through Sunday morning.

Tides coastal flooding
Another round of minor coastal flooding near bishops head with
this evenings high tide, and coastal flood advisory has been
issued. After tonight, it does not look like additional coastal
flooding is expected.

A moderate rip current risk continues along the eastern shore
beaches with low risk at va beach and the northern ob.

Climate
Ric ended up with 7.61 inches of rain Friday. See rerric for details.

This is the second all time daily rainfall record at ric. The all-
time daily rainfall record at ric is 8.79 inches set on august 12,
1955 associated with hurricane connie. June 2018 (13.08 to date)
will be the wettest june on record at ric.

In addition, orf set a new daily rainfall record of 2.28 inches Friday.

See rerorf for details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 4 am edt Sunday for mdz021>023.

Nc... Heat advisory from 11 am to 8 pm edt Sunday for ncz015>017-031-
032-102.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz tmg
near term... Ajz mam
short term... Ajz tmg
long term... Mrd
aviation... Ajz
marine... Mrd
hydrology...

tides coastal flooding...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 0 mi46 min SW 13 G 16 81°F 68°F1011.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 2 mi46 min 72°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 10 mi31 min 77°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi52 min SSW 12 G 14 82°F 86°F1012 hPa
44095 37 mi58 min 75°F4 ft
41062 44 mi76 min 14 G 18 1013.5 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC12 mi46 minN 0 mi78°F73°F88%1011.8 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC18 mi41 minWSW 710.00 miOvercast79°F73°F82%1012.2 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC21 mi41 minno data10.00 miFair76°F72°F88%1011.8 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC23 mi22 minSSW 710.00 miFair77°F75°F96%1011.6 hPa

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW4W3SW3CalmCalmSW3SW5SW5SW6CalmSW3CalmS9
G16
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CalmCalmS8
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmS3SE4S7S8S5S5SW3S3SW4S5SW3SW5SW5
2 days agoCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3W5W4W3W6W5W3W4W3E4CalmE4CalmE3SW5
G17
CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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FRF Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:29 AM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:30 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:00 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.51.11.92.42.72.72.41.81.10.50.20.20.51.22.233.53.73.532.11.20.6

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:25 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:30 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:56 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.61.21.92.42.72.72.41.81.10.50.20.20.51.32.233.53.73.52.92.11.30.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.