Sunday, July23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Coinjock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:04AMSunset 8:18PM Sunday July 23, 2017 2:58 AM EDT (06:58 UTC) Moonrise 5:15AMMoonset 7:33PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 116 Am Edt Sun Jul 23 2017
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N early in the afternoon, then becoming se late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 116 Am Edt Sun Jul 23 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure remains over the western atlantic as a persistent trough lingers over central virginia through the weekend. A weakening cold front pushes across the waters Tuesday. Weak troughing persists along the mid atlantic coast the rest of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coinjock, NC
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location: 36.34, -75.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 230621
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
221 am edt Sun jul 23 2017

Synopsis
Very hot and humid conditions will continue over the region
through Sunday. A weakening cold front will gradually push
across the area late Sunday night through Monday and stall
across the carolinas through the middle of the upcoming week.

Temperatures will cool down to near normal levels Monday
through Thursday.

Near term through today
Latest analysis indicates a weak sfc lee trough lingering over
the mid- atlantic region from nj down ssw into the piedmont of
the carolinas. Energetic wnw flow prevails aloft. The initial
batch of strong to severe thunderstorms has now pushed off the
coast of the va ERN shore, with additional development
occurring across central NRN va to the md ERN shore. Damaging
wind gusts will be the primary threat through the early
overnight hours, though steepening mid-level lapse rates could
portend to some strong updrafts and the potential for some hail
across the NRN tier of the area, and frequent lighting is
expected with strong updrafts. Pops should generally be 30-50%
for scattered coverage for the NRN half of the area and AOB 20%
for most other areas overnight. Still very warm and humid for
areas that have not been "cooled" by rain. Lows most areas 75
to 80 f, slightly "cooler" across the north, especially in areas
the do receive rain.

Continued hot and humid with additional heat headlines now
issued for about the southern 2 3 of the CWA (along S of wal to
ric to lunenburg co. Line) where heat indices of 105 to 109 f
expected. Could potentially reach to 110+ along for NE nc but do
anticipate highs a little cooler than today so have held off on
this for now. Sunday remains a bit of a conditional convective
threat. Numerous convective boundaries are likely to be in
place, which would serve as a focusing mechanism for afternoon
and evening convection. However, uncertainty exists regarding
the extent and degree of cloudiness from convective debris which
hangs around into Sunday, thereby serving to dampen
destabilization. Models are still split on extent of cloudiness
through the early afternoon and have therefore elected to keep
pop in chance range (40-50%) for now, highest over the NE cwa.

Should convective debris clear out in a timely way on Sunday,
it's easy to visualize a scenario in which more widespread
convection occurs, given better lift lapse rates courtesy of the
approaching upper trough and the strong heating destabilization
that would result from quicker clearing. Once again, damaging
winds again the primary threat with storms on Sunday.

Short term tonight through Tuesday
Cold front slated to pass through while weakening late sun
night through mon. Will maintain high chc pops all zones sun
night, and favor highest pops Mon shifting south across SE va &
ne nc with 20% pops for the n. Slightly less humid Monday over
the NW cwa. Not quite as hot, with highs Mon 90 to 95 f. Front
stalls in nc tue, with mainly diurnal tstms possible again over
the s, 15-20% n. Seasonable highs upper 80s to lower 90s.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
High pressure moves off the coast Wed with any support for pcpn
across southern half of fa closer to a stalled frontal boundary.

Highs in the mid-upr 80s. Lows in the upr 60s-lwr 70s.

This boundary begins to drift north thurs resulting in slight
chc pops across the region. Highs in the upr 80s-lwr 90s. Lows
70-75.

Next boundary approaches from the north, then stalls across the
region Fri and sat. Chc pops each day though pcpn may tend to
concentrate across the southern half of fa Sat depending on how far
south the boundary actually gets. Highs Fri in the upr 80s- lwr 90s.

Lows in the upr 60s-mid 70s. Highs Sat in the mid-upr 80s.

Aviation 06z Sunday through Thursday
Vfr conditions at phf orf ecg... With MVFR ifr conds in shra tsra
at ric sby early this morning. Expect a return toVFR conditions
all terminals within the next few hours as convection wanes, and
expect a relative lull thereafter through early afternoon.

However, expect convection to re-develop ahead of an approaching
upper shortwave by mid-afternoon. In general, expect most
organized activity will be over the northern half of the area,
and have accounted for rain chances after 20z at ric sby.

However, confidence in areal coverage of storms remains quite
low ATTM and have elected to keep any vicinity thunder wording
out for now. Hoping cams will hone in a bit more on convective
chances for the 12z cycle, and will re-access at that time.

Outlook: convection slowly shifts south into south central va
and nc for Monday.VFR should dominate through this period, with
periods of periods of sub-vfr possible in heavier showers tsra.

A weak cold front pushes into the area for the mid week period.

Marine
No headlines expected as a SW wind AOB 15 kt prevails into the early
week. There could be a few gusts to 20 kts Sun aftn, but
duration is not expected to be long enough to justify a sca
headline. Seas 2 feet nearshore to 4 ft out near 20 nm. Sct
tstms possible in the afternoon eve hours.

The next frontal boundary crosses the area tues with a wind shift
into the e-ne. At this point, winds are expected to remain below sca
levels (aob 15 kts). Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Weak onshore flow continues for the rest of the week as a frontal
boundary stalls across the area. This will also act as a trigger for
sct late day convection as well.

Climate
Heat wave is expected to continue through Sunday. The 2nd half
of july is climatologically the hottest few weeks of the year,
so we still may not set any daily records at our main climate
sites. For reference, record highs for today and Sunday are
listed below:
* date: sat(7 22) sun(7 23)
* ric: 103 1952 103 1952
* orf: 102 2011 103 2011
* sby: 104 1930 103 2011
* ecg: 104 1952 104 1952

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... Heat advisory from 10 am this morning to 8 pm edt this evening
for ncz012>017-030>032-102.

Va... Heat advisory from 10 am this morning to 8 pm edt this evening
for vaz065>068-078>090-092-093-095>100-512>516-518-520-
523>525.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Ajz lkb
short term... Lkb mam
long term... Mpr
aviation... Mam
marine... Ajb mpr
climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 15 mi47 min SW 17 G 22 82°F 60°F1010.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 16 mi59 min 62°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 20 mi54 min 72°F3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 36 mi47 min SW 5.1 G 9.9 82°F 82°F1008.8 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 41 mi47 min SSW 15 G 25 83°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 42 mi59 min 71°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 43 mi47 min SW 21 G 24 82°F 84°F1011.2 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 43 mi47 min SSW 9.9 G 17 83°F 1008.6 hPa
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 44 mi47 min SW 22 G 29 83°F 78°F1008.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 46 mi47 min 82°F1008.8 hPa
44064 46 mi39 min 18 G 21 82°F 1008.5 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi47 min SW 20 G 22 83°F 1008.4 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC5 mi64 minSW 810.00 miFair82°F74°F79%1010.8 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC13 mi65 minSSW 910.00 miFair80°F77°F90%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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SW8SW8SW6SW8CalmSW6S6SW7SW8SW7
1 day agoSW4SW3SW3SW3SW4SW5SW4SW4SW3SW4SW5S4SW10S5SW6SW4CalmCalmS3SW4SW5SW6SW4SW4
2 days agoW4SW3CalmCalmCalmSW4W4W3CalmCalmCalmS3S3S3S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3S3SW4SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     New Moon
Sun -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:54 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:52 PM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     4.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.5-0.4-0.7-0.30.51.72.93.73.93.62.91.70.5-0.4-0.7-0.30.61.93.34.44.94.84.13

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:02 AM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     New Moon
Sun -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:57 AM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:57 PM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     4.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.7-0.1-0.4-0.20.51.62.63.43.63.42.71.70.6-0.2-0.4-0.20.61.834.14.64.53.92.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.