Wednesday, March20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Coinjock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 7:17PM Wednesday March 20, 2019 5:39 PM EDT (21:39 UTC) Moonrise 5:59PMMoonset 6:08AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 341 Pm Edt Wed Mar 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Through 7 pm..NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves 1 foot. Rain.
Tonight..E winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves 1 foot. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the late evening and early morning.
Thu..SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. Rain.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 341 Pm Edt Wed Mar 20 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure off the carolina coast moves north through the local area tonight through Thursday. The area of low pressure deepens as it moves into new england on Friday. High pressure returns on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coinjock, NC
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location: 36.34, -75.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 201935
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
335 pm edt Wed mar 20 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure along the nc coast this evening moves north
through the local area tonight through Thursday. Drier weather
is expected Friday through the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

clouds continuing to slowly push N into NRN areas early this
evening as areas of mainly lgt ra spread N through SRN and se
areas. Coverage intensity to the ra expected to increase
overnight as sfc lo pres tracks N just inland across ERN nc. By
late tonight... Pops will be 80-90%. Lows will be in the 40s most
areas... However readings will likely rise overnight across the
se (into the 50s). Instability looks minimal even in the se
zones overnight so did not include any tstms at this time. Qpf
amounts through sunrise Thu will avg 0.50" to 0.75". Ene winds
gusty to 25 mph INVOF SE va-ne nc... Less elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Friday night
As of 245 pm edt Wednesday...

sfc lo pres is forecast to be near the va nc border at
12z 21... Then push N rather rapidly between the i-95 corridor
and the bay... Into eastern md (west of the bay) by 21z 21. This
track would tend to shut off the bulk of the moderate heavy rain
by the afternoon... ESP S and SW as a dry slot trails the sfc lo
pres. Isold tstms could occur in the SE Thu morning... But
better instability stays just off to the SE over the gulf stream
so did not include any TSTM mention. Highs mainly in the
l-m50s... Excep l60s possible over far SE va-ne nc. Additional
qpf will be 0.25" or less except over the E NE where an
additional 0.50" will be possible.

Drying out Thu night... However W a potent S W aloft passing
through the area... Conditions to stay generally be mostly
cloudy with a chance for a few showers N and become partly
cloudy s. Lows mainly in the 40s (some upper 30s possible W of
i-95).

Vrb clouds partly sunny N and central areas... Mostly sunny far
s and SE Fri W gusty wnw winds to 25-40 mph. A final trailing
s W aloft is then expected to dive SE from the upper midwest and
will keep ~20% pop in the aftn across the N and ne. Highs in
the m-u50s N to the l60s central and s. Mostly skc Fri night
with lows in the 30s (w winds lowering... ESP inland).

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
As of 225 pm edt Wednesday...

sfc hi pres and dry wx settle over the local area for the
weekend (though a bit breezy into sat... Esp ERN portions). By
mon... That sfc hi pres will be off the SE CONUS coast while lo
pres and its associated cold front will be starting to take
shape gather moisture from the oh valley to the lower ms valley.

The cold front will be pushing S through the area Mon night
into Tue morning W a trailing area of lo pres tracking by to
the S as colder sfc hi pres builds SE out of canada. The 12z 20
continues to show potential for mixed pcpn Tue afternoon evening
as lo pres exits the carolina coast... But remain wary of that
possibility given the fact that each time cold air has chased ra
this winter... There was very little or no sn. Maintained pops
to 50-80% (for ra) across much of the fa Mon night into tue
morning then begin to taper the pops down from NW to SE into tue
night. Dry cool wx expected wed.

Highs Sat in the l50s at the coast in va-md to the u50s around
60 f inland. Lows Sat night in the l-m30s inland to 40-45f at
the coast. Highs Sun in the u50s-l60s near the bay and on the
ern shore to the u60s-l70s elsewhere. Lows Sun night in the
m-u40s. Highs Mon from 60-65f near the bay and on the ERN shore
to the u60s-l70s inland. Lows Mon night in the u30s NW to 45-50f
se. Highs Tue in the m-u40s N and NW to mainly the m50s se.

Highs Wed in the u40s-l50s N and NE to the m50s s.

Aviation 20z Wednesday through Monday
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

vfr conditions are present this afternoon as a coastal low begins to
form off the carolina coast. Clouds and light showers have spread
north to kecg korf kphf. CIGS remain at 4-6k ft at those sites. The
low pressure will move north this evening and bring wide spread rain
to the area. MVFR condition will begin at kecg around 22z and spread
north through this evening. Ifr CIGS will likely move into all sites
tonight except kecg. CIGS will remain 400-800ft for most of the
night and into early Thursday morning. Vis will also be reduce to
around 2sm in heavier rain showers. MVFR conditions will slowly
return to the area during the late morning. Winds will be around
10kt tonight and increase as the low tracks along i-95. Winds will
be 10-15kt with gust up to 25kt. Kric winds will remain 5-10kt
through the TAF period as the low is forecast to track inland.

Drier air arrives from the NW Thursday night. However, a secondary
trough drops across the region Friday, which has the potential to
bring a gusty NW wind, clouds, and a few light showers. High
pressure builds across the region Saturday into Sunday.

Marine
As of 330 pm edt Wednesday...

late aftn sfc analysis shows 1030 mb high pressure centered just off
the new england coast, with sfc ridging extending SW into the va
piedmont. Developing low pressure was located a few hundred miles s
of CAPE hatteras. There were a few gusts to 20-25 kt over the lower
bay lower james river (and S into NE nc) this morning, but winds
have diminished to 10-15 kt this aftn (w only occasional gusts
to 20 kt from the lower bay S to NE nc). Seas are around 4 ft n
of CAPE charles, with 5-6 ft seas to the s. There may be a
slight increase in winds from 21z-03z this evening over the ches
bay lower james river before winds briefly die down.

Winds veer to the E and increase once again by 09z Thu as the
aforementioned area of low pressure moves northward into ERN nc.

In addition, seas likely build to around 5 ft by late
evening early tonight. Winds turn more southeasterly by 12-15z
thu as the low tracks into south-central southeast va. Expect
winds to increase to 15-20 kt (with gusts to 25 kt) across all
areas (except for the upper rivers) by Thu am. Seas build to 5-7
ft across most areas on thu, with 8 ft seas possible. The low
moves just W of the lower md ERN shore by 21-00z thu. This will
allow winds to turn to the W by Thu evening (and remain westerly
thu night). Seas remain in the AOA 5 ft across all ocean zones
through Fri am, so went ahead and extended all scas through 7 am
fri for the ocean. Hoisted scas for the ches bay lower james
river from early Thu am-4 pm Thu (expiring at 1 pm Thu for the
currituck sound). There is a possibility that W winds increase
to 15-20 kt on the bay late Thu night, but not enough confidence
to extend scas out that far attm.

Still expecting period of SCA winds Friday afternoon into Saturday
as a secondary surge of CAA arrives from the nw. Guidance
continues to show the potential for higher end SCA conditions
during this period with gusts approaching low-end gale
territory across the northern ocean zones. Conditions drop below
sca thresholds by 06-12z Sunday as the pressure gradient
slackens and high pressure builds overhead. SCA conditions
likely return by Tue as a strong cold front (for late march)
crosses the waters.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 am to 4 pm edt Thursday for anz632-
634-638.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm edt Thursday for anz633.

Small craft advisory from 7 am to 4 pm edt Thursday for anz630-
631.

Small craft advisory from 1 am Thursday to 7 am edt Friday for
anz650-652-654.

Small craft advisory until 7 am edt Friday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Cp
marine... Eri rhr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 15 mi52 min NNE 16 G 17 47°F 48°F1021.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 16 mi40 min 47°F6 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 20 mi55 min 47°F7 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 36 mi58 min NE 7 G 11 48°F 51°F1023.3 hPa
44086 37 mi45 min 49°F10 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 41 mi40 min 46°F5 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 41 mi52 min NE 16 G 19 46°F 1021.8 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 43 mi52 min NE 13 G 17 47°F 1023.4 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 43 mi58 min NNE 5.1 G 7 52°F 49°F1021.1 hPa
44064 46 mi40 min ENE 16 G 18 46°F 47°F2 ft1023.6 hPa (-2.2)
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 46 mi58 min 50°F1023.7 hPa
CHBV2 48 mi58 min ENE 16 G 19 47°F 1022.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi58 min NE 12 G 15 47°F 1022.8 hPa
44087 49 mi40 min 47°F2 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC5 mi60 minno data3.00 miLight Rain47°F46°F100%1023 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC13 mi46 minN 114.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist48°F46°F93%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:27 AM EDT     -0.75 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:42 AM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:57 PM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:04 PM EDT     4.20 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.7-0.7-012.33.44.14.23.72.81.60.5-0.4-0.7-0.30.61.833.84.23.93.12

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:23 AM EDT     -0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:38 AM EDT     4.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:56 PM EDT     -0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:04 PM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.7-0.6-012.23.444.13.72.81.60.4-0.5-0.7-0.40.41.62.83.74.13.83.12

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.