Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Coinjock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:14PM Sunday May 26, 2019 11:36 AM EDT (15:36 UTC) Moonrise 12:48AMMoonset 11:42AM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 944 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Rest of today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt early this afternoon, then becoming se late. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 944 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure becomes centered off the southeast coast later today. A weak backdoor cold front pushes south across the waters late tonight into memorial day, and lifts back north as a warm front on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coinjock, NC
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location: 36.34, -75.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 261044
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
644 am edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A warm front will push east and off the coast this morning. A
weak cold front will drop across the region tonight into
memorial day before return back north of the area on Tuesday,
followed by a big warm up for the remainder of the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 415 am edt Sunday...

isolated to sctd showers and tstms associated with a warm front
were pushing thru extrm ERN sern counties early this morning.

This pcpn and warm front will slide off the coast later this
morning. Otherwise, the sky was clear to partly cloudy over the
area with temps ranging fm the upper 60s to mid 70s.

The upper ridge is back over the area for much of today, as a
cold front is well to the north. This should lead to hot and
mostly sunny conditions across the region. But will need to
watch for developing convective complexes to the nnw, as a
couple shortwave troughs slide across the northern periphery of
the ridge. This may allow some additional storms to move into
extrm NRN counties very late this aftn into early this evening.

Highs will range fm the upper 80s to mid 90s for most areas, but
a bit cooler near the water.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday
As of 425 am edt Sunday...

with the upper level ridge getting knocked back south a little
because of a few shortwave troughs, more convection is possible
tonight into mon, as the frontal boundary pushes back to the
south. Expecting the best chances for showers tstms to drop into
most of the region, will be after 8 pm this evening. The highest
chances will be acrs the NRN half of the area, with 30-40% pops
at this time. This activity will move ese down thru most of the
cwa this evening into early Mon morning. SPC has our NRN half of
the CWA in a slight risk for severe tstms, with damaging winds
and large hail the primary threats.

The front will remain south of the area during mon, with a
partly to mostly sunny sky and not as hot temps expected. Mainly
just a slight chance for a shower or tstm. Highs on Mon will
range thru the 80s to near 90, cooler near the water.

The warm front will lift back north acrs the area Mon night into
tue morning. Limited forcing expected with the boundary, but
will still carry a slight or sml chance of a shower or tstm.

The front will push ene of the region on tue, with a lingering
slight sml chance of pcpn mainly in the morning in the ene.

Otherwise, partly to mostly sunny with highs mostly ranging fm
the mid 80s to lower 90s.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 415 pm edt Saturday...

the story for the extended period will be the heat across the
region. An upper level ridge remains in control at the start of the
forecast period, amplifying across the region on Wednesday. With wsw
to SW downsloping flow during the day and 850mb temps in the 20-23c
range, expect temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 90s across
much of the area on Wednesday. Temperatures may even touch 100
degrees, especially across far southern portions of the fa. Our one
saving grace is that dewpoints look to generally stay in the lower
to mid 60s on Wednesday, so am not expecting heat indices to be much
of a factor. A stray shower or storm could also potentially limit
daytime highs on Wednesday, though with an amplifying ridge aloft
and building high pressure at the surface am expect any shower
potential to be very limited. Low temperatures on Wednesday night
only drop into the low to mid 70s.

By Thursday, the upper level ridge axis begins to break down push
east of the local area as a more potent shortwave develops and moves
across the midwest and great lakes. Thursday will likely be another
very hot day with temperatures making it up into the mid 90s across
much of the area. Shower and thunderstorm chances will be on the
increase as the shortwave and associated cold front approach and
cross the region late Thursday into early Friday. This boundary then
stalls lingers near to just south of the region into the weekend
bringing the potential for more unsettled conditions. Temperatures
cool down slightly Friday into the weekend, but are still expected
to remain above average as highs in the mid to upper 80s are
anticipated.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 300 am edt Sunday...

expecting generallyVFR conditions at the TAF sites today into
mon morning. However, there could be brief MVFR conditions at
sby and possibly ric late this evening into very early mon
morning, due to sctd tstms (highest pops) moving thru that area.

There is a lower chc of showers tstms at phf orf, with the
lowest chc at ecg during this time period. SW winds mainly 5-10
kt early this morning, will become NW or W during today, and
likely onshore (ne) at orf this aftn. Outside of tstms, winds
will become generally light and variable tonight, then NW or n
by Mon morning.

Outlook:
mainlyVFR conditions expected Mon thru tue, with slight to sml
chc of a shower or tstm.

Marine
As of 630 am edt Sunday...

weak frontal boundary has been the focus for ongoing convection
early this morning, and this is now beginning to diminish and
shift off the coast. Will allow the SCA headlines to expire with
the 7am update. Waves are around 2 ft in the bay with seas 3-4
ft on the coastal waters.

Winds shift to the wsw around 10 kt by later this morning, then
potentially become variable at only around 5 kt midday, before
turning onshore and to the se, increasing to ~10 kt by late
aftn and this evening. Waves seas will slowly diminish a bit
this aftn, to 1-2 ft in the bay and to ~3 ft on the coastal
waters. Another (weak) front drops through later tonight into
mon with tstms possible and winds then becoming NW and veering
to the NE for memorial day. Some modestly cooler air in the wake
of this front but not enough for winds much more than 10-15 kt.

Winds then turn back around to the S Mon night through Tue wed.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 630 am edt Sunday...

due to onshore flow from yesterday and no ebb tides at the mouth
of the chesapeake bay, departures in the mid upper bay are
currently 1.5 ft or greater. With the upcoming tide this
morning, expect some minor flooding for the md eastern shore.

Have issued a coastal flood advisory to cover this. Outgoing
tides in the lower bay are expected to significantly increase by
this aftn so expect the departures to fall off rather quickly
after this morning with no additional flooding anticipated.

Climate
As of 345 am edt Sunday...

* records for today Sun 5 26:
* richmond: 94 (1991) (record high min 70 in 2011)
* norfolk: 98 (1880) (record high min 74 in 2011)
* salisbury: 92 (2011) (record high min 69 in 1984)
* eliz city: 95 (1953) (record high min 74 in 2011)
* number of days of 90f+ in may:
* site avg 2019 (thru 5 25) most (year)
* richmond: 2 days 3 days 11 days (1962)
* norfolk: 2 days 2 days 13 days (1880)
* salisbury: 1 day none so far 7 days (1991)
* eliz city: 2 days 4 days 9 days (1944)

Equipment
As of 400 am edt Sunday...

kakq 88d radar is offline due to a transmitter error. Technicians
are awaiting parts for needed repairs. No return to service time
is available. See ftmakq for details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 1 pm edt this afternoon for
mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am edt this morning for
anz630>632-634-638.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Tmg
short term... Ess tmg
long term... Alb
aviation... Tmg
marine... Lkb rhr
tides coastal flooding... Lkb
climate... Akq
equipment... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRFN7 15 mi96 min 3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 15 mi42 min WSW 9.9 G 15 80°F 62°F1017.8 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 16 mi36 min 67°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 20 mi36 min 72°F3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 36 mi42 min WNW 5.1 G 8.9 84°F 77°F1017.2 hPa
44086 37 mi41 min 71°F4 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 41 mi36 min 71°F3 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 41 mi42 min WNW 7 G 9.9 80°F 1017.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 43 mi42 min W 6 G 9.9 85°F 1017.2 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 43 mi42 min SSW 16 G 20 76°F 76°F1018.3 hPa
44064 46 mi46 min W 5.8 G 7.8 76°F 1017.2 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 46 mi42 min 75°F1017.4 hPa
CHBV2 48 mi42 min W 8 G 8.9 77°F 1016.6 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi42 min WSW 7 G 8.9 79°F 1016.6 hPa
44087 49 mi36 min 74°F1 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC5 mi56 minno data10.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F75°F76%1017.9 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC13 mi42 minW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F73°F65%1017.7 hPa

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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:29 AM EDT     3.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:58 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:05 PM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.23.22.92.41.81.20.80.70.91.31.92.52.93.132.62.11.51.10.90.91.31.8

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:22 AM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:05 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:08 PM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.92.92.72.31.71.10.60.40.50.91.422.52.62.62.421.51.10.80.91.11.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.