Sunrise 6:30 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 3:01 PM   Moonset 3:39 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

FXUS64 KLZK 191933 AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 233 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 232 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Surface cold front has pushed thru the region, and notably cooler and drier air was filtering into the region. Overnight lows tonight will bottom out in the 40's across the north and in the western mountains, and generally in the lower 50's elsewhere.

The front will stall south of the forecast area, while another shortwave ripples across the area. With abundant moisture in place, additional showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow.

The weather should start to improve on Sunday as high pressure builds into the area in earnest.

LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 232 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY/TUESDAY:

An upper lvl trof will be in the process of exiting the region over the Ohio River Valley region of the CONUS with overall slight ridging in place before the next trof approaches the state on Tuesday. In tandem with these upper lvl features, the sfc features of a sfc high pressure center moving into the region and the next cold front on the doorstep to Arkansas from the northwest will keep quiet and dry weather across most of the state to begin the work- week through mid-week with the outside possibility of some showers and thunderstorms across northern Arkansas on Tuesday due to the pending cold front arrival to the Natural State from the northwest.
Temperatures over this period begin with lows below normal (a portion of northern Arkansas may experience temperatures in the upper 30s on Sunday night/Monday morning) with a slight increase each day into the 40s/50s across the state near normal. Likewise, high temperatures will on Monday will begin below normal in the 60s/70s on Monday afternoon, but rebound quickly for the remainder of the period into the 70s across the state near normal for this time of the year.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY/NEXT FRIDAY:

An unsettled weather pattern begins with copious chances for showers and thunderstorms. An upper lvl positively tilted trof axis approaches the state, then overall ridging will slide eastward to include northwesterly flow over Arkansas. At the sfc, a cold front that will move through the state on Tuesday night will begin to meander back across the ARK-LA-TEX region as a stationary front keeping increased POP chances elevated, especially across western Arkansas on Wednesday into Thursday. By next Friday, the stationary boundary will lift northeastward as a warm front across the entire state and POP chances along with the opportunity for thunderstorm activity will increase. Temperatures over this three day period will trend near normal to slightly above normal with lows in the 50s/60s statewide transitioning into afternoon high temperatures that will be in the 70s/80s, expect a gradual increase each day with respect to both low and high temperatures.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 50 64 46 66 / 20 30 20 0 Camden AR 49 56 46 64 / 50 90 80 20 Harrison AR 44 63 41 63 / 10 20 10 0 Hot Springs AR 48 57 47 66 / 40 80 60 10 Little Rock AR 52 62 50 67 / 30 70 50 10 Monticello AR 52 58 49 63 / 40 90 90 20 Mount Ida AR 47 58 45 66 / 40 80 60 0 Mountain Home AR 44 66 42 65 / 10 20 10 0 Newport AR 51 64 48 64 / 20 30 20 10 Pine Bluff AR 52 58 49 64 / 30 80 70 10 Russellville AR 51 62 46 68 / 30 50 30 0 Searcy AR 50 62 46 66 / 20 50 30 0 Stuttgart AR 53 59 50 63 / 30 70 50 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Springfield, MO,