Monday, June17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Moyock, NC

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:26PM Monday June 17, 2019 7:24 AM EDT (11:24 UTC) Moonrise 7:52PMMoonset 5:00AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 700 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2019
Today..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..NE winds 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 700 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will remain anchored off the southeast coast today through Thursday. A weak frontal boundary approaches from the northwest today and Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moyock CDP, NC
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location: 36.5, -76.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 171050
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
650 am edt Mon jun 17 2019

Synopsis
High pressure anchored off the southeast coast for most of the
upcoming week. A weak frontal boundary approaches from the
northwest today into Tuesday bringing a chance for showers and
storms to the region.

Near term through tonight
As of 650 am edt Monday...

early morning surface analysis shows high pressure off the southeast
coast and generally zonal flow aloft across the mid atlantic
states. Temperatures this morning are in the upper 60s and low
70s with mostly clear skies noted. Southwesterly surface winds
will continue to bring low level moisture northward today while
a weak surface boundary slowly meanders north of the region.

Strong heating and generally clear skies through the morning will
allow instability to build into the afternoon hours. High
temperatures will be quite warm today with low 90s expected for all
areas except along the immediate coast and eastern shore where some
upper 80s are possible. While a belt of enhanced westerly flow will
generally stay north of the local area today, subtle perturbations
in the flow aloft will allow showers and storms to develop this
afternoon. The greater chance for storm organization will
materialize across our northern tier of virginia counties
eastward to the md eastern shore, closer to the enhanced winds
aloft. Strong straight line winds and a few isolated instances
of large hail are more likely in these areas. SPC has outlined a
slight risk area across the far north with a marginal risk
extending south to roughly the highway 460 corridor. Areas to
the south of the marginal risk will be well removed from the
stronger flow aloft and severe weather is correspondingly less
likely in this region, though a few of the stronger thunderstorm
cores this afternoon will be capable of generating briefly
gusty winds and heavy rain. Rain chances will become relegated
to the northern tier after sunset and should wane completely
everywhere by midnight. Lows in the upper 60s and low to mid
70s.

Short term Tuesday through Thursday night
As of 350 am edt Monday...

Tuesday will be much like Monday with the front inching closer the
area. Slightly increased shower and storms chances are forecast
Tuesday with the potential for a few strong storms across the region
once again. SPC has included the entire area in a marginal risk for
severe storms with strong gusty winds remaining the mostly likely
severe hazard. Highs Tuesday will be modestly cooler than Monday due
to greater chances for rain and increased cloud cover with
upper 80s and low 90s forecast.

Unsettled weather pattern continues for Wednesday with
continued moist SW flow, strong daytime heating, and transient
shortwave disturbances allowing for scattered showers and
storms. Model guidance is trending toward a better defined
system traversing the region Thursday with another shot at
strong to severe storms. Highs each day in the upper 80s and low
90s with overnight lows remaining in the upper 60s and low 70s.

Long term Friday through Sunday
As of 330 pm edt Sunday...

a shortwave will be moving off the coast Wednesday night with a
few linger showers. Another trough will be deepening in the
central ms river valley and expected to move east into our area.

This will bring a decent chance of showers thunderstorms
(50-60% along a weak cold front) later Thursday afternoon and
into Friday morning as a sfc low tracks over pa and off the nj
coast. A ridge aloft will build over the western great lakes as
the trough moves off the mid atlantic coast, putting the area in
a NW flow aloft. This will dry us out over the weekend with
slightly drier air at the sfc as well. There may be storms
moving SE out of the mountains Sunday in the NW flow, mainly ne
of i-64.

Guidance have been increasing the temperatures for Thursday
ahead of the cold front, highs will be near 90 to the low 90s.

Behind the front, highs will be in the mid to upper 80s fri-sun.

Beaches will be cooler on Saturday with an onshore flow (highs
ranging from upper 70s to low 80s).

Aviation 10z Monday through Friday
As of 650 am edt Sunday...

generally expectingVFR flying weather this morning with an
increasing chance for showers and storms by afternoon,
especially across the northern tier from ric to sby. Scattered
storms are possible area-wide this afternoon but only confident
enough to include vcsh at sby in the TAF at this time. SW winds
generally at or below 10 knots today, except variable and gusty
in and around thunderstorms.

Outlook: sct diurnal convection psbl thru most of the week.

Greatest chcs will be north of a ric-sby line.

Marine
As of 350 am edt Monday...

high pressure is centered well off the southeast coast early
this morning. A SW wind of 10-15kt is occurring across the area,
with 2-3ft seas s, 3-4ft seas n, and 1-2ft waves in the bay.

The wind will remain 10-15kt today and shift to s. Seas across
the N will subside to 2-3ft. High pressure remains anchored off
the southeast coast tonight through Thursday, as a stationary
boundary remains to the nw. At this time, sub-sca conditions are
expected to prevail with a SW wind averaging 10-15kt, and
seas waves averaging 2- 3ft 1-2ft. There is an increasing chc of
aftn evening showers tstms today through Thursday. There is
also a potential for nocturnal wind shifts to N NW (especially
across the NRN portion of the marine area) in the wake of any
organized convective systems, and then will return to se, s,
then sw. 17 00z numerical models bring a weak cold front through
the region late Thursday night into early Friday resulting in a
wind shift to nw, with sub-sca conditions continuing.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mam rhr
near term... Rhr
short term... Rhr
long term... Cp
aviation... Mpr rhr
marine... Ajz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 31 mi24 min 62°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 34 mi24 min 72°F2 ft
44064 35 mi34 min WSW 14 G 16 76°F 1015.1 hPa
44087 36 mi24 min 73°F1 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 37 mi54 min 73°F2 ft
44072 49 mi34 min 75°F

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC10 mi44 minno data10.00 miFair74°F67°F82%1016.9 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA14 mi29 minS 67.00 miFair72°F67°F86%1016.3 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC17 mi30 minSSW 610.00 miFair76°F66°F74%1016.8 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi28 minSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F66°F79%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:26 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:31 AM EDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:19 AM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:16 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:40 PM EDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.3-0.2-0.10.41.32.333.53.42.821.10.3-0.100.61.62.73.64.24.33.93.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sandbridge, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.