Saturday, June23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Moyock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:27PM Saturday June 23, 2018 4:20 AM EDT (08:20 UTC) Moonrise 3:20PMMoonset 1:55AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 322 Am Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Through 7 am..Variable winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of showers.
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..E winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..S winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 322 Am Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A front over the southern chesapeake bay this morning will slowly lift northward as a warm front today. A cold front crosses the waters Sunday night. High pressure builds across the waters early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moyock CDP, NC
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location: 36.5, -76.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 230710
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
310 am edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will gradually lift north as a warm front
overnight into Saturday morning. A cold front will approach
from the northwest late in the weekend, before dropping across
the area late Sunday into Monday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1215 am edt Saturday...

flash flood watch has been allowed to expire. Heavy rain threat
has ended for the night for all but eastern tidewater area. Will
handle any threats this morning with hydro advisories warnings
or statements. Pops drop off quickly after 06z along coastal se
va.

Previous discussion...

latest analysis reveals quasi-stationary boundary draped across
south central va back into W va S wv. Weakening upper low over
the ohio valley continues to gradually lift ene toward the
interior northeast. Several shortwaves pinwheeled east across
the northeast mid-atlantic region, with convection developing
largely as anticipated by the arw and time-lagged hrrr this
afternoon. Several strong to severe storms across central and se
va have given way to a second round of showers producing locally
heavy rainfall across the local area. Have dropped flash flood
watch across piedmont, with showers tapering off over western
tier of the cwa.

As for the overnight, potential for heavy rain continues into
the early morning hours, but should diminish after 06-08z. Low
clouds and patchy fog, with areas of fog west of i-95. Early
morning lows in the 60s to low 70s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Monday
As of 345 pm edt Friday...

the frontal boundary will lift north of the area by sat
morning. The highest pops will shift to the northern counties
late tonight into Sat morning. Ssw winds will pick up across the
the region Sat aftn. This along with a mix of Sun and clouds
will push temps back into the upper 80s to lower 90s over most
areas. The heat index across southeast va and northeast nc will
run around 100-102 degrees with mid to upper 90 heat indices
elsewhere. A shortwave trough is progged to cross the region in
the aftn evening that could touch off a line of mainly diurnally
driven tstms. A sfc trough weak cold front will move acrs the
area late Sat night thru Sun morning, with an actual cold front
then dropping acrs the region Sun night into Mon morning. Have
maintained chance pops with the trough overhead possibly kicking
off scattered showers tstms. Highs on Sun in the upper 80s to
lower 90s. Monday will be dry and cooler behind the front.

Long term Monday night through Friday
As of 340 pm edt Friday...

a ridge of high pressure builds in from the north on Tuesday as
a cold front and rain exit well to the south. This will provide
drier and cooler weather with afternoon highs in the low to
middle 80s. Dewpoints in the lower 60s will aid in making
Tuesday even more pleasant... Much different than the upper
70 near 80 degree dewpoints we have been experiencing.

Mid-level troughing arrives as high pressure moves offshore
Wednesday, and the GFS tries to spark showers and thunderstorms over
the northwest corner of our CWA in the afternoon. The euro keeps wet
weather slightly further west. Like most rain events this time of
year, these appear to be diurnally driven, dissipating by late
evening. Highs Wednesday will return to the upper 80s. Models
diverge in solutions regarding timing placement of rain Thursday and
Friday, but expect better chances mid-morning Thursday and again
Friday afternoon.

Temperatures by Thursday will warm into the lower 90s and push the
mid 90s by Friday. With southerly winds in play, expect muggy
conditions and nighttime temperatures in the lower 70s.

Aviation 07z Saturday through Wednesday
As of 210 am edt Saturday...

early this morning, weak low pressure was over SE va along a
warm front. That low will lift NE thru this morning, pulling the
warm front north of the area. Until the front lifts north of the
region, expect ifr CIGS to continue at ric and sby, and possibly
MVFR ifr CIGS at phf. Then, increasing ssw winds will improve
conditions CIGS toVFR everywhere by late this morning. More
sctd showers tstms will be possible late this aftn into this
evening, as a sfc trough weak cold front pushes into the region
fm the west. An actual cold front will then cross the area sun
evening into Mon morning, with isolated to sctd showers or tstms
possible. Drier conditions arrive early next week.

Marine
As of 300 am edt Saturday...

latest msas has a frontal boundary nearly stationary across the
james river and southern ches bay. Winds have been just about every
direction possible over the past several hours due to the numerous
rounds of shwrs tstms. The boundary is progged to lift north as a
warm front today allowing winds to become sse most areas as the day
progresses. Speeds remain blo 20 kts, so no SCA for winds expected.

However, seas across the northern coastal waters will avg 4 to 6 ft
(highest out near 20 nm) through tonight so went ahead and extended
the SCA there mainly for seas thru 10z sun. Despite the southerly
wind direction, wna has backed off a bit on seasso held off on any
sca's there due to the lower confidence.

A cold front will move across the waters Sun night, shifting winds
to the north by mon, NE Mon nite then ese tue. No real big push of
cold air seen ATTM so kept winds seas blo SCA levels for now.

Climate
Ric ended up with 7.61 inches of rain Friday. See rerric for details.

This is the second all time daily rainfall record at ric. The all-
time daily rainfall record at ric is 8.79 inches set on august 12,
1955 associated with hurricane connie.

In addition, orf set a new daily rainfall record of 2.28 inches Friday.

See rerorf for details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Sunday for anz650-652.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Tmg
short term... Tmg jao
long term... Bms eri
aviation... Tmg
marine... Mpr
climate... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 21 mi51 min SSW 4.1 G 5.1 73°F 83°F1009.1 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 29 mi51 min S 8.9 G 11 74°F 1009.3 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 30 mi51 min SSW 8 G 12 73°F 1007.4 hPa
FRFN7 31 mi141 min 2 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 31 mi51 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 74°F 68°F1010.6 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 31 mi51 min 74°F3 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 32 mi51 min 80°F
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 34 mi36 min 79°F3 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 34 mi51 min S 13 G 14 74°F 1008.5 hPa
44064 35 mi41 min SW 14 G 16 75°F 1008.8 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 35 mi51 min S 11 G 13 75°F 1009.4 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 37 mi51 min 77°F4 ft
CHBV2 37 mi57 min SSW 14 G 16 75°F 1008.2 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 47 mi57 min S 12 G 14 78°F
44072 49 mi51 min SW 18 G 19 77°F

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC10 mi46 minno data7.00 miRain78°F71°F82%1010.8 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA14 mi46 minSSW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F69°F95%1009.8 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC17 mi27 minSSE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F73°F94%1010.2 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi85 minN 06.00 miLight Rain72°F68°F87%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:41 AM EDT     3.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:52 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:20 PM EDT     4.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:54 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.51.222.73.13.22.92.31.50.70.20.10.31233.84.143.62.71.70.90.4

Tide / Current Tables for Sandbridge, Virginia
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Sandbridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:40 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:48 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:19 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:50 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.51.11.92.52.92.92.72.11.40.60.20.10.311.92.83.53.83.73.32.51.60.80.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.