Thursday, October18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sunbury, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 6:26PM Thursday October 18, 2018 12:34 AM EDT (04:34 UTC) Moonrise 2:31PMMoonset 12:15AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ638 James River From James River Bridge To Hampton Roads Bridge- Tunnel- 1149 Pm Edt Wed Oct 17 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am edt Thursday...
Overnight..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..NW winds 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 1149 Pm Edt Wed Oct 17 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds into the mid atlantic region from the northwest through tonight. High pressure remains over the region Thursday and Friday. The next cold front crosses the local area Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunbury, NC
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location: 36.54, -76.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 180000
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
800 pm edt Wed oct 17 2018

Synopsis
Canadian high pressure builds into the mid-atlantic region from
the north tonight. High pressure remains over the area Thursday
and Friday. The next cold front crosses the region Saturday.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 800 pm edt Wednesday...

current WV imagery shows a weakening shortwave dropping through
the base of a rather progressive upper level trough, currently
digging across the eastern great lakes into the northeast. At
the surface, cool 1032+mb canadian high pressure is centered
over the middle and upper mississippi river valley, and is
building ewd through the ohio valley. Still mild this evening in
out ahead of a quick moving cool front, with early evening
temperatures in the 50s and 60s, though a few 40s now noted over
the NW piedmont counties into the blue ridge.

Caa will arrive overnight tonight as the high builds into the
mid- atlantic region. This will result in some shallow mixing,
which should slow the fall of temperatures, and preclude frost
formation tonight, aside from typically protected valleys in
the WRN tier piedmont counties. Nevertheless, even with the mild
start to the evening, expect temperatures will still be cool
overnight with lows in the mid-upper 30s to low 40s for the
piedmont into portions of the interior coastal plain and mid 40s
to low 50s at to the coast of SE va NE nc.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Saturday
As of 400 pm edt Wednesday...

sunny and cool Thursday with high pressure over the region.

Highs are forecast to be in the upper 50s to around 60f, with
dewpoints in the upper 20s to low 30s. Thursday night into
Friday morning will be the coldest of the season so far as
1030mb high pressure settles over the region. Forecast lows are
in the low mid 30s for the piedmont, interior coastal plain, and
interior md ERN shore. Some colder locations potentially could
drop to 32f given ideal radiational cooling conditions and a dry
airmass. Patchy frost has been maintained, but frost could
potentially be more widespread, especially for the interior
coastal plain and piedmont. Elsewhere, lows should be in the
upper 30s to low 40s, with mid 40s at the coast in SE va NE nc.

High pressure gradually slides offshore by Friday aftn. Mostly
sunny with highs in the low to mid 60s.

A cold front approaches from the NW Friday evening, and pushes
across the region later Friday night through midday Saturday.

Pops are ~60-70% for showers, with mainly light QPF of 0.25" or
less. Milder Friday night with lows in the 50s, with highs in
the upper 60s to around 70f Saturday.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

forecast period begins with a rather progressive upper trough
dropping across the northeastern CONUS from the great lakes.

Associated surface cold front pushes offshore Sat night into
early Sunday morning. Sky quickly clears out Sat night, as
drier air moves in from the N nw. Lows will range from the low-
mid 40s NW to the low 50s in coastal SE va NE nc.

Expect cool, dry weather to prevail for the remainder of the
medium range period. Low-level CAA continues on Sunday, with
h85 temperatures will range from -1c to -4c Sunday afternoon),
with the surface high pressure to move overhead Sun night. This
results in high temperatures only in the mid-upper 50s on
Sunday. With the high (nearly) overhead, expect a cold night
across the area Sunday night, with mid-upper 30s inland low 40s
along the immediate coast, with temperatures possibly
approaching a freeze over inland spots early Monday morning.

Winds turn back to the south by Mon pm, allowing for a very
modest warm-up for early next week. Low pressure (sfc- aloft)
passes well to our north on Tue tue night. This will drag
another cold front through our area late tue- wed. However, this
will likely be a dry fropa. Highs in the upper 50s-low 60s on
mon rising into the mid 60s area-wide on tue, with morning lows
in the upper 30s-mid 40s on tue.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
As of 800 pm edt Wednesday...

vfr conditions across area terminals this evening will persist
through the 00z TAF period and beyond. Remaining clear tonight
with a light nnw wind for most sites. However, a N wind is
expected to increase to 10-15kt with gusts of 20-25kt at orf
later tonight as a cool front dives south over the region.

Additionally, some sc (mainly 4-6kft) could develop near just
e-ne of phf orf in the form of bay streamer clouds late tonight
and early thu. Cool and dry high pressure prevails Thursday
through Friday.

Outlook: another cold front approaches from the NW Friday night
and moves through the area Saturday. This will bring a high
probability of -ra, along with the potential for lower
cigs vsby. High pressure returns Sunday into Monday.

Marine
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

strong high pressure is in the process of building toward the local
area from the midwest this afternoon, resulting in wnw winds 5-15
kt. As the center of high pressure builds eastward into the oh
valley tonight, we can expect a quick uptick in winds by late this
evening as a decent surge of CAA ensues. NW or N winds will increase
to 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt across most of the waters this
evening and tonight, lasting into Thursday morning. A few gusts to
35 kt cannot be ruled out across the northernmost coastal waters
overnight. Seas will quickly build to 4-6 ft over the coastal waters
tonight and 3-4 ft over the ches bay. Will keep scas as is but will
also add in the upper james river. Winds will gradually diminish
from later Thu morning into Thu night, as the center of the high
moves over the mid atlc region. The high shifts offshore late fri
and Fri night, allowing for increased ssw winds of 10-20 kt, before
another cold front crosses the waters Sat night into Sunday with the
next surge of NW winds 15-25 kt.

Hydrology
As of 1000 am edt Wednesday...

numerous river flood warnings continue on the appomattox
basin. Areal flood warning remains active for locations along
the mattaponi river where the level is still steady at
beulahville. See flwakq flsakq for site-specific details. A
flood warning has been raised for sebrell as minor flooding is
expected by tonight.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt Thursday for anz635>638.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm edt Thursday for anz630>632-
634-650-652-654.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm edt Thursday for anz633.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Thursday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Ajz alb
near term... Ajz mam
short term... Ajz alb
long term... Eri mam
aviation... Ajz mam
marine... Jdm
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 20 mi34 min NW 5.1 G 8 1021.7 hPa (+1.7)
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 26 mi34 min N 12 G 15 62°F 1021.8 hPa (+1.9)
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 29 mi34 min 71°F1021.9 hPa (+2.0)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 29 mi34 min ENE 1.9 G 5.1 62°F 1022.3 hPa (+2.0)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 32 mi34 min N 14 G 16 62°F 1021.4 hPa (+2.3)
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 37 mi34 min NNW 13 G 18 65°F 1020.2 hPa (+1.6)
44087 38 mi34 min 72°F1 ft
44064 38 mi34 min NNE 19 G 21 66°F 72°F1 ft1021.9 hPa (+2.3)
CHBV2 41 mi34 min N 21 G 25 1020.6 hPa (+1.8)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 47 mi34 min N 7 G 8.9 60°F 71°F1022.3 hPa (+2.9)
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 47 mi34 min W 9.9 G 11 66°F 73°F1021.3 hPa (+1.1)
44072 47 mi34 min N 18 G 21 64°F 71°F2 ft
FRFN7 47 mi154 min 1 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 48 mi34 min 72°F1 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 49 mi34 min 72°F2 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA11 mi59 minWNW 410.00 miFair55°F48°F81%1022.3 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA13 mi39 minWNW 47.00 miFair53°F46°F79%1022 hPa
Franklin / J B Rose, VA24 mi59 minWNW 610.00 miFair53°F49°F85%1022.3 hPa

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Last 24hr--CalmE3CalmCalmCalmS3W3W4W6W8NW10W10W8W7W5W6W7W4SW3SW4CalmSW4W3
1 day agoS3SW5SW8SW5SW4SW4CalmN3NE6N8NE6NE11NE9NE11
G14
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2 days agoS3CalmCalmSE5CalmSE5CalmCalmS4S6S7SW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:27 AM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:32 AM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:27 PM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:55 PM EDT     4.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.31.62.12.73.33.63.63.32.82.21.61.31.31.72.22.93.53.943.93.42.72

Tide / Current Tables for Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia
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Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:46 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:55 AM EDT     1.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:09 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.21.522.52.82.92.72.41.91.51.21.11.21.62.12.73.13.23.12.82.41.81.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.