Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Elkhorn, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 6:58PM Monday September 25, 2017 11:57 AM PDT (18:57 UTC) Moonrise 11:07AMMoonset 9:39PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 832 Am Pdt Mon Sep 25 2017
Today..NE winds 5 kt...becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt...becoming S after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue..NE winds 5 kt...becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue night..S winds 5 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..N winds 5 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu..W winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ500 832 Am Pdt Mon Sep 25 2017
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Moderate northwesterly winds will continue over the northern outer waters as high pressure sits over the eastern pacific and a thermal trough resides over california. Winds will begin to decrease on Tuesday as the trough shifts towards the coast.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elkhorn, CA
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location: 36.82, -121.75     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 251730
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
1030 am pdt Mon sep 25 2017

Synopsis Warm offshore pattern will continue at least through
Wednesday with mild nights and breezy winds in the hills. Some
coastal cooling possible by Thursday with a gradual cooling trend
back to more seasonable temperatures by next weekend but with a
continued dry weather pattern.

Discussion As of 08:35 am pdt Monday... Mainly clear skies
prevail over the region again this morning as high pressure builds
over the eastern pacific. With warming conditions aloft, surface
temperatures are generally running a few degrees warmer compared
to 24 hours ago along with slightly lower relative humidity
values. This is setting the stage for the warming trend to
continue today with most areas a few to as much as 8 degrees
warmer than yesterday. With this said, the ongoing forecast for
today remains on track and no updates are needed at this time.

Please see the previous forecast discussion below for additional
details.

Prev discussion As of 3:37 am pdt Monday... Classic september
offshore weather pattern is forecast for much of the upcoming work
week. Synoptic pattern features northerly wind flow aloft with a
thermal trough at the surface over coastal california while the
center of the surface high remains well offshore. Current surface
gradients include 4 mb northerly down the coast with about 6 mb
offshore from the nevada deserts towards the coast. This is
occurring with mostly clear skies to start the day. Winds in the
hills are generally light this morning with lows from the mid 50s
to mid 60s on average, mildest where the winds are strongest.

Humidity values remain under 30 percent for many of the hill
locations so red flag warnings will continue for the north and
east bay hills through at least Wednesday.

Expect warm to locally hot weather today through Wednesday under
offshore wind regime. However, low dewpoints will keep heat
indices and impacts to a minimum along with longer early fall
nights allowing for night time cooling, even for buildings without
ac. To be clear the magnitude and overall set-up of this heat
event is not nearly as extreme as what was observed at the start
of sept.

For tonight, the models are showing another burst of gusty
northeast east winds, strongest over the napa and east bay hills.

Further drying of the airmass will persist right through Tuesday.

The combination of hot day time temps, dry offshore winds and
prolonged periods of low humidity values has prompted the red
flag warning to run through weds. No appreciable rain has fallen
and fuels remain critically dry so use extra precaution with any
ignitions sources including nigh-time warming fires.

By weds we'll lose some of the offshore adiabatic warming but no
strong onshore return is forecast so will likely squeeze another
warm to hot today, even near the coast. By Thursday the ridge will
finally weaken and allow for some cooling but temperatures to
remain on the warm side of normal through late week and likely
into the weekend as well with no rain in sight.

Aviation As of 10:30 am pdt Monday... For 18z tafs. Satellite
imagery this morning showing clear skies across the region
bringingVFR conditions to all sites. Aside from a few high
clouds, expecting relatively clear skies through the period.

Winds generally light with westerly winds 10-15 kt expected this
afternoon.

Vicinity of ksfo...VFR. West winds to 15 kt this afternoon.

Sfo bridge approach... Similar to ksfo.

Monterey bay terminals...VFR with mostly clear skies. Not
expecting any stratus through the period. Generally light winds
this morning with westerly winds this afternoon at around 10 kt.

Fire weather As of 3:37 am pdt Monday... Red flag warnings in
effect through weds afternoon for the north and east bay hills.

Temps will warm up and rh values dry out again today. Expect
stronger offshore winds in the hills tonight with continued
lowering of humidity into Tuesday. Models show another burst of
gusty northeast winds in the north and east bay hills Tuesday
night into early weds. Winds will finally ease by weds afternoon
but by then the fuels will be very dry with low humidity and
likely the hottest day of the week with widespread readings into
the upper 80s and 90s. We are near the peak of bay area fire
season and this is a classic critical fire weather pattern.

Marine As of 08:32 am pdt Monday... Moderate northwesterly
winds will continue over the northern outer waters as high
pressure sits over the eastern pacific and a thermal trough
resides over california. Winds will begin to decrease on Tuesday
as the trough shifts towards the coast.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tday Sca... Pt arena to pigeon pt 10-60 nm
public forecast: rgass
aviation: as
marine: as
fire weather: rww
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA 1 mi73 min W 1.9 71°F 1013 hPa45°F
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 16 mi37 min 63°F2 ft
46092 - MBM1 16 mi53 min N 3.9 60°F 60°F1013.6 hPa (+0.0)
MEYC1 17 mi82 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 64°F 63°F1013.8 hPa
46114 - West Monterey Bay, CA 33 mi28 min 62°F7 ft
46042 - MONTEREY - 27NM West of Monterey Bay, CA 34 mi68 min NNW 3.9 G 5.8 61°F 62°F6 ft1013.9 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watsonville, Watsonville Municipal Airport, CA9 mi65 minN 010.00 miFair73°F39°F29%1013.8 hPa
Salinas, Salinas Municipal Airport, CA13 mi65 minESE 410.00 miFair72°F39°F31%1014.4 hPa
Monterey Regional Airport, CA17 mi64 minNW 410.00 miFair74°F42°F32%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from WVI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3S9SW8SW6S7SW5SE4SE5SW5CalmNW3NW5NW3NW4NW3NW4NW4CalmNW4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS5S8SW10SW6S8CalmSE3CalmN3NW3CalmNW3NW4NW4NW4NW5NW5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm
2 days agoS5SW8SW12SW14W11SW8SW6CalmE7NE3N3NW4NW4NW3NW4NW4NW5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Elkhorn, California
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Elkhorn
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Mon -- 03:09 AM PDT     3.50 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:00 AM PDT     2.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:06 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:38 PM PDT     4.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:58 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:37 PM PDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:39 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.93.33.53.43.12.72.42.22.42.73.23.74.24.44.44.23.62.921.20.80.71

Tide / Current Tables for Point Pinos, California Current
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Point Pinos
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:33 AM PDT     0.56 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:54 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:58 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:14 AM PDT     -0.47 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:44 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:06 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:29 PM PDT     0.42 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:23 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:59 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:31 PM PDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:40 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:33 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.50.60.40.3-0-0.3-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.40.40.30.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.4-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.