Saturday, December16, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Benns Church, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 4:53PM Saturday December 16, 2017 7:21 PM EST (00:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:31AMMoonset 4:05PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ638 James River From James River Bridge To Hampton Roads Bridge- Tunnel- 643 Pm Est Sat Dec 16 2017
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..W winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain in the evening.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ600 643 Pm Est Sat Dec 16 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will be over the southeast states tonight, then moves off the carolina coast Sunday and Monday. The local area remains in between weak low pressure to the south, and strong low pressure over canada on Tuesday. A cold front crosses the region Tuesday night into Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Benns Church, VA
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location: 36.83, -76.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 170011
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
711 pm est Sat dec 16 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds across the southeast coast tonight, and
moves off the carolina coast Sunday and Monday. The local area
remains in between weak low pressure to the south and strong low
pressure over canada Tuesday. A cold front crosses the region
Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
A region of zonal flow prevails across the central and ern
conus this aftn upstream of a trough over the southwest conus
and NRN mexico. At the surface, high pressure is centered across
al ga sc. Sunny this aftn with a few high clouds over the md
ern shore. Temperatures are on the cool-side of seasonal
averages and primarily in the mid upper 40s (low 40s over the md
ern shore) with a light SW breeze. A mid upper ridge will build
across the ohio valley tonight as a shortwave trough lifts to
the NE over the SRN plains. Surface high pressure will shift to
the carolina coast with the local area remaining clear and dry
tonight with a calm to very light wind. Decent radiational
cooling is expected tonight with temperatures quickly dropping
into the 30s early this evening. Overnight lows are expected to
be in the mid upper 20s with low 30s for coastal SE va NE nc.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday
High pressure slides offshore Sunday as a weak trough pushes
across the great lakes. Some upper level SRN stream moisture
(basically the remains of the aforementioned SRN plains trough)
will arrive ahead of this wave, which will result in increasing
mid high clouds Sunday aftn and evening. Highs Sunday range from
around 50f N to the mid 50s s. Decreasing clouds Sunday night
with lows ranging from the mid upper 30s N to the low 40s se.

High pressure remains offshore Monday as the flow aloft remains
zonal. Mostly sunny early Monday and then becoming partly sunny
as a dampening SRN stream wave pushes into the tennessee valley
by the aftn. Mild Monday with highs generally 55-60f.

The 16 12z model consensus keeps this system suppressed well s
of the local area Monday night and it quickly moves offshore
Tuesday as a NRN stream wave dives across the great lakes.

Meanwhile, surface high pressure is forecast to be centered off
the southeast coast. Partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday with
the airmass continuing to warm. Forecast lows Monday night
range from the upper 30s N to mid 40s se. Quite warm Tuesday
with highs in the 60s, and even potentially close to 70f if
enough Sun prevails.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
The extended period will begin Tuesday night Wednesday with
progressive split zonal flow continuing to prevail over the
central and ERN conus. A NRN stream wave passes across new
england Tuesday night, which will push a cold front through the
mid- atlantic. Meanwhile, a SRN stream wave will track across
the tennessee valley Wednesday and off the carolina coast
Wednesday night. 16 12z ECMWF gfs cmc demonstrate decent
agreement with this system. However, the best forcing is progged
to be S of the local area, so pops for rain are only 20-30%
across far SRN va and 30-40% for NE nc. Cooler behind the front
Wednesday with highs generally 50-55f (upper 40s far ne), after
morning lows in the upper 30s N to mid 40s se. Drier air pushes
in from the NW late Wednesday night into Thursday with lows
Wednesday night ranging from the low 30s N to upper 30s s,
followed by highs Thursday in the upper 40s N to low 50s s. The
large scale trend by Friday Saturday is for a trough over the
great lakes and a ridge off the southeast coast. However, model
agreement is lacking on the details, specifically with respect
to the location of the cold front between these two features.

Pops are trended toward or slightly above climo for the very end
of the forecast period, with temperatures generally remaining
above normal.

Aviation 00z Sunday through Thursday
Vfr conditions are expected through the 00z TAF period. High
pressure becomes centered over the carolina coast tonight allowing
for mostly clear skies and calm to very light wind overnight. The
high pressure slides offshore Sunday and Sunday night as a weak
trough approaches from the wsw. This will bring a period of bkn ovc
mid to high level clouds by Sunday afternoon and evening.

Outlook: high pressure remains near the southeast coast Monday
through Tuesday withVFR conditions prevailing along with occasional
mid to high level clouds. Low pressure passes S of the region
Wednesday with high pressure building north of the region Thursday.

Marine
No headlines in the short term tonight thru mon. High pressure
will be over the SE states tonight, then moves off the coast for
sun into mon. Expect winds mainly SW or W thru Mon with speeds
15 kt or less. A cold front will cross the waters Tue night into
early Wed morning, with winds shifting to the NW at least 10-15
kt. High pressure will be to the north and low pressure will
track south of the area and off the coast Wed aftn thru thu.

North then NE winds 5-15 kt.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz lkb
near term... Ajz
short term... Ajz lkb
long term... Ajz
aviation... Ajb ajz
marine... Tmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 11 mi51 min SSW 5.1 G 6 44°F 1023.1 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 12 mi51 min SSW 4.1 G 6 44°F 1022.7 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 14 mi51 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 43°F 48°F1023 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 14 mi51 min 45°F1022.8 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 16 mi51 min SW 12 G 12 1022.6 hPa
44064 27 mi41 min SW 9.7 G 12 45°F 1022.9 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 28 mi51 min SSW 2.9 G 5.1 43°F 46°F1022.4 hPa
CHBV2 28 mi51 min SW 9.9 G 12 45°F 47°F1021.7 hPa
44041 - Jamestown, VA 29 mi41 min S 3.9 G 5.8
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 30 mi51 min S 5.1 G 5.1 42°F
44072 30 mi41 min SW 9.7 G 12 44°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 31 mi51 min SW 11 G 12 45°F 1023.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 38 mi51 min SW 9.9 G 12 44°F
44096 41 mi60 min 51°F2 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 41 mi51 min Calm 37°F 1023 hPa24°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 44 mi51 min 52°F2 ft

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA11 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair36°F26°F70%1023.7 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA16 mi82 minSSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds42°F24°F49%1023 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA17 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair33°F25°F72%1023.7 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA19 mi30 minSW 610.00 miFair37°F24°F59%1023.1 hPa
Franklin / J B Rose, VA21 mi26 minSSE 310.00 miFair38°F24°F58%1023.7 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA21 mi25 minSW 410.00 miFair40°F26°F57%1023.7 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA22 mi25 minSSW 410.00 miFair41°F27°F58%1022.7 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA22 mi27 minSW 610.00 miFair37°F24°F59%1023.3 hPa

Wind History from SFQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmNW3W5SW7SW8SW6S4S3
1 day agoNE8NE8E6NE5NE6NE5CalmNE7NE7NE5NE7NE7NE9NE6NE6NE3CalmNW3CalmW10NW13W10
G18
W9W7
2 days agoS3S7S3CalmS6S12S12
G15
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G14
S9SW9SW7SW8SW5SW8W13SW10W11W10
G18
NW9NW7NE7NE6NE5NE8
G15

Tide / Current Tables for Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia
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Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:18 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:39 AM EST     3.31 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:09 PM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:05 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:52 PM EST     2.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.2-0.1-00.51.22.12.83.23.332.41.60.80.300.10.71.42.12.52.72.52

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:50 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:25 AM EST     4.15 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:41 PM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:05 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:38 PM EST     3.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.70-0.10.20.91.92.93.74.14.13.62.71.60.70.100.41.122.83.33.32.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.