Thursday, February22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Norfolk, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 5:54PM Thursday February 22, 2018 5:50 PM EST (22:50 UTC) Moonrise 10:48AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 339 Pm Est Thu Feb 22 2018
Through 7 pm..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of light rain and drizzle after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot, then around 2 ft after midnight. Areas of fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot. Areas of fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot. A chance of showers through the day.
ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 339 Pm Est Thu Feb 22 2018
Through 7 pm..Variable winds 10 kt or less. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of light rain.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of light rain. A chance of drizzle.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se around 5 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot, then around 2 ft after midnight. Areas of fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot. Areas of fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot, then around 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot. A chance of showers through the day.

7 Day Forecast for Selected point near Norfolk city, VA
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location: 36.96, -76.262     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 222027
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
327 pm est Thu feb 22 2018

Synopsis
A frontal boundary stalls across the region tonight, then lifts
back north as a warm front Friday. Another cold front crosses
the area late Sunday.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
As of 3 pm, ric orf ecg all have broken the record high for today.

Rer's to be issued later this aftrn.

Latest msas shows that the shallow backdoor front has stalled along
the differential heating boundary this afternoon, basically along a
i64 va st rt 360 line. Interesting to note the temp diff across the
ric metro area with upr 50s NW to mid 70s at the airport. Pt sunny
and warm south of it with temps in the 70s to near 80 while north of
it remains cloudy and cooler with spotty light rain. Temps stuck in
the 50s and 60s.

Latest data moves a trof across pa east this eve. A secondary surge
behind that feature (along with diminishing mixing) should be enough
to push the shallow backdoor bndry south to near the va nc border by
late evening with it stalling out across NRN most nc zones thru the
nite. Thus, trended the grids towards this scenario with skies
becoming ovc with chc light rain. Drizzle and patchy fog after
midnite as the column saturates. Lows in the low-mid 40s north, upr
40s-lwr 50s south.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Sunday
Models are fairly quick to move the boundary back north as a warm
front fri. Plenty of low level moisture noted to keep low chc
stratiformed pops across the north thru 18z, then the lower levels
dry out a bit as the fa becomes warmed sectored. Another tricky temp
forecast as the numbers will depend on how much Sun occurs. Highs in
the low-mid 50s north, upr 50s-mid 60s south, 65-70 across NRN nc.

Fa remains in the warm sectored Fri nite. Not much support for pcpn
but fog will be a good bet, especially after midnite. Lows 45-50
north, in the 50s south.

Offshore ridge builds back into the area sat. Moisture slowly incrs
with the best support for pcpn across the NW Sat aftrn and eve. Otw,
pt suny to mstly cldy and warmer. Highs in the low-mid 60s ERN shore
with the 70s west of the bay. Lows Sat nite in the lwr 50s-lwr 60s.

The next cold front approaches from the west Sun morning with the
fropa in the aftrn eve. Models depict a decent feed of moisture
across the mts but it weakens as it moves east into the piedmont.

Will keep the chc pops after 18z for now. Highs in the 60s ern
shore, 70s west of the bay.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
No major changes expected the the day 4-7 forecast. Still expecting
a cold frontal passage Sunday night into Monday. The front will be
slowing down as it approaches the area as it becomes nearly parallel
to the upper flow aloft. As such, will need to maintain chance pops
sun night into Monday for all locations. Am expecting everyone to
see some light rain at some point, and guidance pointed to likely
pops both Sun night into Monday. However, given that the rain will
be light and not continuous, we opted to just include chance of rain
showers for that period. Once the front moves south of the area, dry
canadian high pressure will build across the middle atlantic by
Tuesday, then offshore wed. The next chance for showers will be
Thursday as the guidance suggests strong warm advection ahead of a
deepening mississippi valley low pressure system.

Despite the cool down from this week, temperatures will still be
above normal with temperatures in the upper 50-mid 60s and lows in
the upper 30s mid 40s.

Aviation 20z Thursday through Tuesday
The backdoor cold front will slowly sag south to near the va nc
border this eve then stall across NRN nc tonight before lifting
north as a warm front fri. Stratus stubborn to scour out south
of the front ATTM but do expect MVFRVFR CIGS across sern taf
sites next svrl hrs ahead of the fropa. To the north at ric sby
MVFR CIGS lwr to ifr by 00z along with some fog drizzle for the
rest of the forecast period. Ifr conditions expected at all taf
sites later tonight through Fri morn along with patchy drizzle
and fog.

Outlook: the front moves north of the area Fri night with the
offshore ridge dominating Sat into sun. The next front will
cross the area Sunday night, with another period of cig vsby
restrictions possible during this period.

Marine
The front is currently bisecting the marine area as it has been slow
to move southward this afternoon due to the strong ridge to the
south. However, after sunset, expect the front to rapidly move
southward, reaching the southern coastal waters by later this
evening. All marine areas should have northerly winds tonight. Will
maintain small craft conditions across the northern coastal waters
tonight due to wind and seas, however even the bay will will choppy
with north winds around 15kt.

Expect the front to surge back north of the waters on Friday Friday
evening , with southerly flow developing and continuing through the
weekend. By Saturday night into Sunday, southerly winds may allow
for small craft conditions again over the coastal waters ahead of a
cold front. This cold front will pass through the waters on Monday
with NW winds expected Tue Wed as canadian high pressure builds into
the ohio tennessee valley regions.

Climate
Record highs and record high mins were set at richmond,
salisbury, and elizabeth city Wed 2 21. At norfolk, the record
high was tied and the record high min was set. See rer products
for details. For today 2 22, record highs and record high mins
will be possible and these values are listed below.

**please note, record high mins like record highs are calendar
date values so the the records are not complete this morning
(temperature needs to stay up through midnight tonight).

* date: today Thu 2 22
* site: record high... Record high min
* ric: 73 (1985) 52 (1913)
* orf: 77 (1937) 55 (1878)
* sby: 70 (1997) 50 (1996)
* ecg: 77 (2003) 56 (1997)
very warm temperatures will continue through the weekend, record
highs are listed for Sat 2 24 and Sun 2 25.

* record highs
* site: Sat 2 24... ... Sun 2 25
* ric: 82 (1985) 83 (1930)
* orf: 82 (2012) 81 (2017)
* sby: 77 (2012) 80 (1930)
* ecg: 79 (1985) 78 (2017)

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 10 am est
Friday for anz650-652.

Synopsis... Mpr
near term... Mpr
short term... Mpr
long term... Ajb mrd
aviation... Ajb mpr
marine... Mrd
climate... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 3 mi51 min WSW 9.9 G 11 71°F 1028.3 hPa (-0.7)
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 4 mi51 min 48°F1028.1 hPa (-1.0)
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 6 mi51 min SW 6 G 9.9 76°F 1028 hPa (-1.0)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 9 mi51 min SW 8.9 G 8.9 65°F 1028.5 hPa (-0.8)
CHBV2 11 mi51 min E 11 G 13 1027.6 hPa (-0.6)
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 13 mi51 min SW 8.9 G 12 77°F 51°F1028.1 hPa (-0.9)
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 14 mi51 min NNE 8.9 G 12
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 20 mi51 min ENE 16 G 20 46°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 21 mi51 min NE 18 G 20 1029.6 hPa (+0.5)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 22 mi51 min SW 5.1 G 12 75°F 49°F1028.2 hPa (-0.0)
44096 24 mi60 min 46°F2 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 29 mi51 min 47°F2 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 39 mi81 min N 4.1 1029 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 42 mi51 min E 12 G 12 1030.2 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA2 mi60 minSW 1310.00 miFair77°F60°F56%1027.8 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA6 mi1.9 hrsSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F62°F62%1028.3 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA10 mi1.9 hrsSW 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F59°F54%1028.2 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA15 mi1.9 hrsS 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F63°F64%1028.4 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA19 mi76 minSW 12 G 177.00 miFair76°F59°F56%1028.1 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA23 mi57 minSW 910.00 miA Few Clouds75°F62°F64%1028.1 hPa

Wind History from ORF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7S6S3S4S9SW9SW9SW9SW9SW8SW8SW9SW8SW7SW10SW12SW12SW14
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1 day agoN4CalmCalmS4S10S9S10S8S11SW11SW11SW12S10SW12SW12SW12SW12SW10W12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW4SW4SW5CalmCalmSW5SW4W4CalmCalmSW7W5W6SW11NE6NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Windmill Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Windmill Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:01 AM EST     1.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:01 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:16 PM EST     0.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:51 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:58 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.711.110.80.60.30.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.10.40.70.80.80.60.50.20-0.1-0.2-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sewells Point, Hampton Roads, Virginia
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Sewells Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:14 AM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:42 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:40 PM EST     2.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:52 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.52.52.11.610.50.20.10.30.81.31.82.12.21.91.50.90.40-0.10.10.61.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.