Wednesday, September20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Cruz, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:07PM Wednesday September 20, 2017 6:03 AM PDT (13:03 UTC) Moonrise 6:17AMMoonset 6:45PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ560 Pigeon Point To Point Pinos To 10 Nm- 231 Am Pdt Wed Sep 20 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Thursday evening...
Today..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 13 seconds.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft at 12 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. NW swell 3 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 25 kt...decreasing to 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. NW swell 3 to 4 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ500 231 Am Pdt Wed Sep 20 2017
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Moderate long period northwest swell will continue to affect the coastal waters this morning as swell periods fall below 15 seconds by mid morning. SWell heights will remain above 8 feet through this evening, especially for the northern outer waters, then decrease through the remainder of the week. Northwest winds will briefly decrease this morning, except for the southern coastal waters around the big sur coast, before increasing again this evening.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Cruz city, CA
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location: 36.97, -122.02     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 201159
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
459 am pdt Wed sep 20 2017

Synopsis An upper level low will dominate the western us
through the work week. There is a slight chance of rain in the
far north bay Wednesday morning as a frontal system moves
through. Otherwise look for continued cooler than average
temperatures through Friday, along with breezy periods. A slow
warming trend is expected to begin over the weekend and continue
into early next week.

Discussion As of 3:00 am pdt Wednesday... Current long wave
pattern over the CONUS is dominated by a broad upper level low
positioned over alberta canada. A second upper level low embedded
in the mean flow is near pac nw. Both of these upper level
features are easily seen on the latest water vapor imagery.

Meanwhile at the surface, a cold front is slowly moving into the
pac NW and far norcal. Kbhx radar imagery from near eureka shows
light rain showers accompanying the frontal passage.

For today, previous forecast still stands. The aforementioned
cold front will continue to track southward bringing clouds and
possible showers to portions of the bay area. The only mention of
precip in the forecast will be far northern sonoma county, but
clouds will be more widespread. If rain does occur, amounts will
be very light and only a few hundredths.

Cold air advection behind the front will bring a return to breezy
conditions this afternoon. Strongest winds will be along the
coast and over the higher terrain. Gusts of 30 to 40 mph are not
out of the question.

As the parent upper low shifts eastward so does the second upper
low and ultimately an upper trough swings across the region.

Despite the passing trough second low no precip is expected in the
bay area. One item that is more certain is a drop in temperatures.

Latest models bring 850mb down to 4 to 5 c by Thursday morning. It
will feel like a fall preview as cool overnight lows persist
Wednesday night into the weekend.

By Friday and into Saturday... High pressure begins to build over
the pac NW and norcal as the trough low pressure move east. The
building high pressure will lead to a pronounced period of warmer
and drier weather. Some of the models even develop occasional
offshore flow, which would aid in additional warming and drying.

By Sunday, MAX temps begin to creep above normal and by Monday
many locations are five degrees above normal. Lastly, by Tuesday
temps will be in the 90s for many locations with readings 10
degrees above normal.

Beaches As of 3:00 am pdt Wednesday... The first good long-
period northwest swell of the season will move through the coastal
waters over the next few days. This will bring coastal hazards to
the northwest- facing beaches with an increased likelihood of rip
currents, large shore breaks, and sneaker waves. As a result, a
beach hazards statement will remain into effect through Thursday
evening. If your plans take you to the beach this week, please
exercise beach safety and never turn your back to the ocean.

Aviation As of 4:54 am pdt Wednesday... For 12z tafs. Low
confidence in the short-term forecast, with respect to ceilings.

Current fog products shows low clouds associated with an upper-
level trough streaming southward, currently hovering over the
north bay at this time. These clouds will continue to advect
southward through the morning. Cloud heights at kuki show bkn-ovc
MVFR cigs, around 025-030 feet. With a mixed-out marine layer, do
not expect CIGS to be lower than 2000 feet this morning.

Anticipate MVFR CIGS through late morning for most terminals,
although it remains unclear how long the CIGS will last. Current
thinking is clearing and or CIGS lifting should occur between
17-19z. Satellite and surface observations will have to be
monitored closely through the morning for any changes. Light winds
will increase and become gusty this afternoon, evening, and into
the overnight hours at most TAF sites, as the upper-level trough
axis swings through the area.

Overall forecast confidence: low for cigs, moderate for winds.

Vicinity of ksfo... Bkn ovc MVFR CIGS possible between 13z-17z
this morning. Low confidence on timing. Westerly winds increasing
by late morning and becoming gusty by afternoon, gusts up to 25 kt
possible.

Sfo bridge approach... Similar to ksfo.

Monterey bay terminals... Very low confidence with regards to cigs
for ksts and kmry this morning.VFR through about 14z before MVFR
cigs advect in from the north. Clearing time is unknown, but could
be as late as 20z. W wsw winds increase this afternoon and
evening, 10-15 kt, with gusts up to 20 kt possible.

Marine As of 04:29 am pdt Wednesday... Moderate long period
northwest swell will continue to affect the coastal waters this
morning as swell periods fall below 15 seconds by mid morning.

Swell heights will remain above 8 feet through this evening,
especially for the northern outer waters, then decrease through
the remainder of the week. Northwest winds will briefly decrease
this morning, except for the southern coastal waters around the
big sur coast, before increasing again this evening.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tday Sca... Pt arena to pt reyes 0-10 nm from 3 pm
sca... Pt reyes to pigeon pt 0-10 nm from 3 pm
sca... Mry bay
sca... Pt pinos to pt piedras blancas 0-10 nm
sca... Sf bay from 3 pm
public forecast: mm
aviation: bam
marine: bam
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46092 - MBM1 15 mi58 min NW 5.8 59°F 59°F1014.9 hPa (+0.0)
46042 - MONTEREY - 27NM West of Monterey Bay, CA 24 mi73 min N 12 G 16 61°F 62°F9 ft1015.2 hPa (-0.0)
46114 - West Monterey Bay, CA 24 mi33 min 61°F9 ft
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 25 mi42 min 62°F4 ft
MEYC1 26 mi87 min WSW 2.9 G 5.1 58°F 65°F1015.3 hPa
RTYC1 - 9414523 - Redwood City, CA 38 mi45 min W 14 G 17 62°F 71°F1014.5 hPa
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 44 mi41 min 58°F10 ft

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watsonville, Watsonville Municipal Airport, CA12 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair54°F52°F93%1015.1 hPa

Wind History from WVI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW3CalmS5SE7S9S7S9S8S8S6SE4E5E4E4NW3CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW4CalmNW5
1 day ago3NW3CalmSE44S5S8SW1054E7NE6NE4SW4SW6W4W6N3NW3NW3NW3NW4NW3NW4
2 days agoNW3Calm3CalmCalmCalmS9SW5SW8S7SE7SE5E7E6N3N3NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Cruz, Monterey Bay, California (sub)
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Santa Cruz
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:57 AM PDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:17 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:18 AM PDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:14 PM PDT     0.97 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:45 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:24 PM PDT     5.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.83.82.61.40.60.30.61.42.53.74.554.94.23.32.21.411.11.72.73.74.65

Tide / Current Tables for Point Pinos, California Current
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Point Pinos
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:48 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:43 AM PDT     -0.88 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:17 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:23 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:20 AM PDT     0.78 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:20 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:06 PM PDT     -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:40 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:45 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:36 PM PDT     0.75 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.3-0.1-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.5-0.20.30.60.80.70.50.2-0.3-0.7-0.8-0.7-0.6-0.30.10.50.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.