Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Cruz, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 4:58PM Friday November 16, 2018 5:37 AM PST (13:37 UTC) Moonrise 1:46PMMoonset 12:03AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ560 Pigeon Point To Point Pinos To 10 Nm- 236 Am Pst Fri Nov 16 2018
Today..NW winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 5 to 7 ft at 13 seconds. Haze and patchy smoke.
Tonight..NW winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 6 ft at 12 seconds. Haze and patchy smoke.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 5 ft at 13 seconds. Haze and patchy smoke.
Sat night..NW winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 15 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 15 seconds.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft.
Tue..S winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 ft. Slight chance of rain.
PZZ500 236 Am Pst Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Generally light winds will continue through the weekend and early next week. A mixed moderate northwest swell and light southerly swell will also persist. Wet weather develops by the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Cruz city, CA
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location: 36.97, -122.02     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 161208
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
408 am pst Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis Widespread smoke and haze will continue to result in
poor air quality over much of the san francisco bay area through
the weekend. Otherwise, dry weather with mild temperatures are
forecast to persist through early next week. A significant pattern
change appears likely starting around the middle of next week,
with the potential for widespread periodic rainfall during the
second half of the week.

Discussion As of 02:52 am pst Friday... The main impacts across
the region in the short-term will continue to be smoke, haze and
associated poor air quality as a result of the camp fire inland to
our north. Poor visibility, below 1 1 2 sm at times, is being
reported across the greater san francisco bay area with
temperatures ranging from the middle 30s in our colder inland
valleys to upper 40s near the coast. Given the weak offshore flow
aloft, air quality is not forecast to improve much through the day
with unhealthy to very unhealthy conditions forecast (by the bay
area quality management district) across the bay area while
slightly better conditions are expected over the monterey bay
region.

The forecast models do indicate a slight increase in onshore flow
near the coast this weekend which may help to improve conditions.

May even see areas of low clouds develop over the pacific late
tonight with the potential for coastal intrusion by Saturday
morning. Something that will need to be closely monitored as smoke
may actually get trapped beneath the low level inversion.

Regardless, dry weather conditions will persist along with
temperatures above seasonal averages each afternoon through the
weekend and into early next week. Overnight conditions will be
seasonably cool, especially inland away from the coast.

Forecast confidence continues to increase regarding a major pattern
shift late next week that would bring unsettled weather conditions
to the region. An initial upper level system is forecast to develop
over the eastern pacific and approach the southern california coast
early next week, missing our region. However, the medium range
models are in better agreement with subsequent systems approaching
the region during the second half of the week. The gfs, ECMWF and
canadian are in decent agreement with the potential for widespread
rainfall developing over the region as early as Wednesday.

Additional systems appear likely to impact the region around
thanksgiving and potentially into the following holiday weekend as
well. With this said, timing and strength of each system remains
difficult to pin-point at this time given model-to-model and run-to-
run differences. Regardless, a more active pattern is appearing more
likely late in month which would also help to improve air quality
region-wide.

Aviation As of 4:08 am pst Friday... MVFR-ifr in smoke. Mainly
light winds. Poor to very poor slant range visibilities.

Vicinity of ksfo... MVFR-ifr visibility in smoke, light wind. Poor
to very poor slant range visibility.

Sfo bridge approach... Similar to ksfo.

Monterey bay terminals... MVFR visibilities in smoke, light winds
except SE 5 to 10 knots in the salinas valley this morning.

Marine As of 2:52 am pst Friday... Generally light winds will
continue through the weekend and early next week. A mixed moderate
northwest swell and light southerly swell will also persist. Wet
weather develops by the middle of next week.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tday None.

Public forecast: rgass
aviation marine: canepa
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46092 - MBM1 15 mi89 min N 9.7 56°F 58°F1015.6 hPa (-1.2)
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA 18 mi113 min SSE 1.9 52°F 1016 hPa27°F
46042 - MONTEREY - 27NM West of Monterey Bay, CA 24 mi48 min NNW 5.8 G 7.8 57°F 61°F9 ft1015.1 hPa (-0.8)
46114 - West Monterey Bay, CA 24 mi68 min 61°F8 ft
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 25 mi47 min 58°F3 ft
MEYC1 26 mi62 min 59°F1015.6 hPa
RTYC1 - 9414523 - Redwood City, CA 38 mi38 min SE 1.9 G 4.1 43°F 58°F1017.3 hPa (-0.6)
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 44 mi38 min 63°F7 ft

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watsonville, Watsonville Municipal Airport, CA12 mi45 minN 05.00 miFair with Haze42°F30°F62%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from WVI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmS3SE3SE3S3W3CalmCalmN3NW3NW3NW3NW4CalmNW4NW4CalmN3Calm
1 day agoCalmW3CalmE3CalmSE4CalmCalmW5W6W4CalmCalmCalmNW4NW4NW4NW4NW4CalmCalmCalmNW3N4
2 days agoCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmS3S5CalmNE3N3NW4NW7NW3CalmN5NW4NE4NW3N3SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Cruz, Monterey Bay, California (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Point Pinos, California Current
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Point Pinos
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:59 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:09 AM PST     0.54 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:46 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:24 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:49 AM PST     -0.42 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:44 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:48 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:17 PM PST     0.32 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:58 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:59 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:52 PM PST     -0.58 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.200.30.50.50.50.40.1-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.200.20.30.30.2-0-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.