Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrollton, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 7:51PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 2:38 AM EDT (06:38 UTC) Moonrise 2:25PMMoonset 3:02AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 1258 Am Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
Rest of tonight..SE winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 3 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..NW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ600 1258 Am Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure approaches the local area from the southwest overnight, then will be slow to lift north of the area on Wednesday. Weak high pressure returns by Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrollton CDP, VA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 36.97, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kakq 250602
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
202 am edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure tracks across virginia late tonight... Then will be
slow to move away from the coast Wednesday. Weak high pressure
returns by Thursday.

Near term through today
Late evening update as of 10 pm edt Tuesday...

latest msas has low pressure moving NE from the foothills of nc
and will continue to track NE across the local area overnight.

Rain of varying intensity continues to rotate north into the
area ahead of the low. High res data has backed off a bit on the
intensity of shwrs after midnite along the coast as the warm
front lifts north. In fact, data shows a bit of a dry slot
punching NE after 09z along the coast. Thus, will continue with
high pops for the next several hrs then taper off a bit late.

Some drizzle and areas of fog across the piedmont as the column
remains nearly saturated. Lows in the 50s to near 60 se.

Afternoon discussion as of 4 pm edt Tuesday
On Wednesday, the initial surface low and warm front will lift
north of the area, but the upper level low will settle over the
area. This will allow for some cooler air aloft to settle over
the area with more showers developing in the afternoon. Could
potentially see some thunder if there is enough heating ahead of
the upper lows arrival. Right now, it looks like it will stay a
little too cloudy, but it can't be ruled out especially east of
i-95. Guidance is pretty spread on temps tomorrow with the met
much cooler than the mav. Have generally gone in between with
temps in the mid 60s to the lower 70s.

Short term tonight through Friday
As of 400 pm edt Tuesday...

the upper low will exit the region early Wed night taking any
chance of rain with it. Show a gradual decrease in pops from sw
to NE during the evening. Behind this system the newer model
runs are not as aggressive in pushing the drier air with the
next sfc high into the region. This is more like what the gfs
had been depicting in previous runs. As a result have kept the
clouds a little longer and also raised overnight lows by a few
degrees getting closer to guidance in the low to mid 50s.

With the front not pushing as far south on Wed night into
Thursday and stalling more along the nc va border expect to see
a little less sunshine especially across SRN va NRN nc. The next
surface wave is now progged to arrive sooner on Thursday night.

So expect to see clouds on the increase during the afternoon and
could even see some light pcpn in the piedmont counties around
sunset. At this point held off on adding late afternoon pcpn but
will need to see how quick the overrunning develops. For highs
on Thursday did have readings back into the low to mid 70s with
the best warming in the eastern portion of the cwa.

With the next wave arriving sooner have sped up pops on Thursday
night and Friday morning. The best chance for rain looks to be
in the piedmont counties so have increased pops to 50 for now
and they may need to be increased. Once the surface low lifts
through the area by Friday morning should see the chances for
rain diminish by later morning early afternoon. For
temperatures, kept readings a little warmer thurs night with the
sw flow and clouds. For highs on Friday did keep highs in the
low to mid 70s as the return of the Sun in the afternoon should
allow for temperatures to warm especially ahead of the cold
front for Saturday.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
As of 400 pm edt Tuesday...

gfs ECMWF differ early in this period with the GFS showing the last
in a series of S W trofs rounding the base of the long wave trof
late Fri night with it moving off the sern coast Sat ahead of a weak
frontal passage. Meanwhile, the ECMWF is drier with little if any
support for pcpn even with the frontal passage sat. A model blend
results in low chc shwrs across the sern zones late Fri night and
sat keeping the rest of the local area dry for now. Lows Fri nite
upr 40s-mid 50s. Highs Sat upr 60s-mid 70s, cooler at the beaches.

After that, some delightful spring weather on tap early next week as
high pressure builds SE from the gt lakes region Sun to a position
over the local area Mon then off the mid atlantic coast tue. Cool to
start then a warming trend. Highs Sun generally in the 60s. Lows in
the 40s to near 50 se. Highs Mon upr 60s-lwr 70s. Lows upr 40s-lwr
50s. Highs Tue 75-80.

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
As of 200 am edt Wednesday...

starting out W widespread lifr ifr conditions (primarily due to
cigs)... Except around ecg. Sfc lo pres INVOF wcentral nc will be
tracking slowly NE through ERN va today as an upper level low
arrives from the W and crosses the region midday through this
eve. Will have continued lifr ifr conditions (mainly CIGS through
early mid morning along W occasional patchy -ra -dz. By this
afternoon... Vrb clouds-mostly cloudy as CIGS lift through MVFR
to potential lo endVFR. Will continue W sct-likely shras and
there could be isold tstms as the cold pool aloft crosses the
region from about 17z 25-00z 26. Confidence not high enough attm
to add to the tafs. Wx will be slow to improve tonight as lo
pres finally moves away to the ene.VFR conditions expected thu
as weak hi pres returns. Another area of lo pres will impact the
region by late Thu night into Fri afternoon W flight
restrictions likely due to lower bkn-ovc CIGS and shras. Mainly
vfr conditions expected sat-sun.

Marine
As of 300 pm edt Tuesday...

broad low pressure is situated over upstate sc this afternoon.

Meanwhile, high pressure is centered well off the new england coast.

The resultant pressure gradient between these two features is causing
east to southeast winds of 15-25 kt with gust up to 30 kt that will
last into this evening. Seas will continue to build to 6-10 ft by
this evening; waves reaching 3-5 ft, except up to 6 ft at the mouth
of the bay. Winds waves seas diminish subside overnight into
Wednesday morning as the pressure gradient relaxes. Scas remain in
effect for all waters through late evening, with scas for the rivers
coming down at 11 pm tue, and for the bay sound at 1 am wed. Scas
have been extended into Thursday morning for the southern coastal
waters and Thursday afternoon for the northern coastal waters due to
seas remaining elevated. A high surf advisory for obx currituck will
also remain in effect until 5 am Wednesday for nearshore waves of 8-
10 feet.

Broad low pressure lifts north through the region during Wednesday
with ssw winds 5-15kt becoming NW in the wake of the low Wed night
into thurs morning. After a brief lull midweek the next low pressure
system then impacts the region Friday Saturday.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... High surf advisory until 5 am edt early this morning for
ncz102.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until noon edt today for anz634.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Thursday for anz650-652-
654.

Small craft advisory until 10 am edt Thursday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Ess mpr
near term... Ess mpr
short term... Ess
long term... Mpr
aviation... Alb
marine... Jdm


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 1 mi50 min E 2.9 G 6 60°F 1010.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 6 mi50 min 56°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 6 mi50 min E 8 G 8.9 59°F 1010 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 7 mi50 min ESE 7 G 8.9 60°F 1009.9 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi50 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 61°F 59°F1009.5 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 18 mi50 min E 5.1 G 7 57°F 56°F1010 hPa
CHBV2 19 mi56 min ESE 6 G 7 55°F 1009.6 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 20 mi50 min SE 13 G 14 56°F 1011 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi50 min E 4.1 G 4.1 54°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi56 min ESE 7 G 9.9 55°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi68 min SE 1.9 60°F 1012 hPa60°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi38 min 51°F7 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi50 min SE 14 G 18 1011.7 hPa

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last
24hr
N2
G6
NE3
G8
N2
E7
G12
E6
G16
E12
G17
E13
G16
E15
G19
E14
G17
E15
G19
E18
G22
E17
G25
E17
G25
E20
G26
E21
G29
SE21
G29
E9
G17
SE17
G21
SE14
G17
SE10
G13
SE8
SE10
G13
E5
G10
E2
G7
1 day
ago
E3
G8
NE2
G7
SE9
E6
G9
SE7
E3
G7
NE1
NE2
G9
E3
G7
E4
G10
E12
G15
E11
G14
SE16
SE13
G16
E12
G16
E10
G14
SE13
G18
E8
G12
E6
G13
E2
G5
E5
G12
E4
G12
E4
G11
NE2
G6
2 days
ago
SE7
S6
S5
S3
SE3
E4
E3
G6
NE2
NE3
N2
N2
G6
N2
G6
E4
G8
SE12
SE12
SE12
SE11
SE10
SE6
G10
E8
E8
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA8 mi1.7 hrsSE 96.00 miFog/Mist61°F59°F93%1011.3 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA9 mi2.7 hrsESE 95.00 miFog/Mist61°F60°F100%1011.8 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi44 minE 61.75 miFog/Mist58°F57°F97%1010 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi47 minE 39.00 miOvercast60°F59°F96%1009.6 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi1.7 hrsESE 510.00 miOvercast62°F60°F95%1010.2 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA22 mi63 minE 47.00 miOvercast62°F61°F99%1010.2 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi63 minE 33.00 miRain0°F0°F%1010.2 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA23 mi42 minE 41.00 miFog/Mist56°F55°F100%1009.6 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA24 mi43 minN 02.50 miOvercast61°F60°F100%1010.2 hPa

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last 24hrE10E7E7E9SE11
G17
SE12
G20
E12
G17
SE11
G18
SE12
G21
SE12
G21
E15
G23
SE16
G22
E12
G21
E16
G26
SE17
G26
SE18
G25
SE15
G27
SE14
G25
SE13
G25
SE10
G15
SE9
G16
SE10
G15
SE9SE6
1 day agoSE6E6SE6E5SE6E8SE11SE12E13SE12
G20
E15
G20
E12SE10
G17
E13
G21
SE14
G22
SE11
G21
E10E9E8E8E11E6E6E8
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalm33NE6NE9E12E11E11E8E10SE10SE8SE6SE8SE5SE7SE5SE5SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Newport News, James River, Virginia
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Newport News
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:12 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:34 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:49 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:03 PM EDT     2.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.20.61.21.92.42.72.82.51.91.30.60.20.10.30.81.52.12.62.82.62.21.60.9

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:27 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:08 AM EDT     0.77 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:09 PM EDT     -1.39 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 03:16 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:56 PM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.1-0.8-0.30.30.60.80.70.50.2-0.2-0.8-1.2-1.4-1.3-0.8-0.20.40.80.90.80.50.1-0.5-0.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.