Sunday, January21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrollton, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:20PM Sunday January 21, 2018 1:20 PM EST (18:20 UTC) Moonrise 9:56AMMoonset 9:46PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 115 Pm Est Sun Jan 21 2018
Rest of today..NW winds 5 kt...becoming se late. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft late. A chance of showers late.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft... Subsiding to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers early in the afternoon.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft... Subsiding to 1 to 2 ft in the late evening and overnight.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..NE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 115 Pm Est Sun Jan 21 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure lingers over the waters today, before sliding off the southeast us coast on Monday. A cold front will move through the mid-atlantic states late Monday night into Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrollton CDP, VA
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location: 36.97, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 211622
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1122 am est Sun jan 21 2018

Synopsis
High pressure remains centered over the southeast states today
into Monday. A cold front crosses the region Tuesday morning
and moves well off the coast by Tuesday night. High pressure
becomes centered over the south central states Wednesday and
builds east into Thursday.

Near term through tonight
Latest analysis indicates a weak upper level trough along the se
coast with a lot of clouds over the gulf stream from off fl to
se nc. Over the local area, weak sfc high pressure remains in
control with mainly sunny skies as of 11 am, the exception being
the md eastern shore where bkn ovc clouds from the N have moved
in as a weak front over the NE CONUS brushes by this region.

Temperatures have warmed rapidly and are now mainly in the
mid upper 50s except in the upper 40s lower 50s eastern shore
and near the immediate coast. With fairly light winds today,
expect areas of se-e va NE nc near the coast to develop an
onshore flow this aftn and this will keep temps from rising
much from current readings (in some cases temps may drop a few
degrees). Light ssw winds inland will allow for highs into the
lower-mid 60s across most of interior NE nc and southern central
va, while highs will avg in the 50s near the coast and for the
eastern shore. Some clouds will spread in from the west later
this aftn but probably not until after 2 to 3 pm for most of the
cwa (eastern shore will avg out partly- mostly cloudy). For
tonight, skies will avg partly-mostly cloudy N to partly cloudy-
mostly clear s. Not as cold, with lows mainly from 35-40 f.

Short term Monday through Tuesday
Sfc high pres remains off the E coast through Mon while lo pres
tracks from the central plains to the WRN lakes. Ssw flow will
keep mild wx over the region W partly cloudy conditions.

Highs Mon 55-60f near the bay ocean and on the ERN shore to
60-65f for most other locations.

Rain chances increase quickly after midnight Mon night through
tue morning as lo pres tracks through the lakes region... Pushing
its associated cold front across the local area. Models now in
general agreement wrt timing that front through the fa. Keeping
chc to likely pops for most of the area during 06z-17z 23 (tue)
then pcpn moving out of the entire area by 00z 24 (wed). Will
also keep hidden very lo chance for isold tstms. Lows Mon night
from the u40s-l50s. Highs Tue from 60-65f N and on the ern
shore to the u60s-l70s se.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
Models are in very good agreement in the extended range from 00z
wed through Saturday with the long wave trough pulling out of
the northeastern us Wed and Thursday with a shortwave ridge
building in for Friday and Saturday. At the surface, the period
begins with NW flow as the surface low over deepens over the
nern us. The surface low will lift NE into the canadian
maritimes by Wed evening. With the NW flow, expect the clouds
to clear tues night into Wednesday but with the cold advection,
temperatures will be cooler into the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Another shortwave will move through the eastern trough on
Tuesday and will bring a reinforcing cold front to the area.

This may knock temperatures down a couple more degrees on
Thursday, but with little moisture expect to see just a few
clouds across the northern portion of the cwa.

High pressure will build into the area on Thursday night into
Friday. The high will remain in place through Saturday before
slowly sliding off the coast by late Saturday with SW flow
returning. This will allow for good radiation cooling both thurs
and Fri night with temps in the u 20s to l30s thurs night and
low to mid 30s Friday night. For Friday should see lots of sun
with highs around the mid 40s over lower md and m50s in
southern va. On Saturday with the return flow the models are
indicating return moisture getting in and some showers possible
late day, but at this point, not ready to introduce pops so have
gone with just slight chance values in the 15 to 20% range.

High should continue to modify into the 50s to around 60f.

Aviation 16z Sunday through Thursday
Vfr conditions will continue through the 12z TAF period as sfc
hi pres continues to dominate. Winds will be vrb-ssw AOB 10 kt.

Sfc hi pres settles off the SE coast through Mon W mainly and dry
conditions continuing. The next chance for widespread
precipitation and flight restrictions comes late Mon night into
tue night with a passing cold front. High pres returns later
tue.

Marine
High pressure, centered over and just off the southeast us coast,
will remain in control of the weather thru Monday with winds 10 kt
or less and generally benign boating conditions. By Monday night,
winds will begin to increase again out of the south as a deepening
low over the great lakes pushes its associated cold front toward the
region. Wind will increase to 15 to 25 kt from the s-sw prior to
daybreak tues, continuing thru midday, with seas on the coastal
waters building to 4-6 ft; waves 3-4 ft on the bay. Scas will likely
be needed. Once the front clears the area tues afternoon, winds will
shift to the west 10-15 kt tues night Wed and then northwest on
Thursday. Waves seas subside to 1-3 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb lkb
short term... Alb mam
long term... Ess
aviation... Alb
marine... Ess


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 1 mi51 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 46°F 1023.6 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 6 mi51 min N 2.9 G 2.9 1023.2 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 6 mi51 min 36°F1023.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 7 mi51 min NE 1 G 1.9 49°F 1023.2 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi51 min Calm G 1.9 60°F 37°F1022.9 hPa
44064 18 mi41 min NNW 1.9 G 1.9 41°F 1023.3 hPa
44072 18 mi41 min WNW 1.9 G 1.9 42°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 18 mi51 min E 5.1 G 5.1 52°F 36°F1022.9 hPa
CHBV2 19 mi51 min WNW 2.9 G 2.9 44°F 1022.1 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 20 mi51 min SW 4.1 G 4.1 52°F 1023.7 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi51 min WNW 5.1 G 6 49°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi51 min 35°F
44096 33 mi60 min 40°F1 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi51 min E 2.9 60°F 1024 hPa38°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi51 min 39°F1 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 42 mi41 min SW 1.9 G 1.9 48°F 1026 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi51 min W 8 G 8.9 1023.5 hPa

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA8 mi82 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F37°F47%1023.9 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA9 mi25 minENE 49.00 miFair60°F39°F47%1023.7 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi27 minS 510.00 miFair61°F37°F41%1022.9 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi30 minNNE 510.00 miFair56°F36°F47%1022.7 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi25 minS 510.00 miFair58°F36°F45%1022.7 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA22 mi46 minSE 510.00 miFair63°F37°F39%1023.7 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi46 minESE 410.00 miFair62°F39°F43%1023 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA23 mi25 minESE 610.00 miA Few Clouds60°F33°F36%1023 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA24 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair66°F39°F37%1023 hPa

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW12
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W9SW11SW9SW7SW6SW6SW7SW4SW7SW6SW5SW4SW5W3W3CalmCalmW3W3W43NW7
1 day agoSW44SW8SW4SW4SW4SW5SW4SW6SW8SW7SW9SW5SW6SW8SW6SW8SW10SW7SW9W9SW11W10SW10
2 days agoW12W7W9SW10SW12SW11SW7SW8SW7SW5SW4W6SW5SW6S4SW3SW6SW6SW7SW7SW75W5W5

Tide / Current Tables for Newport News, James River, Virginia
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Newport News
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:52 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:56 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:05 PM EST     2.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:18 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:24 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.221.610.50.1-00.20.61.21.82.32.42.31.91.30.70.2-0.1-0.10.30.81.52

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:28 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:59 AM EST     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:13 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:49 AM EST     0.79 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 01:55 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:28 PM EST     -1.15 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:50 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:44 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:12 PM EST     0.61 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.1-0.2-0.6-0.9-1-0.9-0.6-0.10.40.70.80.60.3-0-0.5-0.9-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.40.10.50.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.