Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Puxico, MO

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:10PM Friday May 24, 2019 8:47 PM CDT (01:47 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:46AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Puxico, MO
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location: 36.98, -90.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Paducah, KY
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Fxus63 kpah 242322
afdpah
area forecast discussion
national weather service paducah ky
622 pm cdt Fri may 24 2019

Update
Issued at 622 pm cdt Fri may 24 2019
the aviation section has been updated for the 00z TAF issuance.

Short term (tonight through Sunday night)
issued at 234 pm cdt Fri may 24 2019
better than average forecast confidence through Saturday night.

Average confidence for Sunday and Sunday night, mainly due to
uncertainty on the southern extent of convective activity Sunday
afternoon.

Convection allowing models and medium range guidance remain
consistent on holding the capping ridge in place, with the main
axis of deep layer moisture oriented northwest of the WFO pah
forecast area even into the overnight hours Saturday night into
Sunday. There is still some wiggle room on the mesoscale and
stormscale level with any outflow generated thunderstorm activity
along the i-64 corridor late Saturday night, but that will likely
have to be addressed on a case by case basis during the next few
forecast shifts.

The medium range guidance has been backing off on the southern
extent of convection during the day and evening on Sunday. Main
concern is that MCS (mesoscale convective system) generated in the
sharp baroclinic zone over northern eastern mo and central
illinois Saturday night will propagate into the northern half of
the WFO pah forecast area on Sunday, with additional thunderstorm
outflows working closer to the ar tn border. With another minor
impulse (depicted by the gfs) working across the area during the
afternoon, the combination of differential heating and moisture
(from cloud cover and surface temperature dewpoint
discontinuities) may activate the southern most boundary,
generating precipitation over the remainder of the WFO pah
forecast area. For now, will keep the forecast in collaborative
limits with surrounding NWS offices, but this may need to be
monitored for convection on Sunday and Sunday evening.

In previous forecasts, there was some concern that non-
thunderstorm related wind or wind gusts may reach lake wind
advisory levels on Saturday and early next week. The last few
model runs have backed off wind speeds below criteria. However,
plan to keep a mention of at least thunderstorm related wind gust
potential as a secondary hazard on area lakes.

Heat index values will remain below headline thresholds, but did
post a special weather statement earlier today to highlight the
higher values for the holiday period.

Long term (Monday through Friday)
issued at 234 pm cdt Fri may 24 2019
convection will be very close to the northern border of the wfo
pah forecast area on memorial day holiday. As mentioned in the
short term forecast discussion, mesoscale and storm scale
influences could shift the effective baroclinic zone further south
into the forecast area. The most vulnerable area for forecast
adjustments would be near the confluence of the wabash ohio rivers
into southwest indiana and northwest kentucky.

From Monday night into Tuesday, ridging quickly shifted east as a
low quickly ejects out of the western u.S trough and into the
upper midwest on Tuesday. The signal for shower and thunderstorm
activity moving into southeast missouri and southwest illinois
Tuesday night has been consistent the last three days, so plan to
continue the mention of convection through Wednesday and Thursday.

Forecast confidence is much lower for any convective activity due
to the model spread for that time period. This midweek convective
activity should drop temperatures back to normal for this time of
year.

Aviation
Issued at 622 pm cdt Fri may 24 2019
the tafs areVFR. Some mid-level clouds will drift north across
west kentucky this evening, otherwise, just waning cumulus this
evening and redevelopment late Saturday morning. A southerly
breeze will persist through the night, and then pick up and become
gusty with mixing late Saturday morning. Gusts up to around 20kts
will be common over most of the region through the afternoon.

Convection cannot be ruled out Saturday afternoon, mainly at kmvn,
but confidence is much too low to mention at this time.

Pah watches warnings advisories
Il... None.

Mo... None.

In... None.

Ky... None.

Update... Drs
short term... Smith
long term... Smith
aviation... Drs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poplar Bluff, Poplar Bluff Municipal Airport, MO20 mi55 minS 710.00 miFair82°F68°F63%1014.4 hPa

Wind History from POF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW5SW9SW10SW11SW8S12
G20
SW13SW12
G17
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G21
S6
G16
S11S7
1 day agoS7S7S5CalmSW3S7SW3S5S7S9S7S9SW10
G20
SW12S12
G19
SW10
G19
SW11S11S12S13
G21
S12S16
G26
S11S4
2 days agoN3W56SW7S12
G22
S10S8S7S3CalmS4SE3S4S6S8S9S7SW5S10S10S8S7S8S7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Paducah, KY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Paducah, KY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.