Monday, March18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bethel Manor, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:16PM Monday March 18, 2019 9:26 PM EDT (01:26 UTC) Moonrise 3:35PMMoonset 4:48AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 712 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain early this evening, then a slight chance of rain late this evening.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ600 712 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Weak low pressure moves off the coast this evening. High pressure builds across the area on Tuesday before sliding offshore on Wednesday. The next low pressure system impacts the region on Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bethel Manor, VA
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location: 37.17, -76.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 190010
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
810 pm edt Mon mar 18 2019

Synopsis
Weak low pressure moves off the coast this evening. High
pressure builds across the area on Tuesday before sliding
offshore of new england on Wednesday. The next low pressure
system impacts the region on Thursday.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
As of 320 pm edt Monday...

a weak upper level trough and weak sfc lo pres (invof ERN nc)
will be moving off the coast this evening. Widespread bkn-ovc
cigs roughly 4-7kft along W sct -ra... Along-e of I 95. Pops
will begin to lower by late this evening and clearing is
expected overnight. Nne winds will be gusty to 20-25 mph until
about midnight... ESP in SE va-ne nc then diminishing by late
tonight. Lows from around 30f N and NW to the u30s-around 40f
along coastal SE va-ne nc.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Thursday
As of 245 pm edt Monday...

sfc hi pres becomes centered over the local area tue... Providing
mostly sunny and cool wx. Highs from the u40s-l50s near the bay
and on the ERN shore to the m-u50s inland.

Sfc hi pressure slides offshore of new england Tue night-wed w
a coastal trough sitting offshore of the carolinas. Mostly
skc inland... Partly cloudy toward SE va-ne nc by wed
afternoon night. A strong trough digs through the oh tn valleys
wed night then to the E coast by late thu... W sfc lo pres
developing off ERN nc. Sct shras are possible W the trough sfc
cold front pushing in from the W thu... While moisture will be
increasing toward the coast (along W pops rising to about 60%).

Appears right now to be a glancing blow from any coastal lo
pres system during thu.

Lows Tue night in the l30s N and W to the u30s at the coast in
se va-ne nc. Highs Wed in the m-u50s at the coast... Around 60f
inland. Lows Wed night from the u30s N and W to the l40s se.

Highs Thu from the m50s at the coast to the l60s inland.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
As of 220 pm edt Monday...

lo pres tracks ene and away from the mid-atlantic coast thu
night. A rather potent trough aloft in NW flow dives across the
fa Fri W periods of clouds and possible shras. Drying clearing
out Fri night... Then hi pres and dry wx is expected sat-mon.

Lows Thu night from the m-u30s inland to the l-m40s along
coastal SE va-ne nc. Highs Fri in the m-u50s N and E to around
60f sw. Lows Fri night from the m30s along-w of I 95 to the l40s
along coastal SE va-ne nc. Highs Sat in the l-m50s at the coast
in va-md to 60-65f inland. Lows Sat night in the m-u30s inland
to 40-45f at the coast. Highs Sun in the u50s-l60s near the bay
and on the ERN shore to 65-70f elsewhere. Lows Mon night in the
m-u40s. Highs Mon from 60-65f near the bay and on the ERN shore
to the l70s inland.

Aviation 00z Tuesday through Saturday
As of 800 pm edt Monday...

vfr conditions are expected through the 00z TAF forecast
period. Rain showers associated with a short wave trough moving
across the mid-atlantic and a broad area of low pressure
deepening along the va nc coast. Brief periods of MVFR
conditions are possible with a heavier shower, mainly for korf
and kecg, with bkn CIGS at 2k ft. All shower will be off the
coast by 03z Tuesday. Clear skies will persist for the remainder
of the TAF period with the exception of few-sct CIGS at 6k ft
as the inland locations begin to warm. Winds this evening are
strongest in SE va and NE nc, as the pressure gradient tightens
with high pressure building in and the broad low remains along
the nc coast. Winds at korf and kecg are N 15-20kt with gust up
to 25kt, but will quickly die down tonight. Winds for
kric kphf ksby will remain light from the north to variable.

Sfc high pres andVFR conditions will prevail Tuesday night
through Wednesday night. Chance of flight restrictions will return
Thursday as a coastal low has a potential to affect the area.

Marine
As of 330 pm edt Monday...

latest sfc analysis shows weak low pressure centered over ERN nc,
with high pressure over the midwest building into the ohio valley.

Winds are out of the E NE around 15 kt. A few gusts to ~20 kt
have been observed over the lower bay lower james river at the
typical elevated sites this aftn. Seas are 2-2.5 ft N 3-3.5 ft
s, with 2 ft waves on the bay.

The area of low pressure moves offshore early this evening as
high pressure continues to build e. This will allow winds
briefly increase out of the NE at 15-20 kt (with gusts of 20-25
kt) over the lower bay, lower james river, and ocean zones S of
cape charles during the next few hours. Issued short-fused scas
for these areas through 02-05z Tue to account for this brief
increase in winds. In addition, seas will build to 4-5 ft S of
cape charles this evening, with seas remaining AOB 4 ft further
n. Elsewhere, predominant winds are progged to remain around 15
kt. Kept scas going through Tue tue night over the nc coastal
waters and the currituck sound. Winds remain in the 15-20 kt
range over the waters of nc, but diminish to below sca
thresholds over va overnight since the sfc high builds over va
rather quickly. NE winds remain in the 10-15 kt range over the
majority of the waters from tue-tue night, but remain 15-20 kt
s of the va nc border (as seas remain around 5 ft). Sub-sca
conditions return to the far SRN marine zones by Wed as high
pressure returns to the region. Another area of low pressure is
progged to track just to the SE of the CWA from thu-thu night.

This may bring a return of SCA conditions to the area
(especially s) on thu, but there is still some disagreement in
the guidance regarding the specific details. A stronger surge
of cold air is progged to cross the area late Thu into Fri (then
again late fri-sat). These periods of CAA could bring another
couple rounds of SCA conditions to the region.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for anz631-
632-634-638.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt Tuesday for anz633.

Small craft advisory until 1 am edt Tuesday for anz656.

Small craft advisory until 7 am edt Wednesday for anz658.

Synopsis... Jdm
near term... Alb
short term... Alb jdm
long term... Alb
aviation... Cp
marine... Eri lkb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 6 mi38 min E 14 G 17 42°F 1027.4 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 6 mi38 min ENE 12 G 13 42°F 49°F1026.7 hPa
44072 7 mi36 min 41°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 14 mi44 min NNE 4.1 G 11 42°F 1027.1 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 14 mi44 min ENE 15 G 17 42°F 1025.8 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 16 mi44 min 49°F1026.8 hPa
44087 17 mi56 min 48°F3 ft
CHBV2 19 mi44 min ENE 14 G 20 42°F 1025.8 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 20 mi38 min ENE 13 G 17 43°F 1026.6 hPa
44064 20 mi36 min E 18 G 19 42°F 1026.6 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi44 min ENE 8 G 12 47°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 24 mi116 min NE 1.9 39°F 1027 hPa36°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 27 mi38 min NE 22 G 24 42°F 1025.2 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 28 mi44 min NE 5.1 G 9.9 43°F 52°F1026.7 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 28 mi32 min E 7.8 G 9.7 42°F 47°F1024.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 33 mi38 min NE 8 G 9.9 1028.1 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 40 mi56 min 46°F5 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 48 mi38 min N 2.9 G 5.1 39°F 50°F1026.7 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA6 mi32 minNE 410.00 miFair39°F34°F82%1027.3 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA6 mi30 minENE 1410.00 miA Few Clouds40°F36°F88%1027.4 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA12 mi90 minENE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy41°F34°F78%1026.4 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA17 mi87 minNNE 14 G 238.00 miOvercast42°F37°F82%1027.6 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA17 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair37°F37°F100%1027.8 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA21 mi35 minNE 1110.00 miA Few Clouds42°F37°F82%1026.5 hPa

Wind History from PHF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE5SE4CalmCalmE3NE3N3N5CalmE3E3E8E10E12NE9E13
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1 day agoE3E4NE8NE6NE8NE7NE5NE3NE4N4N4NE6NE76NE334NE9
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2 days ago--SW15SW14
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NW9E8E10E5E3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for York Point, Poquoson River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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York Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:15 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:32 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:04 PM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.2-0.10.311.72.42.72.72.41.91.20.50-0.2-00.51.21.92.42.52.41.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for Yorktown USCG Training Center, York River, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.