Thursday, March21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Big Creek, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 7:12PM Thursday March 21, 2019 3:23 PM PDT (22:23 UTC) Moonrise 8:12PMMoonset 7:43AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Big Creek, CA
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location: 37.23, -119.22     debug


Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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Fxus66 khnx 212146
afdhnx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
246 pm pdt Thu mar 21 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will remain over the area today with continued
showery weather. Brief high pressure will build tonight and Friday
for a dry period then another weather disturbance will move
across northern california on Saturday for another threat of
precipitation. High pressure with dry weather rebuilds for the
late weekend through Monday.

Discussion
Lingering spotty showers continued today across central california
as a disturbance moving through southern california kept the area
unsettled. Upper air analysis and satellite imagery showed the
upper low still moving ashore this afternoon and headed through
the south- land with wrap-around showers forming over the southern
portion of the district. While weak instability is being shown
across central california, the best instability for the production
of thunderstorms favors the mojave desert today. Therefore, will
expect convective showers over the area with a minimal potential
of the showers turning into thunderstorms across the kern desert.

Current thinking agrees with storm prediction center of keep
thunderstorms out of central california and more over the desert
southwest. Otherwise, the central california interior saw cooler
conditions with variable cloud cover ahead of clearing expected on
Friday. Therefore, will see showers diminish overnight as the
region will see a brief quiet period ahead of the next storm
headed for california this weekend.

Short range models progging the next storm to hit california at
the start of the weekend as even more precipitation will falls
across the region. Timing has the precipitation entering the
region later Friday afternoon and approaching central california
closer to the evening hours. While most of the day on Friday will
remain dry, model uncertainty has precipitation starting as early
as 5 pm on Friday with better possibilities of precipitation
starting a hours before 10 pm that evening. The precipitation will
the overspread the region Friday night with the heaviest
precipitation falling before sunrise Saturday morning. However,
the trajectory of the disturbance favors northern california with
the southern edge hitting central california. This will translate
in the bulk of the moisture affecting northern california with the
district seeing light to marginal precipitation amounts. Also,
the southern edge will be a quick hit of moisture with the storm
exiting the area by Saturday evening.

By Sunday morning, cool air will surge into the region after the
fall of light snow accumulating down to near 5000 feet. Yet,
Sunday may only see lingering spotty showers with clouds banking
up along the east side of the san joaquin valley and down near the
grapevine. While the day will remain mostly dry, another storm
will be heading for california. Showing a similar track to the
weekend storm, this next storm will also favor northern
california as mostly light precipitation is progged for the
Tuesday and Wednesday time-frame. Again, uncertainty in the
initial timing of the storm could have it arrive late Monday
night, but, will favor the onset of precipitation occurring on
Tuesday. After the mid-week storm, model confidence lowers as a
ridge pattern begins to form over the eastern pacific. Yet, the
west coast remains under the cyclonic flow pattern as unsettled
conditions could exist through at least the next seven days and
beyond. Looking beyond the seven days, more storms could
california as the wet extends into the beginning of april.

Aviation
Areas of mountain obscuring ifr will continue across the southern
sierra nevada and tehachapi mountains until 10z fri. Local MVFR
conditions in low clouds in the san joaquin valley and southern
sierra foothills. OtherwiseVFR conditions will prevail across the
central ca interior for the next 24 hours.

Air quality issues
None.

Certainty
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.

The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low... Medium... And high. Please visit


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mammoth Yosemite Airport, CA34 mi49 minN 410.00 miOvercast39°F25°F58%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from MMH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW11W6SE5CalmW5W6CalmCalmE6CalmNW3N3SE3CalmS4CalmW8SW7W5N8NW8W6CalmN7
1 day agoE10SE11E12SE9SE13SE14
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E15E17SW5NW7W5N7N3CalmCalmNW3CalmS3SE6CalmNW3W6
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmSE8E15
G21

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Joaquin Valley, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.