Sunday, August19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mathews, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 7:52PM Sunday August 19, 2018 2:03 AM EDT (06:03 UTC) Moonrise 2:02PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 1215 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Rest of tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..N winds 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1215 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure remains offshore tonight as a cold front approaches the area. The front stalls near the virginia and north carolina border early next week.


Hourly Forecast for Marine Location Near Mathews CDP, VA
   7 day   EDIT   Help
location: 37.35, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kakq 190256
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1056 pm edt Sat aug 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will remain well off the southeast u.S. Coast
through tonight. A cold front will approach from the northwest
tonight, then drops across the area late tonight into Monday
morning. The front will stall over north carolina Monday into
Monday night, before lifting back north as a warm front on
Tuesday. A cold front crosses the area on Wednesday.

Near term through Sunday
As of 1045 pm edt Saturday...

convection this evening is shifting more to the south over NE nc
and should persist for several more hours, but the impacts are
mainly just brief heavy rain with wind gust near 20 - 25 mph.

This convection should diminish as shortwave energy slides off
the coast. Meanwhile, the atmosphere remains very moisture
laden this evening as the surface front remains near the mason
dixon line. So have kept a mention of a low chance for a shower
across northern portions of the CWA due to the amount of
moisture and the introduction of the front into the area toward
morning. Lastly, have tweaked overnight lows down across much of
va as the rain had caused temps to drop more quickly.

Prev discussion...

shortwave trough approaching from the west beginning to trigger
showers tstms across southern portions of the region this
afternoon. Airmass remains very humid and moderately unstable,
so a few storms may produce strong wind gusts, along with
frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. Limiting factors for
severe weather are moderate instability and weak shear. Best
thunderstorm chances will be across the southern half of the
area, where best heating has occurred thus far today. Elsewhere,
have maintained high chance likely pops, but with a slight
chance of tstms.

Most widespread shower TSTM activity will continue east toward
the coast through 06z, before weakening moving offshore.

Lingering showers, albeit with limited coverage, will remain
possible in moist airmass through the night. Temps will only
fall into the lower and mid 70s again.

Another threat for showers tstms will develop on Sunday, as
surface cold front gradually drops into the region from the nw.

Coverage will again be greatest across the southern half of the
area, with NW sections probably drying out during the afternoon.

Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy, with MAX temps lower to
mid 80s in our DELMARVA region, and mid to upper 80s elsewhere,
with continued high dewpts.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday
As of 315 pm edt Saturday...

cold front will stall just south of the area by Monday, with
lingering chances for showers isolated tstms southern swrn
areas Sunday night through Monday. Low temps Sunday night 70-75.

Surface winds turn E NE for much of the area on Monday, which
will limit temperature rise in many areas. On the lower md
eastern shore, temps could remain in the upper 70s, if the ne
flow is strong enough. Have currently forecast around 80.

Otherwise, expect MAX temps to mainly be in the lower to mid 80s
across the north, and mid to upper 80s southern portions.

Cold front begins to lift back northward as a warm front Monday
night Tuesday, as stronger surface low organizes in the midwest,
and begins moving newd into sern canada by Tuesday evening.

Scattered showers tstms again expected as the front lifts
northward. Although warmer than Monday, clouds and precipitation
should keep temperatures in the middle to upper 80s across the
region.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 315 pm edt Saturday...

a cold front will approach the CWA Wednesday morning, quickly moving
east through the region Wednesday afternoon. Chance pops were drawn
in for the potential of pre-frontal showers tstms... However, a
morning or mid-day FROPA will not allow convection to take advantage
of diurnal heating. The 12z GFS is most impressed with rain chances,
followed by a modest euro and canadian solution. Drier weather
settles in Thursday, with only slight chance pops remaining across
nc. 1024 mb high moves east over the mid-atlantic Thu pm thru sun
next weekend, keeping a majority of the area dry. The only portion
of our area with marginal rain chances will be in nc, where ridging
will be weaker. Most outdoor plans should fare well late next week
into the weekend.

Temperatures will remain warm Wednesday but cool down noticably,
starting Thursday, into the low-middle 80s. Dew points will also
drop into the low-middle 60s, helping to make conditions feel quite
comfortable for mid august. Overnight lows will range from the low-
mid 60s inland to near 70 degf along the coast.

Aviation 03z Sunday through Thursday
As of 745 pm edt Saturday...

mostlyVFR conditions across the region and at the TAF sites
except where strong precipitation is occurring. A wide area of
showers and thunderstorms is occurring from west of richmond to
ne nc and across the marine waters. Heavy rain and wind gusts to
30-35 kt are the most significant hazards with the strongest
storms. A cold front lies well west of the forecast region.

Warm humid air east of the front will continue to produce widely
scattered showers and or thunderstorms through the overnight.

MVFR ifr conditions may occur with any precipitation but
overall expect mostlyVFR conditions.

There is a chance for some patchy areas of fog especially in
areas with good rainfall but confidence is not high enough to
add to TAF locations at this time. Guidance does show a brief
period of ifr ceilings for ric in the morning so decided to go
with 400 ft ceilings in the morning between 10-14z.

Outlook... A cold front will move into the region on sun, with
the chance of showers tstms continuing, especially from kric
southward. The front drops south of the region mon, with a
chance of showers tstms mainly across SRN va and NE nc.

Unsettled conditions potentially continue into tue, as the front
lifts back northward as a warm front. A stronger cold front
moves across the area on Wednesday.

Marine
As of 315 pm edt Saturday...

no headlines necessary with this forecast package. Sfc high pressure
resides offshore tonight as a trough of low pressure remains over
the mid atlantic. SW winds up to ~15 kt over the bay and 15-20 kt
over coastal wtrs with 2-3 ft seas. A cold front then drops into the
area during the day Sun leading to unsettled conditions with sw
winds shifting to N NE by Sun night mon. Sub-sca conditions expected
to continue into early next week.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg wrs
near term... Ess wrs
short term... Tmg wrs
long term... Eri
aviation... Tmg jef
marine... Mpr


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 8 mi40 min WSW 11 G 12 76°F 1011.8 hPa
44072 10 mi34 min WSW 12 G 16 77°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 15 mi40 min SW 8.9 G 11 74°F 84°F1010.9 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 15 mi34 min W 14 G 18 76°F 1010.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 18 mi40 min SW 13 G 15 1011.6 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 19 mi40 min SW 13 G 15 82°F
44087 23 mi94 min 83°F1 ft
CHBV2 24 mi46 min SW 14 G 18 76°F 1010.5 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 25 mi34 min Calm 73°F 1012 hPa73°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 26 mi40 min SW 9.9 G 14 76°F 1010.9 hPa
44064 26 mi34 min SW 14 G 18 76°F 1011.2 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 28 mi40 min 83°F1011.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 28 mi40 min SSW 14 G 16 76°F 1011.7 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 32 mi40 min SSW 8.9 G 13 74°F 1010 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 32 mi34 min SSW 9.9 G 13 75°F 1011.4 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 35 mi40 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 75°F 85°F1011 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi34 min SW 5.1 G 8 75°F 85°F1011.5 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 41 mi64 min 77°F3 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi40 min WSW 8 G 9.9 74°F 83°F1010.7 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 47 mi34 min WSW 14 G 16 76°F 1009.8 hPa

Wind History for York River East Rear Range Light, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
-12
PM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last
24hr
SW20
SW18
G24
W16
G20
SW15
SW17
W15
W15
W12
W16
W10
W10
W10
W9
W8
NW16
G20
W13
SW10
W12
W10
SW11
SW10
W9
W10
1 day
ago
SW11
SW10
SW9
SW8
SW9
W9
W8
W7
W5
SW2
S5
S6
S9
SW10
SW11
SW13
G16
SW14
SW13
SW10
SW12
SW13
SW16
SW18
2 days
ago
W5
W4
W5
NW3
W4
W3
--
SE3
SE7
SE5
S6
SE8
SE9
S10
SE11
SE12
S12
S10
S8
S11
SW11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Langley Air Force Base, VA19 mi68 minSSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F74°F100%1012.2 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA20 mi70 minSW 810.00 miFair75°F72°F90%1011.4 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA24 mi68 minSW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F72°F94%1011.1 hPa

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last 24hrSW12SW11SW11SW11SW12SW11SW12SW13W13SW14W13SW13W14W11SW12W11SW7SW8SW9SW6W4SW7SW7S8
1 day agoS7SW5SW5SW5SW4SW4SW5SW5SW6SW5S8S9SW8
G16
SW9SW8SW11SW10SW13SW8S10S11S11S12SW10
2 days agoCalmSW4W4SW4SW4CalmW3CalmW3W6CalmW5NE7NE6W8SW6E7E6SE4SE6SE4SE5S6S7

Tide / Current Tables for New Point Comfort, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
New Point Comfort
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:08 AM EDT     2.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:19 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:46 PM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:26 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.81.21.622.121.81.40.90.60.40.50.71.21.72.22.42.52.421.61.10.70.5

Tide / Current Tables for York Spit Light, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
York Spit Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:58 AM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:09 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:36 PM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:16 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.81.21.722.121.71.30.90.50.40.50.81.31.82.22.42.52.31.91.510.70.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.